March Madness: Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Creighton vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Creighton Bluejays (24-12) battle the San Diego State Aztecs (30-6) Sunday. Tip from the KFC Yum! Center in the Elite 8 is set for 2:20 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. San Diego State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

The Bluejays are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in the NCAA Tournament and 4-1 ATS in postseason play. They are 3-2 O/U. Creighton, the No. 6 seed in the South Region, has beaten No. 11 NC State 72-63 as a 5.5-point favorite, No. 3 Baylor 85-76 as a 1.5-point favorite and No. 15 Princeton 86-75 as a 10-point favorite.

San Diego State, the No. 5 seed in the region, is 5-1 ATS in their 6 postseason games and 4-0 ATS in tournament games. Despite being down almost double figures in the second half, the Aztecs clawed back to knock off No. 1 overall seed Alabama 71-64 on Friday, covering as a 6.5-point underdog. They beat No. 13 Furman 75-52 and No. 12 Charleston, covering as a 4.5-point and 5.5-point favorite. T

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Creighton vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Creighton -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | San Diego State +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton -2.5 (-105) | San Diego State +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Creighton vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 66, Creighton 63

Moneyline

BET SAN DIEGO STATE (+115).

San Diego State held Alabama’s No. 3-rated Kenpom offense to just 64 points. Projected top-5 pick F Brandon Miller was 3 for 19 from the field.

The Aztecs have a swarming defense that ranks 4th in the nation. Creighton’s strength is offense, not defense, and it allowed 43 points to Princeton in the 1st half. It will have a much more difficult time scoring.

The Aztecs rank 3rd in the nation in opponents’ 3-point FG percentage. They will be able to lock down Creighton, and given that they scored 71 on Alabama, which ranks 3rd in adjusted defensive rating, they should be able to score as well.

Ultimately, back SAN DIEGO STATE (+115).

Against the spread

PASS.

San Diego State is athletic and can defend at a high level. It has the ability to cover and could win outright. I’d rather take it to win outright given the plus-money odds.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 134.5 (-108).

Creighton and San Diego State both play slowly. The Bluejays sit 139th in the nation in adjusted tempo while San Diego State ranks 255th. Neither team will want to push the pace. Creighton has gone Under in 2 of its last 4 games while San Diego State is 0-6 O/U in its last 6 games.

The Aztecs have actually gone Under in their last 11 games and in 13 of their last 14. Given the pace and defensive expertise, back the UNDER 134.5 (-108).

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March Madness: San Diego State vs. Alabama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs. Alabama odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (29-6) battle the Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5) Friday in a Sweet 16 battle at KFC Yum! Center . Tip in Loisville is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Alabama odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

The Crimson Tide, the tournament’s No. 1 overall seed, didn’t cover a 24-point spread in beating No. 16 Texas A&M-CC 96-75 in the 1st round. Alabama then buried Maryland 73-51 and covered as an 8-point favorite. The Tide is is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its 5 postseason games and 1-4 O/U in those battles.

The 5th-seeded Aztecs took down No. 11 Charleston 63-57, covering a 5.5-spread on a last-second foul shot, and then beat 12-seed Furman 75-52 as a 4.5-point favorite. San Diego State is 4-1 ATS in its 5 postseason games and 0-5 O/U. Its strength is defense, ranking 6th in the nation in Kenpom’s adjusted defensive rating metric.

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San Diego State vs. Alabama odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Alabama -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +7.5 (-110) | Alabama -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

San Diego State vs. Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 70, San Diego State 64

Moneyline

PASS.

I don’t hate a sprinkle on SDSU (+270) given the value, but the Crimson Tide have shown few flaws and likely made that moneyline value for the No. 5 seed not as good as it seems.

Against the spread

LEAN SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 (-110).

The Aztecs have covered 4 straight games and won 12 of their last 13.

While SDSU didn’t have many quality non-conference wins, it has dominated its competition in tournament play. Its defense has been on full display, holding its opponent to under 60 in 4 straight postseason games.

Alabama’s strength is also defense, although they rank 18th in adjusted offensive rating. Both teams being strong on the defensive end should result in neither team really pulling away. The Crimson Tide are just 6-8-1 ATS in non-conference play this season as well.

