Tag: Twins Royals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Kansas City Royals welcome the Minnesota Twins for Opening Day Thursday from Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 9-4 last season

The Royals hope to bounce back after finishing as the 2nd-worst team in the American League last season. They were 56-106 on the year and 33-48 at home. Now, the Royals did spend more than 9 figures in the offseason, extending SS Bobby Witt Jr. and adding players like RF Hunter Renfroe and 2B Adam Frazier to bolster their lineup.

The Twins finished atop the AL Central yet had the 7th-best record in the AL last season. They were 87-75 on the year and 40-41 on the road. Minnesota may struggle without Cy Young runner-up SP Sonny Gray, who is now with the St. Louis Cardinals. The top bats (SS Carlos Correa and RF Max Kepler) will be returning for Minnesota, so it should be just as dangerous offensively.

Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Pablo López vs. LHP Cole Ragans

López (11-8, 3.66 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 194 IP in 2023.

  • 2023 road stats: 6-5, 3.10 ERA (95 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 16 starts
  • Last start vs. Royals: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-0 home win July 5, 2023
  • Career vs. Royals: 3-1, 2.70 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 4 starts

Ragans (7-5, 3.47 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.16 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 96 IP with the Texas Rangers and Royals in 2023.

  • 2023 home stats: 4-2, 3.06 ERA (47 IP, 16 ER) in 6 starts and 9 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Twins: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 2-1 road win with the Rangers Aug. 22, 2022

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Royals +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+136) | Royals +1.5 (-164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+104).

The Twins finished atop the division last season, but the loss of Gray should loom large on their success. They weren’t nearly as active in the offseason and finished below .500 on the road a season ago. Minnesota had success due to its starting pitching, finishing outside the top 15 in batting average and hits.

The Royals should have the pitching edge, as Ragans had a strong finish to last season, and with Renfoe, who ended last season with 116 hits and 60 RBIs, in the lineup as well, they should see more production offensively. Kansas City likely won’t be a playoff team this season, but it should see more success at home, while the Twins should retreat off a strong 2023.

Take ROYALS (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not great value here on either side, and the home side’s moneyline offers the best odds for this Opening Day battle.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-114).

Both teams trended towards the Over last season with the Royals adding firepower to their lineup in the offseason as well. Kansas City added several new faces which should help boost production.

It was 79-77-6 O/U last season, while Minnesota was 85-78-5 O/U. The Royals were 43-35-3 O/U at Kauffman Stadium, the 7th-best Over percentage at home in MLB.

Take more runs here, and back OVER 8 (-114).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals hit the field for the 1st time in 2023 on Thursday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: The Twins held a 12-7 mark over Kansas City in 2022.

Minnesota finished 2022 with a 78-84 record, placing 3rd in the AL Central. The Twins were above .500 for most of the season, but hit a slump in September and October, going 11-22 during those months.

The Royals finished 65-97 last year, placing last in the AL Central for the 2nd time in 5 seasons. Kansas City’s 640 runs scored were 4th-worst in the American League and its 810 runs allowed were last in the AL.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

[betwidget_tipico]

Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Lopez makes debut with the Twins after spending the 1st 5 years of his MLB career with the Miami Marlins. He finished 10-10 last year with a 3.75 ERA, and had a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 180 IP.

  • Started last season off hot, allowing just 1 ER in his 1st 4 starts
  • Went 3-3 in his last 10 starts in 2022 with a 4.15 ERA

Greinke enters his 20th season and makes is 2nd straight Opening Day start for the Royals. He was 4-9 last season with a 3.68 ERA, and had a 1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 137 IP.

  • Went 0-4 in 5 starts vs. Minnesota last season
  • Was 1-3 in his last 10 starts in 2022; had a 1.81 ERA in his final 8 starts, allowing just 9 ER

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+110) | Royals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +101)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The Royals surprisingly dominated spring training, going 19-13 in the Cactus League and scoring the most runs in the MLB. While spring training stats can be misleading, it could be a sign that Kansas City’s bats are entering the season hot. However, 39-year-old Greinke had a couple of tough outings against Minnesota last year.

The Twins, meanwhile, are rolling with Lopez who hopes to improve upon his good 2022 campaign. Lopez had 174 strikeouts last year and allowed a batting average of just .234. He also tends to start seasons strong. Expect him to have a good showing against the Royals.

BET TWINS -155, or combine it in a parlay if you’re not feeling the low payout.

Run line/Against the spread

With two good starters facing off, this could be a tight one up until the bullpen comes into play. With that it mind, it’s probably not worth buying runs until we see some real-deal major league action first.

