NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 4

Highlighting 5 player prop bet picks and predictions for NFL Week 4

Coming off a week when just about everyone hit the Under – in scores and individual performances – we’re looking for the Over to bounce back in some key games.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 4 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

This week’s picks include a couple of quarterbacks, a running back in a contract year and two of the game’s elite wide receivers.

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NFL week 4 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 286.5 passing yards (-115)

Allen faces the Baltimore Ravens, who historically have had strong defenses. However, their secondary is incredibly banged up and it has showed.

Every quarterback the Ravens have faced has topped 300 passing yards – Joe Flacco (307-1 TD), Tua Tagovailoa (469-6) and Mac Jones (321-0).

None of those guys can hold a candle to Allen and what he is capable of through the air, so this one seems easy to take despite a dauntingly big number.

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Seattle Seahawks QB Geno Smith UNDER 251.5 passing yards (-115)

This game has the potential to be an ugly field position game with the favored Detroit Lions without their 2 most impressive offensive weapons – RB D’Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown.

I think this game is going to feature a lot more of RBs Rashaad Penny and Jamaal Williams than it will the QBs and that is simply too big a number to hand to Smith, despite talented wide receivers.

Also seeAll Week 4 odds and lines

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New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Giants host the Chicago Bears, who have one of the worst run defenses in the league.

The 49ers ran up 176 yards on 37 carries, Green Bay’s combination of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon went off for 193 yards on 33 carries and Houston’s Dameon Pierce ran 20 times for 80 yards last week.

The NFL is a replication league – if something works for everybody else, you attack that same weakness. If Barkley approaches 20 carries, he should blow past this number.

Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper OVER 60.5 receiving yards (-115)

The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 5 receivers to surpass this number in 3 games – Jarvis Landry (7-114), Cooper Kupp (11-108-2), Tyler Lockett (9-76) and DK Metcalf (5-64-1).

Cooper is coming off back-to-back 100-yard receiving games and there is little reason to think the Falcons will be able to limit him to less than 60 receiving yards given how their secondary has been riddled by the guys you would expect would be the primary targets in the pass game.

Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 86.5 receiving yards (-115)

Jefferson has been held down the last couple of weeks because their opponents played bracket coverage on him almost every snap to make someone else beat them.

The New Orleans Saints play a lot of press man coverage and will give Jefferson more opportunities in 1-on-1 situations. Jefferson is overdue for another big game and the banged up Saints look like a viable option to accomplish that in London.

Want action on any of these NFL props or other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Georgia at Missouri odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Georgia at Missouri odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Georgia Bulldogs (4-0) take on the Missouri Tigers (2-2) Saturday at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Georgia vs. Missouri school odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Coming off a closer-than-expected 39-22 win over Kent State, Georgia remains No. 1 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Missouri, meanwhile, is coming off a disappointing 17-14 loss to Auburn after a goal-line fumble in overtime.

Georgia and Missouri have faced 10 times since Missouri joined the SEC in 2012, and Georgia is 9-1 in those games, with the lone Mizzou victory coming in 2013. Missouri is 6-4 ATS in those games and narrowly covered the spread last season as 40.5-point underdogs.

Both teams are 2-2 ATS this season and only Mizzou has hit the Over in total points — just once, against Louisiana Tech in Week 1.

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Georgia at Missouri odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Georgia -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Missouri +1300 (bet $100 to win $1,300)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Georgia -28.5 (-112) | Missouri +28.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Georgia at Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Georgia 42, Missouri 13

Money line

It’s pretty clear that Georgia, the best team in the country, is going to win this game. The -5000 line for Georgia says it all. Because Georgia is such a heavy favorite, there’s no point in putting so much money down for such a little return. You’re better off spending your money elsewhere.

AVOID the money line for Georgia vs. Missouri.

