MWC Tournament: Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado State Rams (15-17) and San Diego State Aztecs (24-6) meet Thursday in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Tip from the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is at 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State edged Fresno State by a 67-65 count in a 1st-Round matchup Wednesday, although the Rams failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites as the Under cashed.

San Diego State has won 17 of its last 20 games while going 9-3-1 ATS across the previous 13 outings.

The Aztecs routed the Rams 77-58 on Feb. 21 as 10-point favorites as the Under cashed, while San Diego State won 82-76 in overtime in Fort Collins on Jan. 18, covering a 4.5-point line as the Over connected.

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Colorado State +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | San Deigo State -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Colorado State +8.5 (-105) | San Diego State -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 74, Colorado State 62

Moneyline

San Diego State (-425) should win but is too expensive and isn’t a very good option for a standalone bet as you shouldn’t risk more than 4 times your potential return.

AVOID, and focus on the spread instead.

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Against the spread

Take SAN DIEGO STATE -8.5 (-115), as the Aztecs should be able to win by double digits.

The Aztecs are an impressive 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 games and are 5-2-1 ATS in the past 8 games following a cover.

The Rams have struggled against winning teams, going just 7-20 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a winning overall record. Colorado State is just 1-6 ATS in its last 7 neutral-site games, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 137.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a partial-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games on a neutral floor for Colorado State and has cashed in 4 of its last 5 games against teams with a winning overall mark.

The Under has cashed in 5 in a row for the Aztecs and is an impressive 20-8 in its last 28 neutral-site games.

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