Camping World Bowl: FIW Staff Predictions

Can Notre Dame reach the 11 win mark or will Iowa State finally close the deal against one of these top teams that they’ve played so closely all year?

We’ve made it through the holidays and the bowl slate picks up steadily from here forward. Friday should be fun but we’re all waiting for the historic Camping World Bowl and Notre Dame’s showdown with Iowa State on Saturday.

Can Notre Dame reach the 11 win mark or will Iowa State finally close the deal against one of these top teams that they’ve played so closely all year?

Here is how the Fighting Irish Wire Staff sees Saturday’s Camping World Bowl going:

Picks –

Geoffrey Clark:

Ever since the loss to Michigan, the Irish have been on a mission to prove that and the defeat at Georgia were anomalies.  Plus, they have the defense to shut down Brock Purdy or at least take away his receivers’ opportunities.  The time off will cause Notre Dame’s offense to take a slight dip, but it’ll still be enough for a convincing win.

Notre Dame 33 Iowa State 14

Jeff Feyerer:

I get the sentiment that Notre Dame may struggle with a new man calling plays and facing off against one of the unluckiest teams in recent college football memory, but I still find it hard to go against the Irish in this one. 
Brock Purdy is probably the best QB they’ve played all season, but the Irish pass defense, which has had a very strong year, should hold him in check. And I expect Ian Book to give Irish fans something to be excited about next season as I’m assuming we’ll see a healthy dose of Braden Lenzy and Lawrence Keys. 
Notre Dame 31 Iowa State 17
Nick Shepkowski:
I have nothing against Iowa State but I do hate this matchup. You have a Cyclones squad that wants to set the tone for 2020 where they could theoretically enter the season being seen as the second best team in the Big XII, meanwhile Notre Dame’s offensive coordinator change doesn’t necessarily mean good things for this individual game.
Brock Purdy is the real deal and a lot of the nation will be watching him for the first time. I think he rises to the occasion and makes this an incredibly interesting game. In a close matchup I trust Notre Dame’s defense to make one more big play than Iowa State’s. It’s not pretty but it’s good enough for an eleventh win.

Notre Dame 34 Iowa State 31

Notre Dame, Frank Leahy Load Up All-Time Sagarin Ratings

Jeff Sagarin’s all-time ratings were released by USA Today on Thursday and to the surprise of nobody, Notre Dame was all over the list making up more than 10% of the 150 spots.

With it being college football’s 150th season there have been lists in regards to everything in college football deciding the best this, that or the other all season long.

Who is the best team in any given year in the history of the game?

We finally have an answer.

At least according to a computer.

Jeff Sagarin’s all-time ratings were released by USA Today on Thursday and to the surprise of nobody, Notre Dame was all over the list making up more than 10% of the 150 spots.

You may notice as well that Frank Leahy’s squad have a few appearances on the list. Here’s where Notre Dame’s teams each checked in:

No. 2 – 1943 Notre Dame

No. 15 – 1946 Notre Dame

No. 17 – 1949 Notre Dame

No. 29 – 1966 Notre Dame

No. 40 – 1977 Notre Dame

No. 44 – 1970 Notre Dame

No. 46 – 1973 Notre Dame

No. 53 – 1947 Notre Dame

No. 56 – 1988 Notre Dame

No. 63 – 1930 Notre Dame

No. 71 – 1953 Notre Dame

No. 105 – 1921 Notre Dame

No. 117 – 1989 Notre Dame

No. 122 – 1993 Notre Dame

No. 135 – 1924 Notre Dame

No. 144 – 1948 Notre Dame

There are a few things to take away but to me none greater than six of the 11 teams Frank Leahy coached at Notre Dame being considered among the 150 greatest in the history of the sport.

The formula used to find the greatest teams included win-loss record, strength of schedule and margin of victory.

The No. 1 team historically graded out to be 1945 Army who went 9-0 with seven wins over top-30 squads and four against top-ten teams.

Also worth noting is that 1993 Florida State finished 12-1 with their lone loss coming to Notre Dame while the Irish finished 12-1 as well, with their loss coming to Boston College. However Notre Dame finished ranked 108 spots lower than Florida State in this poll.

Check out the full rankings right here and if you’re up for it, discuss them in the Fighting Irish Wire forum.

Notre Dame Football: Santa Awards Two Scholarships to Walk-Ons

With Mrs. Claus by his side and Brian Kelly speaking for him, Santa dropped off two presents for the young men earlier this week.

Santa has been busy the last few days but did find the time to make a stop in Orlando to give out a couple of presents to two members of the Notre Dame football team.

Those two are Mick Asaff, a walk-on running back from Atlanta and Colin Grunhard, a walk-on offensive lineman from Kansas.

With Mrs. Claus by his side and Brian Kelly speaking for him, Santa dropped off two presents for the young men earlier this week.

