San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (67-54) fell to the Colorado Rockies (53-66) in the first game of their series Monday, but still have a small lead over the Cincinnati Reds in the race for the NL’s second wild-card spot. The two teams meet again Tuesday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres LHP Matt Strahm (0-0, 8.44 ERA) makes his sixth appearance of the season in what will be his first start since August of 2019. He has allowed 5 ER on 11 H and 1 BB against 3 K through 5 1/3 IP.

  • Strahm underwent knee surgery in October, which kept him out of action until early August. He has made eight appearances between the minors and majors, topping out at 1 2/3 IP, so don’t expect him to work deep into this game.
  • Strahm struggled as a starter in 2019, and pitched exclusively out of the pen in 2020, where he totaled 20 2/3 IP across 19 appearances. His 2.61 ERA looks good on the surface, but it came with a weak 6.5 K/9 and a lot of help from a .196 BABIP.

Rockies RHP German Marquez (10-9, 3.77 ERA) makes his 25th start of the year. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

  • Marquez has been excellent at Coors Field this season, recording a 3.05 ERA and allowing just 4 homers through 82 2/3 IP.
  • He got rouged up in his last start when he gave up 7 ER over 4 IP at the San Francisco Giants. In two starts against the Padres (both on the road) he has allowed 2 ER over 13 IP to go with a 16/5 K/BB.

Padres at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rockies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+135) | Rockies +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 12.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Rockies 7, Padres 4

Money line (ML)

Monday night’s walk-off victory was Colorado’s seventh win in its last eight home games, bringing its record at Coors Field to 39-21 on the season.

Marquez has been pretty reliable all season and gives the Rockies a clear pitching edge in what amounts to a bullpen game for the Padres. Side with the ROCKIES (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Marquez allowed a total of just 8 ER across 53 IP over his last eight starts at home. Even in a tough spot against a strong Padres lineup, he should be able to minimize the damage.

On the other side, the bullpen has been a strength for San Diego all year, as the Padres relief corps leads the majors with a 2.96 ERA. They are really going to have to dig deep here, though, as Strahm isn’t likely to give them more than 2 innings.

ROCKIES +1.5 (-175) makes sense, but going for the better payout with ROCKIES -1.5 (+150) on the alternate line is the preferred play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The under is 6-1 in Colorado’s last seven contests and is 7-1 in Marquez’s last eight home starts. He probably won’t completely shut down the Padres but will do enough to help keep this total UNDER 12.5 (-120).

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San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (67-53) hold the second Wild Card in the National League as they open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies (52-66) Monday. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres LHP Ryan Weathers (4-5, 4.72 ERA) will be making his 22nd appearance and 16th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.

  • Has pitched well for most of the season but is in the midst of a rough stretch in which he has surrendered 20 ER in just 11 2/3 IP over his last three starts.
  • In his first two appearances against the Rockies, one of which was at Coors Field, he allowed just 1 ER in 5 IP. However, he faced them July 30 in San Diego and was torched to the tune of 8 ER over 4 IP.

Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela (2-9, 4.71 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 105 IP.

  • The results have been mediocre but Senzatela has at least done a nice job of eating innings as he has gone 6-plus frames in seven of his last nine starts.
  • Senzatela has actually had better results at home this season than he has on the road. He has posted a 4.04 ERA with just 4 homers allowed in 64 2/3 across 11 starts at Coors Field, although he has just a 5.7 K/9 there.

Padres at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+105) | Rockies +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 12.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Rockies 7, Padres 6

Money line (ML)

The Rockies have been tough at home all season. Their 38-21 record gives them the 2nd-best home winning percentage in the league while the Padres are 27-29 on the road.

Senzatela doesn’t miss many bats but he has managed to keep the home runs in check thanks to a high ground ball rate.

Weathers has been blasted in his last three starts and is extremely tough to trust anywhere right now, especially in a great hitting environment like Coors Field.

The ROCKIES (+110) should come out on top in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies are 25-9 in their last 34 home games and are 4-2 there against the Padres this season. Given the way Weathers has been pitching lately, Senzatela and the Colorado offense should at least be able to keep it close. Side with the ROCKIES +1.5 (-130) or consider flipping it to ALTERNATE GAME SPREAD ROCKIES -1.5 (+185).

Over/Under (O/U)

In Colorado’s most recent homestand, 83 runs were scored over a span of six games (13.8 per game). Neither of these starting pitchers is a good bet to shut down the opposition Monday night.

