Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.
The New York Yankees (60-23) and Boston Red Sox (45-38) continue a 4-game AL East rivalry series at Fenway Park. Friday’s game is ticketed for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 3-1.
The Yankees took Thursday’s game 6-5. The Yanks are rounding out a road trip which opened with stops in Houston, Cleveland and Pittsburgh. New York owns an MLB-best .650 winning percentage away from home.
The Red Sox went a sparkling 28-9 from May 18-June 26, but are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. Over the 10 games, Boston’s power has been down a bit (.372 slugging percentage), but the Red Sox have also hit just .174 (16-of-92) with runners in scoring position over that stretch.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Connor Seabold
Cortes (7-3, 2.44 ERA) has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 85 IP in 15 starts.
- Has had a few stumbles of late and owns a 4.68 ERA in his last 5 starts.
- Went 6 innings in his last start Saturday at Cleveland, his most in a single game since June 2.
Seabold is a rookie right-hander tabbed for his 3rd start of the season. He has a 2.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 8 2/3 IP.
- Rocked in his first MLB start in 2022 (7 R, 9 H in 4 2/3 IP June 27 at Toronto), but rallied with a fair effort at Wrigley Field Sunday (4 IP, 6 H, 1 R vs. Cubs).
- Friday’s game will mark his Fenway debut.
- Has pitched 51 2/3 IP at Triple-A this season: 2.09 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, with 14 BB and 51K.
Yankees at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:53 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Red Sox +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
- Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Red Sox +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Red Sox 5
Seabold is stepping in for RHP Michael Wacha, who is out with arm trouble. But the key injuries may be Yankees OF Aaron Judge (lower body) and 1B Anthony Rizzo (back), who are both listed as questionable for Friday.
The Red Sox are a lean and an actionable play at +130 or better. MOVE ALONG otherwise.
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With some fade lean against Cortes and the Yankee bullpen and an acknowledgement that Seabold has some impressive, bat-missing stuff, BACK BOSTON +1.5 (-130).
The biggest lean in any quadrant (both clubs’ batting, pitching/defense) is a fade of the Yanks’ run prevention. On a warm night with a batter’s breeze at Fenway Park (Cortes is a fly-ball hurler and, by early indications, Seabold is too), BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-115).
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