Tag: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox odds predictions pick betting line spread

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The New York Yankees (73-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-72) are slated to tangle Thursday for a doubleheader to wrap up a 4-game set. First pitch for the nightcap from Fenway Park is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

(Records, trends and stats do not include the 1st game of Thursday’s doubleheader.)

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3

New York swept the BoSox in a low-scoring Tuesday twin bill, prevailing by scores of 3-2 and 4-1 in the day-night affair at Fenway Park. The Tuesday action stopped the bleeding of a 7-game losing skid vs. Boston.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 over their last 7 games and 4-11 across their last 15. The Crimson Hose are 1-8 with a 6.58 ERA over their last 9  home games.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. LHP Brandon Walter (unconfirmed)

Schmidt (9-8, 4.54 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3R, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.29 ERA in 63 IP across 13 starts
  • 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.87 ERA in 15 2/3 IP

Walter (0-0, 7.2 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st start. He has logged a 1.85 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 20 IP across 8 relief outings.

  • Recalled Walter from Triple-A Worcester on Wednesday. Has been shuttled between the Red Sox and Triple-A this season; owns a 4.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP in 89 IP at Triple-A.
  • Likely to serve as an opener for Boston with the Red Sox backing him up with available arms based on Thursday’s 1st game
  • Has allowed 11 R on 13 H and 3 BB in his last 5 1/3 IP with Boston (Sept. 1-8)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Red Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+142) | Red Sox +1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

Monday’s scheduled game was rained out. Then New York and Boston played a Tuesday twin bill. And then Wednesday’s contest got wiped out.

Heading into Thursday — even after the schedule hiccups — the Yanks have the momentum of the series and Boston is in the throes of a slump. There is plenty of daylight in Schmidt’s actual-vs.-expected results over the last 5 weeks or so. He has been especially undone by some unkind rates around the margins and a 5.00 ERA since Aug. 1 is not justified.

BACK THE YANKEES (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

This play adds some extra juice. PASS.

Over/Under

The Yankees have hit the Under in 25 of their last 44 road games (+6.35 units, 13% ROI).

Both clubs are beat up, well back in the AL East standings and figure to be in rest-some-stars mode. Look for a few extra plate appearances going to youngsters being tested at the Major League level.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The New York Yankees (73-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-72) are slated to tangle Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set. First pitch from Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3

New York swept the BoSox in a low-scoring Tuesday twin bill, prevailing by scores of 3-2 and 4-1 in the day-night affair at Fenway Park. The Tuesday action stopped the bleeding of a 7-game losing skid vs. Boston.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 over their last 7 games and 4-11 across their last 15. At home, the Crimson Hose are 1-8 with a 6.58 ERA over their last 9 games.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Schmidt (9-8, 4.54 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3R, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.29 ERA in 63 IP across 13 starts
  • 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.87 ERA in 15 2/3 IP

Houck (4-9, 5.28 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 87 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 11-2 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-4, 5.76 ERA in 45 1/3 IP across 9 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.27 ERA in 22 IP across 3 starts (2021-23)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

This match-up has some slight pull toward the Yankees on the overall team aspect of results vs. expected. Peg the pitching as mostly a wash.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yanks have the momentum of the series, and Boston is in the throes of a slump. There is plenty of daylight in Schmidt’s actual-vs.-expected results over the last 5 weeks or so. He has been especially undone by some unkind rates around the margins and a 5.00 ERA since Aug. 1 is not justified.

Schmidt may not give New York enough length on a day when some newcomers and/or lesser bullpen arms are called on for mid-leverage innings, but YANKEES +1.5 (-165) is still worthy of some action.

Over/Under

The Yankees have hit the Under in 25 of their last 44 road games (+6.35 units, 13% ROI).

High-yield Fenway is experiencing an early-fall cool-off in temperature, and it affected the offenses Tuesday. The pitching in Tuesday’s nightcap made for an Over lean, but Wednesday’s starting pitchers change that equation.

Schmidt’s road line is sullied by a .346 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and Houck’s home numbers have been hurt by a .318 BABIP. Both have decent histories against the lineups they face on Wednesday.

Both clubs are beat up and well back in the AL East standings. Figure on a few extra plate appearances going to youngsters being tested at the Major League level.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best price to leverage here: BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-106).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The New York Yankees (71-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-70) are slated to play twice Tuesday in a day-night doubleheader. First pitch in the 2nd game at Fenway Park is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 2 odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Tuesday’s doubleheader)

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-1

New York had been on a roll, going 8-1 from Aug. 28-Sept. 8, but the Yankees bats have gone quiet over the club’s last 4 games: they’ve posted a .447 OPS while going 1-3 since Thursday.

