March Madness: Utah State vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Utah State vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah State Aggies (28-6) and Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) square off in a Midwest Region 2nd-round game in Indianapolis Sunday. The opening tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is slated for 2:40 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Utah State defeated 9th-seeded TCU 88-72 as a 3½-point underdog in its 1st-round matchup Friday. The high-scoring Aggies — the 8 seed in the Midwest — have scored 87 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. They are 7-1 since Feb. 20.

Top-seeded Purdue covered a -27 in a 78-50 dismantling of 16th-seeded Grambling Friday, boucing back after a loss to Wisconsin in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament. Senior C Zach Edey had 30 points and 21 rebounds in the Boilermakers win.

Purdue is ranked No. 3 and Utah State is No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Utah State vs. Purdue odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Utah State +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Purdue -720 (bet $720 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +11.5 (-110) | Purdue -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Utah State vs. Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 81, Utah State 73

Moneyline

Purdue (-720) has been upset in the tourney as a double-digit favorite in each of the last 2 years, and Utah State is worth a watch here. PASS on the current offering, but take the Aggies with big plus money if the return gets over +550.

Against the spread

Purdue is 3-7 ATS across its last 10 games. Since Nov. 10, the Boilermakers have won as double-digit favorites 7 times; in the following games, PU has gone just 1-6 ATS.

Utah State gets to the free-throw line a lot. The Aggies will have to rebound better than they did against TCU Friday, but they’re usually capable in that department.

With some fade of the Boilermakers here, BACK UTAH STATE +11.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 5 straight USU games.

Look for a slew of free throws in this game. Both sides rank in the top 30 nationally in free-throw frequency rate.

Figure USU staying close late enough that the score spirals into the 150s.

TAKE THE OVER 148.5 (-110).

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