Tag: Washington Nationals betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (20-25) visit the nation’s capital Tuesday to start a three-game set with the Washington Nationals (20-23) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati, which is 3-8 in its last 11 games, lost back-to-back games to the Milwaukee Brewers to drop its previous series 2-1 after being swept in a four-game series by the San Francisco Giants.

Washington swept the Baltimore Orioles in a three-game series this past weekend and has won seven of the past 11 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Tyler Mahle is on the hill for the Reds. Mahle is 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA (45 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 19-4, in 2 IP with 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K vs. the Giants Thursday.
  • Career vs. the Nationals: 1-1 with a 12.15 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 2.10 WHIP and 12.2 K/9 over two starts.
    • Vs. Nationals on the current roster: 61 at-bats with a .295/.413/.525 slash line, 15/11 K/BB, 4 HR and 14 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Nationals. Scherzer is 4-2 with a 2.24 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, in 5 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 8 K Wednesday at the Chicago Cubs.
  • Career vs. the Reds: 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.90 WHIP and 13.7 K/9 over seven starts.
    • Vs. Reds on the current roster: 101 at-bats with a .158/.234/.287 slash line, 45/9 K/BB, 3 HR and 9 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Reds at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-145) | Nationals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 8, Reds 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Nationals (-175) since I’d entertain throwing Washington’s money line into a parlay with another similarly priced favorite for a plus-money payout.

However, outright I’m going to stay away because of how inconsistent Washington’s lineup has been thus far and 2021 baseball being a three-outcome sport (walk, strikeout or home run).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the NATIONALS -1.5 (+120) for 1 unit because of their overwhelming starting pitching edge and their lineup should be able to add to any lead against Cincinnati’s weak bullpen.

Scherzer’s basic pitching numbers against this Cincinnati lineup are awesome and his advanced pitching numbers are even more impressive.

Statcast tracked 45 plate appearances by Reds on the current roster vs. Scherzer and he has an absurd 51.1% strikeout rate with a 1.58 FIP and .223 wOBA.

Mahle’s advanced pitching numbers vs. this Washington roster is even more worrisome than his basic stats.

Mahle has a 6.68 FIP with a .385 wOBA and just a 20.8% strikeout rate against the Nationals (72 plate appearances).

Furthermore, Cincinnati relievers are 23rd in both WAR and SIERA, 22nd in home runs allowed per nine innings and 28th in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a “lean” to the Under 7.5 (-105) despite what my predicted score is because Scherzer is on the mound and Washington has the highest Under percentage. However, Cincinnati has the highest Over percentage.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (17-22) and Chicago Cubs (21-21) meet for a Thursday matinee (2:20 p.m. ET) to close out a four-game series at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals.  Ross is 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 8.3 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 in 35 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

The Nats right-hander is looking to bounce back from a shaky four-frame outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday (8 runs allowed on 8 hits and 3 walks).

RHP Trevor Williams is the projected starter for the Cubs. He is 2-2 with a 6.27 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, and 4.9 BB/9 in 33 IP over 8 starts.

Like Ross, Williams is also looking to rebound from an iffy start in his last. He was pulled after 2 IP in Detroit on Saturday. He has allowed 11 runs in his last 8 2/3 IP. Albeit in a small dose, current Washington bats own a .996 OPS against Williams.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) |  Cubs -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 10 ( O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Cubs 4

Money line (ML)

The Cubs took the first two games of the series by scores of 7-3 and 6-3. Washington battled back with a 4-3 win on Wednesday.

The Nats offense has performed well on the road with a high-contact .729 OPS and overall has Statcast figures that tell the story of a team hitting the ball better than the production shows in the scoring column. The Cubs’ Statcast numbers swing the other way.

Add in a strength-of-schedule component that calls for a Chicago fade.  BACK WASHINGTON (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on a juice-drowned run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has gotten some attention early with lesser starters on the bump and with a 12-mile-an-hour breeze out to left in the weather forecast.

But a bit more respect for the starters than what shows in surface stats, Chicago’s quality bullpen (and one that generates a lot of ground balls), and the state of Major League Baseball in 2021 make for some contrarian bent here.

TAKE the UNDER 10 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-17) vs. Washington Nationals (13-19) match up Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 0.6 BB/9 in 45 1/3 IP over seven starts. Eflin has gone at least 6 IP in every start this season and has walked a total of just three batters. In his last three starts, he has recorded an outstanding 23/1 K/BB in 19 1/3 IP.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 29 1/3 IP over six starts. Corbin has had just one good start all year, which he tossed six shutout innings against St. Louis. In the two starts before that, he allowed 15 ER in 6 1/3 IP, and in three starts since has served up six homers with a 9/7 K/BB in 17 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -110 (bet $100 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 7, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

Of all pitchers who have thrown 20 or more innings this season, Corbin is among the three worst in both ERA and FIP, at 7.36 and 7.81, respectively. While the Phillies have whiffed at the 3rd highest rate vs lefties, they are middle of the pack in terms of production (17th in wRC+, 15th in OPS).

