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The Detroit Red Wings (36-30-8) wrap up a 3-game road trip Monday against the Tampa Bay Lightning (41-25-7) at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Wings vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Red Wings lead 2-0
The Red Wings were tripped up 3-2 in a shootout Saturday in Sunrise, and it is 0-2-2 in the past 4 games while scoring a total of 5 goals. Detroit has been shut out in 2 of the past 4 games, too, while the Under is 3-1 in the span.
The Lightning posted a 4-1 win against the New York Islanders Saturday, and Tampa Bay has won the past 3 outings, outscoring the opposition 10-4 as the Under has cashed in each of the victories. The Lightning have posted points in 9 straight outings, going 8-0-1.
However, the Red Wings have won both previous meetings, each in Detroit, and both as slight underdogs, while outscoring the Lightning 8-5. The Wings have won 2 of the past 3 visits to Tampa, too, while the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings at Amalie Arena.
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Red Wings at Lightning odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Lightning -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-155) | Lightning -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Red Wings at Lightning projected goalies
Alex Lyon (18-16-4, 3.03 GAA, .905 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28-16-2, 2.85 GAA, .900 SV%, 2 SO)
Lyon was decent last time out in Florida, allowing just 2 goals on 38 shots. After struggling earlier in the month, allowing 4 or more goals in 5 of his 1st 6 starts, he has allowed just 7 goals on 100 shots in his past 3 outings. Lyon is 0-7-2 with a 4.03 GAA and .884 SV% in 9 starts in March.
Vasilevskiy has been on fire in the past month, allowing just a single goal each in 3 of his past 4 outings. He is 8-1-1 with a 2.39 GAA and .915 SV% with 1 SO in 10 starts in March. Vasilevskiy was still recovering from back surgery until late November, and he missed the 1st game in Detroit Oct. 14, while he was rested in the 2nd meeting in late January.
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Red Wings at Lightning picks and predictions
Prediction
Lightning 4, Red Wings 2
Moneyline
The Lightning (-190) are just a little too pricey on the moneyline, costing you almost 2 times your potential return.
Yes, the Red Wings (+155) have won both meetings this season, and 2 of the past 3 trips to the Suncoast, but Detroit has been horrific in March, and Vasilevskiy and the Lightning have played very, very well.
PASS, and look to the puck line instead.
Puck line/Against the spread
The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+130) is a strong play on the puck line. While Tampa Bay has lost both meetings this season, it will have a red-hot Vasilevskiy in the crease for the 1st time against the Red Wings +1.5 (-155) this season.
In the final 2 meetings last season, when Tampa Bay was making a postseason push, and Detroit was well out of it, the Lightning posted a pair of shutouts against the Red Wings, outscoring Detroit 8-0. We might not get a shutout, but Tampa is a strong play on the puck line at plus-money.
Over/Under
UNDER 6.5 (-110) is worth a look, mainly because Vasilevskiy has been red hot in March, while the Red Wings have really struggled lately on offense.
As it stands, the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings, and 3-1 in the past 4 battles at Amalie Arena, too. The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 skates for the Red Wings while cashing in 3 straight for the Lightning.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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