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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 3

Analyzing NFL Week 3 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Week 2 in the NFL brought us some wild endings and big comebacks. Two teams rallied back from 20 points or more, seven underdogs won on the money line and 10 underdogs covered the spread.

Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 3 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Unfortunately, none of our underdogs from last week were among them. After an 0-3 Week 2, our running total for top underdog picks is 2-4. Time to regroup and give you three games from this week.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 3

– All games Sunday and ET unless noted

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:38 a.m. ET.

Arizona Cardinals (+155) vs. Los Angeles Rams – 4:25 p.m. (FOX)

The Cardinals were one of the teams to rally back from 20 points down and ended up being a big underdog winner with a 29-23 overtime victory over the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Rams have had their number, having won 10 of the last 11 matchups, but they keep dealing with injuries. L.A. is already with 2 new starters on the offensive line and could be playing with backups at right guard and center. It also has injuries at cornerback, with Troy Hill on injured reserve and 2 others questionable for Sunday.

Arizona found its offensive rhythm in the 2nd half against the Raiders, amassing 329 yards after halftime. The defense shut down Las Vegas after halftime and Rams QB Matthew Stafford has thrown 5 interceptions through two games.

Arizona’s offense will cause problems for the Rams and Stafford will make at least one mistake.

Also see: All Week 3 odds and lines

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Houston Texans (+122) at Chicago Bears – 1 p.m. (CBS)

Neither team has cracked 300 yards of offense in either of their games this season. However, the Texans have not allowed an opponent to score more than 20 points whereas the Bears gave up 27 last week.

Houston held a 20-3 lead over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 before allowing them to come back and tie the game, resulting in a season-opening tie. Chicago’s offense is not going to fare well.

Expect a low-scoring, ugly game with the Texans picking up their first win of the year.

[the_huddle]

Detroit Lions +6.5 (-117) at Minnesota Vikings – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The Lions have been quite the surprise, having scored 35 or more in both their games this season. Detroit has covered the spread in both games.

Minnesota’s offense is capable of keeping up and the Lions have allowed 27 or more points in both games.

The Vikings’ defense allowed only 7 points in their opener to the Green Bay Packers but 24 to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2. They will limit the Lions to the 20s and their ability to score on the Lions will keep this a close, competitive game until the end.

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San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (72-77) go for a sweep of their 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies (64-85) Thursday. First pitch is set for 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 10-5

San Francisco has won 5 in a row on the road but is still just 33-41 away from home for the season.

The Rockies have dropped 4 in a row at home and have been outscored 34-17 over that span.

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Giants at Rockies projected starters

RHP John Brebbia vs. RHP Jose Urena

Brebbia (6-2, 2.86 ERA) makes his 8th start in what will be his league-leading 71st appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 63 IP.

This will be his 2nd start in 3 days and is likely to be another short one — he has yet to work more than 2 frames in any outing in 2022
Owns a 2.08 ERA with just 1 home run allowed in 30 1/3 IP on the road

Urena (3-6, 5.49 ERA) makes his 19th appearance (15th start). He has a 1.63 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 80 1/3 IP.

Has displayed some awful skills, including a 2.5% K-BB% that is 2nd worst among all pitchers with 70 or more innings pitched
Allowed 2 ER or fewer in 3 of his last 5 starts, but in the other 2 outings he allowed a combined 15 ER in 6 2/3 IP
Has been brutal at home with a 6.57 ERA in 38 1/3 IP this year

Giants at Rockies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Giants -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Rockies -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+125) | Rockies +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Giants at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 8, Rockies 5

Money line

Urena’s skills have been atrocious. He doesn’t get many whiffs and walks far too many batters and he brings plenty of blowup potential to the table every time out — especially at Coors Field.

The San Francisco bats should have a big day in this one so take the GIANTS (-117).

Run line/Against the spread

Colorado has surrendered 22 runs in the first 3 games of the series and Urena isn’t a good bet to stop the bleeding. Ten of its last 11 home losses have been by more than a single run, and that trend should continue Thursday afternoon.

Go with GIANTS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

The Giants will go with a bullpen day for the second time in the series, and they have asked a lot of their relief corps on the trip to Colorado. In addition to Tuesday’s bullpen game, the relievers totaled 9 1/3 IP in the other 2 games.