Against the spread

As just 7-point underdogs, Missouri lost 40-12 to Kansas State who is unofficially ranked 30th in the AFCA Coaches Poll. Ideally, that means the Tigers won’t fare much better against the No. 1 ranked team.

Georgia recently covered as 25-point favorites against another SEC rival — South Carolina — and is probably sick of hearing criticism about failing to blow out Kent State last week. With that in mind, it seems likely Georgia will have no problem covering against Mizzou.

I like GEORGIA -28.5 (-112).

Over/Under

The Bulldogs have failed to hit the Over in total points this season, but 54.5 points is tied for Georgia’s lowest projected point total in 2022. Georgia fell just short of that number when defeating Oregon 49-3 in Week 1.

Missouri may be able to earn some late-game garbage time points, and will no doubt allow Georgia to run up the score. I would lean toward OVER 54.5 (-112), though it should be played lightly.

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Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rapids (10 wins, 13 losses, 9 draws) welcome FC Dallas (13-8-11) to DSG Park Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas odds, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

As the regular season winds down, FC Dallas has already locked up their playoff spot. They have 50 points through 32 games, but have posted just a 4-5-7 road record.

Two USMNT players lead the way for Dallas — F Jesus Ferreira has 18 goals on the season and winger Paul Arriola has 9. Dallas has won 4 of its last 7 and sits in 3rd place in the West.

On the other hand, Colorado virtually have no chance at the playoffs. After being the West’s top seed a season ago, the Rapids sit in 11th. They’re 6 points shy of the 7th place Minnesota United and -9 in goal differential compared to United. However, they do have a strong home record sitting at 9-2-5 at DSG. They’re led by F Diego Rubio with 14 goals this season.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Colorado Rapids vs. FC Dallas odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Colorado Rapids +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | FC Dallas +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +285
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +133)

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Prediction

Colorado Rapids 3, FC Dallas 2

Money line (ML)

BET COLORADO RAPIDS (+120).

Clearly, Colorado has been a different team at home and would be in the playoffs if they found any rhythm away from DSG Park. Nonetheless, it will have fans into the stadium in an effort to back the Rapids, and against a team without a real reason to compete, they should have that motivation.

Also, both Arriola and Ferreira were at the USMNT camp that ended Tuesday, so they likely will be given limited minutes if they play at all. They’ve combined for more than half FC Dallas’ goals on the season.

The Rapids should be at full strength and, while they lost to FC Dallas 3-1 earlier in the season, Colorado did have more expected goals than them — 1.6 vs. 1.4.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN ALTERNATE OVER 3.5 (+155).

While FC Dallas hasn’t been the fast-paced team we’ve been used to as of late, the Rapids have been pushing the pace. They’ve topped this total in 4 of their last 6 matches, having netted at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3.

It is safe to say a Colorado defense that was among the best in the MLS a season ago isn’t at that level anymore as they’ve also allowed 16 goals in their last 6 matches.

Despite the potentially limited minutes given to Arriola and Ferreira, FC Dallas could let 20-year-old F Alan Velasco loose. He already has 6 goals and could be the top forward against a weak Colorado backline.

Colorado has allowed 1.75 goals per game this season and should let some opportunities slide at home while also being able to create for itself.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Mallorca vs. Barcelona odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Mallorca vs. Barcelona odds and lines, with La Liga picks and predictions.

Mallorca (2 wins, 2 losses, 2 draws) hosts Barcelona (5-0-1) at Iberostar Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mallorca vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best La Liga bets, picks and predictions.

Barcelona has yet to lose on the road, posting a 3-0-0 record. Over the offseason, Barcelona made no shortage of big-time moves, adding star F Robert Lewandowski.

He has 8 goals on the season and no other player has more than 2. Outside of a 0-0 draw to start the season against Rayo Vallecano, Barcelona has scored 3 or more in every league match. They sit 2nd to Real Madrid in La Liga.

