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Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) face the Denver Broncos (2-5) Sunday in Week 8 NFL action. Kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs won their 6th straight game in Week 7, beating the Los Angeles Chargers 31-17 and covering as 6-point home favorites. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 424 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. He connected 12 times with TE Travis Kelce for 179 yards and a score while Kelce’s girlfriend, 12-time Grammy Award winner Taylor Swift, cheered him on from a suite.

Denver won its 2nd game of the season in Week 7, taking down the Green Bay Packers 19-17. QB Russell Wilson passed for 194 yards and 1 touchdown. The TD went to WR Courtland Sutton, who caught 6 balls for 76 yards. The Broncos rushing attack showed signs of life with 82 yards from RB Javonte Williams, which is his highest total of the season.

Kansas City has won 16 consecutive head-to-head matchups against the Broncos dating back to Sept. 17, 2015. The Chiefs won and covered the 10.5-point spread in their 1st game against Denver on Oct. 12.

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Chiefs at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Broncos +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-110) | Broncos +7 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Broncos key injuries

Chiefs

LB Nick Bolton (wrist) out

Broncos

WR Brandon Johnson (hamstring) questionable

Chiefs at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Broncos 13

Moneyline

PASS.

The Chiefs will win this game, but I’m not going to take them at their -350 odds and nor should you. Look to the spread and total to make a bet on this one.

Against the spread

BET CHIEFS -7 (-110).

While I am confident the Chiefs will cover this number, I’d personally take the alternative line on BetMGM of -6.5 at -130 odds.

While the Chiefs did not score a lot, they did cover the 10.5-point spread in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season. Mahomes threw for 306 yards, and 124 of those went to Kelce.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46 (-110).

These teams only scored a combined 27 points in their 1st meeting 2 weeks ago. They won’t score under 30 again, but they do not go over this total either. In general this season, the Under is hitting at an alarming rate.

Kansas City has gone under the total in 3 straight games coming into this one. Denver gave up 36.4 points per game over its 1st 5 but has cut that in half over its last 2.

The Chiefs offense has not been as prolific this season. This is the 1st year since 2017 that it is averaging fewer than 26 points per game.

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Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Green Bay Packers (2-3) face the Denver Broncos (1-5) Sunday. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Packers vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Green Bay was off last week and is coming off back-to-back losses. QB Jordan Love has gone cold since starting the season out red hot. Love has completed 55.5% (90 of 162) of his passes for 1,083 yards, 8 TDs, and 6 INTs. The Packers have had their offensive struggles in the last 3 games, only scoring 51 points over that stretch. Green Bay has had trouble with its rushing attack, only racking up 408 total rushing yards, good for 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Denver has had more than a week off since losing 19-8 to the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football, failing to cover as a 10.5-point underdog. The Broncos have had a lot of problems this season with turnovers and defense being the main issues. The Broncos have allowed 2,642 total opposing yards, which is worst in the NFL, while also committing the 3rd-most turnovers (11).

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Packers at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Packers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Broncos -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Packers -1 (-110) | Broncos +1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers at Broncos key injuries

Packers

CB Jaire Alexander (back) questionable
S Zayne Anderson (hamstring) questionable
LB De’Vondre Campbell (ankle) questionable
G Elgton Jenkins (knee) questionable
RB Aaron Jones (hamstring) questionable
S Darnell Savage (calf) questionable
CB Eric Stokes (foot) out
LB Quay Walker (knee) questionable
DT Devonte Wyatt (knee) questionable

Broncos

LB Baron Browning (knee) out
TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) doubtful
S Justin Simmons (hip) questionable

Packers at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 28, Broncos 24

Moneyline

BET PACKERS (-115).

Both the Packers and Broncos struggle to get takeaways, but Denver turns the ball over a lot more than the Packers do. Denver has 11 turnovers on the year compared to Green Bay’s 6 — all of which were Love interceptions. If Love can torch this Broncos defense while also committing 1-or-fewer turnovers, the Packers will win.

Against the spread

BET PACKERS -1 (-110).

