Saints Patriots odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-2) visit the New England Patriots (1-3) on Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Saints vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Last week, the Saints fell 26-9 to the Buccaneers failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. QB Derek Carr went 23-for-37 for 127 yards in a dismal offense performance. New Orleans’ defense struggled to maintain Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield, who threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns while only being sacked 1 time.

New England had similar offensive difficulties in its 38-3 loss to Dallas as it failed to cover as a 6-point road underdog. QB Mac Jones went 12-for-21 for just 150 yards and 2 interceptions in the loss. The Patriots had only 53 yards on the ground with leading rusher RB Rhamondre Stevenson carrying the ball 14 times for 30 yards.

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Saints at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Patriots -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +1 (-115) | Patriots -1 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Patriots key injuries

Saints

CB Paulson Adebo (hamstring) questionable
QB Derek Carr (shoulder) questionable
G James Hurst (ankle) questionable
S Lonnie Johnson (hamstring) out
TE Juwan Johnson (calf) out
G Andrus Peat (concussion) questionable
T Landon Young (hip) out

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
T Trent Brown (chest) questionable
LB Trey Flowers (foot) questionable
DT Davon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) out
CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
LB Matt Judon (elbow) out
OT Riley Reiff (knee) questionable
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (thigh) questionable
G Cole Strange (knee) questionable
CB Shaun Wade (shoulder) questionable

Saints at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 16, Patriots 13

Moneyline

BET SAINTS -110.

While the odds are pretty similar between the moneyline and spread, there is more profit to be made on a moneyline bet for New Orleans in this game. Even though Carr is dealing with a lingering shoulder injury, the Saints’ offense has looked more put together as opposed that of Jones and the Pats.

The Patriots have struggled mightily this season, unable to stimulate a lot of offense including scoring just 13 combined points in the last 2 weeks. While the game may be close, expect the Saints to prevail.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is more profit to be made on a moneyline play for the Saints.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 39 (-110).

With 2 defensive-minded coaches and 2 offenses that have had their struggles putting points on the board, expect points to come at a premium in this matchup. The starting QBs, Carr and Jones, have combined for just 7 TDs this season and 6 interceptions. Unless either team far exceeds expectations, the Under is the reasonable play.

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First look: New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-2) and New England Patriots (1-3) meet Sunday in a Week 5 contest in Foxboro. Kickoff at Gillette Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Saints vs. Patriots odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s NFL picks and predictions.

New Orleans started its season 2-0, but the Saints have now lost 2 in a row. The 2nd of those losses came Sunday with New Orleans getting upset 26-9 at home as a 4.5-point favorite against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Patriots were shelled 38-3 by the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday as a 6-point underdog. The 35-point loss marked New England’s worst since a 45-7 loss at the New York Jets on Sept. 26, 1993.

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Saints at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:24 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Saints +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Patriots -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +1.5 (-110) | Patriots -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2023 betting stats

ML: Saints 2-2 | Patriots 1-3
ATS: Saints 0-3-1 | Patriots 1-3
O/U: Saints 0-4 | Patriots 1-3

Saints vs. Patriots head-to-head

New England has won 5 of the last 7 meetings and leads the all-time series 10-5. Since 2009, the Pats and Saints have played 4 games. Those contests have made for an ATS split, 2 Overs and 2 Unders.

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New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots Week 3 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Saints (1-1) are on the road in Week 3 to take on the New England Patriots (1-1). Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Gillette Stadium. Below, we look at the Saints at Patriots odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Saints started the season with a 38-3 shellacking of the Green Bay Packers but were unable to maintain that level of play as they lost in Week 2 to the Carolina Panthers 26-7. QB Jameis Winston threw 5 touchdown passes in the season opener but none in Week 2 and he was intercepted twice.

The Patriots lost 17-16 in Week 1 to the Miami Dolphins. New England dominated that game but lost because, in four trips to the red zone, they scored only one touchdown and turned the ball over once. They followed it up with a 25-6 win over the New York Jets but struggled offensively in that game.

Saints at Patriots odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:17 a.m. ET.

