Mountain West Tournament: San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs. Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (23-9) battle the Utah State Aggies (27-5) in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 74-71 OT win over UNLV Thursday while failing to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. F Jaedon LeDee scored a game-high 34 points with 16 rebounds for a double-double while 4 total SDSU players scored in double figures. The Aztecs shot 36.6% from the field in the win.

Utah State has won 6 games in a row after taking down Fresno State 87-75 in overtime Thursday and pushing as a 12-point favorite. F Great Osobor and G Darius Brown II each had a double-double. Osobor had a game-high 29 points with 17 rebounds, and Brown added 17 points and 11 assists. The Aggies shot 43.5% from the field in the win.

Utah State is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State vs. Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Utah State +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -3.5 (-120) | Utah State +3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State vs. Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 75, San Diego State 71

Moneyline

BET UTAH STATE (+155).

San Diego State is 6-4 in its last 10 games but has lost 2 of its last 3 overall and 3 of its last 4 away from home. It has failed to cover in each of its last 4 games as a favorite and has scored 74 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 overall.

Utah State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has only dropped 5 games all season. With both teams going to overtime in Thursday’s matchups, Utah State found another level and separated itself by 12 points. The Aggies have won 6 games in a row and have scored 87 or more in each of their last 3.

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for Utah State.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-110).

San Diego State has scored 71 or more points in 7 of its last 10 and has hit the Over in back-to-back games. It has allowed 71 in back-to-back games as well and faces a Utah State squad that has been hot offensively.

Utah State has hit the Over in 3 straight games and has scored at least 72 in each of its last 5 and 7 of its last 9.

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San Diego State at Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego State at Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 San Diego State Aztecs (18-5, 9-2 MWC) and Utah State Aggies (19-5, 11-1) meet Wednesday in a key Mountain West Conference game. Tip-off at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan is at 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Diego State lost its last road 75-66 at Nevada on Jan. 31. The Aztecs bounced back at home with the cover of a -6.5-point line against Boise State 72-52 Friday. SDSU shot 51% from the floor against the Broncos, their best single-game mark since Dec. 2.

The Aggies played the Aztecs in San Diego Jan. 25 and fell 85-75 (as a +7). In that contest, SDSU shot 54.5% from 3-point range and outscored Utah State 17-6 in free throws. USU has since gone 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State at Utah State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: San Diego State +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Utah State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +2.5 (-115) | Utah State -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 69, Utah State 68

Moneyline

In a low-scoring game that could go down to the wire, the suggestion here is to pay for the underdog point. Of the 2 plays below, the Under has the strongest leverage. PASS.

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Against the spread

The Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against over-.500 opponents while the Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against foes playing .600 ball.

SDSU essentially led the 1st meeting by double digits for nearly 30 minutes. Other recent comps for this match-up include a 75-66 Aztecs loss at Nevada 2 games back. Rebounding was an uncharacteristic SDSU problem in that one, and that was a close game that went sideways in the final minute.

USU relies on the frequency and accuracy of its distance attack. San Diego State held the Aggies to an 11-of-33 mark in the 1st go-around. Look for the AZTECS +2.5 (-115) to be the value play Wednesday.

Over/Under

SDSU is 5-1 on the road. The Under is 8-0-1 in the Aggies last 9 home games against teams with a winning road record.

San Diego State has played a challenging schedule and one tilted toward offense. Yet the Aztecs have still hoisted top-20 defensive-efficiency numbers.

BACK THE UNDER 146.5 (-110).

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