New England Patriots at New York Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at New York Giants preseason Week 3 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (2-0) meet the New York Giants (0-2) Sunday for a 6 p.m. ET kickoff at Met Life Stadium. Below, we look at the Patriots vs. Giants odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Patriots might want to move to the NFC East this season. They won and covered against the Washington Football Team Aug. 12 by a 22-13 score before blasting the Philadelphia Eagles 35-0 on the road last Thursday. The Under also cashed in each contest.

The Giants have struggled on offense, falling 12-7 in the opener against the roommate New York Jets. They then were tripped up 17-13 on the road against the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. The Under has hit in each outing.

Patriots at Giants odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -3.5 (+100) | Giants +3.5 (-120)
  • Total: 35.5 (Over: -108 | Under: -112)

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Patriots at Giants odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Patriots 22, Giants 16

Money line

The PATRIOTS (-190) are right at my personal money line limit. Rookie QB Mac Jones is expected to do the heavy lifting with QB Cam Newton on the shelf this week due to a COVID testing protocol misunderstanding. Jones has a chance to potentially lock down the starting job.

Against the spread

The PATRIOTS -3.5 (+100) are a decent play laying the three and a hook, as Jones and the offense could shine. The Giants +3.5 (-120) have really struggled on the offensive side of the ball, and that’s another good reason to back the road team.

Over/Under

OVER 35.5 (-108) is the slight lean. I think Jones and the New England offense could be quite good in the early going, but I worry about the New York offense being able to keep up.

Still, I expect the total to inch Over the line, but it might not be until late in the fourth quarter before you can breathe a sigh of relief.

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New England Patriots at New York Giants odds and lines: Patriots Favorites at MetLife Stadium

Assessing the odds and lines for Sunday’s New England Patriots at New York Giants NFL preseason Week 3 matchup.

The New England Patriots (2-0) and New York Giants (0-2) close out their preseason Sunday at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Kickoff is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Patriots vs. Giants odds and lines.

New England pummeled the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday 35-0 as QB Cam Newton and No. 15 overall pick QB Mac Jones combined to go 21-for-28 with 249 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions. The Patriots outgained the Eagles 486-163 in total yards and were plus-2 in turnover differential.

The Giants lost to the Cleveland Browns 17-13 Sunday but the contest had very little juice as both teams sat their starting quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends and a plethora of defensive players. In fact, none of QB Daniel Jones, RB Saquan Barkley or WR Kenny Golladay have played a preseason snap.

Patriots at Giants: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -3.5, +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Giants +3.5, -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Total: 33.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Under -110 (bet $110 to win $100)

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2021 Preseason betting stats:

  • ATS: Patriots 2-0 | Giants 1-1
  • O/U: Patriots 0-2 | Giants 0-2

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The Patriots (-190) have an implied win probability of 65.52%. Those odds can be seen as a decimal of 1.53 or a fraction of 10/19. New England -3.5 (+100) means the Patriots must win by 4 or more points in order to cover the spread.

New York covers the spread by losing by 3 or fewer points, winning outright or playing to a tie. The Giants have a 39.22% implied win probability with the +155 money line odds, which equates to 2.55 decimal odds and 31/20 fractional odds.

The total sits at 33.5 with your standard -110 line for both the Over and Under. Patriots-Giants need to combine for 34 total points to cash an Over bet but if 33 or fewer points are scored then the Under wins.

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New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles preseason Week 2 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (1-0) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field.  Below, we look at the Patriots vs. Eagles odds and lines and make our best NFL picks, predictions, and bets.

New England is coming off a 22-13 win over the Washington Football Team in its preseason opener. QB Cam Newton went 4-for-7 for 49 yards, while first-round draft pick Mac Jones saw substantially more playing time and went 13-for-19 for 87 yards.

Jones has also made up ground in the Patriots’ quarterback battle, with Newton struggling at times during joint practices in Philadelphia. RB Rhamondre Stevenson made a good impression against Washington with 127 yards and 2 rushing touchdowns on 10 carries. New England’s revamped defense will look to impress against Philadelphia’s revitalized offensive line.

Philadelphia took a 24-16 loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Lincoln Financial Field Aug. 12. Veteran QB Joe Flacco went 10-for-17 passing, including a 79-yard touchdown pass to WR Quez Watkins. QB Jalen Hurts went 3-for-7.

