San Diego State Aztecs betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 2

Mountain West Tournament: San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs. Utah State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (23-9) battle the Utah State Aggies (27-5) in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 74-71 OT win over UNLV Thursday while failing to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. F Jaedon LeDee scored a game-high 34 points with 16 rebounds for a double-double while 4 total SDSU players scored in double figures. The Aztecs shot 36.6% from the field in the win.

Utah State has won 6 games in a row after taking down Fresno State 87-75 in overtime Thursday and pushing as a 12-point favorite. F Great Osobor and G Darius Brown II each had a double-double. Osobor had a game-high 29 points with 17 rebounds, and Brown added 17 points and 11 assists. The Aggies shot 43.5% from the field in the win.

Utah State is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State vs. Utah State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Utah State +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -3.5 (-120) | Utah State +3.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State vs. Utah State picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah State 75, San Diego State 71

Moneyline

BET UTAH STATE (+155).

San Diego State is 6-4 in its last 10 games but has lost 2 of its last 3 overall and 3 of its last 4 away from home. It has failed to cover in each of its last 4 games as a favorite and has scored 74 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 overall.

Utah State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has only dropped 5 games all season. With both teams going to overtime in Thursday’s matchups, Utah State found another level and separated itself by 12 points. The Aggies have won 6 games in a row and have scored 87 or more in each of their last 3.

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for Utah State.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-110).

San Diego State has scored 71 or more points in 7 of its last 10 and has hit the Over in back-to-back games. It has allowed 71 in back-to-back games as well and faces a Utah State squad that has been hot offensively.

Utah State has hit the Over in 3 straight games and has scored at least 72 in each of its last 5 and 7 of its last 9.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boise State Broncos (21-9, 12-5 Mountain West) and San Diego State Aztecs (22-8, 11-6) clash in a showdown between 20-win squads in an MWC regular-season finale Friday. Tip time at Viejas Arena will be at 10 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Boise State had a 5-game win streak snapped in a 76-66 upset Tuesday at home to Nevada. The Broncos, who were 5.5-point favorites, were doubled up on 3-pointers (12-6) and had 7 more turnovers in the loss. The Broncos defense ranks 3rd in the MWC in points allowed at 66.9 points per game, but they have surrendered 155 points over its last 2 contests — a 77.5-point average.

San Diego State, ranked No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is also coming off a Tuesday loss. The favored-by-3 Aztecs lost 62-58 at UNLV, resulting in SDSU not covering the spread for the 3rd time in its last 4 games.

In their 1st regular-season meeting, the Broncos won at home, nipping the Aztecs 67-66 Jan. 20. The result was a push — Boise State was a 1-point favorite — and Under (137) cashed.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Boise State +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | San Diego State -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Boise State +7.5 (-105) | San Diego State -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, Boise State 67

Moneyline

Not enough return on what is a Bronco lean. AVOID.

Against the spread

Boise State is 11-6 ATS in conference play and 3-1 against the number after an MWC loss (per Statfox.com). The Broncos are 4-2-1 ATS over their last 7 games against the Aztecs.

BSU was blown out by 20 (72-52) in its last visit to Viejas Arena (Feb. 3, 2023), but the Broncos played close games against the Aztecs across 3 trips in 2021-22. In this season’s Jan. 20 game, Boise State did prevail by 1, but it led by 9 at the 2-minute mark.

SDSU is coming off 3 straight games against lesser foes and a dodgy loss at UNLV. With Boise State being a strong perimeter defensive team and an elite one on the defensive glass, look for the visiting 5 to stay close in a low-scoring affair.

TAKE BOISE STATE +7.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The Over is 8-4 in Boise’s last 12 games.

Both teams have slower-than-average pace numbers, but the Broncos have sped things up a tad lately. Expect a lot of visits to the charity stripe.

The series has cashed on the Under in 7 straight games, but look for things to swing the other way Friday.

BET OVER 135.5 (-110).

