Tag: Utah State Aggies betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

March Madness: Utah State vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Utah State vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah State Aggies (28-6) and Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) square off in a Midwest Region 2nd-round game in Indianapolis Sunday. The opening tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is slated for 2:40 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Utah State defeated 9th-seeded TCU 88-72 as a 3½-point underdog in its 1st-round matchup Friday. The high-scoring Aggies — the 8 seed in the Midwest — have scored 87 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. They are 7-1 since Feb. 20.

Top-seeded Purdue covered a -27 in a 78-50 dismantling of 16th-seeded Grambling Friday, boucing back after a loss to Wisconsin in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament. Senior C Zach Edey had 30 points and 21 rebounds in the Boilermakers win.

Purdue is ranked No. 3 and Utah State is No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Utah State vs. Purdue odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Utah State +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Purdue -720 (bet $720 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +11.5 (-110) | Purdue -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Utah State vs. Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 81, Utah State 73

Moneyline

Purdue (-720) has been upset in the tourney as a double-digit favorite in each of the last 2 years, and Utah State is worth a watch here. PASS on the current offering, but take the Aggies with big plus money if the return gets over +550.

Against the spread

Purdue is 3-7 ATS across its last 10 games. Since Nov. 10, the Boilermakers have won as double-digit favorites 7 times; in the following games, PU has gone just 1-6 ATS.

Utah State gets to the free-throw line a lot. The Aggies will have to rebound better than they did against TCU Friday, but they’re usually capable in that department.

With some fade of the Boilermakers here, BACK UTAH STATE +11.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 5 straight USU games.

Look for a slew of free throws in this game. Both sides rank in the top 30 nationally in free-throw frequency rate.

Figure USU staying close late enough that the score spirals into the 150s.

TAKE THE OVER 148.5 (-110).

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March Madness: TCU vs. Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s TCU vs. Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) and Utah State Aggies (27-6) battle in a 1st-round Midwest Region game Friday in Indianapolis. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is slated for a 9:55 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the TCU vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Ninth-seeded Texas Christian has been off since March 14 when the Horned Frogs fell 60-45 to current-No. 2 Houston in the Big 12 Tournament as an 11 1/2-point underdog. TCU has won just twice since Feb. 26 and scored just 15 points in the 1st half of the loss to Houston.

No. 8 seed Utah State, ranked No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, won the regular-season title in the Mountain West Conference. The Aggies lost to San Diego State 86-70 as a 5-point underdog in the MWC Tournament last Friday. USU is just 1-4-1 against the spread (ATS) since Feb. 27.

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TCU vs. Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: TCU -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Utah State +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU -3.5 (-120) | Utah State +3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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TCU vs. Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 76, Utah State 73

Moneyline

The lean with the points is on the underdog Aggies. Utah State is 1-19 straight up in its last 20 NCAA Tournament games, so let’s focus on USU plus the points. PASS.

Against the spread

The Aggies get a lot of near-proximity looks and are averaging 79.8 points per game. TCU is just 4-8 ATS against foes averaging 77-plus PPG.

Over the last 3 years, Utah State has gone 15-7 in neutral-site games.

The Frogs have been a strong team most of the year on the offensive glass,  but have faltered in that facet of the game of late. BartTorvik pegs USU’s defensive rebounding rate as a solid 39th in the nation. TCU also likes to leverage turnovers, and the Aggies typically have solid handles on the ball.

Expect the Aggies to force the issue inside and get to the foul line with good frequency. This line has drifted toward TCU and is ripe for some buy-back.

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering a better cushion for USU bettors. TAKE UTAH STATE +4.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

These teams play fast, but the total is up there reflecting perhaps a bit too much regular-season ball.

The matchup takes the edge off a couple point-spiral factors. Both teams are loaded with veteran experience, and shading this one in the 140s is the recommendation.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 150.5 (-105).

