Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (29-74) and the Cleveland Guardians (50-51) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 6-3 after Tuesday’s 5-1 victory

The Royals picked up a 5-3 win Monday night, but Kansas City has failed to win consecutive games since July 1-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers of all teams. Kansas City has managed to win just once (Monday) in the previous 7 games, and the Under is 5-1-1 during the span. The Under is also 12-4-1 in the last 17 games overall, too.

Cleveland is 3 games behind the 1st-place Minnesota Twins. It is 14-14 against its AL Central rivals this season, while going 27-24 at home. Conversely, Kansas City is just 14-38 inside the division.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 20 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (3 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-4 road loss vs. the New York Yankees Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-2, 6.10 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 7 ER – 4 HR), .216 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Williams (1-2, 3.74 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in a 6-5 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.98 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 12 ER – 4 HR), .286 OBA in 4 starts
  • 2023 vs. Kansas City: 1-0, 12 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H (0 HR), 2 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive for a standalone wager. While Cleveland won convincingly  Tuesday, there is still quite a bit of risk and not enough reward for a team which has split the series so far.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110) won and covered the run line as the favorite Tuesday, and it’s a good bet in the series finale.

Cleveland has won 4 of the last 6 games against Kansas City since July 6, all at Progressive Field, and the Guardians are 4-2 as a favorite on the run line in those outings. If you like Cleveland to win, you should like it to cover the run line.

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Over/Under

PASS on the Over/Under 10, as I expect the total to come right down on the number.

If there was a lean, I’d go Under, as it has cashed in 5 of the past 6 meetings in Cleveland, while going 5-1-1 in the last 7 games overall for Kansas City.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (29-73) and the Cleveland Guardians (49-51) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-3 after losing Monday’s series opener 5-3

The Royals snapped a 5-game losing streak with Monday’s victory. Kansas City built a 4-0 lead, and the bullpen held on for the win, despite that it managed just 7 hits to 10 hits for Cleveland. K.C. has won the last 2 meetings in the season series.

The Guardians have dropped the past 2 games at home and are now just 4-7 in the past 11 games overall dating back to July 9, which was a 4-1 setback to the Royals at Progressive Field. The Under (8.5) result Monday was a rarity, as the Over is 6-2 across the past 8 games for Cleveland.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Greinke (1-10, 5.40 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 96 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a 3-0 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-6, 7.42 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 36 ER – 12 HR), .285 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
  • 2023 vs. Cleveland: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 11 H, 2 BB, 0 K in a 4-3 home win on June 29

Civale (3-2, 2.71 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 63 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-5 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-1, 3.48 ERA (31 IP, 12 ER – 2 HR), .224 OBA in 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Kansas City: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 3-0 home win July 7

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Guardians -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-125) | Guardians -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 3

Moneyline

The Guardians (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just not an attractive price for a standalone wager.

The Royals (+170) picked up the victory in the series opener, but Greinke has been horrific this season and especially so on the road. He cannot be trusted, so don’t be tempted to play Kansas City again after its big win Monday.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) look to bounce back after the embarrassing loss in the series opener. The veteran Greinke is winless on the road this season, and he sports an ERA north of 7 in those outings. Civale has been a lot more consistent, and he is sharp on his home mound.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean Tuesday, but go lightly.

We saw the Under cash by a half of a run in the series opener, which goes along with the head-to-head trends. However, Greinke has been very giving on the road this season. And the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 starts by Civale, although the Under cashed in his start against the Royals in early July, so be careful.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (28-73) and the Cleveland Guardians (49-50) open a 3-game series Monday at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 5-2, including 3 wins in 4 games at Progressive Field July 6-9

The Royals enter on a 5-game losing streak and are just 2-8 in 10 games since the All-Star break. Kansas City has been able to cobble together just 3.7 runs per game in the 2nd half, and 18 of the team’s 37 runs in the stretch came in the 2 victories.

The Guardians dropped an 8-5 game against the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, although Cleveland still won the interleague series 2-1. Cleveland has won 2 straight series, and it has racked up 38 runs in the previous 6 games.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Ryan Yarbrough vs. LHP Logan Allen

Yarbrough (2-5, 5.21 ERA) makes his 6th start and 13th overall appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 38 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home loss vs. the Detroit Tigers Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-3, 3.57 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 7 ER – 2 HR), .262 opponent batting average (OBA) in 10 starts
  • 2023 vs. Cleveland: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-1 road win July 9

Allen (4-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 10-1 road win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates last Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER – 4 HR), .290 OBA in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. KC: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 road win June 28

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Guardians -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-120) | Guardians -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

The Guardians (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward.

