Tag: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The New York Mets (30-37) welcome the San Diego Padres (37-35) to Citi Field Friday for the 1st of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; teams went 3-3 in 2023

The Mets have started to heat up as of late, winning 6 of their last 8 games. They beat the Miami Marlins in their series-closing battle 3-2 Thursday for a  2-game win streak. New York has won 4 of its last 7 at home yet is just 15-23 at home on the season. It is 27-28 against NL foes.

The Padres have also been surging as of late, winning 5 of their last 6. They swept the Oakland A’s in their last series, winning their last 2 by 1 run with the final game ending 5-4. However, San Diego is just 5-6 straight up over its last 11 and has lost 4 straight on the road. It is 30-27 against NL opponents.

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Matt Waldron vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Waldron (4-5, 3.76 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 69 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 13-1 obliterating of the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • 2024 road stats: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Has never faced Mets

Manaea (3-3, 4.30 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 7-2 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-3, 5.40 ERA (35 IP, 21 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 3-1, 3.89 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 8 appearances (6 starts)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Mets -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+146) | Mets +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET PADRES (-112).

The Padres have dominated with Waldron on the mound as of late, winning 4 of his last 5 starts and outscoring their opponent 27-6 in those games. He has had just 7 ER in his last 6 starts.

Meanwhile, while the Mets have been playing better, they have struggled all season long at home, and Manaea has seen his numbers be drastically worse at home as well.

Considering those trends, back PADRES (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres are too risky as a run-line favorite here, especially considering New York has performed well over the last week. Similarly, the Mets are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Mets are 6-4-1 O/U in their last 11 games and 34-31-2 O/U on the season, having tallied at least 6 runs in 5 of their last 8 games. They are 3-2 O/U in Manaea’s last 5 starts.

The Padres have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 and are 36-34-1 O/U on the season. San Diego has scored 4 or more in 5 of those 6 and double figures in 2 of them.

Back OVER 8 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (7-5) and New York Mets (6-6) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

The Padres won 4-2 as +124 underdogs Tuesday. SS Xander Bogaerts hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 9th inning for the Padres, who have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Mets closed as -134 favorites in Tuesday’s loss. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games after back-to-back wins vs. the Miami Marlins Friday and Saturday.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Padres at Mets projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Snell (0-1, 7.88 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.13 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 through 8 IP.

  • Posted an 8-10 record with a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 128 IP across 24 starts in 2022
  • 6 career starts vs. New York: 3-3 with a 2.73 ERA (33 IP, 10 ER)

Megill (2-0, 1.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 11 IP.

  • Was 4-2 in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances last year with a 5.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP
  • Has never faced the Padres in his career

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

BET METS (-110).

New York should bounce back after blowing a 2-1 lead in the 9th inning last time out. The Mets are 47-19 in their last 66 games after a loss and 13-6 in their last 19 at home vs. teams with a winning record.

The Padres should let down after their late comeback win and struggle to beat the Mets at Citi Field in back-to-back games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

New York +1.5 (-185) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Mets should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Over is 8-1-1 in San Diego’s last 10 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest and 7-2 in its last 9 vs. right-handed starters. The Mets should bounce back offensively Wednesday since the Over has gone 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (6-5) and New York Mets (6-5) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0.

The Padres had a 3-game win snapped with a 5-0 loss as +117 underdogs in the series opener Monday. San Diego was coming off a 3-1 series win at the Atlanta Braves.

The Mets closed as -127 home favorites in Monday’s win. SS Francisco Lindor and OF Jeff McNeil drove in 2 runs each for the Mets, who have won 3 of their last 4 games.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Padres at Mets projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. LHP David Peterson

Weathers (0-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 5 IP in his debut vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 3.

  • Started just 1 game in 2022.
  • Posted a 4-7 record with a 5.32 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP across 18 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2021.
  • Has never faced the Mets in his career.

Peterson (0-1, 6.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.11 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

  • Last start: allowed 5 ER on 5 H and 5 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in a no-decision at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • Went 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP across 19 starts and 9 relief appearances in 2022.
  • Allowed 1 ER on 2 H and 0 BB with 2 K through 2 IP in 2 relief appearances vs. the Padres in the 2022 postseason.

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Mets 5

Moneyline

BET PADRES (+115).

San Diego plays up to the level of its competition and is 5-1 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. winning teams and Peterson wasn’t great against San Diego last year.

The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in their previous contest and should be able to bounce back Tuesday after getting shut out in the series opener.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

San Diego +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Padres should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

San Diego has been bouncing back offensively after poor performances and the Over is 6-1-1 in its last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest. The Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 home games vs. left-handed starters and should cash again Tuesday since both pitchers are capable of giving up a lot of runs early.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (6-4) are set to begin a 3-game series against the New York Mets (5-5) Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of the 2023 season. The Padres had a 6-3 record against the Mets in 2022.