The Colorado offense should get something going against the San Francisco ‘pen today, and it would be surprising if the Giant bats don’t do their part in getting to this total. The number is high but deservedly so. Back the OVER 11.5 (-105).

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Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (73-76) look to avoid being swept in a 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals (60-89) Thursday. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 12-6

The Twins looked like contenders in the American League Central for much of the season but have fallen off but have lost 6 of their last 7 contests and 15 of their last 21.

The Royals finished up a road trip where they lost 5 of 6 games and are back home, where they are 36-41 on the season.

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Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Josh Winder vs. RHP Jonathan Heasley

Winder (4-4, 4.17 ERA) makes his 13th appearance (9th start). He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 54 IP.

Showed some promise in his first few outings, but sports a 5.97 ERA and 15/12 K/BB across 31 2/3 IP over his last 7 appearances (6 starts)
Has made 2 starts since rejoining the rotation and has surrendered 6 ER through 8 2/3 IP with a 6/2 K/BB and 3 HR allowed.
Has recorded a 3.82 ERA on the road this season, but with just 16 K in 30 2/3 IP (4.7 K/9).

Heasley (3-8, 5.09 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.

Tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings Friday at the Boston Red Sox last time out, but in his previous start allowed 7 ER in 4 IP vs. the Detroit Tigers
Sporting an unsightly 6.43 ERA in 9 home starts with 8 HR allowed across 42 IP

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Royals 4

Money line

Though Heasley pitched well in his last start, his skills have been among the worst in the league and the Royals have lost 8 of the last 10 games in which he has started.

The Minnesota offense hasn’t been great lately, with 66 runs through 20 September games (3.3 per game), but Heasley should help wake up the bats this afternoon.

BACK THE TWINS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins are missing a couple of key lineup pieces in OF Byron Buxton and 2B Jorge Polanco. Even against Heasley, their recent struggles suggest an offensive explosion can’t be expected.

Winder hasn’t shown strong skills either and it would be surprising if he completely shut down the Royals’ offense. This should be a close battle and while we like Minnesota’s chances to come out on top, you would be wise to PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

Both teams have been slumping offensively, but they don’t often face pitching with the soft skills today’s starters bring to the table. Both sides should have some success at the plate today and this total should push OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (81-67) and Oakland Athletics (55-94) conclude a 3-game set Thursday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is at 3:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Seattle leads 8-7

The Mariners have dropped the first 2 games of this series and are 1-5 in their last 6 games — all on the road. The setbacks mark a reversal of fortune for a Seattle team that was 13-4 away from home between Aug. 2-Sept. 4.

Prior to this series, the Athletics had been 6-15 with a .587 OPS in their previous 21 games at the Oakland Coliseum. Oakland has now earned back-to-back wins at home for the first time since Aug. 27-28.

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Mariners at Athletics projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Adrian Martinez

Kirby (7-4, 2.98 ERA) has authored a 1.12 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP across 22 starts.

Has logged a 1.33 ERA with just 2 BB over his last 27 IP
Has clocked a 2.88 ERA away from home
Owns a 2.50 ERA across 3 turns against Oakland

Martinez (4-5, 5.77 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 43 2/3 IP.

Coughed up 7 runs in a 4 2/3-inning start at Seattle June 30
Has yielded 11 ER over his last 8 2/3 IP

Mariners at Athletics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mariners -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Athletics +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-130) | Athletics +1.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Mariners at Athletics picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Athletics 3

Money line

Martinez has been fly-ball-unlucky thus far. Take the Oakland side of this offering if you can get the Athletics at +200. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The fairer price as lined is OAKLAND +1.5 (+105).

The Mariners have scored 1 run in each of the first 2 games of this series. They’ve hoisted that meager tally in 4 of their last 5 games.

Over/Under

Crisscrossing signals here: AVOID.

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Chargers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Chargers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) travel cross country to Sofi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Jaguars vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jaguars come in after shutting out the undermanned Indianapolis Colts 24-0 Sunday. QB Trevor Lawrence had his best game as a pro and was able to find new WR Christian Kirk for 2 TDs during the blowout.

The Chargers lost 27-24 in a tough battle against the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football in Week 2. Not just tough because it was a division game, but tough because star QB Justin Herbert was injured (ribs) in the process.

Herbert’s mobility will likely be limited if he’s able to go and that will make the return of WR Keenan Allen to the lineup even more important to coach Brandon Staley and his chances to win this game.