PASS on the spread.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The 8.5 total seems a bit steep for Opening Day with starters who had sub-4.00 ERAs last season, though this game could blow up depending on how the bullpens show up for each squad. For now, we’ll point to the fact that the Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these AL Central rivals as a reason to back the Under.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 RUNS (+101).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Wesley Roesch on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (73-76) look to avoid being swept in a 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals (60-89) Thursday. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 12-6

The Twins looked like contenders in the American League Central for much of the season but have fallen off but have lost 6 of their last 7 contests and 15 of their last 21.

The Royals finished up a road trip where they lost 5 of 6 games and are back home, where they are 36-41 on the season.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Josh Winder vs. RHP Jonathan Heasley

Winder (4-4, 4.17 ERA) makes his 13th appearance (9th start). He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Showed some promise in his first few outings, but sports a 5.97 ERA and 15/12 K/BB across 31 2/3 IP over his last 7 appearances (6 starts)
  • Has made 2 starts since rejoining the rotation and has surrendered 6 ER through 8 2/3 IP with a 6/2 K/BB and 3 HR allowed.
  • Has recorded a 3.82 ERA on the road this season, but with just 16 K in 30 2/3 IP (4.7 K/9).

Heasley (3-8, 5.09 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.

  • Tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings Friday at the Boston Red Sox last time out, but in his previous start allowed 7 ER in 4 IP vs. the Detroit Tigers
  • Sporting an unsightly 6.43 ERA in 9 home starts with 8 HR allowed across 42 IP

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Royals 4

Money line

Though Heasley pitched well in his last start, his skills have been among the worst in the league and the Royals have lost 8 of the last 10 games in which he has started.

The Minnesota offense hasn’t been great lately, with 66 runs through 20 September games (3.3 per game), but Heasley should help wake up the bats this afternoon.

BACK THE TWINS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins are missing a couple of key lineup pieces in OF Byron Buxton and 2B Jorge Polanco. Even against Heasley, their recent struggles suggest an offensive explosion can’t be expected.

Winder hasn’t shown strong skills either and it would be surprising if he completely shut down the Royals’ offense. This should be a close battle and while we like Minnesota’s chances to come out on top, you would be wise to PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

Both teams have been slumping offensively, but they don’t often face pitching with the soft skills today’s starters bring to the table. Both sides should have some success at the plate today and this total should push OVER 8.5 (+100).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (73-74) and Kansas City Royals (58-89) begin their 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium Tuesday with 1st pitch at 8:10 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 12-4

The Twins are fading down the stretch. They are 6-12 in September with their only saving grace coming from a sweep of the Royals. After losing their series to the Cleveland Guardians, the Twins need to turn things around immediately to have a chance at the postseason.

The Royals have already been eliminated from the playoff hunt and have also struggled this month. They are 5-11, scoring more than 4 runs just 3 times.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Bundy (8-7, 4.68 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 127 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 5.93 ERA and 3.10 opponent batting average in his 3 September starts
  • Gets 4.69 average run support per start

Greinke (4-9, 4.10 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Lost Wednesday to Twins with 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB in 4 IP
  • Averages 0.77 ERA in wins and 6.59 ERA in losses.

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $105 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+122) | Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Royals 3

Money line

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and despite their recent sting of losses still post a winning record against the AL Central at 35-29.

The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 opening games of a series. And they are 39-70 against right-handed pitchers.

LEAN TWINS -130

Run line/Against the spread

As a road favorite the Twins only cover 42% of the time with a 14-19 record. But the Royals don’t instill confidence. They are 50% ATS in division games and 51.9% ATS as a home underdog. I don’t like Minnesota here, but at -150 I’m not sure I’d take Kansas City. I will AVOID.

Over/Under

Coming into their game with a rest advantage, the Royals hit the Under 5 of the last 6 games. The Twins are the opposite, when playing against a more rested team their Under record is 5-3-1.

Bet UNDER 8.5 (-102)

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Ethan Matthew on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (4-5) host the Minnesota Twins (4-7) for the second game of their three-game set at Kauffman Stadium with first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

K.C. beat Minnesota 4-3 in the series opener Tuesday thanks to a 2-run bottom of the 6th inning rally featuring solo home runs by Royals DH Salvador Perez and 1B Hunter Dozier.

Season series: Royals lead 1-0.

Twins at Royals: Projected starters

RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Daniel Lynch

Paddack (0-1, 6.75 ERA) took a 7-0 loss last Wednesday to the Los Angeles Dodgers in his first start of the season. He had 4 IP with 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 3 K.

  • This is Paddack’s first career start versus K.C. since he pitched for the San Diego Padres to start his career from 2019-21.

Lynch (0-1, 10.80 ERA) lost at the St. Louis Cardinals 6-5 April 12 with 5 IP surrendering 6 ER with 9 H, 1 BB and 7 K.