Given the strengths for both teams and the Aztecs likely being a strong public fade, back SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 137.5 (-110).

Both teams rank in the top-6 defenses in adjusted defensive rating per Kenpom.

One concern is Alabama’s tempo, but it has played teams like Mississippi State and Missouri in postseason play, both ranking outside the top 100 in adjusted tempo, and both games went Under the projected total.

SDSU ranks 263rd in tempo, so it won’t up the pace in this game. Alabama has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 while SDSU had gone Under in 10 straight games. Back the UNDER 137.5 (-110).

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March Madness: Friday’s best NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 underdog upset pick and prediction

Assessing Friday’s NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 betting odds and lines, tabbing the best underdog upset pick and prediction.

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Week 2 of March Madness is upon us. The madness? That’s mostly the upsets that happen in just about every bracket region every year. After looking at Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is Friday’s best Sweet 16 upset pick among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Friday’s action includes games in the Midwest Region semifinals i Kansas City and the South Region semis i Louisville. The combatants come from chalky and not-so-chalky parts of the brackets. The best upset opportunity lies with a tweener seed in the South.

See Top 25: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Friday’s best Sweet 16 upset pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:38 p.m. ET.

SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 (-110) vs. Alabama – 6:30 p.m. ET.

The 5th-seeded Aztecs — the No. 18 team in the nation — are the champions of the Mountain West Conference. San Diego State has defeated 12-seed Charleston and 13-seed Furman this far in this tournament. It is 12-1 since the beginning of February.

Top-seeded and 2nd-ranked-nationally Alabama presents a different challenge for SDSU. The Aztecs have played 3 other KenPom top-20 teams this season. They registered losses by 17 points to Arizona (Nov. 22), 4 to Arkansas (Nov. 23) and 7 to Saint Mary’s (Dec. 10).

But this is a live underdog. San Diego State is likely due some shooting regression on offense, but its defense is tremendous. Over their last 13 games, the Aztecs have held opponents to 57.5 points per game on a 37.7% mark from the floor.

Alabama is the much younger team in this matchup. The Crimson Tide can be a bit inconsistent, and they often rely a great deal on a significant home-court edge.

Both of these teams defend the perimeter at elite levels. But that should affect Alabama’s offense — one that relies on triples to a great degree — much more than SDSU’s.

Then there is the pace of this matchup, with the Tide playing the rabbit and the Aztecs playing the turtle. Of its last 8 against-the-spread losses, 6 games were against slow-tempo foes.

This game going into the final minute would not be a surprise, and some bettors may want to pair the ATS play with some moneyline (SAN DIEGO STATE +260) action.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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Sweet 16 first look: San Diego State vs. Alabama odds, lines and trends

Looking at Friday’s San Diego State vs. Alabama Sweet 16 odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs (29-6) will battle the No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5) in the Sweet 16 of the South Region Friday. Tip from KFC Yum! Center is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we look at San Diego State vs. Alabama odds from Tipico Sportsbook. Plus, check out our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

San Diego State cemented its spot in the Sweet 16 with a convincing 75-52 win over 13-seed Furman on Saturday to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. Four  players scored in double digits led by G Micah Parrish who had 16 points. The Aztecs took down upset-favorite Charleston 63-57 in the first round as  5.5-point favorites on Thursday.

San Diego State is an impressive 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 postseason games — 2 in the NCAA Tournament and 3 in the Mountain West Tournament — with the Under hitting in each of the 5 games.

Alabama took down Maryland on Saturday 73-51 to cover as an 8-point favorite. While it started slow, only scoring 28 points at the half, it put up 45 in the 2nd half to pull away. The Crimson Tide were led with 21 points from G Jahvon Quinerly and 19 from F Brandon Miller, a massive turnaround from his 0-point showing as the Tide steamrolled 16-seed Texas A&M-CC 96-75, but failed to cover as 24-point favorites.

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The Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their postseason play thus far with the Under hitting in 4 out of 5 games.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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San Diego State vs. Alabama odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Alabama -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +7.5 (-115) | Alabama -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

2022-23 betting stats (including postseason):

  • ML: San Diego State  29-6 | Alabama 31-5
  • ATS: San Diego State 17-15-2  | Alabama 20-15-1
  • O/U: San Diego State 14-20 | Alabama 16-19-1

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San Diego State vs. Alabama head-to-head

Friday will be the 1st meeting on the court between Alabama and San Diego State.