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Jaguars at Chargers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Jaguars +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Chargers -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jaguars +6.5 (+102) | Chargers -6.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Jaguars at Chargers key injuries

Jaguars

None

Chargers

WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) questionable
CB J.C. Jackson (ankle) questionable
QB Justin Herbert (ribs) questionable
C Corey Linsley (knee) questionable
TE Donald Parham Jr. (hamstring) questionable
OL Trey Pipkins III (ankle) questionable

[the_huddle]

Jaguars at Chargers picks and predictions

Prediction

Chargers 31, Jaguars 20

Money line

PASS.

The Chargers may be the right side here but the line is too high to wager.

Against the spread

The Play here is CHARGERS -6.5 (-125).

The book is begging you to take this number by keeping it under 7, and I’ll bite.

I think Herbert will be playing and this line will go higher if he does, so take it now. Conversely, if you like the Jaguars, you might want to make a play now because if Herbert is ruled out, this number could drop to -2 or -3. However, I like the Chargers with or without Herbert.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 47.5 (-105).

This game will easily go Over if Herbert is playing and Allen is back. The Chargers offense has firepower even without them, with WRs Mike Williams and Josh Palmer, and RB Austin Ekeler.

Jacksonville is coming off 2 games in which it scored more than 20 points. If the Jags can get to 20 again here, this game is sure to be over the total. This is my favorite play of the game.

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Coastal Carolina at Georgia State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Coastal Carolina at Georgia State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-0) and the Georgia State Panthers (0-3) meet Thursday at Center Parc Stadium for both teams’ Sun Belt Conference opener. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State school odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Chanticleers enter with 3 wins in 3 outings, going 1-1-1 ATS with a pair of Over results against two FBS opponents. Coach Jamie Chadwell’s team pushed at most shops in a 38-26 home win over Buffalo Saturday.

The Panthers lead the all-time series 3-2. Oddly enough, the home side is 0-5 straight-up (SU) in all 5 previous meetings, including last season’s 42-40 win by Georgia State in Conway Nov. 13, 2021.

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Coastal Carolina at Georgia State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Coastal Carolina -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Georgia State +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Coastal Carolina -2.5 (-105) | Georgia State +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Coastal Carolina at Georgia State picks and predictions

Prediction

Coastal Carolina 37, Georgia State 31

Money line

COASTAL CAROLINA (-130) is the play here. Why go against tradition?

It’s odd that in 5 all-time meetings the road team has won each time, but it is set up for the 6th outing to go exactly that way here. CCU is unbeaten at 3-0 SU, while Georgia State is winless in 3 tries.

Against the spread

COASTAL CAROLINA -2.5 (-105) is worth playing here, especially since the line is under a flat three. However, to put in a sweat here, Georgia State can move the ball despite being winless. It came up short in a 42-41 loss at home to Charlotte last weekend, and 35-28 against North Carolina 2 weeks ago.

The Panthers rank 17th in the nation with 231.3 rushing yards per game, and they go for a healthy 444.7 total yards per contest and 27.7 PPG. The problem for GSU is that it cannot get defensive stops, and it has allowed 424.7 total yards per game and a ridiculous 37.3 PPG.

Over/Under

The OVER 61.5 (-112) is the play in Thursday’s Sun Belt Fun Belt action.

While Coastal has cashed the Under in 5 straight on the road, the Over is 6-1 in its previous 7 on the road against losing teams and it’s 18-5 in the previous 23 in September.

For Georgia State, the Over has hit in 4 of its last 5 Thursday appearances.

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) and the Cleveland Browns (1-1) meet in a Week 3 Thursday Night Football game at FirstEnergy Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled 8:15 p.m. ET (PRIME VIDEO). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Steelers vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers are back on the road and look to go 2-0 away from Acrisure Stadium. Pittsburgh already has a division road win under its belt, topping Cincinnati in Week 1 by a 23-20 score in overtime. The Steelers were edged 17-14 at home last weekend against the New England Patriots.

The Browns are likely happy for a quick turnaround as they get a chance to wash out the bad taste in their collective mouths after a 31-30 loss to the New York Jets in Week 2. Cleveland led 30-17 with 1:55 to go, but a late touchdown, ensuing onside kick and a game-winning TD with 22 seconds left in regulation stunned the sellout crowd.

