Analyzing the 2020 NFL futures odds for which team will win the AFC North Division, with sports betting picks, tips and best bets.
It’s never too early to get into NFL Futures betting, even if we are just completing the scouting combine in Indianapolis and the draft and free agency hasn’t yet occurred. In fact, sometimes you can get a good price on a team before all hell breaks loose.
Case in point – the 2019 Cleveland Browns. They were near the bottom of the pack last spring before landing WR Odell Beckham Jr. from the New York Giants. After several other moves, which appeared to be shrewd, they went from long shots to one of the favorites two win the Super Bowl, seeing their number shrink exponentially. We see now that it was foolish to take them early or late, as they wet the bed and didn’t even come close to making the postseason.
Below, we look at the futures odds to win the AFC North.
The Ravens are one of just four division favorites with minus-odds, meaning you need to lay more than your potential return. That’s how heavily favored they are. In fact, they’re tied with the New Orleans Saints (NFC South) with the third-best chance of winning their respective division based on the odds – behind only the New England Patriots (AFC East) and defending champ Kansas City Chiefs (AFC West).
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QB Lamar Jackson took the NFL by storm last season, and there is no reason to believe he will be slowing down anytime soon. Plus, the Ravens defense is nasty. Couple that with the fact the Pittsburgh Steelers are still not hitting on all cylinders, the Browns are still the Browns, and the Cincinnati Bengals are picking No. 1 overall in the draft, and this should be a slam-dunk play.
2020 AFC North odds: Pittsburgh Steelers (+340)
The Steelers are expected to have QB Ben Roethlisberger back under center after losing him to a season-ending elbow injury in Week 1 last season. While he is getting a bit long in the tooth, he is much better for the team’s outlook than if Mason Rudolph or Devlin Hodges were taking snaps. They just missed out on a playoff spot with that duo at the helm. If the Steelers can grab a wideout playmaker in free agency or the draft, and plug a few holes, they could easily challenge the Ravens for the top spot. Coach Mike Tomlin seems to always have his team right there challenging in the end.
2020 AFC North odds: Cleveland Browns (+650)
The Browns still have an impressive offensive core with QB Baker Mayfield, RBs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, Beckham and WR Jarvis Landry, etc. Plus, their defense is sick, too, returning DE Myles Garrett from his helmet-swinging suspension. They’re worth a small-unit wager, especially if they can add some beef to the O-line so Mayfield isn’t running for his life every down. The Browns will face a semi-favorable schedule due to their tumble down the standings to third place in 2019. Will they win the division? Probably not. But stranger things have happened, and their skill position players rival anyone in the NFL.
2020 AFC North odds: Cincinnati Bengals (+2000)
The Bengals are going to improve their personnel with the No. 1 overall pick, but they’re still much further away from the competition even with possibly adding a Heisman Trophy winning quarterback. In fact, QB isn’t really their biggest issue, as Andy Dalton was more than serviceable for many years. He is expected to be dealt, perhaps to the Chicago Bears, Indianapolis Colts or New England Patriots. They might get more draft picks in return from someone, helping them improve even quicker. However, they have so many holes to fill that it’s not worth taking a flier on them, even at this rate, which is sure to decrease slightly after some additions.
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The New England Patriots need to add difference-makers at their skill positions if they want to retain quarterback Tom Brady. The pending free agent is interested in returning to the team, but he’s reportedly unlikely to go back to New England without a stronger supporting cast than the one he had in 2019.
So if the Patriots don’t want him to hit free agency, they better start with the trade market. And it’s not unreasonable to think they can land a big name over the next two weeks. At this time last year, a number of high-profile players – including like Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. – changed teams. The Patriots may be interested in a large slash this offseason.
Here are some ideas.
1. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Browns
Cleveland may make for a challenging trade partner after it acquired Beckham just one year ago. But the Patriots could start by putting the 23rd overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft on the table to get the conversation started. The package gets a lot sweeter with that pick involved.
Beckham has made it clear he’d be interested in playing with Brady. This might be the special offense the Patriots envisioned with Antonio Brown before he faced allegations of sexual assault and rape.