The Royals (+165) are a tempting play, as Yarbrough won the only game for Kansas City against Cleveland this season. However, Allen has been rock-solid lately, allowing 3 or fewer runs in each of his last 8 outings.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROYALS +1.5 (-120) is a decent play on the run line, even though Kansas City has been horrific overall this season. Yarbrough has already won in Cleveland once this season, and he should help the Royals keep it somewhat close in this series opener.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is worth a look, but go lightly.

You’ll be going against the series trends, as the Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

The Over is 2-1 in the last 3 games for Kansas City, while hitting in 3 of the last 5 games on the road.

For Cleveland, the Over is on a 6-1 run in the last 7 games, while going 3-2 in the last 5 at home.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (25-62) and Cleveland Guardians (42-44) open a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead, 2-1.

The Royals own the 2nd-worst record in baseball. After taking 2 of 3 from the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Royals were swept by the Minnesota Twins and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. They’ve scored the 2nd-fewest runs (326) and have the 3rd-worst ERA (5.29) in the majors.

The Guardians have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games after losing 2 of 3 against the Atlanta Braves. The pitching staff has done its job this season, ranking 7th in team ERA (3.86). However, their bats have yet to wake up, scoring just 345 runs (27th in MLB).

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Lyles (1-11, 6.68 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 91 2/3 innings.

  • Has the most losses of any pitcher in baseball this year
  • Has allowed between 3 and 5 ER in each of his last 4 starts
  • His 5.40 ERA in June lowered his season ERA from 7.30 to 6.68

Bibee (5-2, 3.46 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 65 innings.

  • Started July strong with win vs. Chicago White Sox: 5 2/3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 9 K in 6-0 win Saturday
  • Has allowed more than 3 runs just once in his last 9 outings

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Guardians -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

Put simply, the Royals are one of the worst teams in baseball and they have one of the worst starters on the mound Thursday. It’s surprising the Guardians are only -210 to win outright, but even at that number, they’re not worth the risk.

I would PASS on the moneyline and bet on the spread instead, where there’s better value on the Guardians.

Run line/Against the spread

Lyles managed to earn the win in his last start despite giving up 4 ER, his 1st victory of the season. It was also the 1st time the Royals won a game started by Lyles this year, losing his first 15 starts of the season.

Only twice this season have the Royals lost by 1 run when Lyles was the starter, so they’ve struggled to even cover the run line with him on the mound. BET GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Royals have allowed 22 runs in their last 3 games, struggling badly to limit their opponents’ bats. The total has gone Over in 5 of their last 6 games, a trend that I expect to continue Thursday with Lyles pitching.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (37-40) and the Kansas City Royals (22-56) open a 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City on Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won season series 12-7 in 2022

The Guardians have alternated losses and wins in the last 4 games. That’s the bad news. The good news is that the Cleveland offense has appeared to gain steam lately, racking up 4.9 runs per game (RPG) across the past 10 outings, which is nearly a full run better than the team’s season average of 3.92 RPG, according to covers.com.

The Royals rank 28th in the majors with just 295 runs scored, 7 fewer runs than the Guardians, who rank 27th.

Kansas City has alternated losses and wins across the last 7 games since June 19, and the Royals are just 6-14 inside the division, while going 10-28 on their home field.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Brady Singer

Williams (0-0, 6.35 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 4 K in 5 2/3 IP in a no-decision vs. the Oakland Athletics in his major league debut last Wednesday

  • 2023 minor league stats: 4-2, 2.39 ERA (46 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a 0.98 WHIP between 12 starts with a Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus

Singer (4-7, 6.34 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 76 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 9-4 road loss vs. the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-4, 5.84 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 29 ER – 6 HR) with a .291 OBA in 9 starts

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+105) | Royals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-150) are the play, although Williams is still a bit of an unknown quantity.

Still, the Royals (+125) cannot be trusted, as Singer has been erratic this season, and Kansas City has managed to win just 10 of 38 games at home, good for a winning percentage of just .263.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+105) are worth a look at plus-money on the run line, but play it lightly.

Again, Williams has had just 1 start under his belt in the big leagues, and if Kansas City is going to get well, it could be against an unknown rookie. Of course, we’ve seen Singer plenty, and he has coughed up 4 or more runs in 3 of his last 6 outings, and 8 of his 14 starts.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-120) is the lean with Williams and Singer on the mound, although these are the teams ranked 27th and 28th in scoring in the majors, so be careful.