Boston is 1-4 over its last 5 games and 4-19 across its last 13. The Red Sox snapped a 6-game losing streak with a victory over the Baltimore Orioles Sunday.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Rodón (2-5, 6.60 ERA) makes his 11 start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-3 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
  • 2023 Road stats: 1-2, 6.63 ERA in 19 IP across 4 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Red Sox: 1-3, 6.30 ERA in 30 IP
  • Has yielded a 41.6% hard-hit rate and an 11.6% barrel rate

Crawford (6-7, 4.36 ERA) makes his 20th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 8-6 loss at Tampa Bay last Tuesday
  • 2023 Home stats: 0-4, 6.51 ERA in 47 IP across 13 games (9 starts)
  • Career starts vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.12 ERA in 17 IP across 3 starts (2022-23)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 5

Moneyline

This one calls for a very slight pull toward the Yankees on the overall team aspect of results vs. expected and a very slight pull toward the host Red Sox on the mound.

With plenty of gray area mixed in by the doubleheader situation, Tuesday’s nightcap at Fenway Park is a clear PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Same calculation as above but with more juice in the prices. A faster no.

PASS.

Over/Under

Red Sox games have cashed on the Over in 20 of the club’s last 23 games (+17.95 units, 71% ROI).

BoSox batters have been pummeling Yankee pitching over the last 2 series between these longtime rivals. Across 6 meetings from June 16-Aug. 20, the Sox have averaged 7.83 runs per contest. The Over went 4-2 in those 6 games, and with this game likely getting into the so-so middles of double-dip-extended bullpens, the Over is the moderate lean in this one.

Go in full-unit or more if you can get in on the OVER 9.5 (+100). Look for the price to go up, though.

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (39-31) and Boston Red Sox (35-35) meet for the finale of a 3-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1

Saturday’s Game 2 was postponed and is scheduled for 12:35 ET as the 1st game of a Father’s Day doubleheader.

Boston won 15-5 as -122 home favorites on Friday after the 1st 3 matchups this season were close games. New York scored in the top of the 1st inning, but the Red Sox scored 13 runs between the 1st and 4th innings to put the game out of reach quickly.

The Yankees have dropped back-to-back games and have lost 6 of their last 10. Boston has won 2 straight after going 1-2 in 3 straight extra-inning games.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Severino (0-1, 6.48 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 25 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 7-6 road win Tuesday vs. New York Mets
  • Career vs. Boston: 5-6 with a 3.97 ERA (77 IP, 34 ER), 67 H, 21 BB, 85 K across 15 appearances (13 starts)

Bello (3-4, 3.78 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 3-2 road win Sunday vs. New York Yankees
  • Career vs. New York: 0-2 with a 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 15 H, 13 K, 6.5 K/9 through 3 starts

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Red Sox -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-182) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

YANKEES (+115).

The Red Sox have looked good against New York this season but the Yankees are still 7-3 in the last 10 matchups overall and are a better road team than the Red Sox are a home team. The Yankees 18-14 on the road compared to Boston’s 19-18 home record.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I believe in the Yankees to cover this bet, but the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (+100).

For Boston the Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games overall, including stretch of 4-straight games hitting on the Under. For New York the Under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall, also including a stretch of 4-straight games hitting on the Under. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (35-35) welcome the New York Yankees (39-31) to Fenway Stadium Saturday. First pitch in the 2nd of the 3-game series is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 3-1.

The Yankees sit 3rd in the AL East, a division dominated by Tampa Bay. They are 18-14 on the road this season yet just 3-6 over their last 9. New York lost 15-5 to Boston Friday.

Boston, on the other hand, is 19-18 at home and sits last in the division despite a .500 record. It is 4-3 over its last 7 games.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Schmidt (2-6, 4.70 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 67 IP.

  • This is Schmidt’s first season with double-digit starts despite appearing in 29 games last season
  • He is coming off a 5 1/3-inning, 1-earned run performance against Boston June 11.
  • The Yankees are 4-10 with Schmidt on the mound

Bello (3-4, 3.78 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 52 1/3 IP.

  • Bello’s last start was against Schmidt June 11, pitching 7 innings and allowing just 2 earned runs in the Red Sox’s 3-2 extra-innings win
  • The Red Sox are 6-4 in his 10 starts but are just 1-3 in his last 4

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (+105).

The Yankees have been the 4th-best team in the MLB following a loss, posting a 19-11 record. They were destroyed by Boston Friday and have proven to bounce back well.

The Red Sox are also in the bottom half of the league in win percentage as a favorite, just 16-13 overall. They also haven’t fared well in Bello’s starts recently.

Considering both teams’ trends in this position, take YANKEES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There just isn’t much value to be had here.

