Tag: San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (39-41) host the San Diego Padres (49-36) in their three-game series finale Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Philly evened the series after a 4-2 win Saturday as Bryce Harper and 1B Rhys Hoskins hit a combined 3-for-6 with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

LHP Blake Snell makes his 16th start for the Padres. Snell is 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-2, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 5 K June 22 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 36 at-bats with a .167/.279/.194 slash line, 9/5 K/BB, 0 HR and 1 RBI.

RHP Vince Velasquez is on the hill for the Phillies. Velasquez is 3-2 with a 4.22 ERA (64 IP, 30 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 across 12 starts and four relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-3, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 7 K Tuesday against the Miami Marlins.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 28 at-bats with a .143/.143/.286 slash line, 11/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 1 RBI.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:01 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Phillies +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 6, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PADRES (-140) for 1 unit because we are seeing “sharp” line movement towards San Diego and the Padres have the edge in starting and relief pitching and batting.

This game opened with San Diego laying -123 on the money line before the market steamed the Padres up to the current number.

For instance, the Phillies are just 12-16 vs. left-handed starters and their lineup is 21st in hard-hit rate against lefty pitching.

Also, San Diego’s lineup has been hitting the ball well recently; the Padres rank seventh in both wRC+, fifth in hard-hit rate and eighth in wOBA and WAR over the past two weeks.

On the other hand, Philly’s lineup is bottom 7 in WAR, wRC+, wOBA and hard-hit rate over that same time span.

Furthermore, Philly’s bullpen is one of the worst in the majors. For instance, the Phillies relievers have the third-worst WAR, seventh-worst FIP and third-worst left-on-base percentage.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the PADRES -1.5 (+115) for a quarter unit – if at all – because San Diego is one of the nine teams with a winning run line record as a road favorite (15-12 ATS) and Philly is just 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (+100) for a half unit because not only did the first two Padres-Phillies games go Under the total but also these teams have a combined 12-15 O/U record when these starters take the mound.

Additionally, even though it draws from a small sample size for both pitchers, each starter has impressive pitching peripherals in their appearances vs. their respective opponents. Also Snell still has some of the best stuff in the game despite a bumpy first few months.

Lastly, the UNDER 9 (+100) is a “contrarian play” as nearly 95% of the money is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, and typically it’s profitable in sports betting fading such a lopsided market.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (49-35) and Philadelphia Phillies (38-41) play the middle contest of a three-game series Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Through 16 starts this season, Darvish is 7-2 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 across 96 IP.

Darvish has yielded more than 2 ER just three times through his 16 starts. Current Phillies bats own a mere .533 OPS against him.

RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 2-6 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 through 90 IP over 15 starts.

Eflin was scratched from Thursday’s start against the Miami Marlins due to congestion and body aches. He has pitched well at home with a 2.13 ERA over 38 IP, but his overall numbers have been undone by a difficult-to-pitch-around .337 batting average on balls in play.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Phillies +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Phillies +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The Phillies won Friday’s opener 4-3 in 10 innings. The loss was just the Padres’ third since June 16. It also ran San Diego’s road record under .500 (19-20) despite the fact the Friars are a plus-26 in run differential in away games. Also, with Friday’s setback, Padres are just 12-13 in 1-run games.

Philadelphia is looking for a second straight victory for the first time since winning four straight from June 9-13. Since then, the Phillies are 5-10.

With some fade tilt toward Darvish and a Friars offense which has benefited from some generous rates around the margins of late … and with a bit of tilt the other way on Eflin, the PHILLIES (+140) are the lean here but consider a run line play to get the best value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Peg the Philadelphia bullpen as being somewhat unlucky thus far in posting its 4.71 ERA. The opposite is the assessment of the San Diego relief corps.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

A sliver of Under lean is helped along here by a weather forecast which calls for a game-time temperature of 68 degrees and a 6-to-7 mph breeze helping the pitchers throughout.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (49-34) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (37-41) Friday to start a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego won eight of its last 10 games but lost 5-4 Thursday at the Cincinnati Reds after the Reds scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth inning off of MLB saves leader RHP Mark Melancon.

