Tag: Tampa Bay Lightning betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning meet in Game 4 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Thursday. The Panthers lead the series 3-0. Puck drop from Amalie Arena is set for 5 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers dominated the Bolts in Game 3 with a 5-3 win and took a commanding 3-0 lead. LW Matthew Tkachuk netted 2 goals to give him 3 in the series. Florida has now won 7 of the last 8 meetings and put Tampa’s winning window at risk of closing.

The Lightning are just 2 for 12 on the power play in the series. RW Nikita Kucherov was a little more noticeable with 4 shots in Game 3 after just 3 SOG in the first 2 games, but he has no goals and 3 assists in the series. He just hasn’t delivered what the team needs thus far. The Lightning still have a chance to make it interesting as they were 25-11-5 on home ice this season.

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Panthers at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Lightning +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+195) | Lightning +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Panthers at Lightning projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (36-17-4, 2.37 GAA, .915 SV%, 6 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30-20-2, 2.90 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO)

Bob has allowed 7 goals on 71 shots in the series to give him a 2.30 GAA and .901 SV%. The 3 goals that were netted in Game 3 were the most he has allowed in the last 5 games. The defense in front of him has been smothering, and they’ve kept the league-best power play (28.6%) to just 16.7%.

Vassy has regressed as the series has gone along, allowing 2, 3 and 4 goals, respectively. He stopped 26 of 30 shots in Game 3. He hasn’t looked the same all season, and that’s likely due to missing the early part due to back surgery. He’s still just 29 and has the ability to shut down a team at any point.

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Panthers at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 4, Lightning 2

Moneyline

This series ended in Game 3 as the Panthers are just too much for this Lightning squad. Kucherov just hasn’t been the game-breaking player he was during the regular season.

Take the PANTHERS -125 to complete the sweep.

Puck line/Against the spread

I don’t like either side of the puck line here.

We’re targeting MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 3.5 SHOTS (-105) here, as he has 4+ shots in all 3 games in the series and in 5 straight overall. He sniffs blood and will continue applying pressure.

Over/Under

We’ve had 3-2, 3-2 and 5-3 finishes in the series, and I’m pegging this one to push. If it comes down to 5.5, I plan to hit the Over. Until then, though, the books have this one mapped out well.

PASS.

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning meet in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Thursday. The Panthers lead the series 2-0. Puck drop from Amalie Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers endured the Lightning with a 3-2 overtime win in Game 2. It came at a cost, though, as C Sam Bennett is out with an upper body injury in this one. Bennett, who had 20 goals in the regular season, scored a goal in the 1st of Game 2.

The Lightning were just 1 for 6 on the power play in Game 2, and that will need to be improved upon in order to climb back in it. RW Nikita Kucherov has been kept off the score sheet with just 3 SOG in 2 games, but he has 2 assists. The Lightning were 25-11-5 on home ice this season.

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Panthers at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Lightning -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-275) | Lightning -1.5 (+220)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Panthers at Lightning projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (36-17-4, 2.37 GAA, .915 SV%, 6 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30-20-2, 2.90 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO)

Bob has been solid, allowing just 2 goals in each game of the series. He really hasn’t been tested too much, though, stopping 17 in Game 1 and 21 in Game 2. He was 2-1-0 with a 2.71 GAA and .892 SV% in 3 games against Tampa during the regular season.

Vassy has been solid as well, despite being in an 0-2 hole. He stopped 25 of 27 in Game 1 and 34 of 37 in Game 2 as Florida has just turned up the decibels to ear-popping levels. He was 1-2-0 with a 4.50 GAA and .883 SV% in 3 regular season games against Florida.

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Panthers at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 3, Panthers 2

Moneyline

The Panthers have won 6 of the last 7 meetings — including 3 in this building. This really is the Lightning’s last stand, though, because if they lose this one, they’re likely getting swept. They have considerable questions to answer during the offseason as well with C Steven Stamkos becoming a free agent.

The Panthers are down a man, and I look for the Lightning to put up more than the handful of shots they’ve taken thus far.

Take the LIGHTNING -115 at a solid price.

