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The New Mexico Lobos (22-8, 10-7 Mountain West) head to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to face the No. 22 Utah State Aggies (25-5, 13-4) Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. Utah State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
New Mexico is coming off a convincing 79-58 Senior Night win against Fresno State Wednesday. It covered the spread as a 17.5-point favorite, and the Under (153.5) hit. G Jamal Mashburn Jr. showed off for the home fans in his last game at the Pit, scoring 19 points, dishing 4 assists, and blocking 1 shot. The Lobos forced 11 Bulldog turnovers in the victory.
New Mexico is 4-2 in its last 6 Mountain West road games.
Utah State, which is No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, won its 4th straight game 90-70 at San Jose State Wednesday. It covered the spread as a 10-point favorite, and the Over (143.5) hit. Guards Darius Brown II and Mason Falslev combined for 41 points, 12 assists, and 11 rebounds. The Aggies hit 16 of 27 three-pointers (59.3%) en route to the victory over the Spartans.
Utah State has won 4 of its last 5 conference home games.
In a Jan. 16 meeting, the Lobos covered as 6-point home favorites with a 99-86 win over Utah State as the Over (156.5) hit.
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New Mexico at Utah State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): New Mexico +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Utah State -176 (bet $176 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico +3.5 (-106) | Utah State -3.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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New Mexico at Utah State picks and predictions
Prediction
Utah State 84, New Mexico 79
Moneyline
PASS.
I’m confident that the Aggies (-176) win this game, but I’d rather not buy into all that juice. I’ll save my money for the spread instead.
Against the spread
BET UTAH STATE -3.5 (-114).
Utah State had won 7 straight meetings before New Mexico won in the Pit Jan. 16. The Aggies also covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head battles.
Utah State has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 home games.
New Mexico has covered just once in its last 5 overall and lost straight up and ATS in back-to-back road games.
The Aggies will get their revenge against the Lobos at the Spectrum Saturday night.
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Over/Under
PASS.
I do not see any advantage either way on this bet. These teams are 4-4-2 going over the total in the last 10 meetings. I’ll save my bet for the spread.
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