Northwestern Football Schedule 2021: Analysis, Best and Worst Case Scenarios

Breaking down and analyzing the 2021 Northwestern Wildcats football schedule with the best and worst case scenarios

Breaking down and analyzing the 2021 Northwestern Wildcats football schedule with the best and worst case scenarios.


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Northwestern Football Schedule 2021

Full schedule analysis with best and worst scenarios below

2021 Big Ten Football Schedule

Sept. 4 Michigan State

Sept. 11 Indiana State

Sept. 18 at Duke

Sept. 25 Ohio

Oct. 2 at Nebraska

Oct. 9 OPEN DATE

Oct. 16 Rutgers

Oct. 23 at Michigan

Oct. 30 Minnesota

Nov. 6 Iowa

Nov. 13 at Wisconsin

Nov. 20 Purdue

Nov. 27 at Illinois

Dec. 4 Big Ten Championship (in Indianapolis)

Games vs. The East: at Michigan, Michigan State, Rutgers

Missed Teams From The East: Indiana, Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State

Northwestern Wildcats Football Schedule Analysis: COMING

Northwestern Wildcats Football Schedule Best Case Scenario: COMING

Northwestern Wildcats Football Schedule Worst Case Scenario: COMING

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Way-too-early power rankings for the 2021 Big Ten football season

With the 2020 Big Ten football season now over with Ohio State on top, we are ranking the conference’s teams heading into 2021.

The 2020 Big Ten schedule has finally reached its end after what has been an absolute roller coaster ride of a season.

The season was originally postponed back in August, it was then reinstated, numerous games were canceled due to COVID-19 and if that wasn’t enough, the Big Ten Championship wasn’t even the last conference game played.

Related: Film room: Five things that stood out from the Badgers’ victory over Minnesota

Hopefully, for the sake of everybody involved, the 2021 calendar year is a bit different and things return to normal by the time the Big Ten starts up again in early September.

One of the necessities of closing a football season is giving a way-too-early look at the year to come, and rank teams based on what we saw this season and we know going into next year.

In order to do this, I put together a ranking system jokingly named Ken(ney)Pom—with reference to the college basketball ranking site KenPom. My metric weighs each team’s returning/incoming production, quarterback play, coaching and 2020 success in order to compare the teams numerically and understand why they are slotted in the spot they’re in.

Necessary disclaimer: the teams are ranked below based on who has discussed returning for another season and they are subject to change as more players enter the NFL Draft, return to play an extra year and as transfers find their homes.

So this is not a sure-fire shot at who will win the conference next season, because so much will change between now and September. It is instead a look at where things stand right now–the week after the conclusion of the 2020 season.

Related: Wisconsin’s bowl history over the past 20 years

Here is edition 1.0 of the way-too-early power rankings for the 2021 Big Ten football season:

Latest USA TODAY bowl projections predict Wisconsin to play a familiar SEC foe

After Wisconsin’s disappointing loss to the undefeated Northwestern Wildcats, the Badgers have surprisingly, not fallen in the latest USA…

After Wisconsin’s disappointing loss to the undefeated Northwestern Wildcats, the Badgers have surprisingly, not fallen in the latest USA TODAY bowl projections. Wisconsin is projected by USA TODAY to play the Auburn Tigers in the Outback Bowl. The Tigers are a change from last week’s projections when the Badgers were projected to play the Ole Miss Rebels in the Outback Bowl.

Auburn may be a familiar team for many Wisconsin fans, as the teams played against each other most recently in the 2015 Outback Bowl under head coach Barry Alvarez where the Badgers won 34-31 in overtime. This was following the resignation of former head coach Gary Andersen after Wisconsin’s 59-0 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game.

Jan 1, 2015; Tampa, FL, USA; Wisconsin Badgers running back Melvin Gordon (25) loses control of the ball in the second half of the 2015 Outback Bowl at Raymond James Stadium. The Badgers defeated the Tigers 34-31 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

Auburn and Wisconsin have played each other three other times in their history with Wisconsin leading the series at 2-1-1. The first game between the sides happened on Oct. 10, 1931, where they tied 7-7 at Camp Randall.

The College Football Playoff teams remain the same for this week with Notre Dame, Ohio State, Alabama, and Clemson keeping their projections.

Wisconsin could possibly see another Outback Bowl appearance, but it will be interesting to see how the cancellation of Saturday’s game against Minnesota will impact next week’s bowl projections.

College Football News Preview 2020: Northwestern Wildcats

College Football News Preview 2020: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Northwestern Wildcats season with what you need to know.

College Football News Preview 2020: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Northwestern Wildcats season with what you need to know.


Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

– What You Need To Know: Offense | Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Schedule Analysis
– Northwestern Previews 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015

2019 Record: 3-9 overall, 1-8 in Big Ten
Head Coach: Pat Fitzgerald, 15th year, 99-79
2019 CFN Final Opinion Ranking: 95
2019 CFN Final Season Formula Ranking: 110
2019 CFN Preview Ranking: 47

No one knows what’s going to happen to the 2020 college football season. We’ll take a general look at where each team stands – doing it without spring ball to go by – while crossing our fingers that we’ll all have some well-deserved fun this fall. Hoping you and yours are safe and healthy.