San Diego State has made the tournament 8 times since 2010, the last time in 2018 when it was knocked off in the 1st round as an 11-seed. The Aztecs  advanced to the Sweet 16 in 2011 as a 2-seed and in 2014 as a 4-seed before being eliminated both times. They have never advanced past the Sweet 16.

This is Alabama’s 1st NCAA Tournament appearance since 2018 when it was eliminated in the 2nd round as a 9-seed. It is only the Tide’s 8th tournament appearance since 2002 and it is the No. 1 overall seed for the 1st time. Alabama advanced to the Elite Eight in 2004 as an 8-seed, but have not made it past the 2nd round since.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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March Madness: Furman vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Furman vs. San Diego St. odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions & best bets.

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The 13th-seeded Furman Paladins (28-7) and 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs (28-6) square off Saturday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Amway Center in Orlando is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Furman vs. San Diego State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Furman ruined a lot of brackets with a 68-67 victory over 4th-seeded Virginia in the opening round.

It’s interesting, too, as the Paladins had a high-octane offense during the regular season, but they picked up the win by playing at the tempo and pace of the Cavaliers. Furman didn’t kill it offensively, hitting just 39% from the field (22 of 56) and getting outrebounded by 8 (39-31).

However, Furman wasn’t a great 3-point shooting team this season but connected at a 36% pace (10 of 28) and it held UVA to just 17% from distance (2 of 12).

F Jalen Slawson went for 19 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while G Marcus Foster chimed in with 14 points — including four 3-pointers — and a pair of blocked shots.

San Diego State plays a very similar style to Virginia, so Furman won’t have to alter its preparations much. The Aztecs have locked it down on defense lately, allowing just 54.8 points per game across its last 5 outings while giving up 61 or fewer points in each. The Under is on a 9-0 run for SDSU.

San Diego State scored just 63 points in its opening-round victory over Charleston, and only G Matt Bradley finished with a double-digit point total (17). The Aztecs turned it over 14 times and will need to be much more careful against an opportunistic Paladins team.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Furman vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Furman +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | San Diego State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Furman +5.5 (-110) | San Diego State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Furman vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

Furman 71, San Diego State 68

Moneyline

FURMAN (+200) is worth a look for a chance to double up your initial wager.

The Paladins didn’t play a perfect game in the first game and still got it done. The same holds true for an Aztecs squad that was dismal on offense but played very good defense.

It’s going to be a grind, but the Paladins will ride off to the Sweet 16.

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Against the spread

Take FURMAN +5.5 (-110) with the points, if you just don’t believe in it straight up.

The Paladins are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 games overall, including their outright win over Virginia, and are 10-1 ATS in the past 11 games against teams with a winning overall record.

Over/Under

The OVER 137.5 (-108) is the lean, and that will be a rarity in an Aztecs game. The Under has cashed in 9 in a row for SDSU and 13 of its last 16 games.

However, Furman likes to run and will look to get the game speed up despite that San Diego State will try to slow it to a crawl. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for Furman, and it’s worth playing lightly.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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March Madness: Charleston vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Charleston vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 12-seed Charleston Cougars (31-3) face the 5-seed San Diego State Aztecs (27-6) Thursday in a first round South Region game in the NCAA Tournament. Tip-off from Amway Center in Orlando is scheduled for approximately 3:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Charleston vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Cougars spent time in the Top 25 rankings at points during the regular season, and this team won the Colonial Athletic Association tournament. Charleston has ripped off 10 straight wins since Feb. 2.

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A lot of detractors of the Cougars look to a weak strength of schedule (SOS), as Charleston’s best win was against Kent State, its only win over a team in the NCAA Tournament field.