Puck line/Against the spread

I’m going to pass on the puck line, but I will take a chance on something that will correlate with a Lightning win. Kucherov has to get going. Three shots on goal in 2 playoff losses looks bad, and I look for him to come out firing.

Take NIKITA KUCHEROV ANYTIME GOAL +140 for a good return.

Over/Under

At most, I see a push here. The Over is just 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. We have had a 3-2 final in each game, and maybe an empty netter pushes it here.

LEAN UNDER 6 (-120).

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers meet in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Tuesday. The Panthers lead the series 1-0. Puck drop from Amerant Bank Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Panthers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers have now won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams after Sunday’s 3-2 victory at Amerant Bank Arena. Tampa Bay managed just 10 shots in the 1st and 2nd periods combined against Florida.

Tampa Bay captain Steven Stamkos was the 1st player on the ice for the Bolts in Monday’s practice and the last player to score in Game 1, finding the back of the net on the power play with 9.3 seconds remaining. The 34-year-old assisted on LW Brandon Hagel‘s game-tying goal in the 1st period, his 26th career playoff multi-point game.

After a scoreless 2nd period, Florida broke the tie as former Bolts C Carter Verhaeghe scored less than a minute into the 3rd period on the power play. LW Matthew Tkachuk scored an empty-netter with just over 2 minutes to play, and the 26-year-old now has 26 points in 21 career playoff games with Florida.

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Lightning at Panthers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lightning +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Panthers -176 (bet $176 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-178) | Panthers -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -132 | U: +108)

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Lightning at Panthers projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (30-20-2, 2.90 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (36-17-4, 2.37 GAA, .915 SV%, 6 SO)

The Big Cat made several key saves to keep his team in it during Game 1 and benefits from playing in front of teammates that have blocked the 4th-highest percentage of shots (22.83%) during the regular season (min. 50 games).

Lightning coach Jon Cooper credited Florida’s forecheck in the 1st 15 minutes for limiting the amount of chances that Tampa had to score on Bobrovsky. Maurice told the Miami Herald about how last year’s playoff run “lifted a burden” off Bob and “now he can just play.” His 6 shutouts during the regular season were tied for the most in the NHL.

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Lightning at Panthers picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 3

Moneyline

BET LIGHTNING (+138).

Cooper told reporters after losing Game 1 how the Panthers have “weathered all the frustration they possibly can” in the playoffs over the last decade. I would be surprised if Tampa Bay comes back home down 2-0. The Bolts should be able to get more scoring opportunities in Game 2, especially with Florida LW Ryan Lomberg and his 53.8% defensive zone start % (2nd-highest on team) missing the game with an illness.

Puck line/Against the spread

Consider betting Lightning +1.5 (-178) in an ML parlay.

This it too much juice to lay to get the puck and a half by itself, unless you like the NEW YORK RANGERS (-275 ML vs. Washington Capitals, 7 p.m. ET) as I do. If you are looking to build a parlay, TAMPA BAY +1.5 (-178) and New York ML pays out +113.

Over/Under

BET OVER 5.5 (-132).

Both teams scored on the man advantage in Game 1, and each had top 8 power plays during the regular season, with the Lightning atop the league at 28.63%. Florida’s physical style should lend itself to more 5-on-4 advantages for the Lightning, who should cash in.

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Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Red Wings (36-30-8) wrap up a 3-game road trip Monday against the Tampa Bay Lightning (41-25-7) at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Wings vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Red Wings lead 2-0

The Red Wings were tripped up 3-2 in a shootout Saturday in Sunrise, and it is 0-2-2 in the past 4 games while scoring a total of 5 goals. Detroit has been shut out in 2 of the past 4 games, too, while the Under is 3-1 in the span.

The Lightning posted a 4-1 win against the New York Islanders Saturday, and Tampa Bay has won the past 3 outings, outscoring the opposition 10-4 as the Under has cashed in each of the victories. The Lightning have posted points in 9 straight outings, going 8-0-1.

However, the Red Wings have won both previous meetings, each in Detroit, and both as slight underdogs, while outscoring the Lightning 8-5. The Wings have won 2 of the past 3 visits to Tampa, too, while the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings at Amalie Arena.

