San Diego State Aztecs betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 2

Oregon State at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oregon State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oregon State Beavers (1-0) and San Diego State Aztecs (1-0) meet at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBSSN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Oregon State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Beavers picked up a 38-15 win over FCS Idaho State last weekend, but they just missed covering as a 29-point favorite as the Under (57) connected. Oregon State was able to roll up 362 rushing yards on 58 attempts, as RBs Anthony Hankerson (24-155-2) and Jam Griffin (20-160-2) each tore it up on the ground.

The Aztecs rolled up a 45-14 win over Texas A&M-Commerce at home, but it wasn’t as impressive as the score might indicate. It was just 24-14 heading into the 4th quarter before a TD run, a pick-6 and a TD pass helped San Diego State pull away. San Diego State had 254 rushing yards on 40 attempts.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports (new rankings to be released Monday afternoon)

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Oregon State at San Diego State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Oregon State -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | San Diego State +168 (bet $100 to win $168)
Against the spread (ATS): Oregon State -5.5 (-115) | San Diego State +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Oregon State at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

Oregon State 30, San Diego State 21

Moneyline

Playing Oregon State (-205) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too expensive for a standalone wager. However, as part of a multi-team parlay, including the Beavers is perfectly OK for in a parlay of 3 or more teams.

PASS.

Against the spread

Take OREGON STATE -5.5 (-115) laying the little bit of points. It was far more impressive last week against Idaho State than San Diego State +5.5 (-105) was against Texas A&M-Commerce.

The Beavers have a 2-headed monster in the backfield which could give the Aztecs fits at Snapdragon on Saturday night.

Over/Under

The UNDER 53.5 (-105) is the lean, but go lightly with a half-unit play at most.

The Under cashed for Oregon State last week, while San Diego State ended up going Over last week, but 2 of its scores were of the defensive variety. That won’t happen against an FBS opponent.

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March Madness: San Diego State vs. UConn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego State vs. UConn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UConn Huskies (33-3) battle the San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) in the Sweet 16 of the East Region Thursday. Tip from TD Garden is set for 7:39 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. UConn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

UConn is No. 1 and San Diego State is No. 25 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The top-seeded Huskies throttled the 16th-seeded Stetson Hatters 91-52 in the 1st round, covering as a 27.5-point favorite, and then beat 9th-seeded Northwestern Wildcats 75-58 in the 2nd round to cover as a 13-point favorite. UConn was 20-11 against the spread (ATS) in the regular season and is 4-1 ATS this postseason.

The 5th-seeded Aztecs, who lost 68-61 to the New Mexico Lobos in the Mountain West Conference Tournament, beat the 12-seed UAB Blazers 69-65 in their 1st NCAA Tournament game, failing to cover as a 6.5-point favorite. In Round 2 they beat the 13th-seeded Yale Bulldogs 85-57, covering as a 5.5-point favorite. San Diego State was 12-16-1 ATS in the regular season and is 2-3 ATS in its 5 postseason games.

San Diego State vs. UConn odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:49 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +490 (bet $100 to win $490) | UConn -710 (bet $710 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +10.5 (-104) | UConn -10.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Diego State vs. UConn picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 73, San Diego State 61

Moneyline

PASS.

The Huskies are the far superior side, but not worth a play at -710. For the risky, the Aztecs should be a heavy betting underdog, but they won’t have much value on the moneyline given UConn’s season-long dominance.

Against the spread

BET UCONN -10.5 (-118).

UConn has covered 7 straight games as a double-digit favorite and have dominated teams, including Stetson and Northwestern in the last 2. They are 8-1 ATS on a neutral court this season as well.

The Aztecs may have made a deep run last season in the tournament, but they don’t have the caliber roster and don’t have the same defensive acumen, allowing 68 or more in 3 of 5 postseason games. They barely edged UAB in the 1st round and have failed to cover in 7 of their last 10 games. During the regular season, 4 of San Diego State’s top 5 scoring options shot under 43% from the field.

That inefficiency coupled with UConn’s defense will be a bad mixture for the Aztecs. Take the Huskies to cover and back UCONN -10.5 (-118).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 135.5 (-105).