The Yankees are too expensive to play at +1.5 (-185), and the Red Sox, just given the reasoning above, aren’t worth a play at -1.5 (+150) despite the alluring value. Ultimately, avoid the run line here.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-105).

The Red Sox have been profitable on the Over this season, posting a 39-30-1 O/U record this season. They are 2-1 O/U in their last 3 games. Boston is 13-13-1 O/U at home.

The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in 2 of their last 3 games and are 2-0-1 O/U in those as well.

The recent trends for both teams suggest the OVER 9 (-105).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (39-30) and Boston Red Sox (34-35) begin a 3-game series Friday in Beantown at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1

The Yankees head to Boston after splitting a 2-game series with their crosstown rival Mets. The Yankees have struggled to produce runs over their last 6-games scoring more than 3 runs just once over that stretch. .

Boston welcomes in their division rival for this 3-game set after dropping 2 of 3 home games to the Colorado Rockies. As a matter of fact, the Red Sox have lost 7 of their last 10 games at Fenway.  They are allowing nearly 5 runs per game over that stretch.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Gore (4-3, 3.49 ERA) will make his 13th start of 2023. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 67 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home victory vs. Red Sox Saturday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 3-2, 3.64 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 65 K in 13 appearances (11 starts)
  • 2023 away splits: 2-0, 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER), .204 OBA in 6 starts

Houck (3-6, 5.23 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 road loss at Yankees Saturday
  • Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 2-2, 2.41 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 31 K in 10 games (5 starts)
  • 2023 home splits: 2-2, 6.19 ERA (32 IP, 22 ER), .250 OBA in 6 starts

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (+100).

We had this pitching matchup June 10 in New York with the Yankees taking it 3-1. German shut down the Red Sox for 6 innings and I don’t see that changing even with this game being played in Boston. I like this wager but don’t bet the farm.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ALTERNATE LINE of YANKEES -1.5 (+155) for a HALF UNIT.

I’ve already mentioned that I like the Yankees to win this game. I like this bet because of the plus-money of +155.

New York has the better pitcher, while Boston’s Houck has struggled at Fenway, allowing at least 4 runs in each of his last 3 home starts.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-105) is the lean. German has not allowed more than 3 earned runs against the Red Sox in any of his last 5 starts against them. Houck has not allowed more than 3 earned runs against the Yankees in any of his last 5 starts against them.

In the last series between these rivals, all 3-games went Under this number. In fact, no game in that series had more than 5 total runs scored.

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (86-56) and Boston Red Sox (69-73) put a lid on a brief 2-game Fenway Park set Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 8-6

The Yankees went into this series off important weekend wins over the Tampa Bay Rays and then a Monday off day. OF Aaron Judge hit 2 home runs — his 56th and 57th of the season — in a wild 7-6 New York win in a 10-inning Tuesday series opener.

The Red Sox are 2-5 over their last 7 outings. Four of those 5 losses have been by 1-run margins. Boston has played in 46 1-run games (MLB average is 40). The Sox are 22-24 in such games.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Cortes (9-4, 2.73 ERA) has authored a 0.95 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 135 IP across 24 starts.

  • Has fanned just 10 batters over his last 17 IP
  • Rocked in 3 2/3 IP in a July 8 turn at Fenway: 4 runs allowed on 8 hits (including 2 HR)
  • Has been tagged with a 4.54 ERA over his last 7 road starts

Bello (1-5, 5.79 ERA) has appeared in 9 games and made 7 starts. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.55 ERA over his last 6 outings
  • Has been hurt by a .398 batting average on balls in play

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Money line

Figure the Under as being the best play in this match-up. Visiting New York is worth a look on the Money Line … but only at -125 or better.

PASS otherwise.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox get tangled in a lot of 1-run games. PASS.

Over/Under

The lean here is on the pitching. The Yankees have an off day Thursday, and they often rest big bats before off days to create 48-hour rest windows.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (+105).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (85-56) and Boston Red Sox (69-72) open a 2-game Fenway Park series Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 7-6

The Yankees head into this series off important weekend wins over the Tampa Bay Rays and then a Monday off day. New York hit 4 home runs Sunday and has hammered out 15 HR in going 6-2 since Sept. 4.

The Red Sox are back at Fenway after a 2-4 road trip. The Sox are 9-5 with an .812 OPS at home since Aug. 11. That includes Boston taking 2 of 3 from New York Aug. 12-14.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Cole (11-7, 3.20 ERA) has posted a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 171 1/3 IP in 28 starts.

