Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (53-53) continue a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-57) Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Through 21 starts this season, the veteran hurler is 8-6 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 across 139 2/3 IP.

  • Has been ultra-consistent while giving the Phillies 7-plus innings in nine of his last 13 starts (2.20 ERA over that stretch).
  • Has logged a career-best 12.7% swinging-strike rate and has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.2-to-1.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 6-9 with a 5.78 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 109 IP over 20 starts.

  • Going through a rough stretch of late and owns a 7.18 over his last 26 1/3 IP (five starts).
  • Facing the Phillies for a second straight start; allowed 4 ER on 8 hits (including 3 homers) over 5 IP Thursday. Philadelphia batters own an aggregate .771 career OPS against him.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Nationals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

Philadelphia — which won Monday’s series opener 7-5 —  is tough on left-handed pitching with .7561 OPS. Washington — owner of an overall .830 OPS since July 6 — has logged a league-leading .807 OPS against southpaws but a mere .729 mark against righties.

Wheeler has been a tremendous second-half pitcher over his career with a 2.94 ERA after the All-Star break. In his two years with the Phillies, he’s become a big-time ground-ball pitcher, and that cuts into a weakness for Washington (.667 OPS vs. ground-ball pitchers).

With Wheeler being dialed in and Corbin being an iffy proposition, the PHILLIES (-180) are a solid play in Tuesday’s contest in D.C.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS: both these clubs get mired in a lot of one-run games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home and the Nats own MLB’s top second-half OPS with an .850 figure.

The Phils own an .830 OPS over their last 12 contests on the road. With both bullpens leaning toward the fatigue end on the energy-meter, Monday’s game was ripe for an Over. So is Tuesday’s.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-102).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (52-53) start a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-56) Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ranger Suarez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Suarez is 5-3 with a 1.12 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 40 1/3 IP. All 27 of his appearances have come in relief.

  • Is expected to be a starter for the balance of the season after the team’s acquisition of RHP Ian Kennedy to serve as closer. Has logged six appearances of more than 2 innings but none since July 11.
  • His ERA is buoyed by a .188 batting average on balls in play and an 85.8% left-on-base rate.

RHP Josiah Gray is the projected starter for the Nationals. Gray is a rookie who came over from the Dodgers in the RHP Max Scherzer trade. He made his first Major League start on July 25.

  • Gray has coughed up 4 home runs and 6 ER in 8 IP through one start and one relief appearance. He walked 5 and struck out 13 across the two games.
  • Is a converted shortstop who has only been pitching full-time for a few years. Called up last month after clocking just 198 Minor League innings from 2018-21.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Nationals 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

Washington is tough on left-handed pitching, recording a league-leading .811 OPS, and righties swing the Phillies around to the lesser side of their platoon splits with a .704 OPS.

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers peg Philly as being rather lucky in their run-scoring so far; the numbers for the Nationals swing the other way.

Philadelphia is just 5-8 since July 20 and is 1-4 in road games over that stretch. The Nats are 4-2 with an .862 OPS over their last six games.

BACK THE NATIONALS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the added juice in the run line prop.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home and is on a nice roll with the bats. Neither bullpen should scare off an Over bettor, and both could have used a day off and figure to be tired heading into this series.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-135).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (50-55) and Washington Nationals (48-55) continue their three-game set at Nationals Park Saturday with the second game’s first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington beat Chicago in the series opener Friday, 4-3, as Nationals starting RHP Paolo Espino allowed just 1 earned run over 5 1/3 innings of work and Washington’s bullpen held off the Cubs late-inning rally.

Season series: Cubs lead 3-2.

RHP Kyle Hendricks is Chicago’s projected starter. Hendricks is 12-4 with a 3.85 ERA (121 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 6-5 victory over the Cincinnati Reds Monday.
  • 2021 road splits: 6-1 with a 3.34 ERA (62 IP, 23 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 4.4 K/BB over 10 starts.

RHP Joe Ross makes his 18th start for the Nationals. Ross is 5-8 with a 3.80 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Washington’s 6-5 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies Monday.
  • Ross took a loss at the Cubs May 20 with a stat line of 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Washington’s 5-2 defeat.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-4 with a 4.99 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.21 WHIP and 5.5 K/BB in seven starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+165) | Nationals +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Cubs 7, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

Ehh, ya know? Saturday’s Cubs-Nationals game is akin to an NBA Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Detroit Pistons game in the middle of April. Both teams offloaded a ton of talent at the trade deadline and are in rebuild mode.