5. College Football News Preview 2020: Northwestern Wildcats Offense 3 Things To Know

It was one of the strangest disasters of the entire 2020 college football season on a national scale. The Northwestern offense, really, really didn’t work, averaging just 297 yards and 16 points per game, scoring 15 points or fewer seven times.

New offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian comes in from Boston College where he was Steve Addazio’s guy for a year, but he has NFL coaching experience. He has a ton of work to do.

The passing game was the least-efficient in the nation, averaging just nine yards per completion with six touchdown passes and 15 picks, averaging a mere 4.5 yards per throw. Clemson transfer Hunter Johnson was ineffective, and hurt. Aidan Smith was ineffective, and hurt. In all, the four quarterbacks thrown into the mix couldn’t get anything going, but junior Andrew Marty was able to lead the way to a win over Illinois to close things out.

Johnson is still the most talented prospect on the roster – he was a huge get for Clemson until that Trevor Lawrence guy showed up – but on the way is Peyton Ramsey, a transfer from Indiana who led the team with 2,454 yards and 13 touchdowns with five picks with seven rushing scores. However, when Michael Penix is healthy, he’s IU’s guy – and now Ramsey might be Northwestern’s guy.


CFN in 60 Video: Northwestern Wildcats Preview
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Bennett Skowronek took off for Notre Dame, but overall the other top seven wideouts are back. the pieces are there to get this thing going again. The receiving corps didn’t get any help from the spotty quarterback play, but there’s experience returning.

Senior Riley Lees came up with a breakout season with 51 catches for 430 yards and two touchdowns, and that was it. The No. 2 target – senior Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman – only caught 17 passes for 188 yards.

For all of the issues on offense, the line wasn’t all that bad. The ground game was decent, the pass protection wasn’t miserable, and the group was decent enough to consider it a plus going into the season with four starters back.

Drake Anderson was a relative positive, leading the team in rushing in his freshman season with 634 yards and three scores, and Evan Hull led the way scored four times and was second on the team with just 286 yards. Throw in the return of Isaiah Bowser – 2018’s leading rusher with 866 yards and six scores, but got hurt last year – and the backfield is set.

NEXT: College Football News Preview 2020: Northwestern Wildcats Defense 3 Things To Know

Wisconsin recruiting comparison: Northwestern

More on Wisconsin football recruiting in the Big Ten

National Signing Day has come and gone and the Wisconsin Badgers have put together a fairly decent class compared to the rest of the Big Ten. In the spirit of looking at recruiting classes compared to the rest of the conference, Badgers Wire is taking a look at Wisconsin’s class on a national level and a conference level. We’ll be including their national rankings and their conference rankings. Next up on our list is a program that has been rather steady under the stewardship of its longtime coach Pat Fitzgerald. We’ll be looking at Northwestern. 

The Northwestern Wildcats are coming off Fitzgerald’s worst season as a head coach since taking over the program. The Wildcats were 3-9 in 2019 with a 1-8 record against Big Ten opponents. The closest the Wildcats have come to this record under Fitz was in his first season, when Northwestern finished 4-8 overall and 2-6 in the conference. What is especially stunning about the 2019 disaster is the fact that the Wildcats were 9-5 in 2018 and 8-1 in B1G play, winning their first Big Ten West Division championship. The 2019 campaign was a jarring season all the way around, and it was the Cats’ first losing season since 2014.

The Wildcats have the nation’s 47th-ranked recruiting class in 2020. They finished with the Big Ten’s No. 11 recruiting class with a player average rating of .8650. Their best player is center Peter Skoronski. At 6-foot-4, 275 pounds, Skoronski (.9503) is the No. 3 player in Illinois and the 3rd-best center in the class of 2020. The Badgers (.8782) have a higher per-recruit average than the Wildcats (.8650). The Badgers’ best player in 247’s composite rankings is offensive tackle Trey Wedig (.9643). The 6-foot-8, 320-pound behemoth is ranked (.0140) higher than Skoronski for the Wildcats. 

The position where both classes compare: outside linebacker. The Badgers signed Cole Dakovich (.8755), a 6-foot-5, 220-pound player out of Catholic Memorial in Waukesha, Wisconsin. He’s the No. 34 player at his position in the nation and the third-best player coming out of Wisconsin. The Spartans signed Cullen Coleman. At 6-foot-3 and 220 pounds, Coleman (.8756) is the nation’s 33rd-best outside linebacker, and he’s the 4th-best player in New York. Both players are likely to sit and learn with veteran players ahead of them, but Coleman plans to come in and compete for a starting position. 