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Steelers at Browns odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Steelers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Browns -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +3.5 (-103) | Browns -3.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Steelers at Browns key injuries

Steelers

FS Minkah Fitzpatrick (cramps) questionable
LB T.J. Watt (pectoral) out – injured reserve

Browns

OL Joel Bitonio (biceps) questionable
DE Jadeveon Clowney (ankle) out
OL Jack Conklin (knee) questionable
OL Chris Hubbard (illness) questionable

[the_huddle]

Steelers at Browns picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 20, Browns 16

Money line

The STEELERS (+175) are a value play here.

Pittsburgh lost a narrow game at home against New England last week and already has a road win this season. While the play of QB Mitch Trubisky has been mediocre at best, the defense is picking up the intensity, and RB Najee Harris is a dependable running back.

As long as Pittsburgh’s run defense can at least contain RB Nick Chubb, the Steelers should be able to win this one outright.

Against the spread

STEELERS +3.5 (-103) is a strong play if you just cannot pull the trigger on them straight up.

The Steelers have covered 4 in a row inside the division, including Week 1 at Cincinnati, and they’re 5-1 ATS in the past 6 meetings with Cleveland, too.

The Browns have struggled in the back end of the defense. They allowed Jets QB Joe Flacco to look like he turned back the clock to his Baltimore Ravens glory days last week. Could Trubisky be the next to have a strong showing?

Over/Under

UNDER 38.5 (-115) is the way to go here.

Points are usually at a premium when these AFC North rivals square off. We saw the Under cash in both meetings last season.

The Under is also 4-0 in the past 4 inside the division for the Steelers and is 6-1 in the past 7 appearances on a Thursday for the Browns. The Under is also 5-2 in the past 7 home games for the Browns, 5-2 in the past 7 in this series overall and 7-2 in the previous 9 battles alongside Lake Erie.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Baylor at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baylor at Iowa State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baylor Bears (2-1) will travel to Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (3-0). Kickoff is set for noon ET Saturday (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Baylor vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Despite a tough road loss to BYU in its 2nd game, the Bears have stayed ranked. It is coming off a 42-7 win over Texas State after opening the season with a 69-10 win over Albany.

Baylor is led by 6-foot redshirt sophomore QB Blake Shapen. It has a plethora of running backs helping lead the backfield with 3 players totaling at least 100 rushing yards through 3 games.

As for Iowa State, its premier win is over rival Iowa. That was a grind-it-out win for the Cyclones as they came out on top 10-7. It beat Ohio 43-10 and Southeast Missouri State 42-10.

Iowa State’s backfield is led by RB Jirehl Brock who has 280 yards and a 5.6 yards per carry average. QB Hunter Dekkers took over as the starter this season and has 8 TDs and 3 INTs.

Baylor is No. 17 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Baylor at Iowa State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:43 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Baylor +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Iowa State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +2.5 (-108) | Iowa State -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Baylor at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 24, Iowa State 20

Money line

SPRINKLE BAYLOR +120.

The Bears lost to BYU, but it was a game they had a shot in and arguably should’ve won. On top of that, it was a late game in an environment which could’ve had elevation impacts on Baylor.

While there shouldn’t be any excuses, the reasons for that loss won’t be present here and that helps create value on the money line. Aside from that loss, Baylor has outscored opponents by 94 points in 2 games.

Iowa State has had similar success again non-Power 5 sides, but it put up just 10 points on Iowa. It had under 200 passing yards, and while it did find success on the ground, Brock has just a 3.7 yards per carry average on 27 attempts. It didn’t showcase much success against the Hawkeyes.

Both teams are 2-1 ATS this season.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR +2.5 (-108).

Baylor was 5-1 ATS last season an underdog while Iowa State was 5-6 ATS as a favorite. While things have changed since a season ago, many of those key players for both sides remain.

The Cyclones do not have a player that’s as dynamic of BYU QB Jaren Hall. There’s no reason the Bears’ defense shouldn’t have far more success in this battle as they’ve kept opponents under 30 points in each of their 3 games.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 45.5 (-108).

Considering Iowa State’s lacking offense against a Power 5 side and Baylor not throwing for more than 200 yards through the air against BYU, it seems likely both sides will power their attack using more running plays. That should drain the clock.

WR Xavier Hutchinson is the only player for either side to have over 35 receiving yards against a Power 5 opponent in the Cyclones’ match against the Hawkeyes.

The aerial attacks aren’t the effective part of both teams’ offenses. This will be a run-heavy game and that should aid the under here.