Rookie Eagles WR DeVonta Smith could be a game-time decision, while defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon will look to see an improved effort from his reserves who were gashed by the Pittsburgh offense from the second quarter on.

Patriots at Eagles odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Eagles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -0.5 (-115) | Eagles +0.5 (-105)
  • Total: 37.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Eagles odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Patriots 21, Eagles 13

Money line

Bet on the PATRIOTS (-115) as Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni made it clear Philadelphia would place a higher value on the team’s two days of joint practice than Thursday’s game.

Flacco will likely see more time than Hurts and Philadelphia may look to focus on the running game. For New England, even if Newton doesn’t see extended action, Jones will, and he has looked sharp throughout the week.

Additionally, Patriots head coach Bill Belichick has won seven of his last nine preseason games.

Against the spread

PASS on the Eagles +0.5 (-105).

Smith could see some action with the first team but the reserves are likely to see the bulk of the action and Philadelphia could look to focus on the running game after a week of success from a passing aspect.

Over/Under

Bet on the UNDER 37.5 (-110) as the teams spent the two days of practice sessions in competitive 7-on-7 and 11-on-11 team periods.

Hurts was accurate and efficient during the week and may not see more than a series or two. The weather could also play a factor, as there is a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms at kickoff.

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New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles odds and lines: Eagles open as short dogs

Looking at the odds and lines for Thursday’s New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles NFL preseason game.

The New England Patriots (1-0)and Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) kick off the second week of the preseason Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field. Below, we look at the Patriots at Eagles odds and lines.

The quarterback situation for New England didn’t get any clearer in its preseason-opening victory over the Washington Football Team. Cam Newton was 4-for-7 for 49 yards while rookie Mac Jones was 13-for-19 for 87 yards; neither QB tossed a touchdown or an interception. Expect to see more of both signal-callers this week.

RB Rhamondre Stevenson was the real highlight for the Patriots with 127 yards on 10 carries for 2 touchdowns. Eyes will surely be on the rookie to see if a second impressive performance is in the cards.

The Eagles were without rookie WR DeVonta Smith in their opener against the Pittsburgh Steelers and that appears likely to be the case for their first-round draft pick in Week 2 as well. Philadelphia used a heavy dose of backup QB Joe Flacco in its opener and is likely to do the same this week as they limit starting QB Jalen Hurts.

The Eagles gave up the second-most yards of any team in Week 1 of the preseason with 410 and will be looking to tighten things up against a Patriots offense that has yet to truly find its identity.

Patriots at Eagles: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at noon ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Eagles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -1.5, -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Eagles +1.5, -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Total: 37.5, Over -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Under -115 (bet $115 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats:

  • ATS: Patriots 7-9 | Eagles 6-10
  • O/U: Patriots 5-11 | Eagles 7-9

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The Patriots, at -125 odds, or 4/5 fractional odds, have an implied 55.56% chance of winning. If the Patriots win by 2 or more points, a Patriots -1.5 (-115) ATS bet wins.

The Eagles (+100) have an implied 50.00% win probability against the Patriots. This can also be expressed as 1/1 fractional odds. Philadelphia must win outright, tie, or lose by no more than 1 point for an Eagles +1.5 (-105) ATS ticket to cash.

There would need to be a combined 38 points scored Thursday for an OVER 37.5 (-105) ticket to cash, while a combined point total of 37 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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Washington Football Team at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Washington Football Team at New England Patriots preseason Week 1 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Football Team and New England Patriots kick off Week 1 of the preseason on Thursday, their first game action of the year. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Washington vs. Patriots odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Washington enters this season seeking its second straight NFC East title after winning the division in narrow fashion last year. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is expected to be the starter although he’ll face some competition from QB Taylor Heinicke. The defense is where the strength of this team truly lies as they have a defensive front that rivals any in the NFL.

The Patriots are still searching for a starting quarterback of their own. QB Cam Newton and QB Mac Jones are both expected to play against Washington. It will mark the first time Jones takes the field in an NFL game – even if it is just a preseason game. CB Stephon Gilmore won’t play in this one, but New England’s defense is still formidable.

Washington at Patriots odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Washington -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Patriots -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Washington +1.5 (-115) | Patriots -1.5 (-107)
  • Total: 37.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Washington at Patriots odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Washington 20, Patriots 14

Money line

The first preseason game is always a little bit sloppy, especially with backups and reserves handling the bulk of the snaps. Washington’s roster is a little bit deeper than the Patriots’, so I feel more confident in the road team coming in and grabbing a win over New England.