That being said, Hendricks is the differentiator in this matchup and provides value for the CUBS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS. Despite it being a lost year in Chicago, Hendricks is still a “top of the rotation” guy who figures to be part of the Cubs’ future.

Also, Ross has been awful at home and he has a .798 opponent’s OPS in Washington compared to a .624 opponent’s OPS on the road.

However, I’m sticking with the CUBS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS because Chicago traded away its three best bullpen arms at the trade deadline and the Cubs relievers have the fifth-worst FIP following the All-Star Break.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the CUBS -1.5 (+165) for a tiny wager because it’s a chunky payout, Hendricks is that much better than Ross and Washington’s bullpen is even worse than Chicago’s thus far in the second half.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 8 (-105) for 1 unit because there’s been a “sharp line move” towards the Over as the total opened at 7.5 before it was steamed up to the current number.

As alluded to before, Washington’s bullpen has the highest FIP and home run per nine-inning rate following the All-Star Break with the lowest left-on-base percentage.

The Nationals also parted ways with two of their best bullpen arms at the trade deadline in former closer Brad Hand and reliever Daniel Hudson.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (50-54) and Washington Nationals (47-55) wrap up their season series this weekend with a three-game set at Nationals Park. Friday’s first pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Williams is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-2 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 over 58 2/3 IP spanning 12 starts and one relief appearance.

Williams has made three starts in Juny with a 4.20 ERA – his best rate of any month this season. In his last start, he pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings and struck out 6 batters to earn his fourth win of the season. May 20, he pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Nationals, allowing 2 runs on two solo home runs.

The Nationals hadn’t named a starting pitcher by the time of publishing, so they can be expected to roll out several relief pitchers. The Washington bullpen is 22nd in MLB this season with a 4.65 aggregate ERA.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Cubs at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cubs -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cubs -1.5 (+140) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

Neither team has played well in the last week-plus, both going 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Nationals at least showed some hope against the Philadelphia Phillies; they split a four-game series by winning two of the last three contests

I like the NATIONALS (-110) at home Friday. They are 27-25 this season at Nationals Park and the Cubs have been terrible on the road, going 19-33 away from Wrigley.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Washington covered the spread in six of its last 10 games, including two of the last three against Philadelphia. Although the Nationals have been sellers ahead of the MLB trade deadline by dealing SS Trea Turner, RHP Max Scherzer and OF Kyle Schwarber, the Cubs are in the same boat.

With the Nationals being at home and facing a pitcher who has struggled this month, I like Washington. Bet the NATIONALS +1.5 (-165) to cover the spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

These teams combined for 7 total runs in each of their last two meetings, so they haven’t been high-scoring affairs. The Cubs dealt away 3B Kris Bryant and SS Javier Baez Friday, after trading 1B Anthony Rizzo. The Nats still have OF Juan Soto, but neither team is hitting the ball particularly well.

Bet the UNDER 9 (-105) Friday.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (46-54) continue their four-game series with the NL East rival Philadelphia Phillies (50-50) Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington evened the series with a 6-4 win Tuesday after Philadelphia won Monday’s series opener 6-5.

Season series: Tied 5-5.

LHP Patrick Corbin is Washington’s projected starter. He is 6-9 with a 5.71 ERA (104 IP, 66 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K at the Baltimore Orioles Friday.
  • Corbin beat Philly May 13 with a stat line of 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Washington’s 5-1 home win.
    • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 2.93 FIP with a .250 batting average (BA), .301 wOBA, .316 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 23.4 K% and 86.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 197 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Zack Wheeler makes his 21st start for the Phillies. He is 8-5 with a 2.37 ERA (132 2/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K against the Atlanta Braves Friday.
  • Wheeler is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 19 H, 4 BB and 19 K in three starts against Washington this season.
    • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 3.93 FIP with a .290 BA, .338 wOBA, .414 xSLG,  21.2 K% and 86.3 mph EV across 212 PA.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Phillies -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

I’m going to “fade the market” and slightly “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+180) for a tiny wager since I like Washington’s run line so much so that I’ll sprinkle on the underdog’s money line.

According to Pregame.com, close to 90% of the cash is on the Phillies, which has steamed them up from the opening line of -175.

According to FanGraphs, Corbin’s highest game score of the season was his May 13 start against the Phillies where he had his best FIP (0.58), as well as his best swinging-strike percentage (17.6%) and hard-contact rate (17.6%).

Furthermore, most of Corbin’s pitching peripherals against active Phillies batters are better than Wheeler’s vs. current Nationals hitters and both have a large sample size in their head-to-head splits.