I like the Packers to cover here as their defense is just slightly better than that of the Broncos. Neither team has run the ball well to this point of the season, but I expect the Packers’ talented RB duo of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to change that narrative vs. this terrible Denver defense. If those 2 can find success on the ground, it will alleviate some pressure off of Love and will help the Packers cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 45 (-110).

Both of these squads struggle defensively, and with this banged-up Packers defense, I expect that to continue to be true here. Denver’s defense has allowed even the worst offenses in the NFL to score points, allowing opposing squads to score 30+ in 4 of its 6 games. Denver allows a league-worst 440.3 opponent yards per game, while the Packers allow 337.8.

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Week 6 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (2-2) and the Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) meet in a Week 6 matchup on Thursday Night Football at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos were dumped 31-21 by the visiting New York Jets Sunday, and Denver failed to cover for the 3rd time in 3 home games. Overall, Denver is just 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The Over has cashed in each of the past 4 games for the Broncos, scoring 20 or more points, while allowing 28-plus points.

The Chiefs picked up a 27-20 victory on the road against the Minnesota Vikings, their 4th straight win since a 21-20 setback against the Detroit Lions on Thursday in Week 1. Kansas City is 3-1 ATS in the winning streak, averaging 30.3 points per game on offense and only 16.7 PPG on defense.

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Broncos at Chiefs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:19 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos +460 (bet $100 to win $460) | Chiefs -620 (bet $620 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +10.5 (-110) | Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Broncos at Chiefs key injuries

Broncos

LB Baron Browning (knee) out
LB Frank Clark (illness) out
TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) questionable
DT D.J. Jones (knee) out

Chiefs

DE George Karlaftis (hamstring) questionable
TE Travis Kelce (ankle) questionable
P Tommy Townsend (knee) questionable

Broncos at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 34, Broncos 18

Moneyline

Kansas City (-620) will cost you more than 6 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive, either as a singular bet, or even as part of a multi-team parlay.

And while Denver (+460) is horrific, there is risk for the Chiefs with Kelce nursing an ankle injury with a quick turnaround from last week.

PASS.

Against the spread

KANSAS CITY -10.5 (-110) is worth a look at home, as Denver +10.5 (-110) has really struggled against the number, including failing to cover in its only game as an underdog in Miami in Week 3. However, be careful, as Denver has covered in 3 straight meetings.

The Chiefs have won a ridiculous 15 straight meetings, covering 10 of those outings. The last time the Broncos won in Kansas City was Sept. 17, 2015, which just happens to be the 20th birthday of QB Patrick Mahomes when he was a sophomore at Texas Tech. Yeah, it’s been a while.

Over/Under

OVER 47.5 (-105) is worth a look, as Denver’s defense has been horrific.

The Over has cashed in each of the past 3 meetings, with the Chiefs going for 27 or more points in each meeting, while allowing 24 or more points. The Over-Under has split in 2 home games for the Chiefs.

The Over has cashed in 4 straight games for the Broncos, scoring 26.3 PPG during the span. The defense has allowed 28 or more points during the 4-game stretch, too, including the 70-burger allowed in Miami.

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New York Jets at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (1-3) welcome the New York Jets (1-3) to Empower Field at Mile High Sunday. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos beat the Chicago Bears on the road in Week 4 to pick up their first win of the season. They won 31-28, pushing as a 3-point favorite. Denver is 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and is 0-2 ATS and 0-2 straight up at home. QB Russell Wilson is leading the Broncos, having thrown 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions through 4 games.

The Jets lost to the Kansas City Chiefs 23-20 in Week 4, covering as an 8.5-point home underdog. New York is 2-2 ATS this season and 0-1 ATS on the road. Its lone road game was a 30-10 loss to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2. RB Breece Hall has been the most lethal weapon for the Jets, running for 210 yards through 4 games.

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Jets at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Broncos -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets +2.5 (-110) | Broncos -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jets at Broncos key injuries

Jets

CB DJ Reed (concussion) out

Broncos

RB Javonte Williams (quad) questionable
LB Baron Browning (knee) out

Jets at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 24, Broncos 20

Moneyline

BET JETS (+115).