These never get old to me and my favorite part may be seeing how excited the scholarship players are to see their teammates who have given so much time, energy and effort get rewarded.

Assaf has 34 yards on 10 carries for his career and Grunhard, son of Tim (played at Notre Dame from 86-89, later with the Kansas Chiefs) has appeared in eight games over the last two years.

Camping World Bowl: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Iowa State Cyclones odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Camping World Bowl betting odds and lines between Notre Dame and Iowa State with betting picks, tips and bets.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-2) and Iowa State Cyclones (7-5) meet Saturday in the Camping World Bowl in Orlando, Fla., for a noon ET kickoff (on ABC). We analyze the Notre Dame-Iowa State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.


Get some action on the game at BetMGM by placing a sports bet!


Notre Dame vs. Iowa State: Three things to know

1. Notre Dame enters on a five-game winning streak, and it went 4-0 against the spread over the last four games. The Irish were 8-4 ATS on the season. Meanwhile, the Cyclones are limping into this one after going 2-3 in the last five games and 0-3 ATS in the last three – they are 5-6-1 ATS on the season.

2. The Irish, behind QB Ian Book, rank 13th in the nation in scoring at 37.1 points per game. Meanwhile, Cyclones sophomore QB Brock Purdy is fourth in the country in passing yards (3,760), while the offense ranks 26th in scoring (34.1 PPG).

3. The Irish are 3-2 in their last five bowl games but were crushed 30-3 last season in a College Football Playoff semifinal at the Cotton Bowl by the eventual champion Clemson Tigers. The Cyclones are 2-3 in their last five bowl appearances, most recently falling to the Washington Huskies 28-26 in the 2018 Alamo Bowl – Iowa State scored with 4:02 left but came up short when a potential game-tying, 2-point conversation failed.

Notre Dame vs. Iowa State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Iowa State QB Brock Purdy. (Photo Credit: Reese Strickland – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Notre Dame 30, Iowa State 21

Moneyline (ML)

AVOID. Notre Dame is -161. Every $1.61 wagered on the Irish to win outright would profit $1 if they do so. Betting on Iowa State (+135) would profit 1.35-to-1 if the Cyclones win outright. I’m going to PASS and focus on the Irish spread.

Against the Spread (ATS)

NOTRE DAME (-3.5, -106) is the STRONGEST PLAY. The Irish are just a better team, including having an edge when it comes to talent among the second-stringers (backups).

Over/Under (O/U)

A slight lean to the UNDER 53.5 (-106). Notre Dame’s defense – led by senior DL Khalid Kareem and Adetokunbo Ogundeji – ranks 14th in points allowed at 18.7 PPG. The Cyclones defense is 52nd in points allowed (25.3). Notre Dame is 5-7 on the O/U line this season, while Iowa State is 5-6-1.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Johnny’s December record: 15-6-1. Strongest plays: 8-1.

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Irish in the NFL: C.J. Prosise breaks arm, done for season

Former Notre Dame running back C.J. Prosise broke his arm for the Seattle Seahawks, and will be out the rest of the season.

Former Notre Dame running back C.J. Prosise, now with the Seattle Seahawks, suffered a broken arm on Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals and will miss the rest of the season.

Prosise had four carries for 14 yards before exiting into the locker room and not returning.

Prosise has a lengthy injury history, which has hampered his career in Seattle, although he had managed to stay healthy all season in 2019.

Still, thanks to the Seahawks tandem of Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny, Prosise only garnered 23 carries for 72 yards and a touchdown, along with 10 receptions for 76 yards out of the backfield.

Carson, Penny and now Prosise are all out for the season however, forcing Seattle to consider coaxing Marshawn Lynch out of retirement for the final week of the regular season.

Coming up on free agency, it’s possible Prosise has played his final game in a Seattle uniform.

Prosise exploded his senior year at Notre Dame, rushing for over 1000 yards and 11 touchdowns. He had previously been more of a receiver, totaling nearly 900 yards receiving while in South Bend.

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Irish in the NFL: Another injury for Texans receiver Will Fuller

Former Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller suffered a groin injury on Saturday, the latest in a long line of injuries for the star wideout.

Former Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller has shown a lot of promise in his career with the Houston Texans, who made him a first round pick back in 2016.

However, his career has been marred by a series of injuries, a trend that continued with his premature exit from Saturday’s game against the Buccaneers with a groin injury.

“I don’t know what to tell you,” Texans coach Bill O’Brien told reporters Saturday. “He’s a great guy, love coaching him, but it’s just hard for him to stay healthy. That’s the bottom line and hopefully we can help him stay healthy because this team is a very good team when we have him in the lineup.”

Fuller has recorded 47 receptions for a career-high 659 yards this year, despite playing in just 10 games, and missing multiple drives while injured.