2. The Rams wideouts
Cooper Kupp would be an excellent fit outside for the Patriots. His deal expires in 2020, and L.A. may anticipate that it won’t be able to pay him. Then there’s Robert Woods, who could play any of the Patriots’ receiver positions. His deal expires in 2021 and is team-friendly, which makes it even more intriguing for New England. And finally, Brandin Cooks will likely be available. It would be laughably Belichickian to buy low on Cooks. But his health (concussions) probably makes him too big of a risk.
3. Kenny Golladay, WR, Lions
He has been one of the most impressive young wideouts in the NFL over the last two seasons, but he’ll be a free agent in 2021. Will the Lions extend him? Or might they trade him in anticipation of a rebuild? It’s likely that with Matt Patricia and Jon Robinson’s jobs on the line, they avoid trading Golladay. But it’s worth a call for Bill Belichick. Lions receiver Marvin Jones isn’t a bad trade option either.
4. Corey Davis, WR, Titans
He’s hitting the final year of his rookie deal, and Tennessee is unlikely to give him a fifth-year option. Why not trade him now?
5. Curtis Samuel, WR, Panthers
Samuel is also entering the final year of his contract, and Carolina, which is likely to be in a full rebuild, is unlikely to extend his deal. New England could scoop him up for a one-year rental.
Michael Thomas and Odell Beckham Jr. had interesting reactions to Tony Romo’s new contract with CBS.
They play the same position but are not alike. So, it figures wide receivers Michael Thomas and Odell Beckham Jr. would react differently to the news CBS signed Tony Romo to a long-term contract for $17 million per season to remain with the network and be an analyst on NFL games.
The Saints’ Thomas tweeted:
Thank you that’s why we shouldn’t sign the new CBA agreement no way the announcer should be making more then 90% of the players 🤷🏾♂️🤓 #Nohttps://t.co/b7I4N8UzY0
Bleacher Report suggests Raiders should explore trade for WR Odell Beckham Jr.
If we have learned anything about Mike Mayock and Jon Gruden over the last two years, it’s that they are going to be aggressive in an attempt to improve their team. That is especially true at wide receiver as the team has made bold trades to acquire the likes of Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant, Ryan Switzer, Zay Jones, Trevor Davis, etc.
Knowing just how hard it is to draft and develop receivers, it wouldn’t be surprising to see them go after another veteran receiver this offseason once again.
One player who has been floated around as a potential trade candidate is Odell Beckham Jr. of the Cleveland Browns. After a rough year with the Browns, there have been some rumblings that the team could look to trade the All-Pro receiver.
In a recent article by Brent Sobleski of Bleacher Report, he named the Raiders as a possible fit for Beckham, given their cap situation and two first-round picks in April’s draft. Take a look at why Sobleski believes the Raiders should at least entertain a trade for Beckham:
Right now, the Browns don’t plan to trade Odell Beckham Jr., according to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport. However, that could change if the new leadership isn’t entirely sold on his commitment to the organization. If it does, the Raiders have an extra first-round draft pick to use as an enticement and land one of the game’s best receivers.
Potential trade: The Raiders acquire Beckham from the Browns for a first-round draft pick (Chicago Bears’ original selection).
While this trade is fun to discuss, it only makes sense if a few things were to occur. If the Raiders don’t believe a player like CeeDee Lamb or Jerry Jeudy will fall to them at No. 12, then it would make sense to secure a No. 1 receiver with their second first-round picks. Or, the other scenario would be if the team was targeting a quarterback with their top pick and wanted to get another proven receiver to pair with him.
However, that would likely be a trade that would need to be completed before the draft. And for that reason, it’s tough to see the Raiders making this drastic of a move. But under Mayock and Gruden, you certainly can’t rule it out.
A year after the Freddie Kitchens disaster, the brass again trusts the Browns with a first-time head coach.
For the second time in as many offseasons, the Cleveland Browns have hired an offensive coordinator without experience as a head coach to lead the talented-laden roster in to battle each Sunday.