Since the road loss to Dallas, QB Zach Wilson for the Jets has looked far more competent. He hasn’t had an interception in either game and is coming off a good showing with 28-of-39 for 245 yards and 2 touchdowns. If he can play turnover-free football, this defense will give the Jets a chance to win games. He proved he can do that last week.

The Broncos have a few key weapons out, especially on the defensive side of the ball. They are 1-1 on the road but are 1-2 straight up as a favorite, losing at home to the Washington Commanders and Las Vegas Raiders.

Expect the New York defense to dominate and back JETS (+115).

Against the spread

PASS.

For the value, take the Jets on the moneyline. The Broncos have yet to cover this season and have struggled in games that they entered as a favorite.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 43.5 (-110).

The Broncos are 3-1 O/U, and their defense, especially without Browning, has been lacking. They have allowed 28, 70 and 35 over the last 3 weeks.

The Wilson-led Jets looked better last week and should be able to score on a hole-filled defense. The Jets are 2-2 O/U this season and have allowed 22 or more points in 3 of 4 games as well.

Back OVER 43.5 (-110).

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Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (0-3) face the Chicago Bears (0-3) Sunday in Week 4 NFL action. Kickoff from Soldier Field is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Bears odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

There are just 4 winless teams remaining in the NFL and their fanbases are starting to panic. After Sunday, provided they don’t tie, only one of these teams will remain without a victory.

Denver lost 70-20 as a 6-point underdog at the Miami Dolphins in Week 3. QB Russell Wilson threw for 306 yards, nearly the same as Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa‘s 309 yards, but the defense allowed 10 touchdowns, resulting in the most points allowed in a single game since 1966. Miami averaged 8.1 yards per carry and totaled 350 yards on the ground while Denver had just 69 yards with a 3.5 yards per carry average.

The Broncos started their season as favorites against both the Las Vegas Raiders (-3) and the Washington Commanders (-3.5) but they lost those games by a combined 3 points.

Chicago has failed to cover in every game so far, most recently a 41-10 loss at the Kansas City Chiefs as 13-point favorites in Week 3. The Bears trailed by just 7 points after the 1st quarter but the Chiefs scored 27 points in the 2nd quarter to take a 34-0 lead. Chicago scored its only points in the final quarter, connecting on a 21-yard field goal just 86 seconds in and a 9-yard TD pass to WR DJ Moore with 4:20 remaining.

The Bears’ defense has been a liability this season, giving up 27 or more points in their 3 games, which combined with QB Justin Fields playing as a pocket passer instead of a running quarterback, have put the Bears in a tough position.

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Broncos at Bears odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:23 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Bears +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -3.5 (-105) | Bears +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Broncos at Bears key injuries

Broncos

LB Frank Clark (hip) out
C Lloyd Cushenberry (illness) questionable
LB Josey Jewell (hip) out
DL Mike Purcell (ribs) out
S Justin Simmons (hip) questionable

Bears

CB Josh Blackwell (hamstring) out
CB Eddie Jackson (foot) out
CB Jaylon Johnson (hamstring) out

Broncos at Bears picks and predictions

Prediction

Broncos 22, Bears 17

Moneyline

It’s difficult to bring up stats on the Denver Broncos after last week’s horrendous loss since giving up 70 points in 1 of the 3 games you play skews everything.

The Bears rank 31st in passing yards per game (148.3), 30th in offensive sack percentage (12.87) and 29th in completion percentage (57.95). They have just a 1% sack rate on defense, the worst in the NFL, and allow 8.7 yards per pass, which is 31st.

Despite playing in Chicago I think it’s a tough ask to beat a Denver that will look to bounce back from an historical loss in Week 3.

PASS on the moneyline and look to the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

Home ‘dogs this year are 7-10-1 against the spread. This line opened at Bears +2.5 before moving to +3.5, so the money coming in is on the Broncos.

With the injuries the Bears have in the secondary, there will be plenty of opportunities for Wilson to throw deep and pad Denver’s score.

BET BRONCOS -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both teams have struggled to score this season. The line is surprisingly high for this matchup, most likely because both defenses seem to be significant liabilities for their team.