Look for a lot of offensive fireworks and for this total to slide in OVER 12.5 (-122).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (66-53) play the finale of a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-80) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Diamondbacks won the first three games of the series, including a 7-0 no-hitter Saturday by Tyler Gilbert in his first major-league start. Arizona is seeking their second series sweep at home of the season.

Padres RHP Craig Stammen (5-3, 3.31 ERA) makes his third start of the season and his 52nd appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

  • This will be his third time serving as an “opener” for the Padres. He hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in any appearance.
  • Allowed the game-winning home run to Daulton Varsho in the ninth inning Friday.

Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (1-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.

  • He has lost his last six decisions and the Diamondbacks have dropped 10 of his last 11 starts.
  • He has an ERA of 7.06 in his last four outings.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Padres have lost four games in a row and their last four on the road. They have been swept only twice all season with one sweep coming on the road. San Diego won both games Stammen has opened previously.

The Diamondbacks have just two series sweeps on the year and have only won four games in a row twice. Gallen has struggled and the Diamondbacks have lost 10 of his last 11 starts.

Take the PADRES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 59-60 ATS overall and 28-27 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are 6-9 ATS against the Diamondbacks this season.

Arizona is 58-60 ATS overall but has the fourth-highest home cover percentage in the league at 55.9%. The D-Backs have covered the spread in four of their last five games and all three games of this series. They have only had two ATS win streaks of more than three games on the year: when they covered four straight games July 18-21 and eight straight April 18-27.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

Nearly 60% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total this season.

Three of the last four Gallen starts have had at least 10 total runs.  However, only three of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had totals of 10 or more.

Only four of the last 13 for the Padres have totals of 10 or more.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-122).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-76) seek to clinch a road series win over the San Diego Padres (62-49) Saturday after winning Friday’s opener, 8-5. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks RHP Taylor Widener (1-1, 5.05 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Widener pitched 6 scoreless innings and picked up the win in a 3-1 victory April 4 over the Padres.
  • He has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last three starts giving him a 10.66 ERA since July 20.

Padres RHP Yu Darvish (7-6, 3.48 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 121 2/3 IP.

  • The Padres have beaten the Diamondbacks both times Darvish has started against them, although he did not get the decision in either game. He has a 4.22 ERA in those two games despite allowing just 1 run through 6 innings in the most recent contest.
  • He has a 7.36 ERA in his last five starts, spanning 25 2/3 innings.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+111) | Padres -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks won the first game of the series but are only 14-41 on the road this season. They haven’t won two games in a road series since they took two of three in Atlanta April 23-25.

Only the Chicago White Sox have more home wins than the Padres’ 36 at Petco Park, although they are 3-4 in their last seven games there.

Picking the Padres to win is easy but at -320, there are much better bets to make. PASS and look to the spread and the total.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

In addition to having the second-fewest road wins the Diamondbacks have the fifth-worst road cover percentage, although they have covered the spread in four of their last five road contests.

The Padres’ last five wins have been by at least 2 runs. In their six wins over the Diamondbacks this season, four have been by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Six of the 10 games between the two teams this season have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Considering the ERA of both pitchers over their last few starts (Widener 10.66 in his last three and Darvish 7.36 in his last five), we can expect some runs on the board.

Take OVER 8.5 (-102).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-76) start a five-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the San Diego Padres (62-48) Friday. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks LHP Caleb Smith (3-8, 5.04 ERA) makes his 13th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

  • Smith lasted only 1 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing 5 runs in a 13-0 loss to the L.A. Dodgers.
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-10 when Smith starts this season. He lost his only start this season against the Padres, allowing 4 runs (3 earned) and 5 hits in 3 innings in a 7-0 defeat.

Padres LHP Ryan Weathers (4-3, 3.65 ERA) makes his 14th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • He has faced the Diamondbacks once as an opener this season. The Padres won that game, 7-0, as he pitched 1 scoreless inning April 28.
  • The Padres are 1-4 in his last five starts.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are the worst team in the majors this season and have the league’s worst road record at 13-41. They are 3-6 against the Padres with seven games against them in the next 10 days. Smith has a 10.97 ERA in his last five starts.

The Padres’ 36 home wins this season are bested only by the Chicago White Sox but they are only 6-7 in their last 13 at Petco. Weathers is coming off his worst appearance of the season where he allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Colorado Rockies.

Take the PADRES (-220).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

At 23-31 ATS on the road, the Diamondbacks have the second-fewest road covers and third-lowest road cover percentage. All four losses in Smith’s last five starts have been by at least 2 runs.