Marked changes this time: Demeanor and accountability. The 2020 hiring, Minnesota Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski, replaces Freddie Kitchen. Arguably the most important difference is found in how they present themselves as leaders. Kitchens talked a big game during the introductory press conference and seemed like he was from the mold of being the right blend between a player’s coach and team leader. By midseason, neither proved to be true.
Stefanski brings an even-keeled demeanor that commands respect. His actions have backed up this unspoken authority by finding ways to keep the mouthy Stefon Diggs content, feeding several targets, and making sure head coach Mike Zimmer’s preference for leaning on the ground game was successfully implemented.
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How did Stefanski get to this point in such a short period of time, one may ask? Well, it wasn’t as brief as it may have seemed. He was lurking in the background of the Minnesota sidelines for years before being an inseason replacement for fired OC John DeFilippo in the 2018 season. The Vikings were calling pass plays at rate of nearly 2-to-1 over rushing the ball, and Zimmer wasn’t having it. After a late-season swing that made the Vikings see Stefanski could handle the task, the interim label was removed heading into the 2019 offseason. He would go on to establish one of the NFL’s most dominant rushing attacks with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison, even seeing Mike Boone post studly numbers as an injury replacement in one contest.
Prior to his ascension, Stefanski coached pretty much everything for the Vikings. He began in 2006 as a 24-year-old assistant to head coach Brad Childress and served in this role through the 2008 season. Then he became the assistant quarterbacks coach in 2009, helping Brett Favre author one of his finest seasons as a pro. Stefanski would hold this title through 2013 after Childress was fired and replaced by Leslie Frazier in 2010. Zimmer came in prior to the 2014 season and moved Stefanski to tight ends coach for two years. In 2016, at 34, Stefanski would coach the running backs for one season and then become the full-blown quarterbacks coach in 2017.
The system
During his full season calling plays, Stefanski’s Vikings ranked (1st being best):
Overall: 16th in offensive yards and 8th in points scored per game
Rushing: 4th in attempts, 6th in yards, 6th in TDs
Passing: 30th in attempts, 23rd in yards, 14th in TDs, 5th in fewest interceptions
Stefanski, 37, offers a much different style of calling games. One could say that’s because he knows what he’s doing, but Kitchens flashed potential in the 2018 season as an interim playcaller, one may contest. The latter would get too enamored with the pass at times in 2019 and turn to the running game when it was too late. He would make head-scratching decisions, especially around the end zone, and even once admitted some of the situations were new to him. While that is true, who says that as a head coach?!? The responsibilities of calling plays and being the head coach proved to be too much for him.
Anyway, the point isn’t to pile on Kitchens. It’s to show Stefanski is poised to do something Kitchens likely never would have been able to accomplish: Turn around the culture of a losing tradition. That starts by implementing the right mentality — one of accountability, respect, and discipline — but it also comes with the mandate of winning. Without those W’s, the culture can quickly dissolve.
So how does Stefanski go about delivering wins? It will take a few things first that are out of his control. The primary factor is the offensive line must be bolstered. Far too often quarterback Baker Mayfield was running for his life or taken to the turf. Play designs can help, but substandard personnel can take a team only so far…
Another area is cutting down on mistakes, which is a group effort. This comes from having heady players, respected leaders, a consistent voice from the coaching staff, and a system that doesn’t beg for unforced errors. All of the fancy misdirections and so forth in other offenses comes at a price, which tends to be a greater frequency of mistakes.
Simplistically speaking, Stefanski’s system is rooted in the West Coast offense. He had a helping hand of epic proportions from the man who would replace him in Minnesota, Gary Kubiak. The offensive master served as an assistant to the offensive coaches in 2019 and assistant head coach. In short, his responsibility was to make Stefanski’s job easier … teach, but don’t get in the way. Few men on planet Earth know as much about a zone-blocking scheme as Kubiak, and Stefanski will bring this system with him to Cleveland. Speaking of tutelage, Bill Callahan is the new offensive line coach and is widely regarded among the best in the game at installing a zone system.
