Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs sports betting odds and lines, with NFL Week 13 betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Oakland Raiders (6-5) visit Arrowhead Stadium Sunday for a Week 13 AFC West divisional clash with the Kansas City Chiefs (7-4). Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. We analyze the Raiders-Chiefs odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Raiders at Chiefs: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Chiefs beat the Raiders 28-10 in Oakland in Week 2. QB Patrick Mahomes completed 30 of 44 passes for 443 yards and four touchdowns. Raiders QB Derek Carr threw for 198 yards and one touchdown against two interceptions.
  • Kansas City is coming off a Week 12 bye, while Oakland lost 34-3 at the New York Jets.
  • The Raiders are 3-16 when throwing at least one interception since the start of the 2017 season. Carr has thrown six picks this season and the Chiefs have 10 defensive interceptions.
  • The Oakland defense has allowed the highest rates of passes of 20 and 40 or more yards since the start of last season.
  • The Chiefs are 14-1 when rushing for more than 100 yards as a team since the start of last season. The Raiders allow 104.3 rushing yards per game.
  • KC has won the last four head-to-head meetings with three of the four being decided by double-digit margins.

Raiders at Chiefs: Key injuries

Raiders QR Hunter Renfrow (rib) suffered a punctured lung in Week 12 and will miss time.

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (hamstring) is expected to play. RB Damien Williams (ribs) is a little more questionable.

Raiders at Chiefs: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:10 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Raiders 16

Moneyline (?)

The Chiefs are significant home favorites at -500 as they try to stay atop the division. They’re 2-3 at home, but the Raiders are only 1-4 on the road coming off the ugly loss to the Jets. KC wins this one, but these odds are too chalky with a $10 bet paying a profit of just $2. PASS and play the spread.

Against the Spread (?)

The wiser play is to back the CHIEFS (-9.5, –110) with the points for a win by 10 or more. They’re 6-5 against the spread on the year and cover by an average of 1.1 points per game. The Raiders are also 6-5 ATS, but they fail to cover by three points per game.

Over/Under (?)

The projected total of 51.5 points is the highest of the week. With neither team at full health, take the UNDER (-110). Three of the last four head-to-head meetings fell short of this week’s number. The Chiefs are 0-3 against the Over/Under in divisional games and the Raiders are 1-2.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Esten’s NFL betting record: 29-34

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos sports betting odds and lines, with NFL Week 13 betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Broncos (3-8) host the Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) at Empower Field at Mile High Sunday of Week 13 in the NFL. Kickoff between the two AFC West rivals is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. We analyze the Chargers-Broncos odds and sports betting lines, while providing NFL betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Chargers at Broncos: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Broncos won the first meeting of the two teams in Week 5 by a 20-13 count. Chargers QB Philip Rivers completed 32 of 48 passes for just 211 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions. QB Joe Flacco was under center for Denver.
  • Brandon Allen has started the last three games for the Broncos and has gone 1-2. He has completed 46.4% of his passes with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Denver has won three of the last five head-to-head meetings but none of the victories came by more than one score. LA’s two wins were by 21 and 14 points.
  • The Chargers have the fifth-worst turnover differential in the NFL at minus-9. The Broncos are minus-2.
  • The Broncos are 1-10 when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the start of the last season. The Chargers average just 86.7 team rushing yards per game.
  • Both teams are in the bottom 10 of the league by points scored.

Chargers at Broncos: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:55 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Chargers 21, Broncos 10

Moneyline (?)

The CHARGERS (-162) are an easy choice as they go up against the struggling Allen. Both teams have lost two in a row coming into Week 13 and they’re both 2-3 in their respective location split. It will be a defensive battle with two mistake-prone offenses, but back the road team over the Broncos (+135).

Against the Spread (?)

The wiser play is with the CHARGERS (-2.5) to cover at -121. The Chargers are just 3-6-2 against the spread overall and fail to cover by an average of 1.3 points per game. The Broncos are 6-5 ATS and fail to cover by 0.7 points per game.

Over/Under (?)

Take the UNDER 38.5 (-110). It’s a low projection but the Broncos are 4-7 against the Over/Under and the Chargers are just 3-8. Both teams fall an average of six points shy of the projected total. The Week 5 meeting also fell well short of this week’s number.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Esten’s NFL betting record: 29-34

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Badgers remain at No. 12 in latest CFP Rankings

The Wisconsin Badgers come in at No. 12 again, with a chance to rise after a potential win this week.