However, I still like the Under. The Bears are 25th in 3rd down conversions (34.21%) and the Broncos are just as bad (34.29%). Combine that with Denver’s 45% red-zone touchdown percentage (25th in the NFL) and it seems prime for a low-scoring matchup.

LEAN UNDER 46 (-110).

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Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins Week 3 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (0-2) and the Miami Dolphins (2-0) meet Sunday in a Week 3 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos suffered a pair of home losses, but the 2 losses came by a total of 3 points. Denver is 0-2 against the spread (ATS), as it was favored in each of the outings.

Broncos QB Russell Wilson showed some signs of life in a 35-33 loss to the Washington Commanders in Week 2, passing for 308 yards and 3 TD with 1 INT.

The Dolphins have been involved in a pair of one-score games, too, but Miami is 2-0 straight up (SU) and ATS. Miami plays its home opener after winning 36-34 against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, and 24-17 on Sunday Night Football in Week 2 against the New England Patriots.

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is off to a hot start, completing 65.3% of his passes for 715 yards, 4 TD and 2 INT, with WR Tyreek Hill on the receiving end of 3 of the scoring strikes.

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Broncos at Dolphins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Dolphins -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +6.5 (-110) | Dolphins -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Broncos at Dolphins key injuries

Broncos

LB Frank Clark (hip) out
NT Mike Purcell (ankle) questionable
FS Justin Simmons (hip) out

Dolphins

RB Salvon Ahmed (groin) doubtful
OT Terron Armstead (ankle, back, knee) questionable
DT Raekwon Davis (wrist) questionable
TE Julian Hill (ankle) questionable
LB Jaelan Phillips (back) questionable
WR Jaylen Waddle (concussion) questionable

Broncos at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 29, Broncos 21

Moneyline

The Dolphins (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk and not enough reward. In fact, even as part of a multi-team parlay, Miami is way too expensive, and will suck all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS, and focus on the spread instead.

Against the spread

The DOLPHINS -6.5 (-110) are a value play at home while favored by less than a touchdown. Even if it gets to a flat 7 by kickoff, it’s not a bad play.

The Broncos +6.5 (-110) have managed to play in a pair of one-score games, but that was at home, and against a couple of subpar teams. The Dolphins have a much more potent offense than the Las Vegas Raiders or Commanders, and Denver’s defense won’t look nearly as good in South Florida.

The big concern for Miami is that fact Waddle carries a questionable tag due to a concussion suffered in Week 2 in Foxboro. Even if he is unable to go, Miami is still a good bet, but maybe go with a slightly less aggressive play.

Over/Under

OVER 48 (-110) seems like a pretty high number, but the way Tua is slinging it, Miami could easily do a lot of the heavy lifting to get the total there.

Denver also looked solid in the pass game last week, even if Wilson and the pass game had a little good fortune to get a Hail Mary touchdown on the final play in regulation.

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Washington Commanders at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Commanders at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Washington Commanders (1-0) take on the Denver Broncos (0-1) Sunday afternoon. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High is at 4:25pm ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Commanders vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both Washington and Denver entered Week 1 with high expectations, and both disappointed. The Commanders were 7-point home favorites against an Arizona team who many think is tanking for the #1 pick. Yes, the Commanders won 20-16 as the Under (38) hit, but they trailed in the 4th quarter, and QB Sam Howell had a lower QB rating (77.6) than Arizona QB Joshua Dobbs (78.8).

The Washington offense was shaky. It recorded 248 total yards with 3 turnovers, and no player shined. RB Brian Robinson Jr. led the team with 66 total yards (59 rushing, 7 receiving).

That being said, Denver had the worse Week 1. With all the hype around a new look team, the Broncos looked similar to last year. The defense kept the game close, but QB Russell Wilson needed to put more points on the board. The Las Vegas Raiders, who many believe will finish at the bottom of the AFC West, beat Denver 17-16 as 3-point road underdogs as the Under (43.5) hit.

Backup RB Samaje Perine led the team in yards with 78 (41 rushing, 37 receiving). Not surprising, Wilson recorded 4.6 yards per pass, vs. 7.7 yards from Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Week 2 will paint a clearer picture on how good these teams actually are.