Cincinnati Bengals quarterbacks coach Alex Van Pelt is expected to be the offensive coordinator in name only. He will help with the game plans and preparation.
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It requires athletic linemen who tend to be smaller and quicker than the norm. They move in a choreographed flow to create holes in the front seven for which the running back is responsible to attack, wherever said gaps may occur. Oftentimes, runners are forced to make split-second cutbacks and go against the grain of the defensive pursuit. It tends to produce chunk plays and has created some of the most successful fantasy football backfields of all time.
It also keeps Mayfield from tossing so many meatballs to the opposite team. The 2018 No. 1 overall pick set the rookie touchdown pass record with a fierce surge under Kitchens as his interim OC that year, but it all fell apart in 2019’s iteration. The TDs came way down, the INTs went way up, and Mayfield looked like he was trying to do too much too often. Expect that to be the primary focus of Stefanski. Keeping Mayfield playing within the system and relying on play-action passing to catch defenses off-guard. Low passing volume figures to be a staple of this offense. That’s not to say Mayfield cannot take advantage and play at a high level in fantasy, but he’ll need to be extremely efficient.
Personnel concerns
Obviously, such a shift in philosophy greatly caters to another strong year by running back Nick Chubb. It remains uncertain as to what the Browns will do with restricted free agent Kareem Hunt. He was recently involved in a traffic stop, and Cleveland has a new general manager heading into free agency. The former Kansas City Chief could receive an offer from another franchise that just isn’t worth matching on Cleveland’s end.
In free agency, Cleveland’s offense faces left tackle Greg Robinson, backup quarterback Drew Stanton and WR Rashard Higgins all set to become unrestricted in March. Robinson, the No. 2 overall pick in 2014, will all but guaranteed be playing for his fifth team in 2020.
While Odell Beckham Jr. and tight end David Njoku aren’t free agents, both players are coming off of extremely disappointing seasons. Njoku was made inactive late in the year as a healthy scratch, and one reason cited was his struggle catching the ball. He never has been a natural receiver and has relied heavily on his athleticism. OBJ, however, catches everything under the sun but will be asked to spend an inordinate amount of time building chemistry with Mayfield this summer.
Jarvis Landry’s release would save more than $10 million against the salary cap. He produced like a weak WR1 last year, and Cleveland has plenty of cap space, so it’s unlikely he’s axed. Restructuring his deal is in play, though.
Fantasy football takeaway
We’ve established Mayfield will be asked to do less, and Chubb possibly tasked with more of a workload, mostly depending on what happens with Hunt. Mayfield should have a few huge games and disappear in others based on game plans and situation requirements — much like Kirk Cousins last year in Minnesota. Even though Mayfield is fully expected to rebound, don’t think he’s going to explode. This just isn’t the system for it.
Chubb remains an RB1 candidate in all formats, mostly because of his explosive nature. His body of work speaks for itself, and there is little chance he escapes the first five fantasy draft picks while playing in this system. Hunt would be a PPR No. 3 who can post quality RB2 numbers many weeks based on receiving work.
Beckham and Jarvis Landry should alternate fantasy roles this year and produce similarly to what the expectations were entering 2019. While the volume won’t be the same as he was used to in New York, Beckham’s game is built around getting down the field. He’s a low-tier No. 1, if for no reason than his otherworldly athletic traits. Landry was supposed to be his sidekick in 2019 and ended up leading the offense in catches, receiving yards and aerial scores. Flip that script in favor of OBJ in 2020, especially if the O-line improves.
Njoku may not even be the best tight end on this roster for fantasy purposes. The market has a few viable options, but he’s pretty well a lock to return with the entirety of his 2020 cap charge being guaranteed money. Giving him the benefit of the doubt, he’s a fringe No. 1 tight end at a position that is rocky after the top names. In reality, Njoku is no more than a backup with perennial upside yet to materialize.
Kansas City sits atop Touchdown Wire’s final 2019-20 Power Rankings, but coaching moves spur movement up and down our postseason list.