Bet WASHINGTON (-105) to win outright against the Patriots, who are going to have trouble keeping their quarterbacks upright.

Against the spread

Washington has the edge at quarterback in this one assuming Fitzpatrick and Heinicke both play. Fitzpatrick will be aggressive throwing the ball, while Heinicke will get the chance to show off his athleticism as a runner.

I like WASHINGTON +1.5 (-115) to win outright and in turn cover the spread, with its defense stymying New England’s offense.

Over/Under

It’s always difficult to predict what the score line is going to be in the preseason, especially in Week 1. However, with rust being knocked off and players attempting to find their footing this shouldn’t be a high-scoring game in Foxborough.

Bet the UNDER 37.5 (-115) tonight.

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Washington Football Team at New England Patriots odds and lines: All eyes on the QB battles

Odds and lines for Thursday’s Washington Football Team at New England Patriots NFL preseason game.

The Washington Football Team and New England Patriots get their preseason schedules underway Thursday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. Below, we look at the Washington at Patriots odds and lines.

All eyes seem to be fixated on the quarterback competition in Washington as head coach Ron Rivera enters his second season at the helm. While no one truly believes offseason acquisition QB Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t be under center when Week 1 rolls around, Rivera’s comments Sunday seem to suggest he may get a few more reps than expected in their preseason opener before giving way to QB Taylor Heinicke.

New England also has a quarterback battle on its hands. The expectation for the Patriots is that veteran QB Cam Newton will start in Week 1 but first-round draft prick QB Mac Jones has been seeing more first-team snaps in recent practices. Patriots fans will surely want to get a good look at their new prospect after a difficult first season for Newton in 2020.

Thursday’s preseason opener for the two teams is likely to see a lot of backup play after the first few drives. The backups are likely to give way to the third team in the second half as coaches for both squads try to get a look at players nearer the roster bubble.

Washington at Patriots: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Washington -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Patriots +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Washington -2.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Patriots +2.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Total: 35.5, Over -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Under -115 (bet $115 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats:

  • ATS: Washington 10-7 | Patriots 7-9
  • O/U: Washington 6-11 | Patriots 5-11

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Washington, at -133 odds, has an implied 57.08% chance of winning, or 100/133 fractional odds. If Washington wins by 3 or more points, a WFT -2.5 (-110) ATS bet wins.

The Patriots (+110) have an implied 47.62% chance of beating Washington, or 11/10 fractional odds. New England must win outright or lose by 2 or fewer points for a Patriots +2.5 (-110) ATS ticket to cash.

There would need to be a combined 36 points scored Thursday for an OVER 35.5 (-105) ticket to cash, while a combined point total of 35 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Week 16 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The 2020 AFC East champion Buffalo Bills (11-3) visit the New England Patriots (6-8) in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game at 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Bills-Patriots betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Patriots: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Patriots +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bills -7 (-110) | Patriots +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Patriots: Game notes

  • The Bills, who enter on a 4-game win streak, clinched the AFC East title with a 48-19 rout at the Denver Broncos in Week 15. QB Josh Allen threw for 359 yards with 2 touchdowns and ran for 2 scores as Buffalo easily covered as a 6-point favorite. WR Stefon Diggs had a game-high 147 receiving yards (11 receptions) and WR Cole Beasley finished with 112 receiving yards (8 receptions).
  • While Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) locked up the AFC’s top seed, the Bills can claim the No. 2 seed with a win vs. the Patriots. Buffalo is a half-game back of the AFC North champion Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3) but own the tiebreaker thanks to a 26-15 home win vs. Pittsburgh in Week 14. The Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns (10-5) in Week 17 – with the Browns still fighting for one of the final playoff spots.
  • The Patriots, who enter on a 2-game skid, were eliminated from playoff contention after losing 22-12 at the Miami Dolphins as 1.5-point favorites in Week 15. At 6-8, the Patriots will finish at .500 or worse for the first time since 2000, the season after they drafted QB Tom Brady. Their NFL-record of 11 consecutive postseason appearances will come to an end, and they also fell one season shy of matching the Dallas Cowboys’ NFL record of 20 consecutive winning seasons.
  • Buffalo took the season’s first meeting vs. New England with a 24-21 Week 8 home victory, failing to cover as a 4-point favorite. The Patriots had a chance to tie or take the lead in the final minute, but QB Cam Newton fumbled and the Bills recovered at the Buffalo 13-yard line with 31 seconds left to seal it. Neither starting QB, Newton and Buffalo’s Josh Allen, threw a touchdown, but both had 1 rushing TD apiece as the Bills snapped a 7-game skid in the series vs. the Pats.