If the Aztecs want to win, must not try to outrace UConn. They should play at their pace, and sitting 181st in field goal attempts per game (58.2), they play at a slow pace.

San Diego State has gone Under in 6 of its last 10 games. UConn has gone Under in 6 of its last 7 games and has allowed 60 or fewer in 4 of its 5 postseason games. It has the defensive intensity to heavily limit the Aztecs’ already-inefficient offense.

Couple it all together and back UNDER 135.5 (-105).

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March Madness: Yale vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Yale vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (23-9) and San Diego State Aztecs (25-10) tangle in an East Region 2nd-round game in Spokane on Sunday. The 13/5 match-up at Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena is slated to tip off at 9:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Yale vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Yale, which barely snuck past Brown in the Ivy League Tournament final last Sunday, upset 4-seed Auburn 78-76 as a 14-point underdog on Friday. Now 6-1 over its last 7 games, Yale is a slow-tempo, solidly-efficient team at both ends of the floor and one that does not turn the ball over.

Fifth-seed San Diego State, ranked No. 25 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, failed to cover a 6 1/2-point spread but defeated No. 11 UAB 69-65 in its Friday 1st-rounder. The Aztecs prevailed despite shooting 27.8% from distance (5 of 18) for a 4th time in their last 5 games.

Yale vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yale +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | San Diego State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Yale +5.5 (-110) | San Diego State -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yale vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 68, Yale 64

Moneyline

Any profit is locked up in the middle. Would take Yale +220, so the Bulldogs are a lean. But better relative value can be found against the number.

PASS.

Against the spread

San Diego State is 4-8 ATS in non-conference games. The Aztecs are 2-4 ATS in neutral-site games.

The Bulldogs’ defensive rebounding is key. Yale was solid enough against Auburn Friday and is well-ranked, statistically, in that category. SDSU has edges at the rim and in free-throw frequency. The Aztecs are usually quite capable on the offensive glass, and for a team that doesn’t do much from 3-point-land, those 2nd-chance points will determine how successful SDSU is.

Yale is No. 79 on KenPom. SDSU has recently played No. 70 UNLV twice and No. 106 UAB; the Aztecs went 0-3 ATS in those contests.

BACK THE BULLDOGS +5.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across 7 SDSU tournament games.

Both teams have filed slow pace figures this season (KenPom rates Yale’s tempo as 327th). But a game inside 2 possessions would likely spiral the points the last 5 minutes. That projected closeness of the game, coupled with the Aztecs’ ability to draw fouls, makes the OVER 128.5 (-110) a solid zag play against the current.

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March Madness: UAB vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s UAB vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UAB Blazers (23-11) and San Diego State Aztecs (24-10) clash Friday in an East Region 1st-round game in Spokane, Wash. Tip-off at Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena will be at 1:45 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the UAB vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Alabama-Birmingham made the tourney as champions of the American Athletic Conference. UAB, the 12-seed in the East, covered a 6 1/2-point spread in the 85-69 ACC title game win over Temple on Sunday.

Fifth-seed San Diego State, ranked No. 25 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, last played Saturday when it was ousted 68-61 by New Mexico as a 2-point favorite in the Mountain West tournament. The Aztecs are a team that usually excels in getting to the foul line. but SDSU has been outscored at the line in 4 of its last 5 games.

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UAB vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: UAB +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | San Diego State -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): UAB +6.5 (-110) | San Diego State -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UAB vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 74, UAB 70

Moneyline

Better leverage is available elsewhere. STEER CLEAR.

Against the spread

When lined as an underdog, UAB is 10-2 ATS. The Blazers are 15-6 ATS across their last 21 games in all tournaments. SDSU is 4-7 ATS in non-conference play. And the rest may between games may not have done the Aztecs a favor: SDSU is 0-4 ATS when playing on 5- or 6-day rest.

UAB may not win this game, but expect the Blazers to get a decent number of points when not in the flow of an offensive set. Second-chance and free-throw points and a slow Aztec pace should serve to keep UAB within a touchdown.

