The 5 best prop bets for Super Bowl LVIII

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

As the hours tick down to the final game of the season, two of the preseason favorites to meet in the Super Bowl will happen when, for the second time in five years, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet for the championship.

For the biggest game of the year, this week’s five prop bets include the biggest stars in the game – two players to go Over their projections, both quarterbacks going Under their stat forecast, and the most prolific postseason scorer of his generation doing it again.

The 5 best bets for Super Bowl LVIII

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Super Bowl LVIII.

In the postseason, those who have bet on Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have gone to the pay window many more times than not. As such, many are jumping on the chance of getting the Chiefs and a couple of points. Those who bet against Mahomes in the postseason do so at their own peril as he continues to cement his legacy as one of the GOATs.

That all said, these are the two teams most deserving to be in the biggest game of the year, and the San Francisco 49ers are being viewed by most of the talking heads as being the underdogs. In a rematch of Super Bowl LIV, the 49ers have many more players in critical positions than the Chiefs. Kansas City has three – Mahomes, Travis Kelce-Swift and Chris Jones. San Francisco has seven – Deebo Samuel, George Kittle and Kyle Juszczyk on offense and Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw on defense.

As these bets will show, that veteran revenge factor weighs into all of them.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Super Bowl LVIII

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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Super Bowl LVIII picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-805-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.4% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-129-5 142-120-7 136-129-5
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,005-9 704-617-16 263-281-9
Accuracy 48.5% 49.6% 50.8% 51.2% 52.1% 53.3% 48.4%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


4-Down Territory: Super Bowl LVIII Preview Edition!

In this week’s “4-Down Territory, Doug and Kyle get into all the Super Bowl LVIII particulars, and predict who will win.

Now that Super Bowl LVIII is set between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, it’s time for Doug Farrar of Touchdown Wire, and Kyle Madson of Niners Wire, to get heavy into the biggest game of the season in  “4-Down Territory.”

This week, the guys have some serious questions to answer:

  1. What must the San Francisco 49ers do if they want to win this game?
  2. What must the Kansas City Chiefs do to take their third Lombardi Trophy in the last five seasons?
  3. Who will be the Secret Superstar in Super Bowl LVIII?
  4. Finally, who will win the game, and why?

You can watch this week’s “4-Down Territory” right here:

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You can also listen and subscribe to the “4-Down Territory” podcast on Spotify…

and on Apple Podcasts.

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Super Bowl LVIII

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Super Bowl LVIII sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the Vegas odds for Super Bowl LVIII.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Super Bowl LVIII

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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Very early look at Chargers’ odds for Super Bowl LVIII

Taking a look at what Vegas makes out of the Chargers making it to the Super Bowl next year.

It’s Super Bowl week…but not for the Chargers.

Instead, it’s that time when fans reminisce on what could be if their favorite team were in the Super Bowl and begin looking towards next year to get an early idea of what sportsbooks make out of their squad making it.

For the Bolts, they are the seventh overall favorite to win Super Bowl LVIII and fourth among AFC teams at +2200, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

The teams that have better odds than Los Angeles are the Chiefs (+550), Bills (+650), 49ers (+700), Eagles (+800), Bengals (+900) and Cowboys (+1400).

The Chargers are coming off a decent season that saw them finish with a 10-7 record in the regular season and make it to the playoffs for the first time since 2018 despite dealing with injuries to key players throughout the season.

Los Angeles is off to a great start with their remodeling of the team with the hiring of Kellen Moore to be the offensive coordinator. Now, how they reconstruct their roster will be polarizing.

As it stands, the Chargers are in one of the worst salary cap situations in the league, and they will have to make some moves to free up some money to extend Justin Herbert, sign free agents and their rookie draft class.

If Tom Telesco is somehow able to hit a home run this offseason, Los Angeles’ odds could take a dip.