The Padres cruised to a 10-2 victory over the Atlanta Braves Sunday. San Diego has tallied 3 straight wins and outscored Atlanta 25-14 in its 4-game series.

On Sunday, the Mets lost 7-2 to the Miami Marlins with RHP Carlos Carrasco giving up 6 ER in 4 2/3 IP for his 2nd loss of the season. New York still beat Miami 2-1 in the 3-game series despite Sunday’s forgettable performance.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Darvish (0-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Issued 4 BB while striking out only 3 batters in his season debut against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Apr. 4.
  • Has a 5-0 record with a 2.56 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and 9.9 K/9 in 8 career starts against the Mets.

Scherzer (1-1, 6.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 3-plus ER in each game and 4 total HRs in his first 2 starts of the season.
  • Has also failed to record more than 6 K’s in a start this season (had 6 K’s or more in 18 of his 23 starts in 2022).

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

Even though Scherzer has struggled to begin the season, I’ll side with the METS (-145) at home. Darvish has also looked out of sorts to begin the season despite his 1.80 ERA in his 1st start.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

With both teams having veteran pitchers that are getting adjusted to the new season, I believe this game remains close. The Mets will inch out a close one at home, but the Padres have a lineup that’s capable of keeping this contest within 2 runs.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

There is value in taking OVER 7.5 (+100) as neither Darvish nor Scherzer have looked like aces thus far. Both teams are a combined 12-7-1 to the Over this season.

On top of that, the Padres and the Mets have each had 7 games this season where 8-plus total runs were scored.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

NL Wild Card Series Game 1: San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets play Game 1 of an NL Wild Card Series Friday at Citi Field. First pitch is slated for 8:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres won 4-2

The Padres went 6-7 over the last couple of weeks of the season but held on to the 2nd NL Wild Card spot. They’re expected to be rolled over in this series against by a dominant Mets pitching staff, but the Friars could be a dangerous team. One reason: OF Juan Soto. He has a 1.001 OPS, .303 batting average, 16 home runs and 42 RBI in 68 games in his career against the Mets.

The Mets come into this one with a chip on their shoulder. They led the NL East for most of the season, but the Atlanta Braves swept them to take the crown in the final week. They actually played pretty well down the stretch, going 12-6 over their final 18 games. One question that will need to be answered is: How will RBI-champ 1B Pete Alonso fare in his first postseason action?

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) posted a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 194 2/3 IP across 30 regular-season starts.

  • 2 starts vs. Mets in 2022: 2-0, 0.64 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, 9.6 K/9
  • Postseason career: 2-5, 5.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.5 K/9 over 7 starts

Scherzer (11-5, 2.29 ERA) notched a 0.91 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 145 1/3 IP and 23 starts.

  • 1 start vs. Padres in 2022: 6 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
  • Postseason career: 7-6, 3.22 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, 11.2 K/9 over 128 2/3 IP across 21 starts and 5 relief appearances

Padres at Mets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

I like the Mets to ride Scherzer to victory here. I have concerns about their bats and middle relief, though. If San Diego is able to get Scherzer’s pitch count up to get him out within 18 outs, they could steal this one.

But, the Mets are at home with a foul taste in their mouths, and they have a proven stud on the mound. Darvish has had serious questions in his postseason past.

Take the METS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

As mentioned, the Mets went 12-6 over the last 18, and 10 of those victories were by 2 runs or more. The Padres’ hitters are a little green when it comes to playoffs outside of Soto. That could be the edge the Mets need.

LEAN METS -1.5 (+145) for a decent return.

Over/Under

It’s a 63-degree night with a brisk 10-mph gust coming in from left-center field. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in New York. This is a small number with a lot of unknown variables at play.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-125) for a HALF-UNIT.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (58-37) host the San Diego Padres (54-42) for their 3-game series and season finale at Citi Field on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball, which is scheduled for a 7:08 p.m. ET start. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: San Diego leads 4-1 with a plus-16 run differential in those meetings.

San Diego won the first 2 games of this series by a combined score of 6-2 with Padres SPs Yu Darvish and Blake Snell allowing just 1 earned run over 12 innings of combined work with a 14/3 K/BB rate.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco    

Musgrove is 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 104 IP over 16 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in San Diego’s 10-6 loss at the Colorado Rockies July 13 with 5 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 0 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Mets: 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 3 HR, 2 BB and 17 K.

Carrasco is 10-4 with a 4.27 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 99 IP across 18 starts.

  • Last start: Won 8-0 in New York’s July 14 victory at the Chicago Cubs with 6 IP, 5 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Padres: 1 start, a 11-5 win June 6 in San Diego with 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 10 K.

