The New York Yankees (61-23) and Boston Red Sox (45-39) continue a 4-game AL East rivalry series at Fenway Park. Saturday’s game is scheduled for a first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 4-1.
The Yanks have found their groove on offense after losing it for a week or so. From June 28-July 5, New York registered a pedestrian .674 OPS. Over the last 3 nights, the Bronx Bombers have been just that. They’ve tallied 34 runs on the strength of a 1.167 OPS.
The Red Sox went a robust 28-9 from May 18-June 26 but are just 3-8 in their last 11 games. Boston totes a 4-game losing streak into Saturday’s Fenway affair under the lights.
Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Montgomery (3-2, 3.19 ERA) owns a 1.03 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP across 16 starts.
- Clocked a 2.16 ERA across 3 Fenway starts a year ago.
- Struggled in his last 2 starts in June but allowed just 1 run in 5 IP in his last start (July 3 at Cleveland).
Crawford (2-2, 5.04 ERA) has made 2 starts and 9 relief appearances. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 25 IP.
- Pitched a combined 2 IP in relief against New York April 8 and April 10: allowed 1 unearned run on 5 hits.
- Went 5 1/3 scoreless relief innings vs. Tampa Bay Monday: struck out 8 against 1 BB and allowed just 2 hits.
Yankees at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (-103) | Red Sox +1.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
Money line
The Yankees are 22-8 over its last 30 games. Boston is 14-6 against LHP, but the Yankees are too deep to fade. NYY has the ‘pen to win close ones as evidenced by the 18-7 record in 1-run games. It’s risky, but we could see taking RED SOX FIRST 5 INNINGS (+155) with their success against lefties. There just isn’t enough confidence in them winning it to take the ML.
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Run line/Against the spread
Boston was dialed in Friday against LHP Nestor Cortes, and Montgomery may not be well served by being a second lefty hurler to face the Sox in as many days.
BACK BOSTON +1.5 (-117).
Over/Under
This series has a systemic lean on the Over — which is 2-0 the last 2 nights — but the tag here leaves much to be desired, and a cooler, breeze-in night at Fenway with key bullpen arms available mixes in too much Under risk.
STEER CLEAR.
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