Philly has alternated between winning and losing its last seven games and has won only three of its last 10 games.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

RHP Chris Paddack makes his 15th start for the Padres. Paddack is 4-5 with a 4.64 ERA (66 IP, 34 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 2 K in San Diego’s 11-5 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 26 at-bats with a .385/.385/.577 slash line, 7/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 4 RBIs.

RHP Zack Wheeler is on the bump for the Phillies. Wheeler is 6-4 with a 2.20 ERA (106 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 across 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-2, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 8 K Sunday at the New York Mets.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 25 at-bats with a .320/.452/.440 slash line, 7/6 K/BB, 1 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PADRES (+100) for 1 unit because San Diego has been raking lately while Philly’s lineup has been underperforming and Paddack’s advanced pitching numbers against the Phillies are much better than Wheeler’s against San Diego.

Over the past two weeks, the Padres have the highest wRC+ and wOBA. They also have the second-best WAR, fourth-best BB/K rate and third-best hard-hit rate. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 21st in WAR, and 20th in both wRC+ and wOBA over the past 14 days.

Furthermore, it’s a small sample size, but Paddack has a 2.96 FIP, .290 expected wOBA, .427 expected slugging percentage, 31.8% strikeout rate and 88.0 mph exit velocity across 22 plate appearances against active Phillies hitters.

On the other side, Wheeler has a 6.60 FIP, .441 expected wOBA, .551 expected slugging percentage, 24.1% strikeout rate and a 94.0 mph exit velocity in 29 plate appearances against current Padres hitters.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Padres +1.5 (-200) is too expensive for some insurance on our San Diego money line play even though the Padres are 9-3 ATS as road underdogs and the Phillies are just 8-16 ATS as home favorites.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit as a “contrarian play” and because several situational trends point to a lower-scoring affair.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 70% of the money wagered is on the Over and the Under is 5-0-1 in San Diego’s last six games as an underdog. The Under also cashed in five straight Wheeler starts.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (49-33) go for a three-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds (39-40) Thursday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 6-0

San Diego, which swept Cincinnati in four games at Petco Park June 17-20, took the first two games of this series. The Padres won 7-5 in a rain-shortened tilt, which was called in the sixth inning, Wednesday after taking Tuesday’s opener 5-4.

LHP Ryan Weathers is projected to start the series finale for the Padres. The rookie is 3-2 with a 2.47 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 14 appearances, including 8 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 5 K for Triple-A El Paso June 24
  • Career vs. Reds: No appearances

RHP Luis Castillo is penciled in to start for the Redlegs. The five-year veteran is 3-10 with a 5.14 ERA (84 IP, 48 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-1 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves Saturday
  • Career vs. Padres: 2-3, 3.48 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 6 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 6, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

SAN DIEGO (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Padres are the hottest team in baseball winning 11 of their last 12 games.

They’re also 6-0 vs. Cincinnati this season. Why stop now?

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back the PADRES -1.5 (+150) with a QUARTER-UNIT play. They’ve covered the spread in 4 of their 6 games vs. the Reds.

Plus, Weathers has pitched well in his eight major-league starts, going 1-1 with a 2.78 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 6.1 K/9.

The reason for the small wager is because Castillo has pitched well lately. In five June starts, the 2019 All-Star posted a 1.71 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 6 ER) with 32 strikeouts. He’s just not getting run support as his record was only 2-2 for the month.

One of those losses was a tight 3-2 decision to the Padres June 20 when he yielded 3 runs (2 earned) on 6 hits and 3 walks with 7 K’s over 6 innings.

ATS records: Padres 43-39 | Reds 37-42

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The Reds are the best Over team in the NL while the Padres have cashed more Over tickets vs. Under wagers.

I’m just leery of Weathers, and especially Castillo, turning this into a low-scoring affair.

O/U records: Padres 44-37-1 | Reds 45-31-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 69-76-3 22-30-1 -12.81
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 175-163-4 73-72-1 +2.3
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (48-33) and Cincinnati Reds (39-39) play the middle contest in a three-game set Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Over 15 games (14 starts), Musgrove is 4-6 with a 2.22 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 10.9 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 85 IP.