Padres at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30  p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Mets 3

Money line

BET 1 UNIT ON THE PADRES (+105) because they have an edge in the starting pitching matchup, San Diego is an MLB-best 15-9 overall as road underdogs and betting the Padres on the road with Musgrove on the road has been profitable.

Musgrove is better than Carrasco by K% (24.8-23.8%), BB% (6.2-5.6%), HR% (2.6-2.2%), hard-hit rate (38.4-36.7%) and exit velocity (88.2-86.5 mph).

Also, Carrasco struggles on 6 or more days of rest where he has his worst winning percentage (42.3%), ERA (5.15), WHIP (1.33), K/9 (8.4) and home runs allowed per 9 (1.63) of any rest split.

Finally, San Diego is 15-9 overall on the road in Musgrove starts since he joined the Padres last season with an average score of 4.54-3.88 and a plus-12.1% return on investment.

BET PADRES (+105).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

As much as I’d love some insurance for our San Diego ML look, the Padres +1.5 (-200) is way too expensive because they are an MLB-best 19-5 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-112).

Most of the action is on the Under 7.5 (-108) according to Pregame.com yet the total has been lowered from an 8-run opener. This reverse line movement is suspicious and suggests the oddsmakers are laying a trap with the total and are baiting bettors into taking more pro-Under action.

It’s only a LEAN to the OVER 7.5 (-130) because the market analysis is my sole handicapping angle for the Padres-Mets total and this is a “sharp” number without a ton of value on either side.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (52-42) head to Citi Field Friday to start a 3-game set with the New York Mets (58-35) at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: San Diego leads 2-1 with a plus-12 run differential.

San Diego won 2 of 3 games at home vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks heading into the All-Star break. However, the Padres are 4-6 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games and 10.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st in the NL West.

N.Y. had a 4-game win streak snapped prior to the All-Star break in a 3-2 loss at the Chicago Cubs. But, the Mets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games and are 2.5 games ahead of the Atlanta Braves atop the NL East.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Padres at Mets projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Max Scherzer   

Darvish is 8-4 with a 3.41 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 108 1/3 IP across 17 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 5-3, at home vs. the Diamondbacks last Friday with 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 9 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Mets: 1 start — a 7-0 home win June 7 — with 7-scoreless IP, 2 H, 0 BB and 6 K.

Scherzer is 6-1 with a 2.22 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 69 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in N.Y.’s 4-3 win at the Cubs Saturday with 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 11 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Padres: 2-0 with a 4.55 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 6 HR and 10.8 K/9 in 5 starts while pitching for the Washington Nationals and Dodgers.

Padres at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Mets -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Mets 2

Money line

LEAN PADRES (+155) for a “sprinkle” — if at all — because the Mets have the better starter and lineup. San Diego’s RL and the Under are also better looks in this game.

However, Scherzer had subpar numbers vs. the Padres last year we are getting a good number on San Diego’s ML with Darvish on the bump.

There’s also been a ton of bets on N.Y.’s ML but minimum line movement according to Pregame.com. A “line freeze” in the betting market is the oddsmakers’ way of daring bettors to take more action on the “square” side.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

RISK A HALF-UNIT on the PADRES +1.5 (-145) instead of betting to win 1 unit. If your standard wager is $100 then bet $50 on the PADRES +1.5 (-145) to earn a $34.48 profit.

That said, San Diego is 17-5 RL as a road underdog and has a rock-solid bullpen that can be trusted to keep the Padres in the game if Darvish isn’t dealing Friday.

“FLAT-BET” a half-unit on the PADRES +1.5 (-145).

Over/Under

BET A QUARTER-UNIT on the UNDER 6.5 (+100) only because this is a “sharp” total.

But, the Padres are 6-11 O/U in Darvish’s 17 starts, Citi Field is a notoriously pitcher-friendly venue (18th in park factor) and the Mets are 0-5 O/U in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

San Diego’s RL is my favorite look in this game, followed by the UNDER 6.5 (+100).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (32-24) and the San Diego Padres (37-29) wrap up their three-game set in Citi Field Sunday at 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego has lost the first two games of this series, four straight, and six out of their last seven. New York has now won three in a row and five of their last six games.

Season series: Mets lead 4-2.

RHP Chris Paddack is on the rubber for the Padres. Paddack is 2-5 with a 4.27 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-2, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 6 K last Sunday vs. the Mets.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 50 at-bats with a .260/.315/.400 slash line, 15/3 K/BB, 2 HR and 4 RBIs.