Money line: Saints +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Patriots -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +2.5 (+100) | Patriots -2.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Saints at Patriots key injuries

Saints

C Erik McCoy (calf) questionable
CB Marshon Lattimore (hand) questionable

Patriots

LB Matt Judon (knee) questionable
RB Damien Harris (finger) questionable
OT Trent Brown (calf) questionable

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Saints at Patriots odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 20, Patriots 17

Money line

We’ve seen a completely dominant Saints and a completely dominated Saints team through the first two weeks. They should be able to give Patriots rookie QB Mac Jones some problems even though they struggled defensively in Week 2. However, if Lattimore can’t play, it does change things.

Both teams are strong defensively, so it comes down to quarterback play. Who do you trust more at this point? For me, it’s Winston, for now.

That’s why I lean SAINTS (+122).

Against the spread

Both teams are 1-1 ATS this season so far. The Patriots have the best ATS home record since 2015 at 34-19-3 ATS. However, most of that was with Tom Brady at quarterback.

Conversely, at 32-16-1 ATS, the Saints have fared the best against the spread on the road since 2015.

Expecting an outright Saints win, take the SAINTS +2.5 (+100).

Over/Under

This is where it seems like easy money.

Both teams are 0-2 O/U to the start the year. The Patriots have not allowed more than 17 points in a game, and the Saints have allowed only 29 points in their two games.

Both are in the top six in points allowed.

With two strong defenses, expect a low-scoring affair. Take UNDER 42.5 (-112).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Underdog corner: 3 best NFL ATS picks and predictions for Week 3

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 3, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

It wasn’t quite the cacophony of the opening weekend, but NFL point-spread underdogs continued to bark in Week 2 with nine covers in 16 games, including five outright winners. We’ve been near the front of that pack here in Underdog Corner with a 6-0 against the spread record so far with five of our six NFL underdog picks winning straight up.

Now it’s time to see if we can stay on track in what very well could be a bounce-back week for the favorites. Eleven of 16 home teams are favored as of Wednesday’s NFL odds and lines. Five games had a mid-week spread of at least 7.5 points.

Also see: All Week 3 NFL odds and lines

NFL underdog predictions: Week 3

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:18 p.m. ET.

New Orleans Saints +2.5 (+105) at New England Patriots

The Saints are in a less-than-ideal spot playing a third straight road game after Hurricane Ida forced the relocation of the team’s season opener against the Green Bay Packers to a neutral site in Jacksonville, Fla.

However, the Saints figure to be healthier after their Week 2 bout with injuries and a mini COVID-19 outbreak which forced eight assistant coaches to miss the 26-7 drubbing against the Carolina Panthers. Speaking of coming off a loss, the Saints rank among the league’s best at bouncing back with a 16-7 straight up and 14-9 ATS records following a defeat since 2016.

So as long as QB Jameis Winston doesn’t channel New York Jets QB Zach Wilson of Wek 2 and throw the always-opportunistic Pats 4 interceptions, New Orleans should have just enough to get past rookie QB Mac Jones and the hosts, who have had trouble scoring touchdowns with just three through two games.

If the line remains under 3, go with the Saints (+122) on the money line.

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Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 (-107) at Kansas City Chiefs

In one of the more remarkable current trends, QB Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have won 10 of their last 13 games, but they’ve notably managed to cover in only two of those contests. Similarly, K.C. is 4-2 SU against the Bolts over the last three seasons, but L.A. has won the ATS battle at 3-2-1 in that span.

Mahomes and Co. likely will find a way to win Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium, but if QB Justin Herbert and the Chargers can clean up some of the miscues they’ve had so far with killer penalties and dropped passes, they should keep things close against a K.C. defense which is off to a shaky start.

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New York Jets +10.5 (-120) at Denver Broncos

The 0-2 Jets and 2-0 Broncos are obviously on opposite ends of the success spectrum so far, but this is mainly a situational play with the week’s lone double-digit spread.

Since the start of the 2018 season, teams favored by 10 or more points are 101-18 (.849) SU but are only 54-62-3 ATS (.466), per Pro Football Reference.

This is certainly unfamiliar territory for the Broncos who have been a double-digit favorite only twice (0-2 ATS) since 2015 so take the 10.5 points and hope Wilson has learned quickly from his aforementioned Week 2 struggles.

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