The 5 best NFL Divisional Round prop bets

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

As the NFL reduces the number of teams that can win the Super Bowl from eight down to four, this week’s prop bet picks touch all four games.

The picks include a rookie sensation putting up numbers (but not a “W”), one San Francisco 49ers receiver scoring a touchdown while another underachieves (again), a veteran running back helping control a game, and a young running back taking his talents on the road in the playoffs for the first time.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for the NFL Divisional Round

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Divisional Round.

For my money, with the potential exception of the first two days of the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, there is no greater two days in sports than the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Six teams had to earn their way there. The two best teams are rested and surrounded by friends waiting for somebody to come to their house trying to take it away from them.

This week’s picks mix it up, taking a game to go Over, one to go Under, both teams rested from their bye making a statement, and an underdog looking to continue its January dominance.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Divisional Round

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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2023 Divisional Round picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1,129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.5%) (60.5%) (62.2%) (65.7%) (61.7%) (65.4%) (63.0%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.2% 49.5% 50.4% 51.1% 52.2% 53.0% 45.6%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Betting the Line: NFL Divisional Round

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Divisional Round action.

There is no better time in the NFL than the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The two top dogs are waiting. Everyone else earned their way to this spot. Let’s go! In the Wild Card Round, typically a couple underdog teams make it to next round. In the Divisional Round, there is always one. The question is which one? The NFL rarely goes all-chalk.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Houston Texans (+310) at Baltimore Ravens (-400)

The Ravens are understandably big favorites (9 points at -110 for both teams). They’re well rested having laid down in Week 18 to the Pittsburgh Steelers. When they’ve played all their guys, Baltimore won its last six games and 10 of the last 11. The Texans are great story, but the Ravens are assassins. They beat the Texans by 16 points in Week 1 and six of Baltimore’s last seven wins have been by double digits. Take the Ravens and lay 9 points (-110).

The Over/Under is the lowest of the week (44 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Week 18 excluded, the Ravens have scored more than 30 points in eight of their last 10 games, including against the Detroit Lions, Cleveland Browns, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins. The Texans have enough big-play ability to keep up for a while, just not 60 minutes. Take Over 44 point (-110).

Green Bay Packers (+350) at San Francisco 49ers (-450)

The 49ers are the biggest favorites of the week (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). There’s a good reason for it. Their wins this season have come by 23, 7, 18, 19, 32, 31, 13, 18, 23, 12, 16 and 17. When you’ve hit 11 of 12 times, it’s hard to walk away from that pay window. Take the 49ers and lay 9.5 points (-110).

This is the highest Over/Under of the week (50.5 points at -110 for both). While both offenses are capable of putting up big numbers, if you’re of the belief that the 49ers are going to win, they’re going to take the air out of the ball in the second half, especially if the Packers can’t stop it. Take Under 50.5 points (-110).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+220) at Detroit Lions (-275)

The Lions are solid favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). This is more because of the Buccaneers than a Lions juggernaut. The Bucs played five regular-season games this year against teams that made the playoffs. They lost them all. Too many things have to happen right for the Bucs to cover this point. Take the Lions and lay 6.5 points (-110).

This Over/Under (48.5 points at -110 for both). The Lions have the best offensive line in the NFL. Dan Campbell is a newbie realist. If Detroit gets ahead by 10 points, they grind one 15-play drive that makes this number really hard to hit. Take Under 48.5 points (-110).

Kansas City Chiefs (+120) at Buffalo Bills (-145)

The Bills are a disrespected home playoff favorite (2.5 points at +100 Chiefs, -120 Bills). Since 2021, Josh Allen is 3-2 against the Chiefs – all on the road. He’s 3-0 in the regular season and 0-2 in the playoffs. The Chiefs have become like Muhammad Ali – you keep betting on him until you shouldn’t. Getting two-and-a-hook keeps multiple game scenarios in play. Take the Chiefs plus 2.5 points (+100).

Few would think the Over/Under would be this low (46 points at -110 for both teams). But, in their last two meetings, the point totals have been 44 and 37. That’s not a fluke. Both teams have discovered the running game, and with Buffalo’s defense so depleted in the back seven, both teams need to win by any means necessary. This has a 23-20 vibe more than it does a 35-31 likelihood – both which involve nine scoring drives. Take Under 46 points (-110).