LHP Joey Lucchesi makes his seventh start (with three bullpen outings) for the Mets. Lucchesi is 1-4 with a 5.79 ERA (28 IP, 18 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2-0, with 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 3 K at the Padres June 4.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 27 at-bats with a .222/.250/.481 slash line, 5/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 2 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mets 6, Padres 4

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the METS (+110) for a tiny wager because New York’s lineup has been far more productive recently and the Mets have an edge in relief pitching.

New York’s lineup has the fourth-highest WAR, wRC+, and wOBA over the last two weeks while San Diego’s bats are last in all three categories.

Also, the Padres’ lineup is struggling vs. left-handed pitching this season as they rank in the bottom-5 of the MLB in OPS and wOBA while ranking sixth-worst in wRC+.

Furthermore, the Mets relievers are first in WAR and in the top-3 of xFIP and SIERA this year.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the METS +0.5 (-125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because they’ll fare better this week vs. Paddack than last week since he predominantly only throws a fastball or change up. The previous experience against Paddack will pay dividends for New York’s lineup.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because San Diego’s bullpen is almost as good as New York’s and both starters kept the damage minimal when they faced Sunday’s opponent earlier this season.

However, something tells me these lineups could tee off on the starters this time around since both are “back of the rotation” guys.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (31-24) host the San Diego Padres (37-28) for the second game of their three-game series at Citi Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York won the first game of the series 3-2 behind another gem from 2020 NL Cy Young finalist Jacob deGrom who pitched 6 scoreless innings, allowing just 1 hit and striking out 10 batters with 0 walks.

Season series: Mets lead 3-2

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starter for the Padres. Musgrove is 4-5 with a 2.33 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 0.84 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 over 11 starts and 1 bullpen appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-0, in 5 IP with 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 10 K vs. the Mets last Saturday.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 75 at-bats with a .280/.316/.560 slash line, 21/2 K/BB, 5 HR and 8 RBIs.

RHP Marcus Stroman makes his 13th start for the Mets. Stroman is 5-4 with a 2.41 ERA (71 IP, 19 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-2, in 6 2/3 IP with 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Padres.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 90 at-bats with a .222/.290/.333 slash line, 22/8 K/BB, 2 HR and 8 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

BET the METS (+110) for 1 unit because they are awesome at Citi Field (16-5 home record) and have a fantastic 24-15 record against righty starters.

Also, going from deGrom to Stroman the next day is a difficult adjustment for a lineup to make, especially a lineup as inconsistent as San Diego’s this season.

For instance, deGrom’s fastball hits 100-plus mph on the gun regularly whereas Stroman has a deeper pitch arsenal, utilizing more offspeed pitches and his fastball velocity is in the lower 90s.

Furthermore, New York’s lineup is starting to get healthier and produce. Over the past two weeks, the Mets hitters have the second-highest WAR, wRC+, and wOBA in the majors.

On the other side, the Padres have the second-lowest WAR and wOBA over the last 14 days with the third-fewest wRC+.

Lastly, Musgrove has lost all three starts vs. the Mets in his career with a 6.11 ERA in four appearances, and his numbers this season against losing teams are deGromian but vs. winning teams they’re mediocre.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mets -1.5 (+225) alternate run line because of the fat payout, but I’ll stay away since the Padres are 10-9 on the run line as a road favorite this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 7 (-105) as both starters are “top of the rotation” guys who could be making the National League All-Star team if they keep up their current form.

Moreover, neither lineup has produced at its potential this season and both bullpens are in the top-10 units of SIERA, xFIP and WAR.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (37-27) and New York Mets (30-24) open a three-game weekend set Friday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-2 with a 4.83 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 13.3 K/9, and 5.3 BB/9 in 54 IP over 12 starts.

Snell has held current New York bats to a .644 OPS. His last time out on June 4 against these same Mets, he posted his best start of the 2021 season logging 7 IP of scoreless ball, giving up just 1 H while recording 10 K and 1 BB.

RHP Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 5-2 with a 0.62 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, 14.4 K/9, and 1.2 BB/9 in 58 IP over 9 starts.

DeGrom tossed seven scoreless frames in his last start at San Diego Saturday. His low ERA on the season comes courtesy of not allowing a run in five of his nine outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Mets -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

Snell has struggled over recent road starts. A hot-hitting Mets club (5.3 runs per game, .842 OPS since May 25) getting a second look at the Padre lefty and backed by deGrom is the play here. BACK NEW YORK (-165).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

While the Snell-fade angle is a decent one, there is enough realistic possibility for a low-scoring pitcher’s duel. So, PASS on edging the Mets to a run-line play unless the tag becomes more attractive.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Padres bullpen also gets some fade shade here. The Friars’ offense swings the other way: San Diego has been hampered by low BABIP figures when leading off innings, batting with runners in scoring position, and in high-leverage situations.

BACK THE OVER 5.5 (-110).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]