Meanwhile, the Nationals do have OF Juan Soto back now, but he may not be enough to completely resurrect an offense that is 27th in wRC+ vs RHP as well as in runs per game. Lock in the PHILLIES -110.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Corbin has been a mess this season, as he leads the league in earned runs allowed, and his Statcast page is all blue. The Philadelphia offense is averaging 6.2 runs per game in their last five contests and should keep rolling against the struggling left-hander. The PHILLIES -1.5 (+150) are a solid value.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has hit in four of Corbin’s six starts to this point, and there is little reason to believe he’s about to turn things around, given his poor skills. On the other side, Eflin is likely to deliver a pretty strong outing, but the Washington offense should still push across a few runs. Siding with OVER 8 (-115) is the smart play here.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (19-17) and Washington Nationals (13-18) continue a three-game NL East series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 47 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

This season Wheeler has upped his strikeouts while generating manageable contact. He has a would-be career-best 12.8% swinging-strike rate. Current Washington bats own a .667 OPS against him, and the Nationals are pegged to their lesser platoon numbers when facing right-handed pitching (.669 OPS).

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter for the Nationals. In 2 starts, Lester is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 in 10 IP.

Current Philadelphia batters have pounded Lester in past meetings (.899 OPS).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+110) |  Nationals +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Figure the Nats as being a value in general right now but perhaps not with Lester on the mound Wednesday.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Over is likely the best play in this contest. Heading into this series, Washington had a .748 OPS over the last two weeks; Philly had a .635 mark. Wheeler is coming off a season-high 118 pitches in his last.

Consider a partial-unit play on the NATIONALS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Much more is expected from both these offenses. Both have had a tough slate of opposing pitchers so far.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (18-17) and Washington Nationals (13-17) open a three-game NL East series Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.3 K/9, and 4.9 BB/9 in 26 IP over 6 starts.

Anderson has been battling control problems; he’s walked 9 batters over his last 14 IP. Current Washington bats own a high-contact .958 OPS against him.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 2-3 with a 5.27 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 in 27 1/3 IP over 6 starts. Fedde coughed up 5 runs in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cubs at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 11:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) |  Phillies +1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Washington comes into this series after losing 2-of-3 to the New York Yankees over the weekend, and the Nats have lost four of their last six.

Philadelphia is on the second leg of a three-city road trip. The Phillies dropped 2-of-3 at Atlanta to start the trip, and they’re just 5-11 (with a minus-22 run differential) on the road. The Phillies won last year’s season series against the Nats, 7-3.

Fedde was serviceable in the three outings preceding his last. These are two offenses headed in different ways of late (last two weeks: Nationals .748 OPS, Phillies .635 OPS).

BACK THE NATIONALS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on a run line loaded down with a lot of juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

Cool night in D.C. Wind in from left-center. A scuffling Philadelphia offense and two rested bullpens.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-120).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (13-16) finish their series against the New York Yankees (17-16) Sunday in Yankee Stadium at 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York evened the series with Washington yesterday with a 4-3 extra-innings victory.

The Yankees, and New York SS Gleyber Torres specifically, spoiled an 8-inning, 1-run, 14-strikeout gem by Max Scherzer after Torres tied the game in the bottom of the 9th with an RBI single and hit a walk-off RBI single in the 11th.

Season series: 1-1.

RHP Joe Ross is on the rubber for the Nationals. Ross is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 across 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-1, in 5 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K vs. the Atlanta Braves Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Yankees: No appearances.
  • Career in interleague play: 3-2 with a 4.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.21 WHIP and 10.1 K/9 over 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.

RHP Domingo Germán is the projected starter for the Yankees. Germán is 2-2 with a 4.68 ERA (25 IP, 12 ER), 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K in New York’s 7-3 victory over the Houston Astros Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Nationals: No appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Yankees 7, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the YANKEES (-165) for a half unit because their bullpen is more reliable and their lineup is more productive against righties.

For instance, New York’s lineup is middle of the league in several advanced hitting categories while Washington’s lineup is a bottom-10 crew in wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

Also, the Yankees relievers have the lowest xFIP, SIERA and WHIP in the Majors while the Nationals’ bullpen has the third-highest xFIP and the fifth-highest SIERA.

Lastly, I like the work FanGraphs does, which is a baseball advanced analytics website, and that site gives New York a 63.7% chance of winning this game but the implied probability of the YANKEES (-165) is 62.3%. I.e. there’s still value in New York’s money line based on advanced analytics.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the YANKEES -1.5 (+115) for a quarter unit because New York has the best run line record as a home favorite since the beginning of last season (27-19) and Washington’s pitching staff has been more lucky than good this year.

For example, the Nationals’ arms are 15th in ERA but have by far the lowest BAbip in MLB, which is a luck-based metric, and Washington pitchers have the sixth-worst xFIP and the second-worst WAR.

Over/Under (O/U)

Each lineup could plate some runs vs. the starters and weather forecasts predict nearly 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center which help all the explosive right-handed hitters.

Statcast grades Ross in the 46th percentile of hard-hit rate, 14th percentile of expected wOBA and 23rd percentile in K%. Germán doesn’t grade out much better in advanced pitching metrics.