On the flip side, San Diego State picked up a win over an NCAA Tournament team in the Mountain West title game, topping Utah State 62-57. The Aztecs have 5 victories over NCAA Tournament teams, while playing Arkansas tough in an OT loss.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Charleston vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Charleston +190 (bet $100 to win $180) | San Diego State -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Charleston +5.5 (-115) | San Diego State -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Charleston vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, Charleston 68

Moneyline

San Diego State (-220) is a little on the expensive side, costing bettors more than 2 times the potential return. Charleston (+190) was able to win 31 games, and many bettors like the Cougars because of the 12-5 upset rule. In the NCAA Tournament, we’ve had a lot of 12-seed teams take down the 5-seed in recent years.

PASS.

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Against the spread

CHARLESTON +5.5 (-115) is worth a look, as the Cougars have the offense to hang with most anyone in the country. The Cougars racked up 81.7 PPG during the regular season while hitting 73.9% from the free-throw line. That’ll keep them in the game all the way.

I believe in the overall body of work of the San Diego State -5.5 (-105), however, and the Aztecs will survive and advance. In the end, the Aztecs have a tremendous defense, and will lock it down when it counts.

Over/Under

UNDER 141.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly, with a half-unit at best.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games overall for the Cougars, as Charleston’s defense has been pretty good lately, too. Charleston has allowed 58 or fewer points in 3 of the last 4 outings.

San Diego State has hit the Under in 8 in a row, and it has allowed just 56.9 PPG across the impressive 8-game span.

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Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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MWC Tournament: Utah State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah State Aggies (26-7) and San Diego State Aztecs (26-6) tangle for the Mountain West Conference Tournament title Saturday in Las Vegas. The contest at the Thomas & Mack Center will tip off at 6 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Utah State has lost just 3 times since Jan. 17; 2 of those setbacks were against these Aztecs. In a stretch beginning with a MWC tourney loss in 2021, the Aggies have lost 4 of their last 5 to SDSU. Up-tempo USU boasts the most efficient offense in the conference, but the Aggies have been quite good on defense over their last 5 games.

San Diego State — ranked 20th nationally — beat the Aggies by 10 in their 1st meeting (Jan. 25) and 2 in their 2nd (Feb. 8). SDSU plays at a slower pace and has a stifling defense that has allowed just 56.9 points per game over the Aztecs’ last 7.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Utah State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Utah State +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | San Diego -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +1.5 (-110) | San Diego -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Utah State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 67, Utah State 64

Moneyline

LEAN SAN DIEGO STATE (-125).

It would be a better play at -120, but this is within range.

Against the spread

In this series, the favorite has gone 5-2 ATS over the last 7 games.

Coach Brian Dutcher is an edge for the Aztecs. Dutcher has led SDSU into the National Championship Tournament field each of the last 2 years, and the Aztecs would have been a shoo-in for a top-4 seed in 2020.

San Diego State -1.5 (-110), with its stalwart defense, is the lean … but only an actionable one for real value at -1.5 (-105) or better. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 7 straight SDSU games.

USU’s best chance here is to play this game like it did the Feb. 8 contest when the Aggies lost 63-61 and the Under won by a margin of 22.5 points.

Utah State likes to get points in bunches from beyond the arc, but teams typically find San Diego State to be especially tough against perimeter shots. Look for some scoring spiral from the foul line, but that’s about it.

BACK THE UNDER 137.5 (-110).

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MWC Tournament: San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 5th-seeded San Jose State Spartans (20-12) and No. 1 San Diego State Aztecs (25-6) meet in a Friday Mountain West Conference Tournament semifinal in Las Vegas. The contest at the Thomas & Mack Center will tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Jose State defeated No. 4 Nevada 81-77 Thursday. The win marked the Spartans’ 4th in a row. SJSU has been in quite a few close games recently, but it lost by 21 points the last time these 2 Golden State foes locked horns (72-51 SDSU win Jan. 28).

San Diego State topped Colorado State 64-61 Thursday and is 11-2 over its last 13 games. The 20th-ranked team in the nation is looking to even its neutral-floor record; the Aztecs are just 2-3 in such games.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Jose State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: San Jose State +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | San Diego State -390 (bet $390 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Jose State +8.5 (-110) | San Diego State -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 126.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Jose State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, San Jose State 55

Moneyline

San Diego State is huge favorites here, and we’re refraining from the juice box that is its moneyline.

PASS.