The Texans need Fuller if they want to be competitive and in contention for a Super Bowl, but his constant injury issues have hampered them at crucial times this season, and he could be out for Week 17 and potentially the Wild Card game as well, depending how he recovers from his current ailment.

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PFF – Rankings Ian Book vs. Other Bowl Game Quarterbacks

Pro Football Focus recently rated every starting quarterback for every team playing in a bowl game this year on how they project as future NFL signal-callers.

Unfortunately for Ian Book, that didn’t come with a very kind evaluation.

Pro Football Focus does a good job of evaluating what college players project to at the next level.  There is good and bad that come of that.

Good in that you get an honest, unbiased evaluation about how a player has performed at the collegiate level and how that play effects how they project at the next level.

The bad in that is that sometimes the truth can hurt.

Pro Football Focus recently rated every starting quarterback for every team playing in a bowl game this year on how they project as future NFL signal-callers.

Unfortunately for Ian Book, that didn’t come with a very kind evaluation.

Ian Book checked in at No. 35 on the list and here’s the write-up from PFF on Book at the next level:

Book has a limited arm and serious pocket-presence issues. We charged him with 11 sacks and 38 pressures on his own this year after charging him with 18 sacks in 2018. Combine that with a limited arm and you have a long shot in the pros

-Pro Football Focus

It’s important to remember that these evaluations are done with the pro game in mind.

Book does so much with his feet that he can still be a difference-maker at the collegiate level in many cases.  However against the stiffer competition, such as Clemson, Georgia and Michigan, the ability to scatter ahead and keep drives moving consistently so much by his feet is extremely difficult to do.

I agree in that Ian Book doesn’t project as a professional quarterback because of what is sighted there and what we’ve discussed on here time and time again.

For what its worth, Brock Purdy of Iowa State checked in eighth in the rankings.

50 years ago: Texas defeated Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl for national championship

Texas had beaten Arkansas on Dec. 6, 1969, in the “Game of the Century” and had the national championship presented to it by President Richard Nixon. Yet, the Longhorns still faced an encore: They had to defeat Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl on Jan. …

Texas had beaten Arkansas on Dec. 6, 1969, in the “Game of the Century” and had the national championship presented to it by President Richard Nixon. Yet, the Longhorns still faced an encore: They had to defeat Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl on Jan. 1, 1970, to complete the perfect season.

The stakes were raised in Dallas that New Year’s Day because it was the first time Notre Dame was to play in a bowl game since 1925. The school would not consider postseason play for decades until changing its course with the 1969 season.

Interestingly, the 8-1-1 Irish only were the opponent because Penn State had turned down a bid to play the Longhorns before their win over Arkansas. By a vote of its players in mid-November, second-ranked Penn State (10–0) opted to return to the Orange Bowl, and faced sixth-ranked Missouri (9–1).

Penn State had several black players and wished to avoid Dallas due to segregation issues. At the time, the top-ranked team was defending champion Ohio State, who lost the next week at Michigan. team.

The Irish were ready to pull an upset, scoring the game’s first 10 points. Scott Hempel kicked a field goal in the first quarter and Joe Theismann found Tom Gatewood for a 54-yard touchdown pass in the second quarter.

Down double digits, Texas rallied. It took the ND kickoff and drove 74 yards with Jim Bertelsen capping the march with a 1-yard run.

Neither team scored in the third quarter, setting the stage for another rally by the Longhorns in the fourth quarter. First, Ted Koy culminated a 77-yard drive with a touchdown run with 10 minutes remaining to give Texas a 14–10 advantage.

Theismann then led the Irish on an 80-yard drive and threw a 24-yard pass to Jim Yoder for a 17–14 lead with 6:52 left.

The great Dan Jenkins wrote for Sports Illustrated about what went into some gutsy calls by Darrell Royal.

There was a great big time out at the Notre Dame 20-yard line when Texas faced fourth down and two to go with only 4:26 remaining. Street went to the sideline to see Royal, and Bob Olson went to his sideline to confer with Parseghian. Meanwhile 73,000 hearts asked for a transplant. Texas was in field-goal range, but what would a tie do? Make Penn State, which would beat Missouri, or USC, which would beat Michigan, the No. 1 team?

Royal stayed with his triple-option offense, an attack that had made Texas the second alltime rushing team in college football during the regular season. Street faked Worster into the midsection, wiggled down the line and pitched to Ted Koy, who got the two yards by an eyelash just as Bob Olson arrived.

The Longhorns found themselves back in a fourth-and-two situation with 2:26 to play. Jenkins eloquently wrote:

The whole stadium was on its feet, and the bands were blaring out a couple of fairly familiar fight songs, while Street and Olson talked to their brains.

Street said, “How ’bout the counter option fake to the short side?”

Royal mulled it over.

Across the way, Parseghian was certain Texas would either run wide or pass. Olson was told to play the run first. It was percentages.