The Padres are only 28-30 ATS at home this season and 4-5 ATS against the Diamondbacks. They have covered the spread in three straight and are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

53.4% of the games at Petco Park have gone Over the projected total this season. Five of the nine games between the two teams have had totals of 9 or more runs.

10 of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 games have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Seven of the last nine games for the Padres have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-125).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After winning two of the first three games of the series, the Colorado Rockies (46-59) hope to pick up a road series win over the San Diego Padres (60-47) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Austin Gomber (8-5, 3.69 ERA) makes his 18th start of the year. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • He is facing the Padres for the fourth time this season. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.47 through 19 1/3 innings against them.
  • He won each of his last five decisions.

Padres RHP Reiss Knehr (0-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his second-ever start in the majors. He walked 4 and struck out 3 with 2 earned runs allowed through 3 2/3 innings against the Rockies in his MLB debut.

  • His major league debut was July 9 against the Rockies. He lasted only 3 2/3 innings but the Padres won 4-2.
  • He was 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA over 13 starts with Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso.

Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The Rockies, with two wins in a row this series over the Padres, no longer have the worst road record in the majors, although they are tied for the fewest road wins with 13. It is the second time all season they have won two consecutive road games. Their only road series win was over the Padres just before the All-Star break.

Despite two losses in a row at Petco Park, the Padres have the second-most home victories this season. While Knehr might not go deep into the game, their bullpen has an MLB-best 2.94 ERA. They have not lost three straight home games since being swept by the Milwaukee Brewers in April.

Take the PADRES (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies have improved to 23-29 ATS on the road having gone 7-2 ATS on their current road trip.

The Padres are only 27-30 ATS at home this season and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.

Considering the season-long performance of both teams goes against the most recent trends, it is bound to correct itself.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of games at Petco Park this season went Over the projected total.

Four of the Rockies’ nine games on this road trip had 9 or more runs scored and four of the Padres’ last 11 games have had a total of 9-plus runs.

Only four of the 15 games this season between the two teams had 9 or more runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After splitting the first two games of their series, the Colorado Rockies (45-59) and San Diego Padres (60-46) play the third game of their four-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 8-8 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 through 124 2/3 IP spanning 21 starts.

Marquez took the loss in each of his last two starts while allowing a total of 7 earned runs. He pitched seven scoreless innings in a 3-0 Rockies win over the Padres July 10.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-5 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 over 115 2/3 IP spanning 20 starts.

This will be his fourth start of the year against the Rockies. He is 1-0 against them with an ERA of 2.25 over 16 innings. He has struggled more of late, losing three straight decisions and posting an ERA of 7.32 over his last four starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 4

Money line (ML)

The Rockies picked up their 12th road win of the year Friday but they still have the worst road record in the league. They have, though, won three of their last five games against the Padres in San Diego.

They took two of three in San Diego just before the All-Star break in the only road series this season in which Colorado won more than one game.

Only the Chicago White Sox have more home wins than the Padres’ 35 this season. They are 5-6 over their last 11 homes games but Darvish has a 2021 home ERA of 2.79.

Take the PADRES (-200).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games, although they are 22-29 ATS on the road this season.

The Padres are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games and 27-29 ATS at home. Three of the last four wins for the Padres with Darvish on the mound were by one run.

I like the Padres to win, but like Colorado for the cover. Take the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The projected total for tonight is low, especially considering the recent struggles of the two starting pitchers. That said, four of the last five games between the Rockies and Padres finished with totals under seven runs.

Four of the Rockies’ last five games and 10 of their last 13 finished with more than 7 total runs.

Four of the last five for the Padres had a total of 7 or more runs.

Take OVER 7 (-115).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (58-42) and Miami Marlins (41-57) play the third game of a four-game set Saturday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ryan Weathers is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-2 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 58 2/3 innings across 11 starts and 6 relief appearances.

Weathers last appeared July 11 in a start against the Colorado Rockies when he allowed two hits and a walk in two scoreless innings.

As of this publishing, the Marlins have not announced their starter in what is expected to be a “bullpen game.” LHP Braxton Garrett is a possibility. He is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 3 starts and 1 bullpen outing.

Garrett last pitched Sunday, going 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision of a Marlins’ 7-4 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies. The southpaw yielded three runs, two earned, on seven hits and three walks with two strikeouts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Off the board
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 6, Marlins 4

Money line (ML)

The PADRES (-135) are the play with the Marlins using a spot starter and treating Saturday as a bullpen game.