We are officially headed into Rivalry Week, or Week 14, of this college football season, and the Wisconsin Badgers remain at No. 12 in the College Football Playoff rankings…the biggest rankings of them all this time of year.

That should not come as much of a surprise, as the Badgers picked up a victory last week, but did not look very impressive at times against the visiting Boilermakers at Camp Randall.

In addition, they are the third-highest rated team with two losses, coming in just behind Florida and Penn State.

There were two pretty major moves featuring Big Ten Teams, though. The aforementioned Nittany Lions slid down two spots to No. 10, and the Minnesota Gophers took Penn State’s spot at No. 8.

Also, there is a new number one team this week, featuring the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) as the top team, taking the previous place of LSU.

Finally, the Michigan Wolverines come in at No. 13 with a major test at home against the Buckeyes this week, and the Iowa Hawkeyes are No. 17 in the current rankings.

One could argue the Big Ten is the best football conference in the land this year, with six teams in the top 17 of the rankings alone.

Though the team most likely to represent the conference would be the Buckeyes, both the Badgers and Gophers each have an outside shot to make it, of course needing to win Paul Bunyan’s Axe first this week to give the winning team a shot to face the Buckeyes.

Michigan State Football landed commitment of two 3-star recruits this week

Michigan State has had a big start to Thanksgiving week, nabbing two 3-star linemen in two days.

Kind of like I will be doing with some stuffing and mashed potatoes in a few days, Michigan State went for second helpings this week, but instead of carbs they are double-dipping on 3-star football recruits. Mark Dantonio landed the commitment of two 3-star linemen this week, one on the offensive line and one on the defensive side.

First, the Spartans received a verbal commitment from Justin Stevens, a 3-star offensive tackle from Mississauga, Canada on Monday. Stevens is the 129th ranked tackle in the 2020 class.

Then, just a few hours ago, defensive end Avery Dunn of Shaker Heights High School (Ohio) announced his official commitment from his Twitter account.

Dunn is the fifth 3-star defensive end in the 2020 class. Some have criticized MSU for failing to land a big five-star recruit for this class, but they have started to stockpile a well-rounded class.

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Ohio State vs. Penn State second most watched college football game all season

According to a press release from FOX, Ohio State’s win over Penn State was the second most watched college football game of 2019.

There’s no way around it. FOX’s decision to move its biggest game of the day to the Noon slot has been widely successful. The numbers pouring in this season so far have been very positive, especially when it comes to Ohio State.

Now we have another. According to a press release from the network, Ohio State’s game against Penn State last weekend was the most watched telecast of the day, and the second-most college football game over any network this season behind the game between Alabama and LSU on CBS November 9.

According to the release, FOX’s move to the Noon slot has resulted in the network’s most watched college football season to date, up 17 percent from just a season ago.

This isn’t the first time a Noon Ohio State game has garnered a large audience during FOX’s Big Noon Kickoff window. Games against Wisconsin and week one against FAU also saw people turn on their television sets and streaming devices.

Now, don’t be surprised if the one this Saturday between Ohio State and Michigan breaks all those records. It’s at Noon and on FOX as well. In fact, I’d lay money on it. The Game is historically one of the most viewed college football games annually no matter which network it’s on.

CFP Rankings: Cotton Bowl Dream Dead for Notre Dame

Perhaps both Ohio State and Minnesota win Saturday, handing Michigan and Wisconsin their third losses of the year, but after that it gets tricky.

Although no games were played Tuesday night Notre Dame saw their hopes of ending their season in the Cotton Bowl for a second year in a row come to an unofficial end.

As the College Football Playoff rankings were released Tuesday night, Notre Dame remained at number 16 in the country, still the lowest of any two-loss power-five teams and also still behind three-loss Auburn.

So as it sits with No. 16 Notre Dame having just one game remaining against an under-500 Stanford team that won’t count for much, even if it does end with a 50 point win for the Irish.

The problem is that Notre Dame has already routed better teams than Stanford in recent weeks and gained no ground.

Unless you can figure out a way that Notre Dame jumps six teams and gets into the top-ten, then they’re headed to Orlando for the Camping World Bowl against a Big XII team.

With the games remaining it’s hard to find six losses that are going to benefit Notre Dame.

Auburn losing to Alabama would probably finally get the Irish ahead of the currently three-loss Tigers.

Perhaps both Ohio State and Minnesota win Saturday, handing Michigan and Wisconsin their third losses of the year, but after that it gets tricky.