When we compiled the last Touchdown Wire Power Rankings of the regular season, we based them strictly on how teams fared in the 2019 season. That’s a tried and true formula and a fair way to judge how a team performed in that season.
Now, we’re going to take a slightly different approach. That’s because there already have been a lot of changes this offseason — coaching changes, changes at the top of the quarterback hierarchy and plenty of speculation about potentially significant player movement when the league year starts in March.
That’s why we’re taking a different approach to our postseason rankings. Yes, what a team did during the season will play heavily, but changes in 2020 also matter.
For example, the Washington Redskins were No. 31 in our rankings at the end of the regular season. But they’re moving up with the arrival of coach Ron Rivera, who will bring a sense of order that was previously lacking.
Now, that the Super Bowl has been played, it’s time for the final Touchdown Wire Power Rankings for the 2019-20 season.
32. Cincinnati Bengals
(2-14; Previous rank: 32)
The Bengals were consistently dismal all season, and that’s why they’re holding onto the No. 32 spot. Head coach Zac Taylor is lucky to be returning for a second season, but owner Mike Brown has been unusually patient through the years. Maybe that patience will pay off this time. The Bengals get a great reward for being so bad. They earned the first pick in the draft, and it’s almost universally believed they’ll use it on LSU quarterback Joe Burrow, the 2019 Heisman Trophy winner. Burrow might make a big difference right away. But he needs help. The offensive line needs an overhaul, and it’s imperative that the team re-signs receiver A.J. Green, who can make Burrow look good in a hurry.
31. Carolina Panthers
(5-11; Previous rank: 26)
We dropped the Panthers to No. 31 because they’ve had so many changes. And none of them are clearly for the better. Owner David Tepper continues to put his stamp on the team, and things are likely to get worse before they get better. Tepper fired coach Ron Rivera late last season. Rivera is highly respected around the league. Tepper replaced him with Matt Rhule, who has a reputation as a program builder on the college level but has never been an NFL head coach. Throw in Luke Kuechly’s surprise retirement and the parting of ways with tight end Greg Olsen, and the roster is worse today than at the end of the season. Plus, there’s no telling what the Panthers will do with injury-plagued quarterback Cam Newton.
30. Detroit Lions
(3-12-1; Previous rank: 30)
Head coach Matt Patricia and general manager Bob Quinn held onto their jobs despite a disastrous season. The only reason I can see for that is that owner Martha Ford gave Patricia a pass because he played much of the season without quarterback Matthew Stafford. The veteran Stafford isn’t a world beater, but he puts up stats and keeps the Lions competitive. Stafford’s return will help the Lions, but Patricia and Quinn have to go out and acquire more talent if they’re going to contend for a playoff spot. If they don’t, they’ll be gone.
29. New York Giants
(4-12. Previous rank: 28)
Head coach Pat Shurmur was fired, and that’s not a bad thing. But he was replaced by Joe Judge. That likely prompted many New York fans to say, “Joe Who?” because Judge wasn’t a household name. Judge was the special teams and wide receivers coach for the Patriots. His New England pedigree undoubtedly helped him land the job. But this is a tough gig. Shurmur and predecessor Ben McAdoo failed miserably. Judge doesn’t have a lot to work with besides quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Saquon Barkley.
28. Jacksonville Jaguars
(6-10. Previous rank: 29)
The Jaguars move up one spot in our rankings — mainly because they kept coach Doug Marrone but got rid of executive vice president of football operations Tom Coughlin. That should take pressure off Marrone, because Coughlin was a control freak and loomed over every move the coach made. Now this truly is Marrone’s team. His first big decision will be whether to start veteran quarterback Nick Foles or second-year pro Gardner Minshew. Neither is a bad choice.
27. Washington Redskins
(3-13. Previous rank: 31)
Washington scooped up former Carolina coach Ron Rivera to replace the fired Jay Gruden and interim replacement Bill Callahan. That was the best coaching hire of the postseason. Now, the Redskins have an adult running the show. Rivera, a former linebacker for the Chicago Bears, is known as a players’ coach. That’s only partly true. He also is a no-nonsense coach, who is firmly in control of his team. His specialty is defense, but his first task in Washington will be to find out if the Redskins can win with second-year quarterback Dwayne Haskins.