  • Owns a 5.29 ERA in 3 starts vs. Boston this season
  • Has a 2.02 ERA, 0.93 WHIP in his last 6 starts and all 6 went 6 innings-plus

Pivetta (9-11, 4.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start of the season. He owns a 1.32 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 155 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 4.76 ERA, 1.47 WHIP at Fenway
  • Owns a 9.74 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Yankees (2021-22)

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Red Sox +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+102) | Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Money line

The Yanks have mashed against Pivetta. He’s a fly-ball pitcher: New York has above-average indicators against fly-ballers, and that is with a .259 batting average on balls in play.

New York is a lean up until -155, so PASS on this offering.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox get tangled in a lot of 1-run games. LAY OFF this RL action, unless the price on the Yankees -1.5 gets north of +105.

Over/Under

With a light breeze blowing out to left, the way Yankee power right-handers have hit lately, and with Cole coming off a high pitch count (118 pitches last game), there is value to be had on the high side of this figure.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-108).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (72-42) are in Fenway Park Sunday for the rubber match of their 3-game series with the Boston Red Sox (56-59). First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston won the series opener 3-2 in extra innings Friday before N.Y. rallied to win 3-2 Saturday.

Season series: New York leads 7-5, outscoring Boston by 27 runs (78-51)

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Michael Wacha 

Taillon is 11-2 with a 3.95 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 120 2/3 IP over 22 starts.

  • Last start: Won 9-4 Monday at the Seattle Mariners with 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 6 K
  • 2022 vs. the Red Sox: 1-0 with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 9 H, 4 HR, 1 BB and 8 K in 2 starts.

Wacha is 6-1 with a 2.69 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP across 13 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Boston’s 6-5 win at the Toronto Blue Jays June 28 with 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 2 K
  • Wacha has been sidelined since June 28 with inflammation in his throwing shoulder
  • 2021 vs. the Yankees: 1-0 with a 1.66 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.36 WHIP and 10.4 K/9 in 5 starts while pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays

Yankees at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+115) | Red Sox +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 3

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the YANKEES (-140) instead of betting to win 1 unit because N.Y.’s bullpen has been terrible lately and the Yankees are just 2-8 straight up in their last 10 games.

But, the Red Sox (+115) are just 3-7 SU in the last 10 and 7-14 SU as home underdogs. Also, the Yankees are 13-6 SU in their last 19 meetings with the Red Sox. New York has a 3-phase edge over Boston in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the YANKEES (-140) to earn a $71.43 profit instead of betting $140 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Yankees -1.5 (+115) are just 4-8 RL vs. the Red Sox +1.5 (-140) in 2022 and 20-30 RL as road favorites.

Over/Under

BET a HALF-UNIT on the UNDER 9.5 (-125) as a fade against a pro-Over betting market and the Yankees-Red Sox 8-4 O/U record this season.

For instance, more than 80% of the money is on the Over 9.5 (+100) according to Pregame.com, but the Under is suspiciously cheaper. Also, N.Y. is 0-3-1 O/U in the last 4 games.

I’d go light on the UNDER 9.5 (-125) because Fenway Park is a hitter-friendly venue that ranks 6th in park factor, Wacha is working back from injury and the Yankees are 12-10 O/U in Taillon’s 12 starts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (71-42) and Boston Red Sox (56-58) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 6-5

The usually heavily-favored Yankees have lost bettors a lot of money in the last month, beginning with back-to-back losses to the Red Sox July 9-10. New York has gone just 10-19 in its last 29 games after losing the series opener 3-2 in 10 innings Friday.

The Red Sox have scuffled their way to a similar 9-19 mark since taking those July games from New York. The Boston offense has logged a mere .664 OPS over that span.

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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Montas (4-9, 3.59 ERA) owns a 1.18 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 107 2/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Shelled for 6 ER across just 3 IP in his Yankees debut at the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday.
  • Current Red Sox batters own a small-sample .869 OPS against him.

Crawford (3-4, 4.30 ERA) has appeared in 17 games (8 as a starter). He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 58 2/3 IP.

  • Had posted a 2.38 ERA in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance between July 4-Aug. 2 but allowed 5 runs in 5 IP in his last start at the Kansas City Royals Sunday.
  • Allowed 1 ER through 5 IP vs. the Yankees July 9.

Yankees at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Red Sox +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Money line

New York’s recent performances have swung the club being overpriced most nights into value territory. The Yankees have outscored foes 154-134 in the last 29 games despite their losing record.

Montas’ first Yankees outing came on long rest after a trade from the Oakland Athletics and a few days on the bereavement list. Look for a bounce-back performance on normal rest against a struggling Boston club that’s not on its best side against righties.

BACK NEW YORK (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Consider a play on the favored Yanks if the tag hits +120 or better.

Over/Under

The starters and a cool, low-humidity evening in Boston say Under. Bullpen fatigue (and role question marks on the New York side) work against that.

PASS on a well-made number.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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