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Red Wings at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Lightning -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-155) | Lightning -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Wings at Lightning projected goalies

Alex Lyon (18-16-4, 3.03 GAA, .905 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28-16-2, 2.85 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO)

Lyon was decent last time out in Florida, allowing just 2 goals on 38 shots. After struggling earlier in the month, allowing 4 or more goals in 5 of his 1st 6 starts, he has allowed just 7 goals on 100 shots in his past 3 outings. Lyon is 0-7-2 with a 4.03 GAA and .884 SV% in 9 starts in March.

Vasilevskiy has been on fire in the past month, allowing just a single goal each in 3 of his past 4 outings. He is 8-1-1 with a 2.39 GAA and .915 SV% with 1 SO in 10 starts in March. Vasilevskiy was still recovering from back surgery until late November, and he missed the 1st game in Detroit Oct. 14, while he was rested in the 2nd meeting in late January.

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Red Wings at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Red Wings 2

Moneyline

The Lightning (-190) are just a little too pricey on the moneyline, costing you almost 2 times your potential return.

Yes, the Red Wings (+155) have won both meetings this season, and 2 of the past 3 trips to the Suncoast, but Detroit has been horrific in March, and Vasilevskiy and the Lightning have played very, very well.

PASS, and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+130) is a strong play on the puck line. While Tampa Bay has lost both meetings this season, it will have a red-hot Vasilevskiy in the crease for the 1st time against the Red Wings +1.5 (-155) this season.

In the final 2 meetings last season, when Tampa Bay was making a postseason push, and Detroit was well out of it, the Lightning posted a pair of shutouts against the Red Wings, outscoring Detroit 8-0. We might not get a shutout, but Tampa is a strong play on the puck line at plus-money.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-110) is worth a look, mainly because Vasilevskiy has been red hot in March, while the Red Wings have really struggled lately on offense.

As it stands, the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings, and 3-1 in the past 4 battles at Amalie Arena, too. The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 skates for the Red Wings while cashing in 3 straight for the Lightning.

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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Bruins (42-16-15) trek to the Sunshine State to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (39-25-7) Wednesday night. Puck drop at Amalie Arena is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Bruins vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

This is the 4th matchup between these squads this season, with the Bolts taking 2 of 3. Both of the Tampa Bay victories needed extra time: they earned a 5-4 OT win in November at home, and last month it was a 3-2 shootout finish in Boston. Sandwiched in between on Jan. 6 was a 7-3 drubbing by the Bruins at TD Garden as C Trent Frederic scored 2 goals.

Frederic scored his 18th goal of the season on the power play Tuesday night to tie up Boston’s game vs. the Florida Panthers late in the 3rd period. Minutes later, C Pavel Zacha fired in the game winner, which also was his 18th of the season. Boston’s 4-3 win broke a tie with Florida atop the Atlantic Division for 1st place.

Tampa Bay is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games and have returned home after a 4-game West Coast swing. The Bolts outlasted Anaheim 3-2 in overtime Sunday, as LW Anthony Duclair found the back of the net for the 5th time in his 7 games played for Tampa since being acquired from the San Jose Sharks.

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Bruins at Lightning odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bruins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Lightning -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins +1.5 (-245) | Lightning -1.5 (+198)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -132 | U: +108)

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Bruins at Lightning projected goalies

Linus Ullmark (19-8-7, 2.66 GAA, .914 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (26-16-2, 2.94 GAA, .897 SV%, 2 SO)

Ullmark, last season’s Vezina Trophy winner, had won his previous 3 starts before taking the L on Saturday vs. Philadelphia 3-2. The 30-year-old played well despite the loss, making a crucial stop on a breakaway with 26 saves in all.

Vasilevskiy had the night off in Anaheim after suffering the 4-3 OT loss to L.A. the night prior. The defeat snapped 5 straight victories for the Big Cat, who is 8-11-2 in his career vs. Boston.

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Lightning at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Bruins 3

Moneyline

BET LIGHTNING ML (-118).

RW Nikita Kucherov, who is tied with Colorado C Nathan Mackinnon atop the NHL points list (123), failed to register a point for the 1st time in over a month and the Bolts still came out victorious against Anaheim. C Brayden Point and D Victor Hedman will be back in the lineup, and they will help propel an already hot Tampa team to victory.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

No team in the Eastern Conference averages less time per game trailing their opponent than Boston, so I have no interest in taking a shot on the Bolts puck line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 5.5 (-132).