  • 2021 vs. Twins: No-decision in K.C.’s 6-4 victory over the Minnesota Twins Sept. 10 in his rookie season. He went 6 IP, allowing 4 ER on 7 H and 0 BB with 4 K.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 4.60 FIP with a .250 batting average, .294 wOBA, .453 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 15.0 K% and 86.5 mph exit velocity (EV) in 20 plate appearances.

Twins at Royals and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Twins 3

Money line

BET 1 unit on the ROYALS (+105) because K.C. has a massive advantage in the pitching department. Lynch is a former first-round draft pick and one of the best young arms in the Royals’ organization.

I’m not worried about Lynch’s performance versus the Twins last season because all of his 4 ER in that game were off of 2 home runs from Twins players that aren’t in Wednesday’s lineup (an injured CF Byron Buxton and former 3B Josh Donaldson).

On the other hand, Paddack relies on mostly two pitches and ranked in the bottom-20th percentile in hard-hit rate, EV and xSLG in 2020-21, according to Statcast.

K.C.’s bullpen also ranks 10th in WAR and 13th in xFIP since the start of last season while Minnesota’s 23rd in both WAR and xFIP, per FanGraphs.

The Twins struggle versus left-handed pitching and 22-39 versus lefty starters since last year. Minnesota’s lineup is 23rd in wOBA and 20th in wRC+ versus left-handed pitching over that span.

BET the ROYALS (+105).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ROYALS -1.5 (+195) ALTERNATE RL because I think the wrong team is favored here and the gap between K.C. and Minnesota’s pitching is wide enough for the Royals to win by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 8.5 (+110) because K.C.’s lineup has struggled with right-handed pitching as much as Minnesota’s has versus lefties since the beginning of last season.

K.C. is 0-4 O/U in the last 4 home games, Minnesota is 0-3-1 O/U in the last 4 road games versus teams with a losing record and the total is 1-3-1 O/U in the last 5 Twins-Royals meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (33-48) and Kansas City Royals (35-47) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-3 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 56 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Maeda is looking to rebound after getting tuned up last time out on the road against the Chicago White Sox. He allowed seven earned runs, eight hits and five walks in just 4 2/3 innings in the loss. Maeda had a dismal 6.43 ERA in three June starts, his worst month of the season.

RHP Brad Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 6-8 with a 6.67 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 81 IP over 17 starts.

Keller also had an ugly June, and he has lost each of his past four decisions in a five-start winless skid dating back to June 4. He wrapped up June with a 1-4 record, 8.31 ERA and 17 walks in just 30 1/3 innings across six outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (-105) | Royals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Twins 8, Royals 5

Money line (ML)

The TWINS (-160) look to salvage at least one game from this series after getting outscored 13-7 in the first two outings. They’ll get it done behind Maeda, as Keller has just been erratic lately, and issuing too many walks. That’s the difference here.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS -1.5 (-105) are a decent value as a small-unit play. While Maeda certainly has had his issues lately, Keller has allowed four or more runs in each of his past five outings, hasn’t gone deep into games, and has shown no signs of turning things around.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 10 (-105) is the play, especially since the Twins are involved. The Over is a ridiculous 23-5-4 in Minnesota’s past 32 games inside the division, and 22-8-2 in the past 32 on the road.

For Kansas City, the Over is 7-3-2 in their past 12 inside the division, and 8-2-2 in the previous 12 against the Twins.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (33-47) and Kansas City Royals (34-47) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Griffin Jax is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 1-0 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with 5 BB and 11 K in 12 2/3 IP over four relief appearances.

This will mark the first career start for Jax. He allowed 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 walks with 2 strikeouts in 4 1/3 IP in a relief win June 25 against the Cleveland Indians marking his longest outing of the season.

LHP Danny Duffy is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 4-3 with a 2.44 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 48 IP over nine starts and one relief appearance.

Duffy was batted around his last time out Monday for 4 runs on 5 hits and a walk in just 3 1/3 innings receiving a no-decision against the Boston Red Sox. He hasn’t won since returning from the IL June 23, with his last win coming May 1 at Minnesota where he allowed 1 run, 2 hits and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts over 7 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-155) | Royals -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Royals 7, Twins 4

Money line (ML)

The ROYALS (-145) snapped a nine-game losing skid Friday with a 7-4 win in the series opener. They will look to beat the Twins and win back-to-back games for the first time since June 20-22.

I like Kansas City behind Duffy, who last won May 1 in Minnesota with a seven-inning quality start.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ROYALS -1.5 (+125) are a value play with their southpaw on the hill. The Twins bullpen may have to do some heavy lifting today, and that’s not a good thing. Minnesota is second last in the American League with a 4.93 bullpen ERA.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 10 (-105) is the lean here, especially since the Twins bullpen will likely used sooner rather than later. The wind conditions will be rather neutral in this one, with a slight breeze coming in from straightaway center field, but it won’t be enough to knock down the potential long balls.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]