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Mountain West Tournament: San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs. Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (23-9) battle the Utah State Aggies (27-5) in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 74-71 OT win over UNLV Thursday while failing to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. F Jaedon LeDee scored a game-high 34 points with 16 rebounds for a double-double while 4 total SDSU players scored in double figures. The Aztecs shot 36.6% from the field in the win.

Utah State has won 6 games in a row after taking down Fresno State 87-75 in overtime Thursday and pushing as a 12-point favorite. F Great Osobor and G Darius Brown II each had a double-double. Osobor had a game-high 29 points with 17 rebounds, and Brown added 17 points and 11 assists. The Aggies shot 43.5% from the field in the win.

Utah State is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State vs. Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Utah State +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -3.5 (-120) | Utah State +3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State vs. Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 75, San Diego State 71

Moneyline

BET UTAH STATE (+155).

San Diego State is 6-4 in its last 10 games but has lost 2 of its last 3 overall and 3 of its last 4 away from home. It has failed to cover in each of its last 4 games as a favorite and has scored 74 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 overall.

Utah State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has only dropped 5 games all season. With both teams going to overtime in Thursday’s matchups, Utah State found another level and separated itself by 12 points. The Aggies have won 6 games in a row and have scored 87 or more in each of their last 3.

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for Utah State.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-110).

San Diego State has scored 71 or more points in 7 of its last 10 and has hit the Over in back-to-back games. It has allowed 71 in back-to-back games as well and faces a Utah State squad that has been hot offensively.

Utah State has hit the Over in 3 straight games and has scored at least 72 in each of its last 5 and 7 of its last 9.

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New Mexico at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Mexico at Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Mexico Lobos (22-8, 10-7 Mountain West) head to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to face the No. 22 Utah State Aggies (25-5, 13-4) Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. Utah State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

New Mexico is coming off a convincing 79-58 Senior Night win against Fresno State Wednesday. It covered the spread as a 17.5-point favorite, and the Under (153.5) hit. G Jamal Mashburn Jr. showed off for the home fans in his last game at the Pit, scoring 19 points, dishing 4 assists, and blocking 1 shot. The Lobos forced 11 Bulldog turnovers in the victory.

New Mexico is 4-2 in its last 6 Mountain West road games.

Utah State, which is No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, won its 4th straight game 90-70 at San Jose State Wednesday. It covered the spread as a 10-point favorite, and the Over (143.5) hit. Guards Darius Brown II and Mason Falslev combined for 41 points, 12 assists, and 11 rebounds. The Aggies hit 16 of 27 three-pointers (59.3%) en route to the victory over the Spartans.

Utah State has won 4 of its last 5 conference home games.

In a Jan. 16 meeting, the Lobos covered as 6-point home favorites with a 99-86 win over Utah State as the Over (156.5) hit.

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New Mexico at Utah State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): New Mexico +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Utah State -176 (bet $176 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico +3.5 (-106) | Utah State -3.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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New Mexico at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 84, New Mexico 79

Moneyline

PASS.

I’m confident that the Aggies (-176) win this game, but I’d rather not buy into all that juice. I’ll save my money for the spread instead.

Against the spread

BET UTAH STATE -3.5 (-114).

Utah State had won 7 straight meetings before New Mexico won in the Pit Jan. 16. The Aggies also covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head battles.

Utah State has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 home games.

New Mexico has covered just once in its last 5 overall and lost straight up and ATS in back-to-back road games.

The Aggies will get their revenge against the Lobos at the Spectrum Saturday night.

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Over/Under

PASS.

I do not see any advantage either way on this bet. These teams are 4-4-2 going over the total in the last 10 meetings. I’ll save my bet for the spread.

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Utah State at San Jose State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah State at San Jose State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah State Aggies (24-5, 12-4 Mountain West) visit the San Jose State Spartans (9-21, 2-15) Wednesday. Tip from Provident Credit Union Event Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah State vs. San Jose State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Utah State has won 3 games in a row after beating Air Force 72-60 Friday while failing to cover as a 17-point home favorite. G Ian Martinez scored a game-high 21 points while 4 total Utah State players scored in double figures. The Aggies shot 53.2% from the field in the win.