BACK THE BLAZERS +6.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Those 12 games with UAB as underdogs have seen 8 Overs. The Over has gone 5-1 across 6 San Diego State tournament game this season.

The UAB put-backs and free throws tip the scales toward the high side of this one, and both teams have exhibited an uptick in pace of late.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 139.5 (-110).

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Mountain West Tournament: New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Mexico Lobos (25-9) and San Diego State Aztecs (24-9) meet in the Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship Game Saturday at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas. Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 6th-seeded Lobos have scored 3 straight wins over Air Force, Boise State and Colorado State while going 3-0 against the spread (ATS) with 3 straight Under results in this tournament. It’s a stark contrast to the way UNM finished the regular season, as it was just 1-3 straight up (SU) in the final 4 games while covering only 2 of the final 6 regular-season games.

The 5th-seeded Aztecs, the defending national runner-up, topped UNLV and Utah State to get back to the final. San Diego State has split the spread while cashing the Over in the 2 tournament games.

These teams split the regular-season series, with New Mexico winning 88-70 in The Pit in ABQ Jan. 13, cashing as a 3.5-point favorite. San Diego State won at Viejas Arena Feb. 16 to cover as a 6-point favorite. The Over cashed in both meetings.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): New Mexico +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | San Diego State -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
Against the spread: New Mexico +2.5 (-115) | San Diego State -2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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New Mexico vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, New Mexico 66

Moneyline

SAN DIEGO STATE (-134) isn’t priced out of line if you want to pick a winner and not worry about the points.

The Aztecs can tap into the experience of last season’s run to the national title game to get them through. While New Mexico (+112) has played well in this tourney, it struggled down the stretch of the regular season. San Diego State is the team with more experience, and a little more balance.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-105) is a solid play laying the little bit of points.

The Aztecs halted a 4-game ATS skid with the win and cover over Utah State Friday. There is risk here, but they have owned New Mexico State +2.5 (-115) over the years, going 6-3-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series.

The last time these teams met, the Aztecs hammered the Lobos by 11. Look for San Diego State to keep up the good word, claim the conference tournament title, and get ready for another run in the NCAA Tournament.

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Over/Under

UNDER 141.5 (-110) is a solid play in this MWC title game.

The Lobos have gone 3-for-3 in this tourney, relying heavily upon defense to get the job done. New Mexico has allowed 62.3 PPG in the 3 games in Vegas.

The Aztecs have allowed 70.5 PPG in the 2 tourney wins, and the Under is 6-4 across the past 10 games dating back to Feb. 9. The Under has hit in 4 of the past 6 meetings in this series, too.

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Mountain West Tournament: San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs. Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (23-9) battle the Utah State Aggies (27-5) in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 74-71 OT win over UNLV Thursday while failing to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. F Jaedon LeDee scored a game-high 34 points with 16 rebounds for a double-double while 4 total SDSU players scored in double figures. The Aztecs shot 36.6% from the field in the win.

Utah State has won 6 games in a row after taking down Fresno State 87-75 in overtime Thursday and pushing as a 12-point favorite. F Great Osobor and G Darius Brown II each had a double-double. Osobor had a game-high 29 points with 17 rebounds, and Brown added 17 points and 11 assists. The Aggies shot 43.5% from the field in the win.

Utah State is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State vs. Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Utah State +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -3.5 (-120) | Utah State +3.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State vs. Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 75, San Diego State 71

Moneyline

BET UTAH STATE (+155).

San Diego State is 6-4 in its last 10 games but has lost 2 of its last 3 overall and 3 of its last 4 away from home. It has failed to cover in each of its last 4 games as a favorite and has scored 74 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 overall.

Utah State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has only dropped 5 games all season. With both teams going to overtime in Thursday’s matchups, Utah State found another level and separated itself by 12 points. The Aggies have won 6 games in a row and have scored 87 or more in each of their last 3.

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for Utah State.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-110).

San Diego State has scored 71 or more points in 7 of its last 10 and has hit the Over in back-to-back games. It has allowed 71 in back-to-back games as well and faces a Utah State squad that has been hot offensively.