Mallorca’s leading scorer is 28-year-old F Vedat Muriqi with 3 goals on the season. They’re 1-1-1 at home this season and have allowed 7 goals and scored 6 goals in 6 matches.

They have already played Real Madrid, losing 4-1 on the road. At home, they’ve won 1-0, drawn 1-1 and lost 2-1. The result against Madrid will be the most similar as to what Mallorca will see Saturday.

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Mallorca vs. Barcelona odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:34 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mallorca +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Barcelona -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Draw +430
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -170 | U: +135)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Prediction

Barcelona 2, Mallorca 0

Money line (ML)

PASS.

Everyone should like Barcelona here, and Mallorca sits 10th on the La Liga table.

However, Barcelona won both games last season by just 1 goal. They won 1-0 on the road in this environment. At -290, this is a pass, especially with Barcelona looking toward a Tuesday Champions League group stage match with Inter.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+135).

The road side should win this game, but Inter will be awaiting them. Ahead of their last 2 group stage matches, Barcelona had a league match in which star F Ousmane Dembélé played just 62 minutes and Lewandowski played 73 minutes. The stars should be given a rest in this match and that could limit goal-scoring chances.

Also, Mallorca has defended well and has 3 clean sheets so far this season. They’ve scored under 2 goals in all but 1 game, and against a top-tier defense led by GK Marc-Andre ter Stegen, it should struggle.

It scored on Real but had just .4 expected goals and allowed just 1.6 expected goals. Real had 4 goals on 7 shots on target. If that repeats itself, with Mallorca having just 2, expect the Under 2.5 to be the side having a better chance to cash.

Considering the forward-looking matches and high-quality defenses, I’ll back the Under 2.5 (+135).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid odds and lines, with La Liga picks and predictions.

Sevilla (1 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws) welcomes Atletico Madrid (3-2-1) to Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Saturday with kickoff set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid odds, and make our best La Liga bets, picks and predictions.

While there is still a majority of the season remaining, Atletico Madrid will want to get into the top 6 to compete in a major tournament. They sit 7th following a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid.

Atletico is led by 29-year-old Spanish F Álvaro Morata with 3 goals on the season. F Antoine Griezmann is the only other player with multiple goals this season. In the 6 games, Madrid has only allowed 6 goals.

Sevilla sit 15th on the table and are coming off a draw with 6th-place Villarreal. They have a -4 goal differential through 6 games, having allowed 11 goals.

F Óliver Torres and F Carmona are the 2 main forwards on the team and have 4 of the team’s 7 goals. Sevilla was 1-0-1 against Atletico last season,  but had fewer expected goals in both battles.

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:33 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Sevilla +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Atletico Madrid +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Draw +215
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +130 | U: -160)

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Prediction

Sevilla 1, Atletico Madrid 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+215).

This isn’t my favorite play of the match, but it is one I’d sprinkle on.

Sevilla is coming off a draw against the 6th-ranked Villarreal, which is ahead of Atletico in the rankings, so Sevilla can clearly compete. The home side has tied 3 of 8 matches through all competitions this season.

Atletico is just 2-1-1 on the road this season, so it hasn’t dominated opponents. Madrid only has had more than .6 expected goals in 1 of those 4 matches as well which means it hasn’t been that much better, especially on the road.

The play here is either a draw or betting on Madrid to come out on top as they are the better side. However, I’d prefer to play the total in this matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-160).

Obviously, given the juice, this one should feel good. Atletico is the better team, finishing 3rd in the league a season ago. They have played 4 road games this season and gone under this total in 3 of the 4.

In 38 games, they only gave up 43 goals last season, and they’re back with an elite defense, only having allowed 6 goals through 6 games.

Sevilla has allowed 11. While that sounds ugly, they are 1-1 on this total at home in league play, drawing Valladolid 1-1 and losing to Barcelona 3-0.

They only have 5 shots on goal in their 2 battles with sides in the league’s top-10 clubs. Their offense may not even have the firepower to even get on the scoreboard.