The Friars right-hander tossed 7 shutout frames against Cincinnati June 17. He owns a 1.57 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over his last 8 starts.

RHP Vladimir Gutierrez is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. Through six starts, Gutierrez is 3-2 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 4.2 BB/9 in 34 IP.

The rookie right-hander has benefited from some hit-rate friendly traffic conditions. Opponents have a mere .242 batting average on balls in play.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100) |  Reds +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-120) | Reds +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 7, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

San Diego took Tuesday’s opener, 5-4, and has gone 10-1 since June 16. The Padres are the lean in this one, but consider the less-juicer run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Current Reds batters own a mere .643 OPS against Musgrove, and Cincinnati owns a mere .666 over its last 14 games. Cincy’s lefty bats are a big key in their production; San Diego’s bullpen is very tough on lefties.

BACK THE PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

With a bit of fade on the starter-and-bullpen combo on the visitors’ side; a more significant fade on Gutierrez; San Diego’s recent surge (.926 OPS last two weeks); the way Cincinnati hits at home (.818 OPS); the Over already has a lean.

Add in some warm, humid conditions and a breeze out the left-center (with Gutierrez being a fly-ball pitcher), TAKE THE OVER 10 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (47-33) and Cincinnati Reds (39-38) open a three-game series Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 4-0

The Friars, who had Monday off, are 9-1 in their last 10 games after taking two of three at home from the Arizona Diamondbacks over the weekend.

Cincy will look to avenge a 4-game sweep at San Diego (June 17-20). The Redlegs beat the Philadelphia Phillies 12-4 in a makeup game Monday scoring 4 runs in the seventh inning and 6 in the eighth.

LHP Blake Snell is projected to start for the Padres Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 and 5.4 BB/9 in 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Los Angeles Dodgers June 22
  • Career vs. Reds: No appearances

RHP Tony Santillan is projected to make his fourth career start – and appearance – for the Reds. The rookie is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves Thursday
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (3 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, an 8-2 road loss in just his second MLB outing June 18

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15  a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-110) | Reds +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 8, Padres 6

Money line (ML)

CINCINNATI (+140) is where the value is.

The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. The Padres, who just wrapped up a 9-1 homestand, are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.

Plus, Snell has been awful away from Petco Park. He is 0-3 with a 10.36 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 33 ER) with a 2.23 WHIP in 8 road starts this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since we’re already backing the Reds’ ML at plus-money.

ATS records: Padres 42-38 | Reds 36-41

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 10 (-110) is STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

At 44-30-3, the Reds have the best Over record in the NL, and the Padres are third at 43-36-1.

After putting up 12 runs Monday, the Reds lead the majors with 5.83 runs per home game.

The Padres are third in the NL with 4.77 runs per road game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 67-75-3 21-30-1 -14.1725
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 173-162-4 72-72-1 +0.9375
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-56) close out their three-game road series against the San Diego Padres (46-33) Sunday afternoon. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-3 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Despite taking the loss in his last start, he allowed only 1 run on 3 hits in 5 frames, striking out 8 and walking none. Gallen looked like the pitcher the Snakes expect him to be.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 90 IP over 15 starts.

The Padres are 12-3 when he starts. His only start against the Diamondbacks this season was April 1. Darvish allowed 4 runs on 8 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Padres -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks’ 10-1 win over the Padres Saturday night was just their second win in the past 22 games, their 10th road win of the year and their fourth win in the last 38 games.

The Padres are 29-15 at home and had won eight straight before their loss Saturday. They aren’t likely to lose two in a row to Arizona.

Take the PADRES (-275).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even with the win and the cover Saturday, only one team in the majors has a lower road cover percentage than Arizona’s 40.5%.

The Padres have still covered the spread in seven of their last nine games at home. Nine of their 12 wins when Darvish pitches were by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

Seven of the last nine games at Petco Park went Over the projected total. However, Gallen appears to be back on track with his pitching and Darvish has only a 2.50 ERA.