Kansas over Baylor or Rutgers over Penn State?  No help coming in either of those.

Same pretty much going for Colorado’s chances against Utah, Florida State’s to upset Florida.

Not only would Notre Dame need one of those to happen, they’d need three of the last four listed in order to have a chance, couple with those Auburn, Michigan and Wisconsin losses listed above.

As you can tell the chances at the Cotton Bowl are about as good as gone. so if interested you might as well get those flights booked to Orlando.

That’s the unfortunate reality when what happens in Ann Arbor in late October happen to you in front of a national audience.

 

Michigan feeling different than last year with Ohio State on deck

Why the Wolverines have a different feeling than last year heading into The Game.

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ANN ARBOR, Mich. —  Michigan’s struggles against arch-rival Ohio State dating back to the beginning of the Jim Tressel era are so well-documented that it feels like a foregone conclusion that the Wolverines won’t come up with a W.

It feels like even more of a daunting challenge given how OSU has rolled through its schedule like a bulldozer moving through feathers. With the reveal of the penultimate regular season College Football Playoff rankings on Tuesday, despite two teams above Michigan losing, the Wolverines stood pat at No. 13 — while the Buckeyes moved up to the No. 1 spot.

But Michigan has been a different team as of late. Not just since halftime in the Penn State game, but in recent memory.

Looking back at how the various teams entered The Game, it hasn’t necessarily been a team peaking heading into that perennial final regular season matchup.

In 2018, Michigan seemed to have peaked after decimating Penn State, 42-7, and was tested by an upstart Indiana Hoosiers squad the week before The Game. The concerns coming out of that game were founded, and an injury to star defensive end Chase Winovich, despite him being able to play against OSU, ended up being costly.

In 2017, starting quarterback Brandon Peters suffered a concussion on an already injury-plagued team. Inexperience and offensive line issues to go along with that meant that the Wolverines were (quite literally) limping into The Game with three losses.

In 2016, Michigan was destroying everyone until a costly night in Iowa severely injured starting quarterback Wilton Speight. Without Speight, Michigan struggled to put away Indiana the week before. He played at OSU, but was physically limited. The Wolverines lost in double-overtime.

In 2015, Ohio State was clearly in another league, despite coming off a loss. Michigan defensive coordinator had already quietly accepted the Maryland head coaching job and seemed checked out as the defense got gashed repeatedly in the second-half. The offense managed little.

That covers the Jim Harbaugh era — all four losses. But something about this team feels different.

The maize and blue started the season slow, struggling to put away the first two teams on the schedule before losing at Wisconsin. It wasn’t until the seventh game of the season — a loss at Penn State — that both the offense and defense seemed to be playing well and in tandem, albeit in the second-half — too little, too late.

After that, however, Michigan demolished a Top Ten — and favored — Notre Dame team. It crushed rival Michigan State, similarly. And instead of the road contest in Bloomington going to overtime — like the previous two road contests at Indiana — the Wolverines made the Hoosiers all but quit, as IU got the ball down 39-14 with 8 minutes remaining and chose to methodically end the game with a slow, 45-yard drive that ended nowhere.

This is seemingly a different team, perhaps Jim Harbaugh’s best, despite having two losses. Because it finally looks complete.

“Yeah, I think we’re all clicking on all cylinders right now,” quarterback Shea Patterson said. “Normally, it’s only on the defensive side of the ball, but I think the offensive production has been a lot more. I think we’re playing up to the defense’s level as far as helping them out as much as they help us out every week.”

Despite some terrible showings by the Michigan defense against many of the top teams it’s faced over the years, there’s one thing it hasn’t had: an offense that could help it out.

Junior defensive end Kwity Paye notes how different it is to have an explosive offense, one that’s outscored its opponents 180-52 since the half in Happy Valley.

Given the offensive emergence and defense seeming to also find its way, Paye feels like Michigan has a great shot to go toe-to-toe with the Buckeyes this time around.

“Last year, it was a great team last year — I feel like we have a great team this year,” Paye said. “I feel like our offense is really clicking this year. I feel like our offense is really getting after it ever since that Penn State game. You just keep seeing the offense keep going up and up and up.”

Star wideout Donovan Peoples-Jones agrees with that sentiment.

“Confidence has been increasing,” Peoples-Jones said. “We feel good out there. We feel good playing with the guys. Everybody’s contributing. So that’s always a good thing.”