While Philly’s lineup is top-10 against left-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA, the Phillies are 24th in hard-contact rate vs. lefties but benefit the best BABIP in the majors (.324) in the split.

Finally, if Wheeler can’t go deep in Wednesday’s game then Washington will have its cracks at a Philly bullpen 19th in xFIP, 21st in SIERA, 26th in K-BB% and 25th in HR/9 in the second half.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the NATIONALS +1.5 (-115) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line based on all of the previous analysis and because of the value in the run-and-a-half worth of insurance.

Also, Philly is just 10-22 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-1.6 run line margin and three of the last six head-to-head meetings were decided by a single run.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8 (-110) for 1 unit because Washington has played to the highest rate of Unders in division games (12-24-2 O/U against NL East opponents) and Philly isn’t far behind with a 23-28-1 O/U record in divisional games.

In addition, the Under cashed in five of Wheeler’s last six starts against NL East competition and in five of his last six home starts. The Nationals went Under the total in five of Corbin’s last six starts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (45-54) and Philadelphia Phillies (50-49) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 4-7 with a 4.88 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 over 72 innings across 15 starts.

Fedde was tremendous last time out against the Miami Marlins allowing one unearned run, four hits and a walk with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision Wednesday.

LHP Matt Moore is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 over 42 IP spanning 8 starts and 6 relief appearances.

Moore was torched for six earned runs, six hits and three walks across six innings in a loss against the Atlanta Braves last Thursday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 6, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

The PHILLIES (-125) are worth a small-unit play in this home game against the Nationals (+105), but it will be a nail-biter with plenty of lead changes and ugly pitching.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NATIONALS +1.5 (-185) is a little on the expensive side, but it’s difficult to back the Phillies -1.5 (+150) with the erratic Moore on the hill for the home side. If you want a little insurance on the visitors, and don’t care for them straight up, play them on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (-110) is the best play on the board here. Fedde and Moore have each been very giving, and you can expect the ball to be flying out of the yard. Plus, the wind will aid shots to the right-center field power alley with breezes at 6-9 mph.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (45-53) and Philadelphia Phillies (49-49) begin a four-game series Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Washington enters on a four-game slide after getting swept in three at the Baltimore Orioles. Philly owns a one-game win streak following a four-game split at home against the Atlanta Braves.

Nationals RHP Joe Ross is expected to be activated off the injured list for Monday’s start. Ross, who landed on the IL July 8 with right elbow inflammation, is 5-8 with a 4.02 ERA (87 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 5-1 home defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers July 4
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 2.65 ERA (34 IP, 10 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances

RHP Spencer Howard is slated to start for the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.11 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 6.2 BB/9 in 10 games, including 6 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-5 loss at New York Yankees Wednesday
  • As starter in 2021: 0-2, 3.86 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 6 outings
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 2 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

Back the PHILLIES (-115) to WIN 1 UNIT.

Philadelphia is decent at home this season at 29-19, while the Nationals are 18-28 on the road.

This will be the second time Howard and Ross face off this season. In the first meeting, the Phillies won at home 5-2 June 5.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID. Neither club is worthy of a run line bet.

Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last six games and is 23-24 ATS at home.

Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 and is 20-26 ATS on the road.

If you’re looking for a trend, the Phillies are 6-2 ATS in the eight head-to-head meetings.

ATS records: Nationals 43-55 | Phillies 48-49

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Nationals own the majors’ best Under record at 59-35-4 with a 25-18-3 Under mark on the road.

The Phillies have cashed more Over tickets, going 51-46-1 O/U overall but just 24-23-1 at home.

The Under is 6-2 in the eight head-to-head meetings, including the 5-2 final when Ross and Howard faced off. Neither pitcher allowed an earned run in that contest.

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 7-2 2-1 +5.325
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (40-54) and Washington Nationals (44-49) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 7-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with a 10.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 101 1/3 IP across 18 starts.

Rogers was given an extra day to rest after the All-Star break as the Marlins look to limit his total innings pitched this season. He last appeared July 10 against Atlanta allowing three runs (two earned), four hits and two walks with four strikeouts across four innings in a no-decision.

RHP Paolo Espino is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 across 46 IP spanning 5 starts and 16 relief appearances.

Espino appeared in relief Friday allowing three earned runs, four hits and a walk with two strikeouts across 2 1/3 innings. His only appearances against the Marlins, also in relief, came June 25 in Miami. He allowed two runs (one earned) and three hits with a walk in two innings of work.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Marlins at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins -130 (bet $130 to won $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Marlins 5

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (+105) got it done in Monday’s series opener blasting the Marlins (-130) by an 18-1 score. Washington is a tremendous value at home at plus-money, and Miami is banged up. The Marlins placed 1B Garrett Cooper (elbow) and SS Jazz Chisholm Jr. (shoulder) on the 10-day injured list Monday, and OF Starling Marte (shoulder) is also day-to-day.