Considering that mixed with Madrid’s elite defense, I’ll back the Under 2.5 (-160) here.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

Want action on this contest or any other soccer matches? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Oklahoma at TCU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma at TCU odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The TCU Horned Frogs (3-0, 0-0 Big 12) welcome the Oklahoma Sooners (3-1, 0-1) to Amon G. Carter Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Oklahoma vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Horned Frogs are undefeated although their resume doesn’t include any impressive wins — most notably taking down SMU 42-34 last weekend. They’re one of just 21 undefeated FBS teams remaining.

TCU is led by senior QB Max Duggan who has stepped his game up this season, throwing for 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The combination of Duggan and RB Kendre Miller has led the 9th-highest scoring offense in the nation.

Oklahoma is coming off its first loss of the season after being inside the nation’s top 10. The Sooners lost to Kansas State who is led by former Nebraska standout QB Adrian Martinez.

Other than that defeat, OU has dominated with impressive wins over Kent State, UTEP and Nebraska. The home team will be led by former UCF starting QB Dillon Gabriel. He has 11 touchdowns and no picks.

Oklahoma is No. 16 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Oklahoma at TCU odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Oklahoma -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | TCU +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma -5.5 (-110) | TCU +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 69.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Oklahoma at TCU picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 38, Oklahoma 35

Money line

SPRINKLE TCU (+175).

Simply put — it’s not enough to go on the road and win.

Ask Ohio State against Michigan last year or even Alabama against Texas just a few weeks ago. Kansas State did it, but that might have been more about the maturity of Martinez than anything else.

While Gabriel has been great, it is concerning how this defense played last weekend, giving up 41 points to KSU. They gave up over 250 yards on the ground.

TCU averaged the 10th-most rushing yards per game at 233. The Horned Frogs are going to put it on the ground and force OU to stop them, which it showed it couldn’t do last week.

With this value and the weak OU rush defense, I’ll sprinkle on the TCU money line.

Against the spread

BET TCU +5.5 (-110).

This should be a close game, especially being against a conference opponent.

With OU having a dynamic offense and TCU potentially being able to exploit OU’s biggest weakness, the Horned Frogs should be able to keep it close.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 69.5 (-110).

I usually don’t love betting overs, but it’s the right side here.

OU has scored more than 30 points in every game his season, and TCU has a quarterback that limits turnovers and also has shown he can put together lengthy scoring drives.

Considering OU is allowing 157 rushing yards per game and that’s the strength of the TCU attack, I expect the home side to be able to put points on the board.

Similarly, Gabriel has been terrific and has a career-high 175.9 QB rating. With TCU having allowed 34 points to SMU, OU should be able to get loose offensively.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Want action on this game or any other NCAA football matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baylor Bears (3-1) welcome the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) to McLane Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Oklahoma State vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

After Baylor lost 26-20 at BYU, a game they had in the palm of their hand and let slip away. the Bears beat Texas State 42-7 and then Iowa State 31-24 last week.

They’re led by QB Blake Shapen who has 7 TDs and only 1 INT. The real offensive weapon for the Bears is RB Richard Reese, who has 315 yards on 55 carries, a 5.7 yards-per-carry average, and 6 TDs.

Oklahoma State has been perfect this season and is nicely following up its 12-2 campaign a year ago. OSU’s most notable win is a 34-17 victory over Arizona State, so the competition hasn’t been up to par yet.

QB Spencer Sanders is once against the leader of this program. The dual-threat quarterback has 916 yards and 10 TDs wit onlly 1 INT. OSU’s 51.7 points per game rank No. 1 in the nation. Coupled with a defense allowing just 22.7 points per game, OSU is the real deal.

Oklahoma State is No. 7 and Baylor 14th in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Oklahoma State at Baylor odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:5 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Oklahoma State +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Baylor -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +2.5 (-107) | Baylor -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Oklahoma State at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 28, Oklahoma State 24

Money line

PASS.