The Padres, who are on a three-game win streak and are 5-2 since the All-Star break, are the much better team. They took the first two games of this series, winning 3-2 Thursday and 5-2 Friday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with the line off the board.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8 (-105) is the lean here. The Under is 4-0 in the past four for the Padres, and 3-0-1 in the past four for the Marlins. With a pair of shaky starting pitchers, expect a little more offense than there was in the first two games of this series.

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San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (57-42) and Miami Marlins (41-56) continue their four-game series at loanDepot park Thursday. Game 2’s first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego held off Miami to win the series opener 3-2 as Padres starting LHP Blake Snell pitched six innings, allowing one earned run on three hits and three walks with eight strikeouts.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0.

RHP Joe Musgrove is on the rubber for the Padres. Musgrove is 5-7 with a 3.14 ERA (103 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 over 18 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 3 K Sunday in San Diego’s 8-7 loss at the Washington Nationals.
  • 2021 road splits: 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA (46 IP, 18 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 4.5 K/BB rate in eight starts and one relief appearance.

RHP Zach Thompson takes the hill for the Marlins. Thompson is 2-2 with a 1.93 ERA (28 IP, 6 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 over six starts in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 0 ER (2 R), 2 H, 2 BB and 2 K in Miami’s 4-2 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 8 H, 2 BB and 17 K in two starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 5, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the PADRES (-165) because there’s been heavy “sharp” action on San Diego and Miami’s lineup has been awful against right-handed pitching this season.

The Padres opened up as roughly a -130 favorite before the market steamed San Diego all the way up to the current price.

However, part of my “lean” on this game is the Padres being one of the few MLB teams that could get “public” money because of their star power.

Furthermore, the Marlins are in the bottom 10 vs. right-handed pitching in several advanced hitting metrics, including wOBA, wRC+, OPS, BB/K rate and hard-contact rate.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since I only “lean” to San Diego winning this game outright and am not willing to lay it with the Padres -1.5 (+100) because they are just 15-19 ATS as road favorites this season and Miami is 12-7 ATS as a home dog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a tiny wager as another “follow the money” play since the market has bet the Padres-Marlins total down from the 8-run opener to the current number.

Thompson has pitched well in Miami so far in his rookie season and Musgrove’s pitching results have been pretty static regardless of where he’s pitching.

I prefer San Diego’s money line more than the Under in this spot because the Padres are 5-1 O/U in Musgrove’s last six starts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (55-41) visit the Atlanta Braves (45-47) Monday at Truist Park for the opener of their three-game series with first pitch scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego whaled on the Washington Nationals in the nation’s capital over the weekend, outscoring them 41-20 as the Padres took two of three games in the series.

Atlanta dropped two of three when hosting the Tampa Bay Rays this past weekend. Despite a losing record, the Braves are just 4 games back of the New York Mets for first place in the NL East.

Season series: Tied 0-0

RHP Yu Darvish makes his 19th start for the Padres. He is 7-3 with a 3.09 ERA (105 IP, 36 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision in San Diego’s 9-8 win July 8 against the Washington Nationals with 3 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • vs. Braves on the current roster: 80 at-bats with a .213/.312/.375 slash line, 29/12 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

LHP Kyle Muller is Atlanta’s projected starter. He is 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 9 H, 8 BB and 20 K through three starts and one relief appearance. This is the 23-year-old’s rookie season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-2, with 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 7 K July 3 against the Miami Marlins.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Braves +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-105) | Braves +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 7, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the PADRES (-165) for a half unit because I think Darvish rights the ship after struggling prior to the All-Star break and the red-hot Padres lineup drills the young Braves starter and/or the mediocre Atlanta bullpen.

San Diego’s lineup is locked in at the moment, ranking in the top-10 in most advanced hitting metrics such as WAR, wRC+ and wOBA this month. The Padres are also 16-7 vs. left-handed starters this season.

Additionally, Atlanta’s lineup is without several key hitters including All-Star OF Ronald Acuna Jr., who suffered a season-ending torn ACL before the break.

Lastly, San Diego is 14-4 this season in Darvish starts and if he can turn a close game over to his relievers then I have faith the Padres bats will do damage against an Atlanta bullpen ranked 22nd in xFIP and K-BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PADRES -1.5 (-105) for a half unit only because I would play either San Diego’s money line or the run line and not both.

My preference is to play it safe and risk a half unit on San Diego’s money line because the Padres are just 15-16 ATS as home favorites and Darvish allowed 10 earned runs and three homers in his last two starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 9 (-105) since San Diego is 12-6 O/U  in games Darvish starts and the Padres have played to the Over in their last eight games against NL East teams.

However, there isn’t a lot of margin between my projected score and BetMGM‘s total so I’ll just stay away.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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