Miami has now dropped 40 of its past 53 games in Washington, and they’re just 18-46 in the previous 64 meetings overall. Look for the Nats to continue their mastery of the Fish.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-150) are a decent play on their home field if you don’t trust Espino in the matchup against the southpaw Rogers. Washington has struggled against lefties going just 1-6 in the past seven vs. LHP. However, as mentioned, Miami is rather banged up, so buck this ugly trend.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-115) is the play. The Nats doubled up the Over on their own in Monday’s game. The Over has hit in six of the past seven for Miami, while Washington has cashed the Over in each of the past four outings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (40-53) and Washington Nationals (43-49) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ross Detwiler is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 1-0 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with a 10.7 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 over 34 1/3 IP across four starts and 28 relief appearances.

Detwiler will face his former organization as the opener in a bullpen game for Miami. He opened in a doubleheader game against the Philadelphia Phillies Friday and pitched a scoreless inning. Detwiler worked two perfect innings of relief across two appearances against Washington June 24 and 27.

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 2-4 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 across 63 1/3 IP spanning 14 starts.

Lester made his last start July 10 and allowed 8 runs (3 earned) with 9 hits and 2 walks in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at the San Francisco Giants. He allowed 5 or more runs in each of his last four outings, although just 5 earned runs over his last two starts. Lester has been plagued by some poor defense behind him lately.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +105 (bet $100 to won $105) | Nationals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Nationals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 7, Marlins 5

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (-125) are a strong play, as the Marlins are a little banged up at the moment. SS Jazz Chisholm left Sunday’s game in Philadelphia due to a bruised shoulder, and 1B Garrett Cooper was also forced out and he is in doubt for Monday. Miami will also be using an opener, and then turning it over to the bullpen, which isn’t advantageous.

In addition, Miami is just 13-39 in its last 52 trips to D.C., and 18-45 in the last 63 battles against the Nationals overall.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+155) are worth a roll of the dice at this price, even though they’ve been struggling to cobble together wins lately.

Three of their last four victories and six of their last eight were by 2 or more runs. That includes a pair of victories in Miami June 24 and 27.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-110) is worth a look here. The Over hit in five of the last six games for the Marlins, while going 3-for-3 in the past three outings for the Nationals.

Washington allowed 117 runs across its last 15 games and it yielded 5 or more runs in 14 of the previous 15.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (54-40) and Washington Nationals (42-48) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Nationals Park. First pitch is tentatively scheduled for 3:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Saturday’s game between these two clubs was suspended in the bottom of the 6th inning with the Padres leading, 8-4, following a shooting outside Nationals Park. Action is set to resume at 1:05 p.m. ET and the series finale should commence 25-45 minutes after the completion of the suspended game.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 5-7 with a 2.93 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 98 1/3 IP across 17 starts and one relief appearance.

Musgrove is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA through two winless July starts. One of those outings came July 5 against the Nationals where he allowed 5 runs, 7 hits and a walk with 4 strikeouts over 5 innings in a no-decision.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 across 98 IP in 17 starts.

The All-Star was tuned up in San Diego in his most recent start July 8, yielding 7 runs on 5 hits and a walk with 7 strikeouts across 3 2/3 innings in a no-decision. His ERA ballooned from to 2.66 from 2.10 as a result.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

The Nationals are home against the Padres in the series finale, and Scherzer is looking for a little revenge after being treated rudely by these Padres in San Diego. However, San Diego is a good club and should keep things interesting.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead for a safer play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-180) are looking for some momentum heading into the second half. They didn’t get off to a very hot start, as they looked like the Washington Football Team Friday, coughing up a 24-spot.

However, with Scherzer on the hill, they’ll get the win in the series finale and build toward the upcoming week. While the odds are steep on the run line it gives you some insurance in the event they lose a close one. You could even get aggressive and look to the Alternate Run Line Nationals -1.5 (+180).

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-110) is a solid play, as the Padres won’t smack around the All-Star Scherzer in consecutive outings, and Musgrove hasn’t been terribly giving this season either despite a hiccup in recent starts. Look for a well-pitched, lower-scoring game Sunday afternoon.

I also like to play Unders when a west coast team plays at what is essentially a 10 a.m. start for their internal clocks, which the Friars will have to do while finishing up yesterday’s action before even starting today’s.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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