26. Miami Dolphins
(5-11. Previous rank: 27)
Remember all the early talk last year about how the Dolphins were tanking and could go 0-16. That looked like a possibility for a bit. But coach Brian Flores held his team together, and the Dolphins started winning games, including the season finale at New England. They took themselves out of contention for the No. 1 overall draft pick. But they still could land their quarterback of the future with the fifth overall pick — perhaps Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa or Oregon’s Justin Herbert. In the meantime, veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick will be around to guide the offense until a replacement is deemed ready for action.
25. Los Angeles Chargers
(5-11. Previous rank: 25)
Next season will be one of change for the Chargers. They’ll be moving into a new stadium they’ll share with the Rams. More importantly, they should have a new look on the field. Veteran quarterback Philip Rivers is almost certainly done after 16 seasons with the franchise. That has fueled wild speculation that New England quarterback Tom Brady could be coming to the Chargers. There’s some logic to this one. Brady has said he’s open to playing for another team. He owns a home in Los Angeles. The Chargers need wins. They also need help at the box office. There might not be a bigger drawing card than Brady. Maybe this is a pipe dream, but it’s not an impossibility.
Former New York Giants LB Tae Davis talks Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr., Freddie Kitchens and more with Giants Wire.
Former New York Giants linebacker Tae Davis discussed Eli Manning’s retirement press conference on Friday and reflected on his time as a teammate with the future Hall of Fame quarterback.
“He’s everything you would want in a Giants player the way he carried himself on and off the field. It hasn’t always been pretty with him having to deal with scrutiny from the media, but he has been very respectable went about it the right way,” Davis told Giants Wire.
“He’s totally unselfish. Very friendly and always there for you as a teammate if you needed someone to lean on for guidance or advice. He was just that type of guy. The way he went about things it told you everything you need to know. You could learn a lot from watching how he prepared.
“It was something that a lot of guys saw coming at some point, but it was still a shock to everyone in terms of it being the beginning of the end for Eli’s career. It was weird seeing him run scout team, it just didn’t feel right.
“I was very surprised that they pulled the plug so early but it was unfortunately one of those deals where we signed up for it as the people upstairs are the ones making decisions in the best interest of the team.”
Davis came away even more impressed with Manning after watching him handle this low moment.
“Seeing how he dealt with being benched, especially as a two-time Super Bowl champ and the history of his family name and legacy on the Giants, it was tough for him but it showed how humble he is. I’ve never seen anything like it. Guys with his success and accolades wouldn’t be willing to keep quiet and accept a backup role.
“I just remembered watching the Eagles game (Eli’s first start since being benched in Week 2) and was happy for Eli proving he could still play great football after all the things he went through earlier in the season.
“I believe he’s a lock for the Hall of Fame. He’s top 10 in passing and total touchdowns and has won 2 Super Bowls over Tom Brady.”
Davis was waived by the Giants on October 29th.
Shortly after, Davis was picked up by the Cleveland Browns, where he would reunite with his former Giants teammates Odell Beckham Jr. and Olivier Vernon.
Davis discussed his perception of Beckham despite all the negative buzz that’s been surrounding the star wide receiver.
“The media controls a lot of opinions. I don’t think anything has changed with Odell,” Davis said. “You’re always going to have growing pains going to a new team. He’s going to get it turned around in his second year on this offense. It’s always the minor things when something comes up and gets plastered everywhere.
“I look up to Odell like an older brother, but I see him time in and time out. I see his passion and wanting to win and win the right way. Both he and OV helped a lot with my transition here and making sure I was situated coming over here at mid-season.
“We are one of the most talented teams on paper. It takes time for guys to gel together. The work ethic is there.”
Davis also commented on his now former head coach Freddie Kitchens, who the Browns fired after his first season due to the team producing a disappointing record of 6-10.
“Freddie was more of a players coach. When I got there halfway through the season, he definitely wanted to have fun. I felt he had pretty good control of the team, but at the end of the day, some guys are still going to do what they want.”