San Jose State has lost 5 games in a row after falling 68-50 against UNLV Saturday and failing to cover as a 13.5-point road underdog. G Alvaro Cardenas scored a team-high 17 points on 6-of-9 shooting from the filed and was the only San Jose State player to score in double figures. The Spartans shot 32.1% from the field and just 19% from 3 in the loss.

Utah State is No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Utah State at San Jose State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Utah State -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | San Jose State +475 (bet $100 to win $475)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State -10.5 (-105) | San Jose State +10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Utah State at San Jose State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 75, San Jose State 63

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Utah State (-650) to beat San Jose State, which is 1-9 in its last 10 games.

Against the spread

LEAN UTAH STATE -10.5 (-105).

San Jose State is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games and has failed to cover as a double-digit underdog in 6 of its last 7. It is just 11-17-1 ATS this season.

Utah State is 13-12-2 ATS this season and has played well offensively recently, scoring 77 or more points in 3 of its last 5 games. It faces a Spartans team that has scored 64 or fewer in each of its last 4.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 145.5 (-105).

The Aggies have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 games and have held opponents to 75 or fewer points in 4 straight.

The Spartans have hit the Under in back-to-back games and 3 of their last 4. They have scored 64 or fewer points in 4 straight games and 8 of their last 10.

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Air Force at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 23 Utah State Aggies (23-5, 11-4 MWC) welcome the Air Force Falcons (9-18, 2-13) to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum Friday. Tip is set for 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Utah State, No. 23 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off a 77-73 overtime road win against the Fresno State Bulldogs Tuesday, failing to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. The Aggies are 13-11-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season but just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. They have, however, covered 2 straight at home and are 8-3 ATS at home overall.

Air Force lost to the Boise State Broncos 79-48 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 11.5-point underdog. The Falcons are 8-19 ATS on the season and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games, losing 2 of their last 3 games by 29 or more points. The Falcons are led by F Rytis Petraitis, who averages 15.2 points per game.

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Air Force at Utah State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Utah State -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +17.5 (-118) | Utah State -17.5 (-104)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Air Force at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 82, Air Force 62

Moneyline

PASS.

The Aggies  (-3000) are far too expensive to take on the moneyline. Avoid this one at all costs.

Against the spread

BET UTAH STATE -17.5 (-104).

The Aggies beat 19th-ranked San Diego State by 5 and Boise State by 19 in their last 2 home games. Utah State is 5-4-1 ATS in its last 10 games and has covered 4 of its last 5 at home. The Aggies have 2 (F Great Osobor and G Mason Falslev) of their top 4 players shooting better than 56% from the field, so the consistency is there for them to score and win big.

As mentioned, Air Force lost at home by 31 to Boise State, the team Utah State beat by 19 at home. The Falcons have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games as underdogs of 9 points or more.

Expect Air Force to again struggle. TAKE UTAH STATE -17.5 (-104).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 137.5 (-106).

If there’s something that both teams have consistently done, it is hit the Over. The Aggies are 15-10-1 O/U on the season and have scored at least 77 in 3 of their last 5 games. They, again, have the scoring to consistently put the ball in the bucket.

Three of the Falcons’ top 4 scorers shoot over 47% from the field as well. They are 11-2 O/U in their last 13 games and 19-8 O/U on the season. Expect both offenses to be able to put points on the board.

BACK OVER 137.5 (-106).

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Air Force at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 23 Utah State Aggies (23-5, 11-4 MWC) welcome the Air Force Falcons (9-18, 2-13) to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum Friday. Tip is set for 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Utah State, No. 23 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off a 77-73 overtime road win against the Fresno State Bulldogs Tuesday, failing to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. The Aggies are 13-11-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season but just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. They have, however, covered 2 straight at home and are 8-3 ATS at home overall.