In screenwriting, the hero’s journey isn’t about easily going from point A to point B. It’s about the conflict they face along the way.

Everything starts as normal, complacent — but then there’s the call to action. Progress moves forward, despite many obstacles until everything seems hopeless and like the end goal is out of reach.

But then, the hero puts to use those lessons learned along the way until they’re victorious in their chosen endeavor.

Perhaps that’s similar to the path Michigan football has taken. After all, head coach Jim Harbaugh has done everything in his power to change the Wolverines’ circumstances. He’s changed coaches and brought in new ones when needed. The offseason hire of Josh Gattis was a direct reflection of the offense not being seemingly capable of hanging with Ohio State, for instance.

Perhaps some of these losses mounted along the way were part of the tale of Michigan football. As far as Patterson sees it, his team has followed said hero’s journey since he arrived in Ann Arbor as a transfer from Ole Miss. Sure, losing 62-39 was beyond a disappointment, as were the losses to Wisconsin and Penn State this year.

But some learn lessons the hard way and they get stronger. That’s this Michigan team. Whether that amounts to a win on Saturday, ending the bludgeoning at the hands of its rival, that remains to be seen.

If it does, however — isn’t that redemption? Coming full-circle? Patterson thinks so.

“I wouldn’t change a thing up to this point,” Patterson said. “This is a team that’s been through so much the past two years, this season — how we’ve been battling. We’re battle-tested. We’ve lost. Double-overtime. We’ve been through some stuff this year. I can’t sit here and tell you how it’s gonna play out on Saturday, but I can tell you that we’re going to give it everything we’ve got.”

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What the College Football Committee said about Ohio State after the 4th set of CFP Rankings

Ohio State is the new No. 1 team according to the fourth release of the College Football Playoff Rankings. Here’s what the committee said.

The latest College Football Playoff Rankings are out and there’s a new No. 1, your Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s the second time OSU has topped the poll after it was the top ranked team during the first release of 2019.

Each week, after the rankings are revealed, the CFP Committee holds a teleconference for select media members to answer questions about the discussions and process used to rank the teams into their respective slots.

We’re a part of those and we’d like to pass on what the Playoff Selection Committee Chair Rob Mullens had to say about Ohio State. So, here goes after the fourth release …

On the overall comments from the selection committee on the Buckeyes:

Ohio State has been a complete team all year, and their win against Penn State impressed the committee. They are ranked No. 1.

On what tells the committee Ohio State is a more complete team than anyone else:

Question from the media: You mentioned a couple times now about the
idea of the complete team that the committee sees Ohio State being. In what way is the committee sort of quantifying that? What is telling this committee
that Ohio State is a more complete team than anyone else?

ROB MULLENS: Competing consistently and really highly ranked on offense and defense, performing at a high level in both.

Follow Up Question: Do you guys correct that for strength of schedule, too? Is it relative to who they played? How are you guys measuring that?

ROB MULLENS: Sure, we see it all. We see the full resume, and there are relative statistics, as well.

Another Follow Up Question: Just to follow up on that, what was the difference, though, this week about Ohio State that put them over LSU because you have said that they’ve been a complete team all season.

ROB MULLENS: They have, but they added their third win against a ranked opponent over Penn State, who we have ranked No. 10.

On comparing teams despite the difference in strength of schedules:

Question from the media: You’ve got a few comparisons throughout the poll of teams that clearly don’t have as many good wins, top-25 wins as somebody that’s fairly comparable, but they’ve been much more dominant
than the teams that do have those quality wins. How do you gauge and judge that dichotomy, where you’ve got a team that’s played maybe a better schedule but has not been as dominant to the team that maybe didn’t?

ROB MULLENS: Well, it’s never just one factor. That’s the beauty of having 13 football experts in the room who watch the games, who study it. That’s exactly the kind of conversation that you would have. Who are the wins against, who are the losses against, and then what do you see when you watch the games.

On the committee’s evaluation of offense vs. defense:

Question from the media:You were just speaking about complete teams and using offensive and defensive statistics as a way to measure that. I was just wondering, does the committee look at offensive statistics and defensive statistics any differently? Do they favor one or the other? Do they view if a team has a weaker defense more favorably than a weaker offense, if you follow what I’m saying?

ROB MULLENS: No, we look at them all equally. And again, that’s just one piece of what we look at. We do watch the games. We see the full resume. We understand who they’ve played, the results. That’s just one piece of it. But no, we don’t favor one or the other.