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego State at UNLV odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (22-7, 11-5 Mountain West) and UNLV Rebels (18-10, 11-5) tangle Tuesday in Las Vegas. Tip-off from the Thomas & Mack Center will be at 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State, ranked No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has been off for a week after defeating San Jose State 72-64 last Tuesday, failing to cover as a 22-point home favorite. The MWC’s leading defensive squad — 66 points per game (PPG) allowed — has gone 4-1 while allowing 59.6 PPG over its last 5 contests.

UNLV is also coming off a victory against SJSU; the Rebels covered as 13½-point home favorites in a 68-50 triumph over the Spartans Saturday. Since Feb. 21, Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-0 straight up and against the spread (ATS).

SDSU defeated UNLV 72-61 and covered as an 8.5-point favorite when these MWC foes met Jan. 6.

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San Diego State at UNLV odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: San Diego State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | UNLV +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -1.5 (-110) | UNLV +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at UNLV picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, UNLV 69

Moneyline

SDSU is the lean. The tag here marks an overpayment for a slim advantage in win probability. AVOID.

Against the spread

Since 2022, SDSU is 5-0 straight up and ATS in this series. Over the last 3 meetings, the Aztecs have averaged 76.7 PPG to the Rebels’ 66.3.

San Diego State plays elite defense. KenPom pegs SDSU’s defensive efficiency as 9th in the nation. The Aztecs excel in preventing good looks both inside and along the arc.

UNLV deserves credit; the Rebels are 5-1 ATS in 6 games against Quad 1 talent, according to BartTorvik.com. But figure the Aztecs as having a 3-to-5 point edge in this contest.

BACK SAN DIEGO STATE -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The pace in this one figures to be slow, but this total is 2 points higher than the total listed in the Jan. 6 meeting. Both teams can get out in transition after forcing turnovers, and it figures SDSU can get to the free-throw line quite a few times in this matchup.

Three-point shooting figures — both offensive and defensive — have some regression lean to them favoring a decent night for perimeter shooters.

TAKE THE OVER 136.5 (-110).

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State at Air Force odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego State Aztecs (2-3, 0-1 MWC) and the Air Force Falcons (4-0, 2-0) meet Saturday at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, Colo. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Aztecs are looking to turn things around after dropping 3 consecutive games, including a 34-31 setback at home to Boise State in the conference opener last Friday. The good news is that San Diego State covered as a 4.5-point underdog, and it is 2-0 ATS in the past 2 outings. The 31 points marked the most for San Diego State against an FBS opponent this season, too.

The Falcons started off rather sluggish at San Jose State last Friday, and Air Force trailed 20-17 at the half. However, the Falcons outscored the Spartans 28-0 in the final 30 minutes to comfortably cover, while equaling the total (45) on its own. Air Force has scored 39 or more points in 3 of 4 games, cashing the Over in the previous 2 while also covering in those outings.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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San Diego State at Air Force odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +315 (bet $100 to win $315) | Air Force -410 (bet $410 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +10.5 (-115) | Air Force -10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 26, San Diego State 13

Moneyline

Air Force (-410) will cost you over 4 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit of risk, and not enough reward. There is also the risk of the Falcons falling behind, too, and it isn’t exactly built for playing catch-up, with a primarily ground-based attack. That makes the Falcons even more risky that some others at a high price like this.

PASS.

Against the spread

AIR FORCE -10.5 (-105) is the lean, but go very lightly.

By the way, isn’t it ironic that a team named Air Force primarily keeps the ball on the ground, rarely going to the air? It has just 55.3 passing yards per game, while leading the nation with 340.5 rushing yards per contest.

Defensively, Air Force has been stout, too, allowing very little on the ground or in the air, and that’s not what San Diego State +10.5 (-115) needs as it tries to snap a 3-game skid.

Over/Under

UNDER 42.5 (-110) is a rather low number for this day and age of college football, but Saturday’s game will be more old school, and won’t resemble a video game.

Air Force has a bruising rushing attack, and running the ball keeps the clock moving. The fact that the clock isn’t stopped for 1st downs aids Under bettors even more, especially in games featuring the Falcons.