It is fair to assume the poor season plus other dysfunctional tales on and off the field with the Browns also played a role in the termination of Kitchens.
“He wasn’t a bad coach. As a first-time head coach, he was still adjusting and trying to figure out the new role. With the team we had, he had to figure it out quick. We didn’t get the job done on the field and the organization did what they felt was best, but I’m in full support of Freddie,” Davis said.
Rumors have swirled that Kitchens will be added to the Giants’ staff, reuniting him with Joe Judge. However, those rumors have not yet been confirmed.
“I wish him nothing but the best with the giants. I know he’s going to attack it with his full effort,” said Davis.
“Having a guy like him on the staff [would help] teach Judge where he went wrong/right based on his own experience. Same with Jason Garrett, it helps having that experience. If you have a staff like that, you have those multiple opinions to help coach Judge decide what’s best.”
After a promising 2018 rookie campaign with the Giants (two sacks, 33 tackles, two tackles for a loss, and one pass deflection), Davis took a step back in his sophomore season playing only two games on the Giants defense. Davis recorded three tackles before primarily serving as a special team’s player once he got to the Cleveland Browns in Week 9.
Davis told me that he has already begun making adjustments to his diet and sleep schedule this offseason in order to come into training camp rejuvenated as he hopes to get back on the same track that saw him start four games at linebacker in a productive season for the Giants back in 2018.
The Patriots need to add offensive weapons, and they could be after another star wide receiver.
It’s obvious the New England Patriots have a need for pass catchers. While a lot of the focus has been on the tight end position, the wide receiver group could use another fresh face as well. Odell Beckham Jr. has been someone that’s been linked to the Patriots for a few years now. But, is it realistic that the star receiver could land in Foxboro?
There’s certainly interest from Beckham Jr. Last season, he stated: “I was willing and ready to go over there [to New England] at any point in time. That was always a dream of mine to play for Tom Brady.” He followed that up by gifting Brady a pair of goat hair cleats.
OBJ gave Tom Brady a pair of his 1-of-1 cleats that were made with goat hair 🤝🐐
His contract, while expensive, isn’t quite as ludicrous as one might believe. Beckham Jr. signed a five-year $90 million contract back in 2018 right before his final season with the Giants. At the time of the signing, it was the largest contract ever handed out to a wide receiver. Today, with four years left, the remaining $15 million per season would be tied for ninth among wide receivers in AAV, and that’s before Amari Cooper gets paid. That number is more than manageable for one of the best in the game.
However, it may also mean that a lot of impending free agents would have to find homes elsewhere. The Patriots are expected to have roughly $45 million in cap space entering the 2020 season. If a third of that is eaten up by Beckham’s contract, it would be tougher to keep key contributors like Joe Thuney, Kyle Van Noy and Devin McCourty.
What would the Patriots have to give up?
It’s tough to find a true comparison. Beckham Jr., himself, was traded (alongside Olivier Vernon) for Jabrill Peppers (former first-round pick), Kevin Zeitler (starting RG), a 2019 first-round pick, and a 2019 third-round pick.
Since then, Beckham Jr. had an average season, by his standards. He finished 2019 with 74 receptions for 1,035 yards and four touchdowns. His year also ended with surgery this off-season for hip and groin injuries that slowed him down.
With all that information, it’s safe to assume the Patriots would still have to give up at least a first-round pick and a third-round pick. If New England wants to re-sign Brady and put the best pieces around them that they can, this price tag should be more than acceptable.
How would Odell help?
It was clear that the 2019 Patriots were lacking explosiveness in their offense. Beckham Jr. is one of the most explosive players in football, as he can run just about every route effectively
This move would open up the field more for players like Julian Edelman, Mohamed Sanu and N’Keal Harry. Most of all, James White’s life would get much better. Last season, while still productive for White, had some down weeks because he was being covered by cornerbacks. The advantage for White comes when he gets a linebacker in coverage. This trade would do exactly that.
If Brady is back this would remove more pressure off his shoulders. And, the less pressure, the better.