On how the committee views rivalry games:

Question from the media: How does the committee view rivalry games? Do
you look at them through the same contest that you would just a regular game or do you take that into account when you’re grading a team based on performance in one of those?

ROB MULLENS: No, we look at it as a regular game. Obviously we understand where it’s played, whether it’s home or on the road.

Next … Rivalry games and Ohio State vs. LSU

When a Michigan and Ohio State player each learned about the rivalry

Players who will be going up against each other in The Game each share the moment they came to understand the importance of the rivalry.

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ANN ARBOR, Mich. — Michigan and Ohio State are two programs that hate each other, with significantly different cultures and styles.

Yet, are they really all that different?

In some ways, yes — dramatically. That’s reflected to some degree in the recent record, with Ohio State having dominated the rivalry going back to 2004, as Michigan has but one win since then. But the Wolverines also had a 10-2-1 record during the Jon Cooper era, so these things can be cyclical.

But when it comes down to it, there’s a lot of similarities when it comes to motivational tactics.

No, Michigan isn’t in the business of crossing out all the Os on campus, like Ohio State does with the Ms, but it’s certainly passé to wear the colors of the other school on campus.

On Tuesday, a player from each team spoke about when they learned the hard way about wearing the rival’s colors while in their respective city of choice.

Michigan defensive end Kwity Paye

For the junior Michigan defensive end from Rhode Island, he didn’t know much about the rivalry, as the Wolverines weren’t really on his radar until defensive coordinator Don Brown offered late. So his indoctrination came after he enrolled.

He didn’t really get to know or understand the rivalry until The Game actually came, but he learned an important lesson earlier in the season.

“My freshman year, we were doing a walk-through at (Schembechler Hall) and I came in and I was wearing a long red long sleeve,” Paye said. “And we were doing our walkthrough, and they were just looking at me. Everyone was staring at me. And I had to take the long sleeve off and I did the walkthrough shirtless.”

As Paye tells it, first former star Rashan Gary came up to him and told him that wasn’t the right color to be wearing in that building. When Chase Winovich also said the same thing, he knew he had made a huge mistake.

Ohio State offensive guard Wyatt Davis

Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana, USA TODAY Sports

For Davis, the Bellflower, California native, it was during a recruiting trip that he learned that blue wasn’t exactly a welcome color in Columbus.

Davis was considering Michigan, but chose the Buckeyes relatively early in the process. When he was on a recruiting trip visiting Ohio State during the summer, he came dressed in blue.

As we said, he learned the hard way that that’s not a welcome color there on campus.

Before I got here, I never understood the rivalry but I was wearing like a blue tank top in the facility and one of the hosts was like, you have a jacket or anything you take that off because, you know you’re not allowed to wear blue,” Davis said. “And I’m just kind of sitting there like, well, it’s like 100 degrees down the summer. I got a full jacket on but I did and then after, I guess word got to Coach Meyer, and I had the jacket on. He unzipped it and he was like, do you have that ugly color on? And I was like, ‘Yeah.’ He’s like, ‘Don’t ever do that again.’ So I was like, ‘Okay, well, yeah, I definitely won’t do that again.’

“But now that made me realize that, you know, this is this is real. This is — you know — it’s very historic and we take that very serious around here.”


So while the programs might be entirely different in their cultures, their approaches, and their dominance over one another, one thing is for certain — they’re awfully similar in their disdain for one another.

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College Football Playoff Rankings now have Ohio State at No. 1

The newest release of the College Football Rankings have Ohio State back on top at No. 1.

We’ve got our fourth release of the College Football Playoff Rankings, and for the second time, Ohio State is the new No. 1.

After appearing in the top spot in the first set of rankings this year, LSU supplanted the Buckeyes after beating Alabama and stayed there until now. Apparently, this committee is putting a premium on resume over metrics and the eyeball test, and with Ohio State beating a top ten ranked Penn State team, it was enough to vault OSU back on top.

Ohio State is followed by LSU at No. 2, then Clemson, Georgia, and Alabama to round out the top five. Utah sits just outside the top five, ready to pounce at No. 6. Here’s the complete top ten.

1. Ohio State
2. LSU
3. Clemson
4. Georgia
5. Alabama
6. Utah
7. Oklahoma
8. Minnesota
9. Baylor
10. Penn State

Ohio Sate next takes on No. 13 Michigan and then will head to the Big Ten Championship Game to play either Wisconsin or Minnesota.