Against the spread

SDSU covered a -13.5 when these 2 met Jan. 28, and the Aztecs have covered handily in back-to-back games against SJSU.

San Diego has played the tougher slate and is far superior defensively. The Aztecs are a top-15 squad in defending the 3-ball (29.7% accuracy), and they fare well against teams content to launch a lot from distance. Against the 4 MWC teams that shoot the most 3s (Air Force, SJSU, Utah State, Wyoming), SDSU went 5-2 ATS.

Fast teams can sometimes make dents in the Aztec defense, but the Spartans play at a turtle tempo.

Despite that SJSU slow-down effect, expect a big win for the Aztecs in this one. BACK SAN DIEGO STATE -8.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

A lot of defense and not much pace. And it’s well reflected in this number: PASS.

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MWC Tournament: Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado State Rams (15-17) and San Diego State Aztecs (24-6) meet Thursday in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Tip from the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is at 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State edged Fresno State by a 67-65 count in a 1st-Round matchup Wednesday, although the Rams failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites as the Under cashed.

San Diego State has won 17 of its last 20 games while going 9-3-1 ATS across the previous 13 outings.

The Aztecs routed the Rams 77-58 on Feb. 21 as 10-point favorites as the Under cashed, while San Diego State won 82-76 in overtime in Fort Collins on Jan. 18, covering a 4.5-point line as the Over connected.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Colorado State +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | San Deigo State -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Colorado State +8.5 (-105) | San Diego State -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 74, Colorado State 62

Moneyline

San Diego State (-425) should win but is too expensive and isn’t a very good option for a standalone bet as you shouldn’t risk more than 4 times your potential return.

AVOID, and focus on the spread instead.

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Against the spread

Take SAN DIEGO STATE -8.5 (-115), as the Aztecs should be able to win by double digits.

The Aztecs are an impressive 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 games and are 5-2-1 ATS in the past 8 games following a cover.

The Rams have struggled against winning teams, going just 7-20 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a winning overall record. Colorado State is just 1-6 ATS in its last 7 neutral-site games, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 137.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a partial-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games on a neutral floor for Colorado State and has cashed in 4 of its last 5 games against teams with a winning overall mark.

The Under has cashed in 5 in a row for the Aztecs and is an impressive 20-8 in its last 28 neutral-site games.

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Wyoming at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Wyoming at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Wyoming Cowboys (9-20, 4-13 MWC) battle the No. 19 San Jose State Aztecs (23-6, 14-3) Saturday. Tip from Viejas Arena is set for 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Wyoming vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

San Diego State beat Wyoming 80-75 on the road on Jan. 7, failing to cover as an 8.5-point favorite as the Over (133.5) hit.

The Aztecs had a 6-game win streak snapped with a 66-60 loss at Boise State Tuesday, failing to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. They are 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 7 games to improve to 12-14-2 ATS on the season.

The Cowboys are last in the Mountain West Conference and are just 2-6 over their last 8 contests. They are 3-5 ATS along that span, including 2-2 ATS on the road. Wyoming is 10-17-1 ATS on the season.

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Wyoming at San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wyoming +14.5 (-105) | San Diego State -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Wyoming at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 76, Wyoming 61

Moneyline

The moneyline was OTB at the time of publication.

However, even when it opens there will be value on the San Diego State moneyline. AVOID.

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Against the spread

LEAN SAN DIEGO STATE -14.5 (-115).

The Cowboys are just 2-4 ATS as a road underdog this season. They have also struggled in conference play, posting just a 7-10 ATS record.

The Aztecs are 9-7-1 ATS in MWC competition, 11-12-2 ATS this season as a favorite and 3-2 ATS following a loss.

The Cowboys are just 1-3 ATS over their last 4 games and 2-3 ATS over their last 5 road games. Considering the weakness on the road and as an underdog, back SAN DIEGO STATE -14.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 135.5 (-105).

The Cowboys are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games and 3-1 O/U in their last 4. They are also 6-2 O/U in road games. Their defense ranks 301st in the nation in opponents’ field goal percentage (46%).

These teams are a combined 19-15 O/U in conference play as well. Although San Diego State’s trends point towards the Under, the porous Wyoming defense is worth betting against.

Back the OVER 135.5 (-105).

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