Expect a low-scoring game in this getaway game. Take UNDER 7 (+100).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (21-56) take on the San Diego Padres (46-32) in the second game of their three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 3-7 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 85 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

Kelly was the starter that helped end the Diamondbacks’ 17-game losing streak. The victory Monday over the Milwaukee Brewers also ended a five-decision skid for the righty, as he went 7 innings allowing only 1 run on 5 hits. He is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Padres this season.

RHP Dinelson Lamet is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-2 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 32 IP over eight starts and two relief appearances.

He threw a season-high 81 pitches in his last outing Sunday against Cincinnati, tossing 5 scoreless innings and allowing only 4 hits. This will be his first start against Arizona this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+110) | Padres -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 1

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks extended their major league record road losing streak to 24 Friday after dropping the series opener 11-5. They are now 9-34 on the road this season and have only three wins in their last 37 games overall.

The Padres have rattled off eight straight wins to improve to 29-14 at home. They are 5-2 this season against the D’backs and have won four of five at home against this year.

Take the PADRES (-275).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Diamondbacks road cover percentage of 39.0% is the second-lowest in the majors, and they’re 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Kelly was great in his last outing but it was against a Brewers team that bats only .221 away from home.

The Padres have covered the spread in seven of their eight-game win streak. They are 23-20 ATS at home.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

Only 46.5% of the games at Petco Park have hit the Over this season.

Five of Dinelson’s eight starts have had totals of seven or fewer runs.

Both Kelly and Dinelson are coming off their best starts of the season, so don’t expect a ton of runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-29) try to salvage one game of their three-game road set against the San Diego Padres (44-32) Wednesday night. First pitch at Petco Park is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 7-5 with a 2.45 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 95 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.

Bauer pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last outing. In his three starts prior, his ERA was 4.74, with at least 3 earned runs in each of those games.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-6 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 across 79 IP over 13 starts and one relief appearance.

He allowed either 1 or 0 earned runs in nine of his 13 starts. He has not earned a win since May 19.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers are 3-6 against San Diego this season and are trying to avoid a series sweep Wednesday. They are only 7-8 with Bauer on the mound and 3-7 in his road starts.

Musgrove pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last outing after two consecutive starts of allowing 3 earned runs. He has had no fewer than four consecutive starts with 2 or fewer earned runs, so he should be on his game tonight.

Take the PADRES (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Dodgers failed to cover the spread in their last three games and are 2-4 ATS in their last six. They are 16-22 ATS on the road.

The Padres are 40-36 ATS this season and covered the spread in five of their last six games. They covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Dodgers.

Back the PADRES +1.5 (-200).

Over/Under (O/U)

Only 43.9% of the games at Petco Park have gone Over the projected total this season.

Only three of the Dodgers’ last nine games hit the Over. Eleven of Bauer’s 15 starts have had totals of 7 or fewer earned runs.

Six of the last eight games for the Padres went Over the projected total but with two pitchers with ERAs in the low 2s, don’t expect a lot of offense.

Take UNDER 7 (+100).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-27) and San Diego Padres (42-32) play the first game of a three-game set Monday with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 9-2 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 84 IP over 14 starts.

Urias is 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three starts in the month of June with two road victories. The Dodgers have won six of his last seven appearances while he is 5-1 during that span. This is his first start against the Padres in 2021.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 6-2 with a 2.57 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 84 IP over 14 starts.

Darvish allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 5 K over 5 IP last time out in a no-decision Tuesday at Colorado. More importantly, he is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA in 14 innings across two starts this year against the Dodgers.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers +1.5 (-210) | Padres -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 3, Dodgers 1

Money line (ML)

PADRES (-125) are the “lean” here in a very good pitching matchup. While both of Darvish’s losses have come at home this season he also has an impressive 2.25 ERA in 56 innings across nine starts at Petco.

One of those losses came against the Dodgers, although he allowed just 1 ER and 1 H across 7 IP with 9 K in a 2-0 setback.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (+170) are worth a look on the run line behind Darvish. Urias is 6-1 with a 2.72 ERA in seven road outings this season, so it won’t be easy. However, San Diego is an impressive 25-14 at home and the “lean” here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 6.5 (+100) is the “lean” at even money, although go lightly with this low number. Still, Urias hasn’t been giving up much, and Darvish has owned his former club this season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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