Utah State has hit the Over in 3 straight games and has scored at least 72 in each of its last 5 and 7 of its last 9.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boise State Broncos (21-9, 12-5 Mountain West) and San Diego State Aztecs (22-8, 11-6) clash in a showdown between 20-win squads in an MWC regular-season finale Friday. Tip time at Viejas Arena will be at 10 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Boise State had a 5-game win streak snapped in a 76-66 upset Tuesday at home to Nevada. The Broncos, who were 5.5-point favorites, were doubled up on 3-pointers (12-6) and had 7 more turnovers in the loss. The Broncos defense ranks 3rd in the MWC in points allowed at 66.9 points per game, but they have surrendered 155 points over its last 2 contests — a 77.5-point average.

San Diego State, ranked No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is also coming off a Tuesday loss. The favored-by-3 Aztecs lost 62-58 at UNLV, resulting in SDSU not covering the spread for the 3rd time in its last 4 games.

In their 1st regular-season meeting, the Broncos won at home, nipping the Aztecs 67-66 Jan. 20. The result was a push — Boise State was a 1-point favorite — and Under (137) cashed.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Boise State +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | San Diego State -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Boise State +7.5 (-105) | San Diego State -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, Boise State 67

Moneyline

Not enough return on what is a Bronco lean. AVOID.

Against the spread

Boise State is 11-6 ATS in conference play and 3-1 against the number after an MWC loss (per Statfox.com). The Broncos are 4-2-1 ATS over their last 7 games against the Aztecs.

BSU was blown out by 20 (72-52) in its last visit to Viejas Arena (Feb. 3, 2023), but the Broncos played close games against the Aztecs across 3 trips in 2021-22. In this season’s Jan. 20 game, Boise State did prevail by 1, but it led by 9 at the 2-minute mark.

SDSU is coming off 3 straight games against lesser foes and a dodgy loss at UNLV. With Boise State being a strong perimeter defensive team and an elite one on the defensive glass, look for the visiting 5 to stay close in a low-scoring affair.

TAKE BOISE STATE +7.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The Over is 8-4 in Boise’s last 12 games.

Both teams have slower-than-average pace numbers, but the Broncos have sped things up a tad lately. Expect a lot of visits to the charity stripe.

The series has cashed on the Under in 7 straight games, but look for things to swing the other way Friday.

BET OVER 135.5 (-110).

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego State at UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (22-7, 11-5 Mountain West) and UNLV Rebels (18-10, 11-5) tangle Tuesday in Las Vegas. Tip-off from the Thomas & Mack Center will be at 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State, ranked No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has been off for a week after defeating San Jose State 72-64 last Tuesday, failing to cover as a 22-point home favorite. The MWC’s leading defensive squad — 66 points per game (PPG) allowed — has gone 4-1 while allowing 59.6 PPG over its last 5 contests.

UNLV is also coming off a victory against SJSU; the Rebels covered as 13½-point home favorites in a 68-50 triumph over the Spartans Saturday. Since Feb. 21, Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-0 straight up and against the spread (ATS).

SDSU defeated UNLV 72-61 and covered as an 8.5-point favorite when these MWC foes met Jan. 6.

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San Diego State at UNLV odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: San Diego State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | UNLV +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -1.5 (-110) | UNLV +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, UNLV 69

Moneyline

SDSU is the lean. The tag here marks an overpayment for a slim advantage in win probability. AVOID.

Against the spread

Since 2022, SDSU is 5-0 straight up and ATS in this series. Over the last 3 meetings, the Aztecs have averaged 76.7 PPG to the Rebels’ 66.3.

San Diego State plays elite defense. KenPom pegs SDSU’s defensive efficiency as 9th in the nation. The Aztecs excel in preventing good looks both inside and along the arc.

UNLV deserves credit; the Rebels are 5-1 ATS in 6 games against Quad 1 talent, according to BartTorvik.com. But figure the Aztecs as having a 3-to-5 point edge in this contest.

BACK SAN DIEGO STATE -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The pace in this one figures to be slow, but this total is 2 points higher than the total listed in the Jan. 6 meeting. Both teams can get out in transition after forcing turnovers, and it figures SDSU can get to the free-throw line quite a few times in this matchup.