The Aztecs also have a methodical, lumbering offensive attack, and not a quick strike offense. As such, the Under is the best play in this Mountain West showdown.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boise State Broncos (1-2) and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) meet Friday night at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego in the Mountain West Conference opener for both teams. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

We’ve grown accustomed over the years to seeing Boise State not only roll through the MWC, but challenge for a New Year’s Day bowl game as a Group of 5 leader. It isn’t going to happen this season.

The Broncos have dropped both games against FBS opponents, including a 56-19 blasting from Washington. Boise State’s only win is a 42-18 game against North Dakota of the FCS.

San Diego State already has 4 games under its belt. It opened with a 20-13 win over Ohio, before sneaking by Idaho State of the FCS by a 36-28 score. However, it was outscored 61-19 in a pair of losses to UCLA and Oregon State. The Under is 3-1 in 4 games to date, including all 3 games vs. FBS opponents.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Boise State at San Diego State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Boise State -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | San Diego State +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -7 (-105) | San Diego State +7 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 22, San Diego State 19

Moneyline

Boise State (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, which is rather risky since the Broncos have won just once in 3 games to date. However, San Diego State (+210) continues to struggle to put up points, averaging 13.0 PPG in 3 games against FBS teams.

PASS.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (-115) is a strong play catching a touchdown at home, and it would be even more attractive if this number gets up to 7 and a hook by kickoff.

The Aztecs are 1-1 ATS in 2 games as an underdog this season. More importantly, San Diego State is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 meetings with Boise State -7 (-105) since 2011, including 4 wins outright in the past 7.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is the lean in this Mountain West opener for both sides.

In this series, the Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings. The Over and Under has split in 2 games for Boise State against FBS foes, while the Under has connected in all 3 games against FBS opponents for San Diego State.

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San Diego State at Oregon State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State at Oregon State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 17 Oregon State Beavers (2-0) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) to Reser Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Oregon State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Beavers are expected to be among the best Pac-12 teams this season. They beat San Jose State 42-17 to open the season then destroyed UC Davis 55-7 last Saturday, covering as 24-point favorites.

Former Clemson standout QB DJ Uiagalelei has 346 yards and 5 touchdowns through 2 games for Oregon State, the No. 17 team in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Aztecs are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. They kicked off the season with a 20-13 victory of Ohio as 2.5-point favorites but failed to cover as 34-point favorites in a 36-28 win over Idaho State their 2nd time out. San Diego State suffered its first loss the season last Saturday as UCLA came to town and picked up a 35-10 victory, easily covering a 12.5-point spread.

San Diego State is led by QB Jalen Mayden, who has 445 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions through 3 games.

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San Diego State at Oregon State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursdsay at 7:36 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): San Diego State +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Oregon State -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +24.5 (-110) | Oregon State -24.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Diego State at Oregon State picks and predictions

Prediction

Oregon State 41, San Diego State 13

Moneyline

PASS.

Oregon State has been terrific this season and it should continue to dominate opponents at home. The Beavers are ranked higher than UCLA, and the Bruins beat San Diego State by 25 points just last week.

Oregon State (-3000) should win with ease, but there’s no value on the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET OREGON STATE -24.5 (-110).

Oregon State may still be underrated. It beat San Jose State by 25 and covered a 14-point spread, and it beat UC Davis by 48 and covered a 24-point spread.

The Beavers have a dynamic quarterback at the helm. Uiagalelei is one of 15 quarterbacks who have at least 5 touchdowns this season without an interception, and there are 45 QBs that had 5 touchdowns. He is the real deal and should be able to command this offense to another big day.

San Diego State is 0-2 ATS since its Week 0 victory. The Aztecs have won by 8 in a game they were favored by 34 points and lost by 25 in a game they were 12.5-point underdogs.

The stars align for the Beavers to come out and put on a show at home. Take OREGON STATE -24.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 48.5 (-115).

The Beavers have a high-octane offense and have scored 97 points through 2 games. They rank 8th in the nation in yards per play. The Aztecs gave up 35 to the Bruins, who had scored 27 in their season-opening win against Coastal Carolina.

