[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The San Diego Padres (77-79) and San Francisco Giants (77-79) open a 3-game set Monday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 6-4
The Padres won 12-2 as -189 home favorites vs. the St. Louis Cardinals as the Over (8) hit Sunday. San Diego has won 9 of its last 10 games and is tied with San Francisco in the NL Wild Card standings, 5 games back of the Chicago Cubs for the final spot.
The Giants lost 3-2 as +149 underdogs at the Los Angeles Dodgers as the Under (9) cashed Sunday. San Francisco is 2-8 in its last 10 games.
Padres at Giants projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Logan Webb
Snell (14-9, 2.33 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 174 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 5-4, 2.13 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 15 starts
- 2023 vs. Giants: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 IP) across 2 starts
- Career vs. Giants: 5-1, 1.83 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 9 ER) over 8 starts
Webb (10-13, 3.35 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 207 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-1 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
- 2023 home stats: 6-6, 2.37 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 27 ER) in 15 starts
- Career vs. Padres: 2-2, 2.77 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 15 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance — last faced San Diego in 2022
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Padres at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+155) | Giants +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Padres at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 3, Giants 2
Moneyline
The PADRES (-115) are one of the hottest teams in MLB right now as they continue on their very unlikely postseason push. Snell has been dominant in 2 starts this season vs. the Giants, who have been struggling to win games lately. It may be too little, too late for San Diego’s playoff aspirations, but I’ll still take the hotter team with the better pitcher.
BET PADRES (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Giants are 18-7 on the run line this season as home underdogs, according to TeamRankings.com. San Francisco +1.5 (-190) will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when San Diego ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
The Under is 43-30-2 (58.9%) in Giants home games this season and has hit in 4 of the Padres’ last 5 overall. With Snell and Webb on the mound in a must-win game for both teams, I like UNDER 7 (-120) to cash Monday at Oracle Park.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]