Wisconsin decade in review: Badgers vs Northwestern

Wisconsin vs Northwestern

As the 2019 season brings to a close another decade of college football, BadgersWire has been engaged in a series of reflective pieces. “Record Review” is another series examining how the Badgers have fared against the rest of the Big Ten Conference in the 2010s. Next up is an examination of the Badgers’ record against one of the conference’s more pesky teams, Northwestern. This is one of the few series that Wisconsin has struggled to win with great regularity in its own division. Let’s take a look at the numbers and margins. 

Using Stassen, Badgers Wire pulled up every result against Northwestern in the past decade. Wisconsin gained a 5-4 series advantage (a win for the decade) after its victory this year. That puts the Badgers at 4-1 at home, but they were 1-3 on the road. At home, Wisconsin’s average margin of victory was 36-16. On the road, that dropped down to 22-20 in favor of Northwestern. The two programs tend to win in pairs before losing in pairs. This year marked the first time since 2009, interestingly enough, that Northwestern or Wisconsin didn’t win two in a row. 

The series isn’t one of the bigger ones for either team. Minnesota, Iowa, and even the recently added Nebraska have bigger rivalries. Yet, Northwestern is a game that Wisconsin should win. Northwestern has good years and bad years, and struggles to stack together several great seasons due to the grade requirements at the school, but the Wildcats don’t have the talent to consistently compete with the Badgers. They have to rely on fundamentals, scheme, and matchups to win this game. 

That said, Wisconsin needs to improve its record in this series if it wants to take the next step in the 2020s. Losses to Northwestern will prevent voters from taking UW seriously come playoff selection time, in any close call with upper-tier teams from other conferences. If programs lose four times in a decade to Northwestern, they’re probably not beating Ohio State, certainly not on a regular basis. The Badgers aren’t challenged often in their own division, but Northwestern is one of the teams that give them all they can handle. They’ll need to up their game in this contest when the next decade begins.

Big Ten, big ’20s: Northwestern football

Northwestern football in the 2020s

For insights on Northwestern football in the coming decade, I turned to Philip Rossman-Reich, who has blogged about Northwestern sports at multiple sites over several years. You can find him at @RiseNU. Philip produces an excellent Orlando Magic blog if you’re into NBA basketball. The site is Orlando Magic Daily, with Philip offering commentary at @philiprr_omd.

Here is Philip Rossman-Reich on Northwestern football in the 2020s:

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Northwestern’s history is not something anyone should celebrate. The “Dark Ages” still leave an imprint on the national perception of the Wildcats and are a constant reminder of how close the team is always to doom. The difficulties of recruiting to an academic-minded school in a power conference are always evident. Winning is the most difficult thing Northwestern has ever had to do.

Somehow, in the last 10 years, Pat Fitzgerald has turned Northwestern into a fairly consistent winner. Nine bowl games since he took over in 2006. Four bowl games wins (including their last three). A Big Ten West championship in 2018. He is the team’s all-time winningest coach. Not to mention helping build the “Fitz Mahal” on the shores of Lake Michigan.

Northwestern is far from the “Dark Ages.” They expect to win. They expect to be in a bowl game. They expect to win bowl games. They expect to win championships.

The only problem is the consistency. They went 3-9 following their Big Ten West Championship season, proving they are both on the verge of competing for championships and hitting rock bottom. For the first time in more than a decade, the Wildcats have hired a new offensive coordinator and have a new voice guiding the team.

Fitzgerald has remade the team in his image. They are strong defensively and can run the ball far better than a team with its size and recruiting limitations probably should. Fitzgerald has always found to get the most of his teams, squeezing out close games to turn six-win seasons into 10-win seasons regularly.

Of course, that is not the life Northwestern wants to live. The Wildcats do not want to go year to year wondering if this is the year they scramble to make a bowl game or the year they win the Big Ten championship.

Where the Wildcats want to be is somewhere different. Somewhere consistent. And so the biggest question for the 2020s for Northwestern is how the Wildcats get their piece of the pie and settle into a place where a bowl game is not only the expectation, but a virtual given and competing for the Big Ten title is more than  a rare thing.

That is the part of the program building Fitzgerald will have to figure out. It started with recognizing (perhaps a few years too late) that the offensive schemes he was running with Mick McCall were not working. Northwestern will have to adjust to a new offense and offensive coordinator for the first time. All the while trying to get themselves back into bowl contention.

From there, the Wildcats have to build. They have to continue building upon the defensive foundation they have built for the last few seasons and turn that into consistent winning. And yes, it means changing the perceptions of the program and stepping up on the big stage with marquee wins over the big schools — namely, Ohio State and Michigan when they come on the schedule.

Northwestern is no longer in the “Dark Ages.” The Wildcats have not been a doormat in the league for the entirety of Fitzgerald’s tenure and really since Randy Walker took the team to a Big Ten title in 2000. They have reached a level where they are competitive every year.

Now the Wildcats need to reach a championship level. A level where they are competing for the title in the division every year and those days of Northwestern being a joke of any kind are long in the past.

— Philip Rossman-Reich