San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (26-14) and San Francisco Giants (22-17) meet Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET for the finale of a 3-game series at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2.

The Padres have won the first 2 games of this series, both in 1-run fashion. San Diego heads into this Sunday matinee having won 5 of its last 6 contests.

Friday’s game snapped a 5-game home win streak for the Giants. San Francisco pitching was on fire early in the season with a 2.32 ERA through April 27 but has logged a 5.47 mark since.

Padres at Giants projected starters

LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. LHP Alex Wood

Gore (2-1, 2.17 ERA) — a rookie — owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 29 IP in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has tossed between 5-5 2/3 IP in each of his 5 starts.
  • Allowed 3 runs on 7 hits across 5 IP in his last start against the Chicago Cubs May 9.
  • Tossed 3 scoreless innings in long relief Tuesday at the Philadelphia Phillies.

Wood (3-2, 3.93 ERA) has logged a 1.40 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 34 1/3 IP across 7 starts.

  • Allowed 3 R on 6 H in 4 1/3 IP in his last start Monday at the Colorado Rockies.
  • Has held Padres batters to an aggregate .588 OPS in a small sample of 59 plate appearances.

Padres at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Padres at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Padres 2

Money line

The Friars are 9-4 in 1-run games and have an overall record outkicking the coverage of 4.38 runs per game vs. 3.88 RPG allowed. San Diego has the better relief corps in a vacuum, but after a couple close games, the back end of that group will be held in check Sunday.

San Francisco is the play at -135 or better. PASS otherwise.

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Run line/Against the spread

An outward breeze out is expected in the forecast. That’s less of a concern for Wood than Gore. The veteran Giants hurler gets more ground balls.

With a solid Under, a ML play — at a better price — would be more advisable. But at current prices, some bettors may want to hold their noses and go with SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Both offenses have some quality-of-contact figures that point to their surface numbers being a bit overcooked. With Wood starting for the Giants, THE UNDER 7.5 (-108) HAS VALUE.

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