Point’s 10 goals in 8 games are tied for 2nd-most in the league since March 2. Point and the rest of Tampa’s offensive weapons should have plenty of scoring chances, as should RW David Pastrnak, Boston’s leader in goals with 45. Plus, the Bolts feature the top power play in the NHL (29.03 PP%) and Boston’s is 8th-best (23.64%).

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6) take on the Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7) Tuesday at T-Mobile Arena. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Golden Knights odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Bolts have won 3 straight after a 5-3 win at the Florida Panthers Saturday. C Steven Stamkos lit the lamp twice, and he has 3 goals in the last 2 games and points in his last 5, as he proceeds in his final games before free agency. The Lightning are in the driver’s seat with the top Wild Card spot, 3 points up on the Washington Capitals.

The Knights have won 3 of 4 after a 3-1 win over the New Jersey Devils Sunday. C Jack Eichel had a goal on 8 shots, and he has 7 points in his last 4 games as the team navigates through injuries. The Knights are tied with the Los Angeles Kings at 79 points, which is good for 3rd in the Pacific Division and the 2nd Wild Card spot.

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Lightning at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lightning +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Golden Knights -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-210) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Lightning at Golden Knights projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (24-16-1, 2.96 GAA, .898 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Adin Hill (17-9-2, 2.60 GAA, .917 SV%, 2 SO)

“Vassy” hasn’t been himself all season after a late start due to back surgery, but he has been a little better this month. He’s 4-1-0 with a 2.77 GAA and .911 SV% against some tough opponents. He was between the pipes in the 5-4 home win over VGK Dec. 21, and he stopped 30 of 34 shots.

Hill has been going downhill after he missed time with an injury. He had a 3.37 GAA in February, and he has followed it up in March with a 2-3-0 mark, a 3.63 GAA and an .887 SV%. He has allowed at least 3 goals in his last 6 starts.

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Lightning at Golden Knights picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

These teams have traded wins in the last 3 meetings in Vegas, and Tampa is going to continue the trend after VGK won 5-4 Feb. 18, 2023. Tampa has scored 5+ goals in 3 straight, and Hill is having trouble keeping teams off the scoreboard.

Take the LIGHTNING +110.

Puck line/Against the spread

I’ll pass on the puck line here, but I’m going hard on JACK EICHEL OVER 3.5 SHOTS (-120).

He has 4+ shots in 3 straight games and in 8 of 9. He also had 7 SOG against Tampa earlier this season. Book it.

Over/Under

Tampa and VGK are 7-3 O/U over the last 10. We’ve had 7+ goals in 3 straight meetings between the teams.

Neither of these goalies are showing their playoff form, so I’ll LEAN OVER 6.5 (-105).

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Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Kraken (2-5-2) wrap up a 4-game road trip against the Tampa Bay Lightning (4-2-2) Monday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Kraken vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Kraken haven’t had a great road trip. Seattle won 5-4 in overtime last Tuesday at Detroit, but it suffered a 3-2 OT loss in Carolina on Thursday, and a 3-2 setback at Florida on Saturday. The Kraken has scored 2 or fewer goals in 7 of its 9 games to date, with the Under going 7-2.

The Lightning have not only won the past 2 games, but Jonas Johansson has posted shutouts in both outings against the Carolina Hurricanes and San Jose Sharks. It’s the first time this season that the Under has cashed in consecutive games for the Lightning.

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Kraken at Lightning odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kraken +134 (bet $100 to win $134) | Lightning -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Kraken +1.5 (-176) | Lightning -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Kraken at Lightning projected goalies

Joey Daccord (2-1-2, 2.88 GAA, .912 SV%) vs. Jonas Johansson (4-1-2, 2.56 GAA, .925 SV%, 2 SO)

Daccord was on the short end of Saturday’s 3-2 loss at Florida, although he was solid with 35 saves on 38 shots. In fact, he has had 32 or more saves in 3 of the past 4 games, but he has received just 4 total goals of support in the past 2 games, both losses.