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Divisional Round

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Divisional Round sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the Vegas odds for the Divisional Round.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Divisional Round

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best prop bets for the Divisional Round

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

As we reach the “Elite Eight” round of the NFL playoffs, we take at least one prop bet from each game and mix things up. This week we take the most dynamic young receiver left in the playoffs to score a touchdown, a pair of NFC East players to hit Under their Over/Under numbers and a pair of receivers hitting Over for logical reasons.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook 

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Divisional Round

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

The Huddle staff makes its weekly NFL game picks every Thursday.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Divisional Round picks: moneyline & against the spread


Season-to-date rankings: moneyline


Season-to-date rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Straight Up DMD SG KP HS CC CJB HCG
2021 Record 167-104-1 159-112-1 179-92-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1
2020 Record 161-94-1 161-94-1 165-90-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1
2019 Record 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1
2018 Record 167-87-2 158-96-2 179-75-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a
2017 Record 168-88 161-95 171-85 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a
2016 Record 157-97-2 149-105-2 156-98-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a
2015 Record 154-102 137-119 156-100 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a
2014 Record 166-89-1 158-97-1 164-91-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a
2013 Record 163-92-1 160-95-1 170-85-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a
Accuracy entering 2022 1,465-846-9
(63.1%)
1,399-912-9
(60.3%)
1,501-801-9
(64.7%)
1,442-869-9
(62.2%)
1,356-700-8
(65.7%)
955-590-7
(61.5%)
509-272-3
(64.9%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG KP HS CC CJB HCG
2021 Record 141-130-1 142-129-1 154-117-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1
2020 Record 118-138 122-134 123-133 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126
2019 Record 121-135 133-123 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117
2018 Record 132-124 131-125 145-111 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a
2017 Record 129-127 136-120 135-121 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a
2016 Record 110-146 125-131 127-129 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a
2015 Record 125-131 121-135 126-130 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a
2014 Record 122-134 124-132 143-113 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a
2013 Record 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a
Accuracy entering 2022 1,113-1,201-6
(48.1%)
1,153-1,161-6
(50.7%)
1,203-1,111-6
(51.9%)
1,165-1,149-6
(50.2%)
1,067-996-1
(51.7%)
811-740-1
(52.3%)
420-363-1
(54.1%)

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, KP – Ken Pomponio, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green


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Betting the NFL Line: Divisional Round

The wisest wagers one should make for the upcoming NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs.

We have reached the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs and No. 1 seeds are getting their welcome to the dance on their home turf. For this week’s picks, we take two home teams covering the spread, one Over, and one Under.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Divisional Round

Jacksonville Jaguars (+360) at Kansas City Chiefs (-450)

When these teams met in Week 10, Kansas City had one of its worst games in terms of turnovers (minus-3), yet still dominated and won 27-17. When you overcame three turnovers, built a 20-0 lead at halftime, and kept the Jaguars at arm’s length in the second half, how bad was it? The Chiefs had only three offensive drives in the second half but ran 29 plays and held the ball for 9:39 of the fourth quarter to close things out.

The Chiefs are heavy favorites (9 points at -111 Jaguars, -109 Chiefs), and the weather forecast calls for a rain/snow mix with temperatures in the mid-30s at game time. That doesn’t sound like Jaguars weather. The Chiefs won by 10 with a minus-three turnover number. Imagine if they win the turnover battle? Take the Chiefs and lay 9 points.

New York Giants (+290) at Philadelphia Eagles (-350)

There is always something special about division rivals playing each other a third time in the postseason. They played in Week 18. In a twist of irony, the Giants knew their playoff seeding and the Eagles didn’t. As a result, Jalen Hurts shook off the rust against a Giants team resting numerous starters. The result? A 22-16 Eagles win that featured six field goals and three touchdowns.

In this rivalry, a score like that isn’t unusual, which is why the Over/Under number is a little puzzling (48 points at -109 Over, -111 Under). While the Eagles hammered the Giants in their first meeting this season, in their last six games these two have combined to hit Under this point five times – all by four points or more below this number. Familiarity will come into play and every point will be safeguarded, which again could lead to as many or more field goals as touchdowns. Take the Under (-111).

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Cincinnati Bengals (+195) at Buffalo Bills (-230)

The Damar Hamlin tragedy abruptly ended the regular-season meeting, which had huge postseason ramifications. The Bengals were ahead 7-3 and driving when the game stopped. Had they won, this rematch would be in Cincinnati. As much motivation as Hamlin is going to provide pregame to the Bills Mafia, the Bengals have their own motivation – revenge.

The Over/Under acknowledges points will be scored (48 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). Both defenses have playmakers, but the straw that stirs for both teams is their offenses. Their defenses can struggle and still win games. If their offenses struggle, it’s a lot harder to win. I see both offenses taking chances downfield and enough splash plays will happen that there are too many scenarios (good, bad or hideous for the losing team) that hit the Over to avoid. Take the Over (-112).

Dallas Cowboys (+160) at San Francisco 49ers (-190)

This is an ideal betting matchup, because the Cowboys have a dedicated fan base that has surrendered January money for pushing 30 years. America’s Torn Betting Slip. Fresh off their win against an aging core of a Buccaneers roster, the Cowboy Swagger is back in play and dreams of punching the 49ers in their Purdy mouth are afoot.

The result is that the 49ers are small home favorites (3.5 points at -112 Cowboys, -108 49ers). It isn’t the San Francisco offense that has the team in this position – even though it has been weaponized since Christian McCaffrey arrived. It’s the league’s top-ranked defense. Dallas has a lot of talent, but it doesn’t take many mistakes – in any of the three phases of the game – for a team like the 49ers to take advantage of and exploit. Take the 49ers and lay 3.5 points (-108).


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