I like Baylor enough here to pass on the money line option and play the points.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -2.5 (-115).

Everyone seems to be on Oklahoma State with well over 70% of the money coming in on the Cowboys. That should be exactly what the books want as the undefeated Sooners seem like the better play getting points here.

The Bears have a competent offense that ranks in the top 25, and they have something the Cowboys don’t — a tested defense. Baylor gave up 26 points to the QB Jaren Hall-led BYU Cougars on the road, and that was in overtime. It has allowed just 225 passing yards and under 80 rushing yards per game.

The Bears turnaround since a 2-7 season in 2020 has been mainly on the offensive end where they’ve averaged over 40 points per game. Sanders is an elite option, but Sharpen and Reese have consistently gotten the job done as well.

I’ll back the home side at -2.5 here and fade where all the money is headed.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 55.5 (-110).

It’s easy to look at 2 teams both averaging over 40 points per game and think the over is the play. It very well could be as well, but the Baylor defense is no joke.

Hall is a top-tier QB threat in college, and Baylor held him to under 300 passing yards and under 30 rushing yards. The Bears didn’t allow a player in that game north of 35 rushing yards.

On the other hand, OSU has 10 sacks and over 20 tackles for a loss through 3 games this season, allowing under 25 points per game as well. While the offenses may be the focal point, the defense should also thrive.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Want action on this game or any other NCAA football matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (59-97) open a 3-game set with the St. Louis Cardinals (90-66) Friday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cardinals lead 10-3

The Pirates come into the Gateway City as winners of 3 games in a row and 4 of 5. They have 24-year-old RHP Johan Oviedo on the bump today in his first matchup against the team that traded him for LHP Jose Quintana at the trade deadline.

Oviedo has a great arm, but his control is spotty. Before we even get into the meat of this, I love OVIEDO OVER 3.5 K’s (-117). He has struck out 4+ in all but 1 start this year.

St. Louis has really taken its foot off the pedal, losing 6 of its last 10 contests, but having clinched the NL Central title along the way. However, the Cardinals come in rested after using a skeleton lineup Wednesday after clinching the division and a day off Thursday. It might take a couple of innings, but they should be ready to hit.

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Pirates at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Johan Oviedo vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Oviedo (4-2, 3.13 ERA) makes his 7th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 46 IP.

  • Last 5 starts since trade to Pirates: 2-1, 3.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.0 K/9
  • 1-3, 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 48 IP at Busch Stadium in his career (as a member of Cardinals)

Flaherty (1-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 29 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 1-1, 4.71 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 8.6 K/9
  • 4 home starts: 15 IP, 17 H, 8 ER (4.80 ERA), 7 BB, 16 K

Pirates at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Cardinals -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Cardinals -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Pirates at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Pirates 3

Money line

This is the first time the Cards return home since capturing the NL Central crown. The place will be abuzz, and Oviedo will be motivated to show them the horse they gave up. But, he’ll have trouble getting through the lineup 2 or 3 times.

Conversely, Flaherty has really struggled to throw strikes after missing much of the season. His mechanics just aren’t there, and his arm talent is guiding him. There will be runs on both sides early. OVER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-122) feels like a given, and I would consider OVER 4.5 RUNS FIRST 5 (+133) for a HALF-UNIT as well.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cards are 10-3 against the Bucs this year, and 8 of those were decided by more than a run. There’s an outside chance that Oviedo will contain his former mates and hurl a gem, but he has historically hit a wall in the 4th and 5th innings. That’s where the home team will get it in.

Take the CARDINALS -1.5 (+110) at plus money.

