Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The San Diego Padres (81-63) welcome the San Francisco Giants (70-73) to Petco Park Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 5-4

The Giants lost the series-opening game 5-1 Friday, but bounced back with a 6-3 win over the Padres Saturday.

San Francisco has struggled as of late and has dropped to 4th in the NL West. It is 4-8 over its last 12 games and 2-5 over its last 7. The Giants are 30-41 on the road and 67-76 against the spread (ATS).

The Padres have lost 2 of their last 3 games after a near sweept of the Detroit Tigers in the series prior. They are 2nd in the NL West and are 6-3 over their last 9 games. San Diego is 40-34 at home and 73-71 ATS.

Giants at Padres projected starters

RHP Spencer Bivens vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Bivens (3-1, 2.86 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 34 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-4 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 30
• 2024 away stats: 1-1, 3.09 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 7 appearances
• Rookie has never faced Padres

Musgrove (5-4, 4.09 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 77 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 home win over the Detroit Tigers Monday
• 2024 home stats: 4-3, 3.60 ERA (55 IP, 22 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 10 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 4-4, 4.03 ERA (80 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 14 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +172 (bet $100 to win $172) | Padres -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-118) | Padres -1.5 (-102)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Giants are too risky, especially given the Padres have an ace on the mound. San Diego is far too expensive to take here as well.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS  +1.5 (-118).

The Giants are just 2-5 over their last 7 games, but 2 of those losses have come by 1 run and another 2 have come by 2 runs, so they’ve been able to keep games close. San Francisco is 36-34 ATS as a road team this season.

The Padres have a similar story. While they are 4-2 over their last 6 games, 2 of those wins have come by 1 run. They are among the bottom third in the majors in covering at home with just a 30-43 ATS record.

Considering those trends, take GIANTS +1.5 (-118).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Giants have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games and are 72-65-6 O/U on the season. San Francisco has allowed at least 5 runs in 4 of its last 6 games.

The Padres have a similar season-long trend at 77-64-3 O/U. San Diego has gone 4-3-1 O/U in its last 8 games. With those trends in mind, back OVER 8.5 (-105).

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The San Diego Padres (81-62) welcome the San Francisco Giants (69-73) to PETCO Park Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

The Giants lost the series-opening game 5-1 Friday, closing as a +180 underdog. San Francisco has now lost 5 of its last 6 games, falling to 4th in the NL West. It is 29-41 on the road this season and 66-76 against the spread (ATS). The Giants have lost 2 of 3 in their 2 series prior.

The Padres have been the opposite, winning 4 of their last 5 games. They beat the Detroit Tigers in 2 of 3 the series prior. San Diego has won 8 of its last 12. It is 40-33 at home and is 4-1 over its last 5 at home. The Padres are 73-70 ATS on the season.

Giants at Padres projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Webb (11-9, 3.43 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 183 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-5 home loss to the Miami Marlins Sunday
• 2024 away stats: 4-5, 4.29 ERA (86 IP, 41 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 15 starts
• Career vs. Padres: 3-2, 2.55 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 12 appearances (11 starts)

Cease (12-10, 3.62 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 164 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
• 2024 home stats: 5-6, 3.14 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 12 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 2-1, 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Padres -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-184) | Padres -1.5 (+152)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (+130).

The Giants have their ace on the mound, and Webb has been a strong starting option for San Francisco. The Giants are 5-2 in Webb’s last 7 starts. The Giants are 40-32 following a loss as well, which they are here.

The Padres have played well over the last week but are just 5-4 over their last 9 games. They have tallied 4 or fewer in 6 of those 9 games as well. For the value here, take GIANTS (+130).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Giants are too expensive as a run-line underdog while the home-side Padres are too risky as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-110).

The Giants have gone Over in Webb’s last 3 starts and are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games. They have scored at least 4 in 3 of their last 5 and have allowed at least 6 in 3 of those as well.

San Francisco is 71-65-6 O/U this season. The Padres are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7 games and are 76-64-3 O/U this season. Considering those trends, take OVER 7 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The San Diego Padres (80-62) welcome the San Francisco Giants (69-72) to Petco Park Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 4-3

The Giants beat the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 Thursday to avoid a sweep in that series. San Francisco lost 8-7 Tuesday and 6-4 Wednesday and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. It sits 4th in the NL West. The Giants are 29-40 on the road and 66-75 against the spread (ATS).

The Padres lost 4-3 Thursday, missing out on the sweep over the Detroit Tigers. San Diego won the prior 2 games a combined 9-5. It has won 7 of its last 11 and is 2nd in the NL West. The Padres are 39-33 at home, having won 4 of their last 6 home games, and are 72-70 ATS.

Giants at Padres projected starters

RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Michael King

Black (0-2, 7.45 ERA) makes his 5th career start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home loss to the Miami Marlins Saturday
• 2024 away stats: 0-1, 11.57 ERA (7 IP, 9 ER), 2.29 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
• Has never faced Padres

King (11-8, 3.17 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-1 road loss to the St. Louis Cardinals on Aug. 29
• 2024 home stats: 3-5, 3.56 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 12 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Padres -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Giants at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Giants 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value on the moneyline here. The Padres are far too expensive to play here, and the Giants, especially considering their starting option, aren’t worth a play either.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES -1.5 (+105).