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Bills 9-5 | Patriots 6-8
  • O/U: Bills 9-4-1 | Patriots 4-10

Bills at Patriots: Key injuries

Bills

  • No major injuries

Patriots

  • C David Andrews (calf) questionable
  • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (shoulder) questionable
  • DT Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
  • DT Byron Cowart (back) questionable
  • OL Jermaine Eluemunor (ankle) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • DT Lawrence Guy (shoulder) questionable
  • RB Damien Harris (ankle) questionable
  • OL Justin Herron (ankle) questionable
  • CB J.C. Jackson (knee) questionable
  • LB Anfernee Jennings (shoulder) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (neck) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DE John Simon (hamstring) questionable

Bills at Patriots: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 28, Patriots 17

Money line (?)

PASS. The Bills will take this one, but their -350 price isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread (?)

BUFFALO -7 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bills are playing for the AFC’s second seed. The Patriots are out of the playoff race and have numerous injuries. If the line climbs above 7, this becomes a 1-unit play.

Over/Under (?)

Back the UNDER 46.5 (-110). The Patriots average 20.6 points per game to rank 27th in the league. Plus, their passing game ranks 30th at 185.4 yards per game. Unless the Bills put up 30 points, this should finish Under.

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Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 25-25-1 / 11-11-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 173-145-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 85-59-1

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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Week 15 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (6-7) are back on the road in Week 15 for their third straight game away from home. They’ll visit the Miami Dolphins (8-5), who are fighting for positioning in the AFC playoff race. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET Sunday. Below, we preview the Patriots-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dolphins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +2.5 (-110) | Dolphins -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Patriots at Dolphins: Game notes

  • The Patriots beat the Dolphins 21-11 in Week 1 but have gone just 5-7 since.
  • The Dolphins rank second in the NFL in points allowed per game despite ranking just 18th in passing yards allowed and 21st in rushing yards allowed.
  • The Patriots have the fifth-most rushing yards in the league but rank just 29th in passing.
  • New England is 2-1 in its last three games against the Dolphins, with an average score of 29.3-12.7.
  • The total has gone Under in each of the Patriots’ last five games. It has also gone Under in four of the last six meetings between these teams.

Patriots at Dolphins: Key injuries

Patriots

  • OL Jermaine Eluemunor (ankle) questionable
  • CB Jonathan Jones (neck) questionable
  • CB J.C. Jackson (knee) questionable
  • RB James White (foot) questionable

Dolphins

  • TE Mike Gesicki (shoulder) questionable
  • OL Ereck Flowers (ankle) questionable
  • WR DeVante Parker (hamstring) questionable
  • Bobby McClain (ankle) questionable

Patriots at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 21, Patriots 14

Money line (?)

The Dolphins come in as the much better team, which is rare considering the Patriots’ incredible success over the last 20 years. Miami has a top-five defense this season and an offense that does enough to win games as a complementary piece.

I like the DOLPHINS (-130) to win outright at home, with Miami being a traditionally difficult place for the Patriots to win.

Against the spread (?)

The spread of 2.5 points isn’t very big at all, especially considering the Dolphins are at home. Miami’s defense will shut down New England’s offense for the better part of this game, and as good as the Patriots’ secondary is, their run defense is porous.

Take the DOLPHINS -2.5 (-110) to cover the 2.5-point margin and win by at least a field goal at home as they continue to fight for a playoff berth.

Over/Under (?)

The total has gone Under in most recent meetings between these two teams, and even with the line being lower at 41.5 points, I still like the UNDER (-115). Both secondaries are great, which will make throwing the ball difficult.