There’s no reason to believe they’ll be able to slow down Oregon State. SDSU is 1-2 O/U while Oregon State is 2-0 O/U. San Diego State has at least contributed in each game, scoring at least double figures. That should continue as well. Take OVER 48.5 (-115).

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UCLA at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCLA at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UCLA Bruins (1-0) will travel to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (2-0) on Saturday at Snapdragon Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UCLA vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bruins beat Coastal Carolina in Week 1 27-13, failing to cover as 15.5-point home favorites. UCLA registered 421 total yards of offense against Coastal Carolina, but it had 8 penalties that coach Chip Kelly will want to clean up.

The Aztecs followed a 20-13 win over Ohio with a 36-28 win over Idaho State as 34-point home favorites. San Diego State produced 305 rushing yards against Idaho State, led by QB Jalen Mayden, who had 132 rushing yards and 2 TDs.

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UCLA at San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): UCLA -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | San Diego State +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
Against the spread (ATS): UCLA -14.5 (-110) | San Diego State -+14.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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UCLA at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

UCLA 38, San Diego State 17

Moneyline

While the Bruins should come away with their 2nd straight win, I’ll PASS on their moneyline. Betting on a team at -650 odds isn’t worth the risk, especially with the minimal return you’ll receive if UCLA wins.

Against the spread

UCLA -14.5 (-110) is the pick in this contest as the Aztecs lean on their ground game, while the Bruins have a formidable run defense. The Bruins allowed only 133.5 rushing yards per game in 2022 and they surrendered only 56 rushing yards in Week 1 against Coastal Carolina.

Meanwhile, UCLA should have a much better offense than Idaho State and Ohio, which are the 2 teams that San Diego State has played thus far.

Over/Under

OVER 48.5 (-115) is how I’d bet on the total as UCLA should be able to score a decent amount of points on San Diego State’s mediocre defense. The Bruins were 10-3 to the Over in 2022 and the Aztecs will score enough points to help the Over hit in Saturday’s matchup.

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Ohio at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Ohio at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Ohio Bobcats and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Ohio at San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bobcats head into the 2023 season with high hopes, and they’re one of the favorites in the Mid-American Conference (MAC). Ohio’s hopes are likely pinned on the play of QB Kurtis Rourke, who is making his way back from a torn anterior cruciate ligament late in the 2022 season. He is slated to start the opener, which is tremendous news for the Bobcats. RB Sieh Bangura and WR Sam Wiglusz are back for a high-octane offense, too.

The Aztecs aren’t picked to be among the top teams in the Mountain West. In fact, they’ll likely be middle of the pack. However, QB Jalen Mayden was a find last season, and he’ll be the focal point of the offense, as he can run and pass. He might need to do more running with leading receiver Tyrell Shavers no longer in SoCal. The San Diego State defense will be nasty once again.

These teams have met just once before, with Ohio coming away with a 27-0 win in the DXL Frisco Bowl on Dec. 19, 2018.

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Ohio at San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:36 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ohio +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | San Diego State -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Ohio +2.5 (-105) | San Diego State -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ohio at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 19, Ohio 16

Moneyline

It’s tempting to go with the MAC visitors, as Ohio (+120) has the potential to be a 9- or 10-win team this season. But SAN DIEGO STATE (-145) is home, and Mayden is likely to give the defense fits. In turn, I am not sold on Rourke being 100% after an ACL injury late in the 2022 season. Facing the nasty Aztecs D is not an easy assignment.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-110) is worth a look, but go lightly. This won’t be a lopsided game by any stretch, as that’s just not the Aztecs’ game. They do it with defense. They do it with careful offense. And they rag the clock. It’s the Aztecs way.

Over/Under

UNDER 48.5 (-110) is the best play on the board, and it’s not even close. I’d go low all the way down to 45.5, that’s how confident I am.

Rourke is likely to take very few chances early on, and he is likely to struggle against a very difficult Aztecs defense. Ohio brings a solid defensive unit to the game, too, and Mayden will take some time to find a new top target with Shavers no longer there.