Air Force lost to the Boise State Broncos 79-48 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 11.5-point underdog. The Falcons are 8-19 ATS on the season and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games, losing 2 of their last 3 games by 29 or more points. The Falcons are led by F Rytis Petraitis, who averages 15.2 points per game.

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Air Force at Utah State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Utah State -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +17.5 (-118) | Utah State -17.5 (-104)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Air Force at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 82, Air Force 62

Moneyline

PASS.

The Aggies  (-3000) are far too expensive to take on the moneyline. Avoid this one at all costs.

Against the spread

BET UTAH STATE -17.5 (-104).

The Aggies beat 19th-ranked San Diego State by 5 and Boise State by 19 in their last 2 home games. Utah State is 5-4-1 ATS in its last 10 games and has covered 4 of its last 5 at home. The Aggies have 2 (F Great Osobor and G Mason Falslev) of their top 4 players shooting better than 56% from the field, so the consistency is there for them to score and win big.

As mentioned, Air Force lost at home by 31 to Boise State, the team Utah State beat by 19 at home. The Falcons have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games as underdogs of 9 points or more.

Expect Air Force to again struggle. TAKE UTAH STATE -16.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 137.5 (-106).

If there’s something that both teams have consistently done, it is hit the Over. The Aggies are 15-10-1 O/U on the season and have scored at least 77 in 3 of their last 5 games. They, again, have the scoring to consistently put the ball in the bucket.

Three of the Falcons’ top 4 scorers shoot over 47% from the field as well. They are 11-2 O/U in their last 13 games and 19-8 O/U on the season. Expect both offenses to be able to put points on the board.

BACK OVER 137.5 (-106).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Fresno State at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Fresno State at Utah State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1, 1-1 Mountain West) will take on the Utah State Aggies (3-3, 1-1) on Friday in Week 7 of the college football season at Maverik Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Fresno State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bulldogs suffered their 1st loss of the season in a 24-19 defeat against Wyoming on the road in Week 6. Fresno State failed to cover as 6-point favorites and the Over of 42.5 points cashed.

The Aggies cruised to a 44-24 victory over Colorado State in Week 6 to cover as 3-point home underdogs. The Over of 62 points also hit as Utah State is now on a 2-game winning streak after beating the Rams and UConn.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Fresno State at Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Fresno State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Utah State +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State -4.5 (-105) | Utah State +4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Fresno State at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Fresno State 34, Utah State 23

Moneyline

Even though the Bulldogs should get back in the win column on Friday night, I’ll PASS on their moneyline in this game. Betting on a team straight up at nearly -200 odds isn’t advised.

Against the spread

BET FRESNO STATE -4.5 (-105).

While the Bulldogs were upset on the road against Wyoming, this is a nice get-right spot for them against the Aggies. Fresno State boasts the 18th-best passing offense (301.7 yards per game) and Utah State is giving up 241.2 YPG passing.

On top of that, the Bulldogs are 2-1 ATS on the road this season and are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.

Over/Under

UNDER 56.5 (-105) is how I’d play the total with Fresno State allowing only 18.17 points per game (24th in the nation). The Bulldogs are also 22nd in time of possession this season, so they’ll try to control the clock and keep the Aggies off of the field in this matchup.

While Utah State has been involved in shootouts this season, Fresno State hasn’t been involved in a game that has had 58-plus total points scored since beating Kent State 53-10 in Week 4.

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Utah State at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State at Iowa odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah State Aggies travel to Iowa City to battle the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday. Kickoff at Kinnick Stadium is at noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s (OR FanDuel Sportsbook’s) lines around the Utah State vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Utah State ranked outside the top-100 last season in both points scored and points allowed. The Aggies averaged 22.2 points per game (104th FBS) while yielding 31.2 PPG (105th) en route to going 6-7. USU returns QB Cooper Legas, but he will arrive in Iowa City without last year’s top rusher (RB Calvin Tyler) and without a couple of top receivers from a year ago.