Johansson has been filling in admirably for the injured Andrei Vasileskiy, posting 2 straight shutouts. The last goal he allowed was an OT winner by the Maple Leafs on Oct. 21, so he is working on a scoreless streak of exactly 120:00.

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Kraken at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Kraken 1

Moneyline

The LIGHTNING (-162) are a strong play at home against the skidding Kraken (+134).

Tampa Bay has posted a 3-0-2 record in the past 5 outings, last losing in regulation back on Oct. 15 in Ottawa in the NHL debut of G Matt Tomkins.

Puck line/Against the spread

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+146) are worth playing lightly on the puck line. Tampa Bay has managed just a 2-2 mark in 4 games as a favorite on the puck line, so tread lightly.

In addition, the Kraken +1.5 (-176) might not be ticking off a lot of wins, but Seattle is 4-1 on the puck line as an underdog in the past 5 outings, so there is risk here.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-122) is worth a look based on Seattle’s inability to score goals, and Johansson’s ability to keep anybody from scoring on him lately.

For the Kraken, the Under is 7-2 in 9 games overall, while going 5-1 in 6 road outings. As far as the Lightning is concerned, the Under has hit in each of the past 2 contests, while going 3-1-2 in the past 6 games overall.

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Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Carolina Hurricanes (3-3-0) wrap up a 6-game road trip against the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-2) Tuesday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Hurricanes vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Hurricanes are limping to the end of a long trip to begin the season, going 1-3 in the past 4 games after opening the sojourn with a 6-5 shootout win in Los Angeles back on Oct. 14. Carolina has scored 28 goals through 6 games, or 4.7 goals per game (GPG), while allowing 30 goals, or 5.0 GPG. It’s no wonder the Over is a perfect 6-for-6 to date.

The Lightning were shocked 4-3 in OT on Saturday by the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs, blowing a 3-1 lead after 40 minutes. Tampa Bay, which is playing without G Andrei Vasilevskiy until at least late November as he recovers from back surgery, has allowed at least 3 goals in all 6 games to date.

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Hurricanes at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hurricanes -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Lightning +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Hurricanes -1.5 (+185) | Lightning +1.5 (-225)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hurricanes at Lightning projected goalies

Frederik Andersen (2-0-0, 4.14 GAA, .855 SV%) vs. Jonas Johansson (2-1-2, 3.58 GAA, .902 SV%)

Andersen was knocked out of the game last Tuesday in San Jose due to an upper-body injury. He is projected to get the starting nod to wrap up the trip. If not, it will likely be Antti Raanta (1-1-0, 4.41 GAA, .818 SV%) getting the nod.

Johansson was peppered for 52 shots in the 4-3 OT collapse against the Leafs, making 48 saves. He has allowed at least 3 goals in all 5 games so far, while receiving 15 goals of support, or 3.0 GPG.

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Hurricanes at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Hurricanes 5, Lightning 3

Moneyline

The HURRICANES (-125) look to wrap up the long road trip on a positive note, and they should be able to find plenty of yawning nets against Johansson, who has been very giving early on.

Carolina was believed to have the best defense in the NHL, at least on paper, but so far there hasn’t been any sign of that. However, the Hurricanes were also believed to be lacking in offense, and there hasn’t been any sign of that, either.

Puck line/Against the spread

The HURRICANES -1.5 (+185) are worth a look for a chance to nearly double up, although go lightly. As a favorite, Carolina has cashed on the puck line just twice in 5 outings to date.

The Lightning +1.5 (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return if you like the home side, and want some insurance. Tampa Bay is 2-1 on the puck line as an underdog, but this is just a little too expensive. Go with the visitors instead.

Over/Under

The OVER 6.5 (-110) is the lean, as Carolina is a perfect 6-for-6 so far this season.

The Hurricanes are scoring a lot, and allowing a lot more. And we mentioned above, the Lightning have allowed at least 3 goals in every game. This has the potential to see at least 8 or more goals combined.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) and Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-1) meet Saturday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs racked up 13 total goals in the first 2 games, with C Auston Matthews going for a pair of hat tricks, and all was well. Someone turned off the spigot in the past 2 games, with Toronto managing just a single goal in each of the outings, both losses.

