Coming off a week when just about everyone hit the Under – in scores and individual performances – we’re looking for the Over to bounce back in some key games.
Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 4 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
This week’s picks include a couple of quarterbacks, a running back in a contract year and two of the game’s elite wide receivers.
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NFL week 4 prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET.
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 286.5 passing yards (-115)
Allen faces the Baltimore Ravens, who historically have had strong defenses. However, their secondary is incredibly banged up and it has showed.
Every quarterback the Ravens have faced has topped 300 passing yards – Joe Flacco (307-1 TD), Tua Tagovailoa (469-6) and Mac Jones (321-0).
None of those guys can hold a candle to Allen and what he is capable of through the air, so this one seems easy to take despite a dauntingly big number.
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Seattle Seahawks QB Geno Smith UNDER 251.5 passing yards (-115)
This game has the potential to be an ugly field position game with the favored Detroit Lions without their 2 most impressive offensive weapons – RB D’Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown.
I think this game is going to feature a lot more of RBs Rashaad Penny and Jamaal Williams than it will the QBs and that is simply too big a number to hand to Smith, despite talented wide receivers.
Also see: All Week 4 odds and lines
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New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-115)
The Giants host the Chicago Bears, who have one of the worst run defenses in the league.
The 49ers ran up 176 yards on 37 carries, Green Bay’s combination of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon went off for 193 yards on 33 carries and Houston’s Dameon Pierce ran 20 times for 80 yards last week.
The NFL is a replication league – if something works for everybody else, you attack that same weakness. If Barkley approaches 20 carries, he should blow past this number.
Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper OVER 60.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 5 receivers to surpass this number in 3 games – Jarvis Landry (7-114), Cooper Kupp (11-108-2), Tyler Lockett (9-76) and DK Metcalf (5-64-1).
Cooper is coming off back-to-back 100-yard receiving games and there is little reason to think the Falcons will be able to limit him to less than 60 receiving yards given how their secondary has been riddled by the guys you would expect would be the primary targets in the pass game.
Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 86.5 receiving yards (-115)
Jefferson has been held down the last couple of weeks because their opponents played bracket coverage on him almost every snap to make someone else beat them.
The New Orleans Saints play a lot of press man coverage and will give Jefferson more opportunities in 1-on-1 situations. Jefferson is overdue for another big game and the banged up Saints look like a viable option to accomplish that in London.
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