Both teams are 1-2 O/U so far this season.

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Virginia at Syracuse odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Virginia at Syracuse odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) travel north to the Carrier Dome to take on the Syracuse Orange (3-0) with Friday’s kickoff set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around Virginia Cavaliers at Syracuse Orange odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers haven’t gotten the results from redshirt senior QB Brennan Armstrong that they had expected following his standout junior season. He had a 31-10 TD-INT ratio and is at 2-3 through 3 games.

Virginia took down Sun Belt side Old Dominion 16-14 last weekend after a 24-3 loss to Illinois and a 34-17 win over the Richmond Spiders.

Syracuse comes in as strong favorites, having yet to lose. The Orange destroyed Louisville 31-7 to start the season and followed that up with a 48-14 win over UConn. It topped it all off with a 32-29 win over Purdue.

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Virginia at Syracuse odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:18 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Virginia +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Syracuse -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +9.5 (-112) | Syracuse -9.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Virginia at Syracuse picks and predictions

Prediction

Syracuse 30, Virginia 24

Money line

PASS.

The only value here is for Virginia to win, but I won’t predict the upset. I’d rather play the spread regardless.

Against the spread

BET VIRGINIA +9.5 (-112).

The Cavaliers have struggled to figure it out this season, and that can best be shown by their 0-3 ATS record. Much of their struggles can be put on Armstrong, who must shoulder some of the blame. He hasn’t played nearly up to par, but the talent is there.

He threw for 4,449 yards a season ago. His early-season struggles could partially be on the offensive line as they have 2 redshirt freshmen and a transfer. They should settle in as the season progresses.

While Syracuse is 3-0 ATS, the betting market doesn’t seem to be favoring it as the Orange have 81% of the tickets but just 61% of the money per pregame.com. The line has also moved, per pregame, from -9.5 at the open to -9, giving Tipico’s line value and showing some reverse line movement.

Given that trend and how Armstrong has shown he can compete in the past, I’ll back VIRGINIA +9.5 (-112) here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 54.5 (-115).

Virginia hasn’t scored much this season, totaling just 19 points against its to FBS opponents. It is 0-3 O/U this season.

Syracuse scored 32 points against Purdue, but allowed 29. QB Garrett Shrader had 3 TDs on 181 passing yards. Its rush game wasn’t overly impressive either. The Orange got good positioning and took advantage, but those same favors may not be paid Friday.

Virginia, on the other hand, has shown little, and even if Armstrong plays well, it may not find the end zone more than a handful of times.

Couple it all, and I’ll back the UNDER 54.5 (-115).

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Minnesota at Michigan State odds, picks, and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota at Michigan State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) burrow into East Lansing to take on the 21st-ranked Michigan State Spartans (2-1) Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Minnesota vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Sixth-year QB Tanner Morgan has the Golden Gophers off to great start to open the season. However, the wins have come against some of the worst teams in college football (Colorado, Western Illinois and New Mexico State). Michigan State, despite losing last Saturday to Washington, is quite different from those teams.

The Spartans are coming off a devastating 39-28 loss to Washington in a game which many expected the Spartans to win.

The pass defense of Michigan State, which ranked 130th in FBS last season, is still a concern, ranking 103rd after 3 games. If Morgan can take advantage of this, Minnesota has a great chance to walk out of Spartan Stadium victorious.

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Minnesota at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:04 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Minnesota -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Michigan State +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Minnesota -2.5 (-125) | Michigan State +2.5 (+102)
Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Minnesota at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 24 Minnesota 21

Money line

BET MICHIGAN STATE +150.

Minnesota has played no one this season. In their 1st game against a tough opponent on the road, they will get a wake-up call against a Spartans team smarting after losing to Washington last Saturday.

Against the spread

Divvy up your full ML bet with SPARTANS +2.5 (+102).

This line looks like it will move even higher to +3. If it does, I would jump on it again. Even if it stays at +2.5, it is my favorite play of this game.

Over/Under

NO PLAY … but Under 51.5 (-117) would be the lean.

Minnesota has put up 38, 69 and 49 in their 3 matchups. The Spartans are aware of the potent offense and will counter it by rushing the ball. By keeping Morgan and the Gophers off the field, the game should hit the Under. But with the porous pass defense of the Spartans being a worry, 1 play could ruin this bet. So, I would stay away.

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