I don’t see either offense doing too much successfully throughout the game, which is why you should take the Under.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams Week 14 Thursday Night Football betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (6-6) visit the Los Angeles Rams (8-4) Thursday night for an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff at SoFi Stadium. Below, we preview the Patriots-Rams betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Rams: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Rams -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +5.5 (-110) | Rams -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Rams: Game notes

  • The Patriots blasted the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13 on this very same field, winning 45-0 in their first visit to SoFi Stadium. They stayed in Southern California during the short week for this second L.A. battle.
  • New England started out 2-5, but has gone 4-1 across its past five outings, and cannot be eliminated from the AFC playoff picture just yet. The 45 points last week easily marked a season-high, as the Pats won outright as short dogs for the second straight week. They’re 3-0 straight up in their past three games as underdogs, and 4-0 ATS in their past four as dogs.
  • Last week’s shutout helped the Patriots to their fourth consecutive Under result despite scoring 45 points. They have allowed just 15.3 points per game during the four-game span.
  • The first-place Rams bounced back with a 38-28 road win against the Arizona Cardinals last week. L.A. has posted a 3-1 ATS mark across its past four games.
  • The Under has connected in seven of the past nine games for the Rams. The Under has cashed in five straight for the Rams as home favorites, and seven of their past nine overall. The Under is also 20-8 in their previous 28 games as favorites.

Patriots at Rams: Key injuries

Patriots

  • DL Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
  • PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
  • QB Cam Newton (abdomen) questionable
  • OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
  • DB J.C. Jackson (hip, knee) questionable

Rams

  • PK Matt Gay (shoulder) questionable

Patriots at Rams: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Rams 24, Patriots 20

Money line (?)

The Rams (-250) are too risky of a play at two and a half times your potential return, especially since they’ve been a little inconsistent with two losses in their past five outings, and three losses in their past seven.

The Patriots (+200) have the quick turnaround after their impressive win, and it’s unlikely they’ll have a similar result against the better L.A. team. AVOID.

Against the spread (?)

The PATRIOTS +5.5 (-110) are worth a small-unit play, as they come in playing their best football of the season. They’re 5-2 ATS in their past seven as road underdogs, and 5-1 ATS in their past six Thursday appearances, too.

On the flip side, the Rams -5.5 (-110) are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven appearances on a Thursday, and 1-4 ATS in their past five following a cover.

Over/Under (?)

UNDER 44.5 (-110) is the very, very slight lean. The Patriots have a laundry list of players on their injury report, although not many notable skill position players which is good news.

Still, the Under has hit in each of the past four for New England, the Under is 4-0 in its past four after a straight up win and also 4-1 in its past five as an underdog. The Under is also 5-0 in the past five as a home favorite for the Rams, while cashing in seven of their past nine overall.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers Week 13 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New England Patriots (5-6) will travel across the country this week to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (3-8) at SoFi Stadium. The Week 13 tilt will kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday afternoon. Below, we preview the Patriots-Chargers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Patriots at Chargers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Patriots -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Chargers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Patriots -1 (-110) | Chargers +1 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Chargers: Game notes

  • Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is 19-5 against rookie quarterbacks and will be facing Chargers rookie Justin Herbert.
  • The Patriots have won three of their last four games after losing four straight.
  • The Chargers’ only wins this season have come against the Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets.
  • The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Chargers.
  • The total has gone Over in seven of the Chargers’ last eight games.

Patriots at Chargers: Key injuries

Patriots

  • QB Cam Newton (abdomen) questionable
  • CB J.C. Jackson (back/hip) questionable
  • DB Kyle Dugger (toe) questionable

Chargers

  • CB Casey Hayward Jr. (groin) questionable
  • LB Denzel Perryman (back) questionable
  • DE Joey Bosa (shin) questionable
  • CB Chris Harris Jr. (foot) questionable

Patriots at Chargers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Patriots 24, Chargers 20

Money line (?)

Belichick has a long history of beating up on rookie quarterbacks, exploiting their weaknesses on game day. Herbert has very few flaws to his game for a rookie, but the Patriots will still find a way to force him into some mistakes.

New England’s defense isn’t very good, but it will be opportunistic. Take the PATRIOTS (-112) to win outright on the road.

Against the spread (?)

The Chargers haven’t covered a spread in six weeks. They’re 0-5 ATS in their last five games, which is a terrible trend. The Patriots are only 5-6 ATS this season but they’re 3-2 in their last five, improving in that area.

I like the PATRIOTS -1 (-110) to cover the 1-point spread and win by at least 2 points.

Over/Under (?)

The Patriots defense has had its struggles this season, but it should be able to contain Herbert and the Chargers offense. New England’s offense, led by QB Cam Newton, isn’t very good either, so don’t expect the scoreboard to light up.

I like the UNDER 47.5 (-110) here in Week 13.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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