The Kansas City Royals (65-96) wrap a 4-game set with the Cleveland Guardians (91-70) in the two teams’ final regular season games. First pitch from Progressive Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Guardians lead 11-7
The Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games, all vs. the Royals. Having already clinched a playoff spot they look to end the season with a win before a tough wildcard series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Royals look to end out a tough season with a win before looking to make some much-needed changes in the offseason. K.C. will finish last in the AL Central.
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Royals at Guardians projected starters
RHP Jonathan Heasley vs. RHP Aaron Civale
Heasley (4-9, 5.00 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 99 IP.
- Is 1-1 with 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB and 4 K over his last 2 starts
- Last start at the Detroit Tigers Thursday: 5 R (4 ER) on 6 H and 1 BB with 1 K over 4 2/3 IP
Civale (4-6, 5.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 91 IP.
- Is 2-0 with 6 ER on 11 H and 1 BB with 14 K over his last 3 starts
- Last start vs. KC Friday: 3 R (2 ER) on 3 H and 0 BB with 5 K over 6 IP
Royals at Guardians odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Guardians -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Royals 2
Moneyline
LEAN GUARDIANS (-180).
This should be a game the Guardians win as they’re not only the better team but they are also playing for more: it has no meaning for the Royals as they are simply trying to end an underwhelming season, but the Guardians are looking to get hot and keep it going into the playoffs.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN GUARDIANS -1.5 (+117).
Only 4 games out of the 18 games in the season series have been decided by 1 run. The odds say that trend should continue Wednesday, and I agree. This is your strongest play in this game, but neither team has won 2 in a row across the last 7 meetings in this series so don’t be surprised if that continues.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).
Many of the games in this season series have gone Over this total, but I don’t think that continues Wednesday. Neither team is playing its strongest pitcher so this game should be one where both teams are able to put up runs.
However, I doubt a Royals team that is playing just to end its season and a Guardians team that is shifting its focus towards the playoffs will put a lot of runs on the board in this one.
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