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March Madness: San Diego State vs. UConn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego State vs. UConn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) and No. 4 UConn Huskies (30-8) clash in Monday’s NCAA Tournament Championship Game. The battle at NRG Stadium in Houston will tip off at 9:20 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. UConn odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State has logged final-minutes comebacks and 1-point victories in each of its last 2 games. The No. 18 team in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll has been struggling at the free-throw line (60% last 3 games, hitting 30 of 50), which has not helped the effort. But the defensive-minded Mountain West Conference-champion Aztecs have prevailed under pressure, and they head into Monday night’s championship tilt having won 9 in a row and 15 of their last 16.

UConn — ranked No. 12 in the Coaches Poll — also plays solid defense, but the Huskies sport a highly-efficient team at the offensive end as well. In this tournament, Connecticut is shooting 49.5% from the field (148 of 299) and 40.3% from 3-point range (50 of 124) on a high-volume 24.8 attempts per game. The Huskies have also logged 13-or-more offensive rebounds and had 20 assists or more in 3 of their 5 tourney games.

Check out: Best San Diego State vs. UConn prop bets and predictions

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San Diego State vs. UConn odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:33 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: San Diego State +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | UConn -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +7.5 (-110) | UConn -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State vs. UConn picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 66, San Diego State 64

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Moneyline

The Aztecs (+280) have the defense and impressive senior leadership to take this run one more step. A tag of +300 or higher would make for some acceptable leverage; otherwise. PASS.

Against the spread

UConn is reliant on 3-balls, but San Diego State owns the nation’s 3rd-best figure in defending shots from beyond the arc (28.2%, according to NCAA.com). Look for the Aztecs to hold their own with the strong rebounding Huskies and to perhaps have a key edge in turnovers.

Peg this one coming down to the final minutes with San Diego State within 5. There is value in the AZTECS +7.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

These teams play at a slightly-slower-than-average pace (and UConn has been trending slower still). The Under is 8-1 in the Aztecs last 9 games against teams playing .600 ball; it’s 9-1 in SDSU’s last 10 games overall.

With San Diego State being an elite perimeter defense and not a lot of free throws expected in this matchup, a combined score in the 120s is a distinct possibility.

Under 132.5 (-110) is a lean here but no more unless the line climbs to 133.5 or higher. PASS.

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March Madness: FAU vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s FAU vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 9th-seeded Florida Atlantic Owls (35-3) and No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (31-6) clash in a national semifinal Saturday in Houston. The battle at NRG Stadium will tip off at 6:09 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the FAU vs. San Diego State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

FAU is No. 25 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Owls have advanced to the Final Four with 4 wins. Two of those — against Memphis and No. 13 Kansas State — were by a combined 4 points. The Conference USA champs tote an 11-game win streak into this game.

The 18th-ranked Aztecs are a defensive-minded team on a roll. Across 3 Mountain West Conference Tournament wins and 4 NCAA Tournament triumphs, San Diego State have held opponents to 56.6 points per game on a shooting mark of 35.2%.

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FAU vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:36 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: FAU +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | San Diego State -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): FAU +2.5 (-110) | San Diego State -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

FAU vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 69, FAU 65

Moneyline

The Aztecs have played a much tougher slate this season, and a breakdown of their schedule reveals their they have played an offense-skewed collection of opponents. And that speaks even more highly of SDSU’s tenacious defense.

Peg the Owls as being over-reliant on 3s, and in this one they are up against an SDSU team that ranks 2nd in the nation in defending the perimeter (27.8%).

The Aztecs’ offensive rebounding has been stronger over recent weeks. They figure to get to the line more in this matchup, and they are worthy of a probability number of 60% or perhaps a click higher.

BACK SAN DIEGO STATE (-145).

Against the spread

SDSU has won 6 straight ATS. But peg the Moneyline offering slightly better value here. PASS, unless the price on -2.5 falls below -110.

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Over/Under

This matchup features slow-tempo San Diego State and mid-paced FAU. Both teams have been quite efficient on defense. And this number reflects all of that. AVOID.

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