Analyzing the betting odds to be named the NFL’s 2020 MVP, with a look at whether Carson Wentz is worthy of a bet this season.
Do you think Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP? Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening and whether or not Wentz is worth an MVP bet.
Wentz should already have one MVP award under his belt. His 2017 performance was nothing short of spectacular but was ended prematurely due to a fluke injury on a scramble against the Los Angeles Rams in the third quarter of Week 14. Wentz stayed in the game and threw a go-ahead touchdown pass on fourth down, but he was taken out of the game and missed the rest of the season due to a torn ACL. Nick Foles stepped in brilliantly and you know the rest of the story for the 2017 Eagles.
But let us not forget Wentz’s dominant 2017 campaign. At the time of the injury, the Eagles were the best team in football with an 11-2 record with the highest-scoring offense and Wentz’s 33 passing TDs were more than eventual MVP Tom Brady. Unfortunately, the Eagles haven’t been as good with Wentz under center due to (in my opinion) poor injury luck for him and his teammates.
Carson Wentz’s 2020 NFL MVP odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, April 2 at 4 p.m. ET.
Wentz is going off at +2000 to win the 2020 NFL MVP at BetMGM.
He’s tied as the sixth favorite to win the award with Brady, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott. As far as raw talent is considered, Wentz is certainly in the conversation with those names and, while it’s fair to rank him a tier below Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson (both +500) and MVP-favorite Patrick Mahomes (+325), it also isn’t unthinkable Wentz could play himself into MVP conversations next season.
The other two contenders with better odds than Wentz are old-timer MVP-hype mainstays Drew Brees (+1400) and Aaron Rodgers (+1600). The explanation behind Wentz’s price to win MVP is partially due to the fact the Eagles haven’t acquired much offensive talent this offseason.
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Carson Wentz’s stats
I’ll give you Wentz’s 2019 stats but let me bring in a caveat right after. Last season, Wentz threw for 4,039 yards with 27 passing TDs and seven interceptions on a 63.9% completion rate and a 93.1 QB Rating.
Aside from maybe Wilson and Brady, Wentz had the weakest supporting cast of all the quarterbacks priced around or above him. Wentz was the first quarterback to have a 4,000-yard season without having a single wide receiver record at least 500 receiving yards (TEs Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert finished with 916 and 607 yards, respectively).
Is Carson Wentz worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?
The path to an MVP season for Wentz is certainly 11 or more wins and another NFC East crown, which Philadelphia has won twice in Wentz’s first four seasons. Unless the Eagles hit a home run in the NFL draft with a wide receiver, Wentz will need standout seasons from Ertz and Goedert and might resort to some hero ball.
Philadelphia believed Wentz can compensate for a less talented offense when he was given a four-year contract extension worth $128 million. The +2000 odds represent a fair price but if you have a vast NFL futures portfolio then SPRINKLE a little cash on CARSON WENTZ TO WIN THE MVP.
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