The Kansas City Royals (64-95) visit the Cleveland Guardians (90-69) Monday in their final series of the regular season. First pitch is at 6:10 p.m. ET from Progressive Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Guardians lead 10-6
The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 games and 2 of their last 3 against the Royals. They have already clinched the AL Central and are looking ahead to the playoffs after they finish this final series with the Royals.
The Royals have lost 5 of their last 6 games and sit last in the division having long been eliminated from playoff contention.
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Royals at Guardians projected starters
RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Triston McKenzie
Greinke (4-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 4.95 K/9 in 131.0 IP.
- Is 2-2 in his last 4 starts with 8 Ks in 22.1 IP
- In those 4 starts he has allowed 5 ER and 0 HR
McKenzie (11-11, 2.99 ERA) makes 30th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.13 BB/9 and 8.98 K/9 in 186.1 IP.
- Is 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 37 K in 33.2 IP
- In those 5 starts he has allowed 8 ER and 5 HR
Royals at Guardians odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:29 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: -112)
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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 8, Royals 3
Moneyline
AVOID
The Guardians should almost surely win this game, so I would say if you really want a moneyline bet then you should feel safe with this bet. But for me this bet isn’t worth the risk of taking and I would AVOID the ML here.
Run line/Against the spread
BET GUARDIANS -1.5 (+122).
History this season shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they often do so by at least 3 runs, which is why I would say this is your best bet for this game. If the Royals can make this a close game then they will likely win, but this is a Guardians team that is trying to get hot right before the playoffs and I believe they continue this trend in this game.
Over/Under
BET OVER 6.5 (-140).
History from this season also shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they almost always score at least 6 runs in doing so. Because of this I believe that the Over is the 2nd safest bet in this game. If the Royals can just put up at least 1 run I believe the Guardians will be able to do what they’ve done all season against this Royals team and put up at least 6 runs to cover the over.
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