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Commanders at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Commanders +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Broncos -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Commanders +3.5 (-110) | Broncos -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Commanders at Broncos key injuries

Commanders

DB Jartavius Martin (concussion) out
WR Terry McLaurin (toe) available
DE Chase Young (neck) available

Broncos

OLB Frank Clark (hip) out
TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) out
WR Jerry Jeudy (hamstring) available

Commanders at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Broncos 20, Commanders 17

Moneyline

Home-field advantage wasn’t as helpful as one might think. Home teams in Week 1 went 6-10 straight up.

Now, in Denver’s opening loss, its defense showed it is still a major factor, although there is 1 glaring issue. While the defense allowed an NFL-best 2.1 yards per carry, its net yards allowed per pass was 4th-worst.

Lucky for them, Washington will struggle to take advantage. Howell’s 31 pass attempts was 21st in Week 1.

The Broncos (-190) should be able to pull this one out at home, but at -190, it’s best to PASS.

Against the spread

Both teams failed to cover last week. Washington was a 7-point favorite but only won by 4, and Denver was a 2.5-point favorite and lost to Las Vegas.

But it wasn’t just these teams. In Week 1, home favorites covered just 20% of the time (2-8 ATS). And since sportsbooks are giving Washington more than a field goal to cover, I like the Commanders to keep it close, especially with the Broncos’ offense eerily similar to last year.

BET WASHINGTON +3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

With 1 fewer preseason game, a lot of teams looked rusty in Week 1, and while that won’t last, these 2 teams may find scoring difficult this entire season.

In their openers, both Washington and Denver hit the Under. Washington and Arizona combined for 36 points (vs. the line of 38) and Denver vs. Las Vegas wasn’t close — both teams scored just 33 points (vs. a 44.5 O/U).

When Washington dropped back to pass, just 67% of Sam Howell’s throws hit the target — that was tied for 31st with the Chicago Bears and New York Jets. The main reason was that 15% of these throws by Sam Howell were incomplete, which was 29th in the NFL.

Denver’s score was relatively low because its play calling ate away at the clock. Two of the 3 times Denver scored, it used over 8 minutes of game time, and that doesn’t appear to be an accident under coach Sean Payton.

LEAN UNDER 38.5 (-110).

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Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos meet in an AFC West Week 1 battle Sunday. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Raiders vs. Broncos, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Raiders are coming into the 2023 season with a change at QB after Jimmy Garappolo signed with the team in free agency. With the rest of their key pieces staying the same fans are hopeful that Garoppolo will take the team to places that QB Derek Carr could not.

After a disappointing 5-12 record in 2022 Broncos fans are praying that new Coach Sean Payton can take this team to the places they thought they’d go after trading for QB Russell Wilson before the 2022 season. The preseason was full of injuries for Denver, particularly in the WR room as the Broncos are expected to be down 2 of their top 4 WRs vs. Las Vegas.

Las Vegas was 3-3 straight up and 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in division games last year, the Under was 4-2 in such games.

Denver went 1-5 overall and 3-3 ATS vs. divisional opponents last season, with the Over being 4-2 in such games.

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Raiders at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raiders +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Broncos -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +3 (+100) | Broncos -3 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raiders at Broncos key injuries

Raiders

WR DeAndre Carter (knee) questionable
OT Dalton Wagner (undisclosed) IR

Broncos

LB Baron Browning (knee) out
WR Jerry Jeudy (hamstring) questionable
WR Tim Patrick (achilles) IR

Raiders at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Raiders 21, Broncos 17

Moneyline

LEAN RAIDERS (+145).

I am not super worried about the transition to Garoppolo at QB for the Raiders as I believe he is a very slight step-up from Carr, and I expect the team to adjust just fine with him under center. RB Josh Jacobs and WR Davante Adams are lethal weapons that he will have at his disposal and I expect them to give this Broncos defense some trouble.

This only a lean because Mile High Stadium is a very tough place to play and I do believe Payton will greatly help this Broncos team.

Against the spread

BET RAIDERS +3 (+100).