The Lightning have been trying to keep their heads above water with Andrei Vasilevskiy sidelined until at least late November after back surgery. The Lightning have allowed at least 3 goals in all 5 outings, with the Over going 3-1-1 to date.

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Maple Leafs at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Lightning +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs -1.5 (+170) | Lightning +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Maple Leafs at Lightning projected goalies

Ilya Samsonov (2-1-0, 3.67 GAA, .861 SV%) vs. Jonas Johansson (2-1-1, 3.53 GAA, .894 SV%)

Samsonov had his best outing to date in Florida Thursday, allowing just 2 goals on 23 shots, but he suffered his first loss of the season due to the lack of offensive support. He had allowed 9 goals in his first 2 starts, yet won both.

Johansson is confirmed to start Saturday. He has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his 4 starts, while posting a 2-0-0 record, 3.00 GAA and .900 SV% in 2 home outings.

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Maple Leafs at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-135) are a strong play to bounce back after the loss in Florida. Toronto gained a lot of confidence by ousting the Lightning (+115) in the postseason, snapping a lengthy playoff series drought in the process. In the regular season, Toronto has won 4 of the past 5 meetings overall, including 4 straight regular-season trips to Amalie Arena.

The Leafs have won 7 of the past 9 road games dating back to last season, while going 7-3 in the past 10 games when playing on a day of rest.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Lightning +1.5 (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your return, should you require a little insurance. If you like Tampa Bay, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

The Over/Under 7 is a risky play, as I think the total comes down exactly on the number.

With the Over cashing in 10 of the past 11 meetings in Tampa, and 14 of the past 19 meetings overall, the lean is to play Over, and taking a chance on the ALTERNATE LINE – OVER 6.5 (-155) is worth playing lightly.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vancouver Canucks (2-1-0) take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) Thursday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+/Hulu). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Canucks vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Canucks tasted defeat for the 1st time Tuesday in a 2-0 shutout by the Philadelphia Flyers. G Thatcher Demko did all he could in stopping 40 of 42 shots. Vancouver shocked bet slips with 2 victories against the Edmonton Oilers to open the season.

The Lightning are struggling. Not only are they without G Andrei Vasilevskiy for the first 2 months due to back surgery, but they’re also without C Steven Stamkos. Stammer is a key cog to their power play as he has one of the most lethal 1-timers in the game. His loss was felt in the 3-2 overtime loss to the Buffalo Sabres Tuesday as the PP went 0-for-4, and they mustered just 23 shots on goal the whole game.

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Canucks at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Canucks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Lightning -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Canucks +1.5 (-210) | Lightning -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Canucks at Lightning projected goalies

Thatcher Demko (1-1-0, 1.70 GAA, .953 SV%) vs. Jonas Johansson (1-1-1, 3.71 GAA, .893 SV%)

Demko has been great in his first 2 outings, stopping 21 of 22 and 40 of 42 shots against Edmonton and Philadelphia. He didn’t face Tampa last year but went 0-2-0 with a 2.56 GAA and .902 SV% against it 2 years ago.

The 28-year-old Swede had just 27 starts in his career entering this season, and he’s the primary fill-in for Vassy. He has allowed at least 3 goals in his 3 starts, saving 28 of 31 in his last outing. He has not faced the Canucks in his career.

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Canucks at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Canucks 3

Moneyline

Tampa really struggled to find its identity against Buffalo, but LW Brandon Hagel scored his 2nd goal of the game to tie it up with just 7 seconds remaining. RW Nikita Kucherov had just 2 shots on goal and was not much of a factor. He’ll have to amp it up in this one. Stamkos returned to practice Thursday, and he has a chance to play.

I like the LIGHTNING (-135) as their collection of talent should ring supreme.

Puck line/Against the spread

I don’t like either side of the puck line here. Tampa has not been nearly consistent enough on offense to have any confidence in a multiple-goal W.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Canucks are 1-1-1 O/U thus far, and the Lightning are 2-1-1. The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between the teams. So there is some Over traction here, but we need a whopping 8 goals to cash it. And while that absolutely could happen, it’s not a good bet to make. I’m going to stay away as I’m expecting a push here.

I do like BRAYDEN POINT OVER 2.5 SHOTS (-145). He had 4 shots in the last game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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