The Hawkeyes were all defense and no offense last fall. Iowa allowed a nation’s-best 3.99 yards per play. On offense, it averaged 4.24 yards per play (129th). The hopes for a better offense in 2023 come from transfer QB Cade McNamara (2,576 passing yards for Michigan in 2021) and a slew of players returning from injury.

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Utah State at Iowa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:23 a.m. ET,

  • Moneyline: Utah State +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Iowa -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +23.5 (-110) | Iowa -23.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Utah State at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 31, Utah State 7

Moneyline

Avoid all the extra juice here: PASS.

Against the spread

Look for Iowa to get out to a lead with some 50-50 mix on offense and some big plays by its talented defense. How that lead gets managed or perhaps stalled is where this play gets too muddy.

Cap tip to the current line alongside a PASS.

Over/Under

The Under cashed in 9 of 13 Iowa games last season, and 6 of those Unders were by double-digit margins.

Yes, the Iowa offense has some reason for optimism. But McNamara may not play due to what has been reported as a right quad injury. Even if he does play, its easy to envision some growth for the UI offense, some dominance by the Hawkeye defense and a clock-moving-low-play-count game.

An inexperienced USU line just may have too much trouble against the Iowa front 7. Trouble putting 1st downs and drives together may wind up in Utah State getting less-than-14 points, and that’s another way this game lands short of the total.

BACK THE UNDER 43 (-110).

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March Madness: Utah State vs. Missouri odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday Utah State vs. Missouri odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 10-seed Utah State Aggies (26-8) face the 7-seed Missouri Tigers (24-9) Thursday in a first round South Region game in the NCAA Tournament. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah State vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Utah State caught fire at the end of the season, but came up just short in the Mountain West Tournament title game against San Diego State. Still, the Aggies won and covered their final 5 regular-season games, and 8 of the final 10 contests.

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The Aggies were 3-4 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in 7 games against NCAA Tournament teams, including 2 wins over conference rival Boise State and another against Oral Roberts in the non-conference schedule.

Missouri picked up a win over Tennessee in the SEC Tournament, before bowing out against Alabama. The Tigers also racked up regular-season resume bolstering wins over Arkansas, Illinois, Iowa State, Kentucky, Mississippi State, SE Missouri State and, again Tennessee, all NCAA Tournament teams.

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Utah State vs. Missouri odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Utah State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Missouri +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State -1.5 (=108) | Missouri +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Utah State vs. Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 82, Utah State 78

Moneyline

MISSOURI (+105) is a solid play at plus-money on the moneyline. This Tigers team has an impressive offense, and they have very few weak spots on the offensive attack. The defense could be a little better, and the lack thereof will help Utah State (-125) in the game.

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Against the spread

MISSOURI +1.5 (-108) is only worth playing, instead of the moneyline, if you feel that Utah State -1.5 (+100) is going to win by exactly 1 point. If not, just play Mizzou straight up.

While USU is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 neutral-site games, and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games overall, the Aggies are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 NCAA Tournament appearances. Mizzou is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 neutral-site contests, too.

Over/Under

OVER 155.5 (-112) is the lean, as both of these teams can roll up huge points, while neither is particularly strong at the defensive end of the floor.

Utah State has posted 79.1 PPG this season, while hitting 48.6% from the field, while knocking down 40.0% from behind the 3-point line. The Aggies are strong from the free-throw line, too, hitting 77.0%, so they don’t leave a lot of points on the floor.

The Aggies are subpar defensively, allowing 70.0 PPG, and it allowed 35.6% from behind the arc, which was in the bottom third in the country.

Mizzou has racked up 80.1 PPG this season, while hitting 47.7% from the field. It is also a solid free-throw shooting team, going for 75.6% from the line. Defensively, it allowed 74.8 PPG, while allowing teams to hit 35.5% from the perimeter.

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