Three-point shooting figures — both offensive and defensive — have some regression lean to them favoring a decent night for perimeter shooters.

TAKE THE OVER 136.5 (-110).

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State at Air Force odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (2-3, 0-1 MWC) and the Air Force Falcons (4-0, 2-0) meet Saturday at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, Colo. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Aztecs are looking to turn things around after dropping 3 consecutive games, including a 34-31 setback at home to Boise State in the conference opener last Friday. The good news is that San Diego State covered as a 4.5-point underdog, and it is 2-0 ATS in the past 2 outings. The 31 points marked the most for San Diego State against an FBS opponent this season, too.

The Falcons started off rather sluggish at San Jose State last Friday, and Air Force trailed 20-17 at the half. However, the Falcons outscored the Spartans 28-0 in the final 30 minutes to comfortably cover, while equaling the total (45) on its own. Air Force has scored 39 or more points in 3 of 4 games, cashing the Over in the previous 2 while also covering in those outings.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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San Diego State at Air Force odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +315 (bet $100 to win $315) | Air Force -410 (bet $410 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +10.5 (-115) | Air Force -10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 26, San Diego State 13

Moneyline

Air Force (-410) will cost you over 4 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit of risk, and not enough reward. There is also the risk of the Falcons falling behind, too, and it isn’t exactly built for playing catch-up, with a primarily ground-based attack. That makes the Falcons even more risky that some others at a high price like this.

PASS.

Against the spread

AIR FORCE -10.5 (-105) is the lean, but go very lightly.

By the way, isn’t it ironic that a team named Air Force primarily keeps the ball on the ground, rarely going to the air? It has just 55.3 passing yards per game, while leading the nation with 340.5 rushing yards per contest.

Defensively, Air Force has been stout, too, allowing very little on the ground or in the air, and that’s not what San Diego State +10.5 (-115) needs as it tries to snap a 3-game skid.

Over/Under

UNDER 42.5 (-110) is a rather low number for this day and age of college football, but Saturday’s game will be more old school, and won’t resemble a video game.

Air Force has a bruising rushing attack, and running the ball keeps the clock moving. The fact that the clock isn’t stopped for 1st downs aids Under bettors even more, especially in games featuring the Falcons.

The Aztecs also have a methodical, lumbering offensive attack, and not a quick strike offense. As such, the Under is the best play in this Mountain West showdown.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boise State Broncos (1-2) and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) meet Friday night at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego in the Mountain West Conference opener for both teams. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

We’ve grown accustomed over the years to seeing Boise State not only roll through the MWC, but challenge for a New Year’s Day bowl game as a Group of 5 leader. It isn’t going to happen this season.

The Broncos have dropped both games against FBS opponents, including a 56-19 blasting from Washington. Boise State’s only win is a 42-18 game against North Dakota of the FCS.

San Diego State already has 4 games under its belt. It opened with a 20-13 win over Ohio, before sneaking by Idaho State of the FCS by a 36-28 score. However, it was outscored 61-19 in a pair of losses to UCLA and Oregon State. The Under is 3-1 in 4 games to date, including all 3 games vs. FBS opponents.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Boise State at San Diego State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Boise State -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | San Diego State +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -7 (-105) | San Diego State +7 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 22, San Diego State 19

Moneyline

Boise State (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, which is rather risky since the Broncos have won just once in 3 games to date. However, San Diego State (+210) continues to struggle to put up points, averaging 13.0 PPG in 3 games against FBS teams.

PASS.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (-115) is a strong play catching a touchdown at home, and it would be even more attractive if this number gets up to 7 and a hook by kickoff.

The Aztecs are 1-1 ATS in 2 games as an underdog this season. More importantly, San Diego State is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 meetings with Boise State -7 (-105) since 2011, including 4 wins outright in the past 7.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is the lean in this Mountain West opener for both sides.

In this series, the Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings. The Over and Under has split in 2 games for Boise State against FBS foes, while the Under has connected in all 3 games against FBS opponents for San Diego State.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire

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