The Over has cashed in each of the past 6 meetings between these AL Central Division foes, although this is the 1st meeting this season.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The  Kansas City Royals (65-96) wrap a 4-game set with the Cleveland Guardians (91-70) in the two teams’ final regular season games. First pitch from Progressive Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 11-7

The Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games, all vs. the Royals. Having already clinched a playoff spot they look to end the season with a win before a tough wildcard series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Royals look to end out a tough season with a win before looking to make some much-needed changes in the offseason. K.C. will finish last in the AL Central.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jonathan Heasley vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Heasley (4-9, 5.00 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 99 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB and 4 K over his last 2 starts
  • Last start at the Detroit Tigers Thursday: 5 R (4 ER) on 6 H and 1 BB with 1 K over 4 2/3 IP

Civale (4-6, 5.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 91 IP.

  • Is 2-0 with 6 ER on 11 H and 1 BB with 14 K over his last 3 starts
  • Last start vs. KC Friday: 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 0 BB with 5 K over 6 IP

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Guardians -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Royals 2

Moneyline

LEAN GUARDIANS (-180).

This should be a game the Guardians win as they’re not only the better team but they are also playing for more: it has no meaning for the Royals as they are simply trying to end an underwhelming season, but the Guardians are looking to get hot and keep it going into the playoffs.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN GUARDIANS -1.5 (+117).

Only 4 games out of the 18 games in the season series have been decided by 1 run. The odds say that trend should continue Wednesday, and I agree. This is your strongest play in this game, but neither team has won 2 in a row across the last 7 meetings in this series so don’t be surprised if that continues.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

Many of the games in this season series have gone Over this total, but I don’t think that continues Wednesday. Neither team is playing its strongest pitcher so this game should be one where both teams are able to put up runs.

However, I doubt a Royals team that is playing just to end its season and a Guardians team that is shifting its focus towards the playoffs will put a lot of runs on the board in this one.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (65-95) and Cleveland Guardians (90-70) meet Tuesday to continue a 6-game, season-ending series at Progressive Field. First pitch in the AL Central tilt is slated for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 10-7

Kansas City took Monday’s game 5-2. The road win stands as a rarity: the Royals had been just 7-21 away from home since Aug. 2. The K.C. road offense during that same stretch has been awful. The Royals have logged just 3.17 runs per game over their last 28 away from Kauffman Stadium.

The Guardians have come on strong to win the AL Central flag. Since Sept. 5, Cleveland is 22-6. The Guardians have made hay against the Central: they are 45-29 in division contests.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Lynch vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Lynch (4-12, 4.96 ERA) has recorded a 1.55 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 127 IP across 26 starts.

  • Has clocked an 8.66 over 4 starts vs. Cleveland in the last 2 seasons
  • Facing a Cleveland nine that has struggled against left-handers (.642 OPS) while performing above-league-average against righties (.717)

Quantrill (14-5, 3.42 ERA) has authored a 1.22 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 181 1/3 IP in 31 starts.

  • Has registered a 2.82 since Aug. 30
  • Has benefited from a .279 batting average on balls in play

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

David Lynch has worked around the traffic of a .332 BABIP. Although he’s up against a big innings climb from last year to this (and likely subject to some expected fatigue), he and the Royals are worth a look against clubs — like Cleveland — that scuffle against lefties.

The Kansas City offense has cranked out a robust .778 OPS over its last 15 games. When looking at the bottom third of the league, K.C.’s 34-56 mark against winning teams is better than most.

Potential playoff-prep lineup shuffling and in-game substitutions are factors working against Cleveland.

BACK THE ROYALS (+150) on a partial-unit play. A +160 tag should trigger a full unit.

Run line/Against the spread

This price is further from value than that of the Moneyline. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

Value indicators — the tools that spot gaps in real-vs. expected outcomes allowing runs and scoring them — are mixed for this matchup.

PASS.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (64-95) visit the Cleveland Guardians (90-69) Monday in their final series of the regular season. First pitch is at 6:10 p.m. ET from Progressive Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 10-6

The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 games and 2 of their last 3 against the Royals. They have already clinched the AL Central and are looking ahead to the playoffs after they finish this final series with the Royals.

The Royals have lost 5 of their last 6 games and sit last in the division  having long been eliminated from playoff contention.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Greinke (4-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 4.95 K/9 in 131.0 IP.

  • Is 2-2 in his last 4 starts with 8 Ks in 22.1 IP
  • In those 4 starts he has allowed 5 ER and 0 HR

McKenzie (11-11, 2.99 ERA) makes 30th start. He has a  0.96 WHIP, 2.13 BB/9 and 8.98 K/9 in 186.1 IP.