The Broncos struggled in divisional games last year and while some of that will be alleviated under Payton, they still have a lot of problems. I expect the Raiders pass rush led by LB Maxx Crosby to cause troubles for Wilson and this below-average Broncos offensive line. The Broncos simply don’t have the arsenal to blow out this Raiders team and I expect the Raiders to cover here, even in a loss.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 43 (-110).

The Raiders do have some offensive weapons, but I don’t believe Garoppolo is a good enough QB to propel this game to hit the Over, especially when I expect the Broncos to have trouble generating touchdowns. I do believe CB Patrick Surtain II will slow down Adams, and that will hurt the Raiders’ chances of generating a lot of offense in the passing game. The Raiders’ secondary is questionable, but I don’t believe the Broncos have the personnel to expose that weakness in this game.

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Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Rams (0-2) and Denver Broncos (0-2) wrap up their preseason slate on Saturday night when they square off at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rams vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Rams and Broncos each dropped their 1st 2 preseason games, and that’s with Denver playing a good portion of its starters thus far. The Rams have lost both games by a 34-17 score, so this team hasn’t exactly kept things close against the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders.

The Broncos lost 2 tight games against the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers, each by just 1 point: 18-17 against Arizona and 21-20 against San Francisco.

Rams at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:11 p.m. ET,

Moneyline (ML): Rams +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Broncos -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Rams +5.5 (-110) | Broncos -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rams at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Broncos 17, Rams 13

Moneyline

The Rams have always had very little preseason success under Sean McVay, primarily because he doesn’t play his starters. And even though more starters have played for Los Angeles this summer than usual, the results have been the same: An 0-2 record.

Even if QB Russell Wilson and the Broncos’ other top players don’t suit up, I think this is a game they win. I just don’t like the line of -225 in a preseason game where we don’t know who will be playing. PASS.

Against the spread

The Rams haven’t kept things very close through 2 preseason games, but Denver has and now the Broncos are less likely to play their starters. That evens the playing field a bit and gives the Rams a shot to compete.

I think Los Angeles will keep this competitive throughout in what should be a low-scoring game. BET RAMS +5.5 (-110) to cover on the road.

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Over/Under

The total went Over in each of the Rams’ 2 preseason games, but that was because Los Angeles’ defense was atrocious. It should improve this week against a weaker Broncos offense, which scored 17 and 20 points in the first 2 games.

Bet UNDER 36.5 (-110).

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Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers preseason odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Denver Broncos (0-1) visit the San Francisco 49ers (0-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Levi’s Stadium is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. 49ers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Broncos lost 18-17 at the Arizona Cardinals Aug. 11. Denver gave up an 18-yard TD pass and a successful 2-point conversion with 2 seconds left in the game, after taking a 17-10 lead with 1:30 remaining.

The 49ers got a TD pass from QB Trey Lance in their preseason opener but were outscored 24-0 the rest of the way in a 34-7 loss at the Las Vegas Raiders Sunday.

Broncos at 49ers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | 49ers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -4 (-110) | 49ers +4 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Broncos at 49ers picks and predictions

Prediction

49ers 23, Broncos 21

Moneyline

Both teams lost last week—the Broncos on the road and the 49ers at home.

The Broncos expect to get their starters 20-24 snaps in this game.

The 49ers are expected to get their starters some work, but QB Sam Darnold is expected to get most of the action under center.

As with all preseason games, unless 1 team builds too big of a lead while the starters are in the game, the final outcome is decided by backups and NFL hopefuls—which is nothing to confidently rely upon.

The smartest play for an uncertain outcome in an exhibition is to bet the plus odds on the moneyline.

BET 49ERS (+150).

Against the spread

Both teams failed to cover the spread last week. The Broncos lost outright despite being favored. The 49ers also were favored in their straight-up loss.

But without any nice plus odds to bet and an uncertain outcome decided by players who will not play much in the regular season—or might not be in the league—avoid the spread.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Broncos’ preseason opener had the Under cash in, but the Over hit in the 49ers’ loss.

Half of the 16 preseason games last week had at least 40 total points, including the Niners’ 34-7 loss.

BET OVER 39.5 (-110).

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