Over/Under

Eight runs feels like a bargain. These two have bludgeoned each other for 8 runs in 11 of the 13 games. Flaherty has given up 3 ER in 3 straight starts, and Oviedo has in 4 of 7. The wind is blowing in on a 64-degree day, but it won’t matter. Take the OVER 7.5 (+110) and thank us later.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (72-84) continue their season-ending road trip with the 1st game of a three-game series Friday  against the San Francisco Giants (78-78). First pitch is at 10:15 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 9-7

The Diamondbacks split their 2-game set with the Houston Astros with a 5-2 win Wednesday and have won 4 of their last 8 games. They are assured of not finishing in last place in the NL West.

The Giants completed a 3-game sweep over the Colorado Rockies and have won 4 games in a row and 9 of their last 10 games, including 2 over the Diamondbacks in Phoenix.

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Diamondbacks at Giants projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Alex Cobb

Kelly (13-7, 3.13 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 189 2/3 IP.

  • Is 3-0 with 1.53 ERA in 5 starts this season vs. the Giants
  • His last start was a 5-2 win Sturday over the Giants, allowing 2 R on 4 H in 7 IP with 1 BB and 6 K

Cobb (6-7, 3.67 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 139 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-2 with 4.70 ERA in 4 starts against Arizona
  • Giants are 9-17 when he starts

Diamondbacks at Giants odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-210) | Giants -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Diamondbacks at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Giants 3

Money line

Kelly has been great against the Giants this season.

The Giants have been rolling but their 1 loss in their last 10 games was to Kelly and the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks will likely win at least 1 game this series. Kelly on the mound is their best shot.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are No. 2 in the majors in covering the spread on the road at 46-29 ATS.

The Giants are 34-44 ATS at home.

Arizona is 12-4 ATS against San Francisco.

However, at -210, it isn’t worth the action, especially if you think they can win outright. Take the money line bet on Arizona and PASS on the spread.

Over/Under

Seven of the 13 games the 2 teams have played have had 8 or more runs but only 1 of the last 7 has.

Five of the Giants’ last 10 games have had 8 or more total runs.

Nine of Arizona’s last 12 have had 7 or fewer and 4 of Kelly’s last 5 starts have had fewer than 8 runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-140).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (98-58) open a crucial 3-game set with the Atlanta Braves (97-59) Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-7

The Mets enter this one clinging to a 1-game lead over the Braves in the NL East in what will be one of the most compelling series of the season. They have traded wins and losses over the last 7 games but need to win this series to hold on to the division and 2nd spot in the NL.

Atlanta lost a 3-2 heartbreaker in 10 innings at the Washington Nationals Wednesday. It snapped a 4-game winning streak. The Braves have their hands full with RHP Jacob deGrom going for the Mets. Atlanta needs this game to have a chance at avoiding a wild-card spot.

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Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Max Fried

deGrom (5-3, 2.93 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.74 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 14.0 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 1-2, 4.50 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 14.7 K/9
  • 2 starts vs. Braves this year: 12 1/3 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 21 K

Fried (13-7, 2.50 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 180 1/3 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 1-2, 2.05 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 9.8 K/9
  • 4 starts against Mets this year: 2-2, 3.00 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 8.3 K/9

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Braves +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 3, Mets 2

Money line

Atlanta has had some success against deGrom this year, and they definitely have more incentive to take this game. He’ll likely strike out a ton of hitters, but Atlanta is a championship-caliber team, and they find ways to win. He’s simply trying to come out of his last start healthy and ready for the playoffs. I like the BRAVES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves RL probably has the best chance to cash, but it’s too expensive for me. Instead, let’s back Fried, who has been great this month and against the Mets, to keep them in it.

Take the BRAVES +0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-160) to at least keep it tied after 5.

Over/Under

The Mets are 8-2 O/U over the last 10; whereas Atlanta is 4-6. The wind is blowing straight out to center field at 6 mph. These two pitchers faced each other Aug. 16, and it went Under, actually by the same 3-2 score predicted here.

However, I’d prefer to pass on the total and take BRAVES OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS (-125) in a safer setting.

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