Out on the field now Cotton Speyrer, his back turned to the Notre Dame defense, was signaling the bench. He was dragging his thumb across his chest in the manner of a hitchhiker. The signal to Royal meant that Speyrer’s defender, Clarence Ellis, was playing him tight and to the inside. It meant that Speyrer thought he could get outside on him for a quick pass.

“Left 89 Out,” said Royal.

Street blinked. It was the Arkansas thing all over again, Royal calling a pass in a moment of supreme stress and James wondering, “Coach, are you sure?”

“Watch for the keep first,” said Darrell. “You might be able to fall for two yards. But if you can’t, drill it to Cotton. He says he’s open on the out.”

Street went to the Texas huddle and said, “Awright, suck it up. This might be our last play of the season, so let’s make it a good one…. Everybody get tough….” Then he looked right at Cotton Speyrer and called the play.

Street took the snap, looked at the end coming up fast, stopped and threw. It was low, but Speyrer did his thing and made the catch. And three plays later, with exactly 1:08 on the clock, another urchin, Billy Dale, a 5’10”, 190-pound junior who had replaced Ted Koy, hugged a hand-off from Street and followed a couple of blocks by Worster and Tight End Randy Peschel into the end zone.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n99HKbAtNpk

The final was 21-17 and Texas had its 20th win in a row and 500th overall. T

Malcolm Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Steve Worster (pictured above against Arkanas) led the rushing attack with 155 of the Longhorns’ 331 yards. Speyrer had 70 receiving yards on 4 catches.

“If you really want to start defining my career, one of the things that really sticks out in my mind is when I was the Offensive MVP of the Cotton Bowl in my junior year,” Worster told Texassports.com long ago. “It was a real punishing football game where we just grinded it out. My performance was because of the linemen and the rest of my teammates.

“When I watch film of the game, I just am tickled to death because that was my type of football. It was north and south, not east and west, and three or four yards play after play. It was like Coach Royal said and that’s you line up your best 11 and we’ll line up our best 11. That game really exemplified Texas football at that time.”

Malcolm Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

A year later, the Irish got even. Legendary coach Ara Parseghian had been priming Notre Dame for a rematch and he got his shot in the 1971 Cotton Bowl.

Led by Heisman Trophy runner-up Theismann at quarterback and a defense spearheaded by end Walt Patulski, who would be the first player selected in the NFL Draft two years later, the Irish began the season 9-0 and accepted a bid to play No. 1 Texas again in the Cotton Bowl. However, it would not be an unbeaten Notre Dame team the Longhorns would face because the Irish lost to USC, 38-28, in a rain-soaked season finale.

That did not dampen the rematch. Texas took a 3-0 lead but Notre Dame erupted for three scores to make it 21-3. The rest of the scoring came before halftime and Notre Dame wound up winning, 24-11. The Longhorns fumbled nine times, five being were recovered by the Irish.

Notre Dame Football: Three-Star WR Jay Brunelle Signs with Irish

Brunelle is listed by all outlets as a three-star receiver and pulled down 121 receptions for 2229 yards and 29 touchdowns in his final two years of high school.

Notre Dame will need to replace a lot at wide receiver in 2020 as both Chase Claypool and Chris Finke who combined to haul in 94 passes for over 1300 yards and 16 touchdowns are gone.

Signing Jordan Johnson early Wednesday was a huge step in the right direction there, but he wasn’t the only receiver Notre Dame had their eye as Jay Brunelle from Shrewsbury, Massachusetts also signed his NLI.

Brunelle is listed by all outlets as a three-star receiver and pulled down 121 receptions for 2229 yards and 29 touchdowns in his final two years of high school.

Brunelle chose the Irish over West Virginia, UCLA and Michigan while also holding offers from both Harvard and Yale.

Notre Dame Football: Three-Star CB Caleb Offord Signs with Irish

Offord is a three-star recruit from Mississippi and listed at 6-1, 180 pounds. He chose Notre Dame’s offer over those from Oklahoma, Arkansas, Duke and Kentucky.

Caleb Offord was one of four defensive backs to sign their National Letter of Intent to Notre Dame on Wednesday, adding depth to a unit that figures to be incredibly strong heading into the 2020 season.

Offord is a three-star recruit from Mississippi and listed at 6-1, 180 pounds. He chose Notre Dame’s offer over those from Oklahoma, Arkansas, Duke and Kentucky.

The Southaven, Mississippi native originally committed to Notre Dame on the Fourth of July this past summer and checks in as the 37th rated cornerback nationally and 13th best prospect in Mississippi this year according to 247Sports.

Offord intercepted seven passes between his junior and senior high school football seasons and recorded 66 tackles in that time.

Offord becomes Notre Dame’s first commitment from Mississippi during Brian Kelly’s ten years as head coach.