The Giants are among the worst road-covering teams in the MLB with a 35-33 ATS record away from home. They are 2-6 in their last 8 games and have lost 4 of those 6 by multiple runs.

The Padres have covered in 4 of King’s last 7 starts. San Diego has a major pitching advantage with Black having struggled this season. Black has allowed 4 or more ERs in 3 of his 5 appearances. Expect San Diego to score often and enough to cover here.

Back PADRES -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-122).

The Padres have consistently gone Over this season and are 76-63-3 O/U. They are 3-2-1 O/U in their last 6 games, scoring at least 4 in 4 of their last 6.

The Giants are 71-64-6 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 3 of their last 4, allowing at least 6 in 3 of 4. Considering those trends, take OVER 7.5 (-122).

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The San Francisco Giants (2-1) and San Diego Padres (2-3) close out a 4-game series Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

San Francisco went 4 for 7 with runners in scoring position in a 9-6 win over San Diego Saturday. Over their 2 wins in this series, the Giants gave gone 9 of 18 in such situations.

The Padres had 3 extra-base hits Saturday. A San Diego club that last year tallied a league-average .413 slugging percentage has banged out 14 extra-base hits over its last 4 games.

Giants at Padres projected starters

RHP Daulton Jefferies vs. RHP Michael King

Jefferies has not pitched in the Majors since 2022; he missed last season recovering from his 2nd Tommy John surgery.

• Owns a 5.75 ERA over 14 career games (10 starts)
• Pitched 14 innings in spring training, logging a 2.57 ERA with 16 K against 3 BB
• Has never faced the Padres

King (4-8, 2.75 ERA with the New York Yankees in 2023) is making his 1st home start with the Padres after being acquired in the Juan Soto trade. Last season, he had a 1.15 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 104 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 15-11 win vs. Los Angeles Dodgers March 21 (in South Korea)
• Has faced the Giants once, tossing 1 2/3 innings against them last April 1 (2 R allowed on 4 H and 1 BB; struck out 3)
• This game marks his 20th career start; he owns a 3.44 career ERA across 116 games overall

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Giants at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

There are too many questions on the Giants side of the ledger, especially with Jefferies getting the nod for the 1st time since May 18, 2022.

King will likely see a hefty contingent of left-handed batters in the San Francisco order, but the former Yankee relief standout has an excellent history against batters of the opposite hand (.656 OPS allowed career, .542 OPSA in 2023).

The Padres went 9-3 at home last September; they are 13-7 across their last 20 home games against San Francisco.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best value price here: BET THE PADRES (-132).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Peg the ML as having the best leverage in this matchup.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in all 3 games of this series.

Both offenses are clicking so far this season, and there are mound questions on both sides in this series finale. Last September, the Padres got on a roll at home. Over those last 12 games referenced above, they cranked out an .854 OPS while scoring 5.58 runs per game.

San Francisco banged out an .817 OPS in spring training, and batters on both sides get the likely benefit of a significant outward breeze, which is in the forecast. The game could also be in jeopardy due to expected heavy rain.

FanDuel Sportsbook has better leverage: BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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The San Francisco Giants (70-66) and the San Diego Padres (64-73) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-4

The Giants are looking for the split of the 4-game set after dropping the past 2 games at Petco Park. The Padres have outscored the Giants 13-4 in the 2 victories after San Francisco won 7-2 in the series opener Thursday.

San Francisco is still 5-3 across the past 8 games overall, with the Under cashing in 4 of the past 6 games. However, the Over is 4-2 in the previous 6 road games for the Giants.

San Diego halted a 3-game losing streak with the victories in the previous 2 outings. Still, the Padres are a dismal 3-6 in the past 9 games overall. The Over is 6-2-1 during the 9-game span, with the Padres pitching staff yielding 5 or more runs in 6 of the contests.

Giants at Padres projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Cobb (7-5, 3.57 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 141 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 6-1 home win vs. Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
• 2023 road splits: 2-3, 4.98 ERA (72 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 11 HR, 1.53 WHIP, .302 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 starts

Lugo (5-6, 3.67 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 115 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 road loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
• 2023 home splits: 3-4, 3.15 ERA (52 IP, 24 ER), 6 HR, 1.27 WHIP, .262 OBA in 10 starts

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Giants at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:33 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Giants 3

Moneyline

The PADRES (-140) are a decent play in the series finale. While Cobb has been solid for the Giants, and he is coming off a complete-game victory last time out, his splits on the road have been less than stellar. The veteran has a 2.09 ERA in 69 IP in 11 home starts while posting a dismal 4.98 ERA across 72 1/3 IP in 14 road assignments.

Run line/Against the spread

The GIANTS +1.5 (-175) are a little on the pricey side, but if you want some insurance, they’re not priced out of line.

The Giants are 6-5 in the past 11 games as underdogs on the run line, winning 4 of the games outright.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is the lean.

The Under is 4-2 in the past 6 games overall for the Giants, while cashing at a 7-3-1 clip in the previous 11 starts by Cobb.

However, for the Padres, it’s been about the Over lately, going 6-2-1 in the past 9 games overall, which is the reason for this being just a lean. The Under is 4-2-1 in the past 7 starts for Lugo.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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