[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The San Diego Padres (77-80) and San Francisco Giants (78-79) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 6-5
The Padres lost 2-1 as -114 favorites as the Under (7) hit in the series opener Monday. San Diego has lost 2 of 3 and has fallen to 5½ games back of the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Chicago Cubs, who are tied for the final 2 NL Wild Cards.
Giants LF Michael Conforto batted in both runs for San Francisco with a 2-run single in the 8th inning. The Giants have won just 3 of their last 11 outings and are 4½ games out of the final NL Wild Card spot.
Padres at Giants projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. LHP Kyle Harrison
Lugo (7-7, 3.79 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 137 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Colorado Rockies Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 3-3, 3.91 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 32 ER) in 13 starts
- 2023 vs. Giants: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-0 home victory Sept. 3
- Career vs. Giants: 3-2, 2.52 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 10 ER) across 4 starts and 11 relief appearances
Harrison (1-1, 4.85 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 29 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 7-2 loss at Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 1-0, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts
- Career vs. Padres: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 6-1 road loss Sept. 2
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Padres at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Giants +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+135) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Padres at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Giants 4
Moneyline
The PADRES (-125) will get eliminated with 1 more loss this season. They would also get eliminated by 1 more win for the Diamondbacks and Cubs, but that is out of their control. San Diego scored 6 runs on Harrison the 1st time they saw him, and I expect it to have a similar performance Tuesday in a must-win scenario.
BET PADRES (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Giants are 19-7 on the run line this season as home underdogs. San Francisco +1.5 (-160) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when San Diego ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
The Over is 22-19-4 (53.7%) this season when the Padres are road favorites. San Diego scored just 1 run Monday, and I expect it to bounce back vs. the rookie Harrison.
The Under has hit in 4 straight games for San Francisco, but its last Over cashed in Harrison’s most recent start.
BET OVER 8.5 (-105).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]