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a quarter unit.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (13-16) play the Washington Nationals (12-13) Wednesday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta beat Washington 6-1 Tuesday thanks to an outstanding game by RHP Huascar Ynoa both on the mound and in the batter’s box.

Ynoa pitched 7 scoreless innings and hit a 6th inning grand slam to put the game out of reach.

Season series: Braves lead 3-1.

LHP Max Fried makes his fourth start for the Braves. He is 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA (11 IP, 14 ER), 2.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 3 K in Atlanta’s 14-8 loss to the Miami Marlins April 13. Fried exited the loss with a right hamstring strain and this is his first start since.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA (25 IP, 18 ER), 1.72 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .388/.456/.571 slash line and 2 HR.
    • Career at Washington’s ballpark: 0-1 with a 14.21 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 3.16 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-2 with a 14.06 ERA (16 IP, 25 ER), 3.00 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .378/.517/.622 slash line and 2 HR.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 9, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BRAVES (-135) for 1 unit because even though both projected starters haven’t looked good against their opponent, Fried has much better stuff than Fedde and Atlanta’s lineup is far more productive than Washington’s.

Fedde’s numbers against this Braves lineup are shockingly bad and Washington’s bullpen is a bottom-3 unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my projected score because the payout of Braves -1.5 (+120) isn’t big enough.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) alternate line for a half unit mostly based on the numbers of the starting pitchers against their respective opponent. Washington’s lineup is also top-3 in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS against left-handed pitching.

Also, the Braves and Nationals are 10-3-1 O/U in their last 14 meetings and the Over cashed in five of their past seven games in Washington.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-9) and Washington Nationals (6-9) wrap up a three-game series at Nationals Park with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Martinez is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 35 IP over 8 starts spanning the last two seasons. He allowed at least 3 ER in each of his three starts this season. He owns a Boeing ERA of 7.80 in 2021.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020-21, Scherzer is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 86 1/3 IP in 15 combined starts. He has allowed just 1 ER in his last 13 innings of work. Current Cardinal bats own a whiff-laden .482 OPS against Scherzer.

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Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Nationals -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) |  Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Cards took the opener of this series 12-5 and the Nats responded with a 3-2 win Tuesday.

With some tilt toward some value in the St. Louis offense and just a tad in the fade-Scherzer column (or at least fade at this kind of price), there is a razor-thin lean toward the CARDINALS (+140). A tag of +150 or higher would make for some profit margin.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. A profitable Cardinals’ side is more likable on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

The Redbirds’ .709 OPS is undercut by low batting-average-on-balls-in-play numbers in runners-in-scoring-position and lead-off situations.

With some fade action in Scherzer’s early-season 2.37 ERA and on both bullpens, there is a heavy Over lean to this game.

OVER 7.5 (-120) is one of the better plays on the board Wednesday.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-8) and Washington Nationals (5-9) play the middle contest of their three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 12 2/3 IP over 3 starts this season. Wainwright is facing the Nationals for a second straight game; he allowed 3 ER in 5 IP against Washington Wednesday. Current Nats bats own an aggregate .874 OPS against him.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Corbin is 0-2 with a 21.32 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 9.9 BB/9 through 6 1/3 IP over 2 starts. The veteran southpaw started the season on the COVID-19 list and made his season debut April 10 against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He has allowed 15 ER in his two outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-160) |  Nationals -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

St. Louis has been at its best against lefty pitching with a .934 OPS. Peg the Cardinals as having enough on the mound and some confidence at the plate coming off a 12-run outburst Monday.

BACK THE CARDINALS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.6 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis (5.2) has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

Neither starter engenders much confidence, and both bullpens have been filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers. All the pitchers in Tuesday’s affair figure to be working against a batter’s breeze out to center.

The Over hit easily in a 12-5 Redbird win in the Monday opener. BACK OVER 9 (-120) in this one, too.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (7-8) and Washington Nationals (5-8) open up a three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jack Flaherty is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 2-0 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 15 1/3 IP over 3 starts. Since getting roughed up by the Reds on Opening Day, Flaherty has yielded just one run over 11 IP.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starter for the Nationals. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 11 IP over 2 turns in the Washington rotation. The aggregate St. Louis line against him includes a .626 OPS and .111 isolated power.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+125) |  Nationals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Redbirds and Nats faced each other last week, with Washington claiming two wins in a three-game set. Both Monday starters — Flaherty and Ross — pitched in that series.

Flaherty pitched 5 shutout frames on Tuesday; Ross tossed 6 scoreless innings on Wednesday.

The series loss for the Cards is part of a string of three series setbacks in a row; St. Louis enters Monday’s contest having won just two of its last eight games.

Flaherty didn’t pitch all that different in 2020 (4.19 ERA) than he did in 2018 (3.34) or 2019 (2.75). He was undone by a low strand rate and a higher percentage of fly balls leaving the yard.

Peg the Redbirds having enough edge on the mound to warrant a slim road favorites’ price. BACK THE CARDINALS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.8 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics.

St. Louis (4.9) does have some solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

With both hurlers being seen for a second time in six days, and with both bullpens filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers, BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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