  • Is 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 37 K in 33.2 IP
  • In those 5 starts he has allowed 8 ER and 5 HR

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: -112)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 8, Royals 3

Moneyline

AVOID

The Guardians should almost surely win this game, so I would say if you really want a moneyline bet then you should feel safe with this bet. But for me this bet isn’t worth the risk of taking and I would AVOID the ML here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GUARDIANS -1.5 (+122).

History this season shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they often do so by at least 3 runs, which is why I would say this is your best bet for this game. If the Royals can make this a close game then they will likely win, but this is a Guardians team that is trying to get hot right before the playoffs and I believe they continue this trend in this game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 6.5 (-140).

History from this season also shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they almost always score at least 6 runs in doing so. Because of this I believe that the Over is the 2nd safest bet in this game. If the Royals can just put up at least 1 run I believe the Guardians will be able to do what they’ve done all season against this Royals team and put up at least 6 runs to cover the over.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (63-93) will begin a 6-game series with the Cleveland Guardians (88-68) on Friday at Progressive Field at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 8-5

The Royals aren’t in the playoff picture with a 63-93 record and are playing their younger players down the final stretch of the season. Kansas City has lost 4 of its last 5 games, including a 3-game sweep by the Detroit Tigers.

The Guardians have already clinched the AL Central and are locked into the No. 3 seed in the AL playoffs. Cleveland has won 9 of its last 10 games and the Guardians have won 7 straight series.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Singer (10-4, 2.99 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

  • Has been credited with the win in 3 straight starts
  • Sept. 5 vs. Guardians: 6 IP, 9 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

Civale (3-6, 5.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 85 IP.

  • The Guardians have won 5 of his last 6 starts
  • July 8 at Royals: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -140)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Guardians 3

Money line

I’ll be taking ROYALS (+115) in this game as the Guardians have already locked up their spot in the postseason. Kansas City wants to finish the season strong and they have Singer on the mound, who has been fantastic in 2022.

The Royals have gone 8-1 in Singer’s last 9 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

While I believe the Royals should be able to win outright, I’ll PASS on the run line in this game. Kansas City’s odds are at -190 to keep the game within 2 runs, so it’s not a bet worth taking straight up.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-140) appears to be the correct choice in this game, especially with the weather factors at Progressive Field. Singer shouldn’t surrender many runs while KC should be able to muster up a few runs on Civale.

The Under is 4-0 in Cleveland’s last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. Plus, the Under has hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings between the Royals and the Guardians.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (16-31) and Cleveland Guardians (20-24) face off Tuesday for the second game of a three-game set at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Guardians lead the season series against the Royals 3-2, including Monday’s 7-3 victory in Cleveland.

The Royals have dropped nine of the past 11 games overall. The exact score of the past three games for Kansas City has been 7-3, with back-to-back losses by that score.

The Guardians have picked up two wins in the past three games, and Cleveland has been a respectable 6-4 across the past 10 at home.

Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Lynch vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Lynch (2-3, 3.92 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.92 BB/9 and 8.54 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Is winless in the past five starts, going 0-2 with a 4.30 ERA across 23 IP in 5 outings in the month of May.
  • Posted a 1-2 record with a 3.55 ERA across 25.1 IP over five starts on the road.

Quantrill (1-3, 3.42 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.61 BB/9 and 5.32 K/9 through 47.1 IP.

  • Faced the Royals in Kansas City April 10, allowing two runs, four hits and a walk across 5 IP for his only win of the campaign.
  • Has walked three or more batters in five of his past seven outings, while lasting at least 6 IP in six consecutive starts.

Royals at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-170) | Guardians -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Royals 4

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-145) are the play as moderate favorites. Cleveland opened this three-game set with a convincing 7-3 win, posting eight hits, including a triple and two home runs.

It’s not just about offense for Cleveland, however, as it enters seventh in the majors with a 1.18 WHIP, and third in the league with a 7.27 strikeouts per game. Conversely, Kansas City struggles to put up runs, ranking just 25th with 3.81 runs per game.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+135) are worth a small-unit play on the run line. That’s because the Royals have been yielding runs at an alarming rate, posting a 5.02 ERA to rank 28th. They’re also 29th with a 1.48 WHIP. Cleveland’s offense should be able to post plenty of runs like it did in Monday’s opener.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (-107) is worth playing, as again, Kansas City has struggled in the pitching department. But it’s not a slam-dunk play, as the Royals have also struggled plating runs. Still, the Guardians have averaged 11.3 runs per game in the past three meetings with the Royals.

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