3 takeaways from Wisconsin’s second win over Nebraska in 2020

Wisconsin-Nebraska

Wisconsin shook its slump on the road and was able to shoot the ball well against Nebraska once again. The score was 39-38 Wisconsin at halftime, exactly as it was back on January 21, but another big second half allowed the Badgers to pull away for another double-digit victory over Nebraska.

The win is the first road win for UW since January 11 when it beat Penn State in Happy Valley. Six days after sweeping Ohio State this past Sunday, the Badgers took a second season series, but this time over Nebraska. What did we learn from the win ?

1. Guard tandem of Trice and Davison, have a day!

D’Mitrik Trice and Brad Davison are two of the most experienced players on the 2019-2020 Wisconsin squad, and they both showed up in a big way against Nebraska.

Davison shot himself out of a slump Saturday afternoon and put up one of the best shooting performances not only of his career, but in school history. Coming into the matchup with the Cornhuskers, the junior had put up a combined 30 points in his last five games, but he shook it off with a 30-point outing. The 30 points matched a career high he set way back in his freshman year against Michigan State, when he tried to single-handedly will the Badgers to an upset of the (then-) second-ranked Spartans. 

Against Nebraska on Saturday, Davison had the hot had from long distance. He finished the game with eight threes, which ties a school record set by Bronson Koenig in the 2017 NCAA Tournament against Virginia Tech. Koenig needed six more shots to hit the same mark.

Davison’s display ended a rough stretch of games. He had hit a combined eight threes in his last seven games. The junior seems to like playing Nebraska. This now makes five games in double digits against the Cornhuskers in six meetings. The last time he hit double figures this season came on January 21 against Nebraska. 

For junior D’Mitrik Trice, the matchup with Nebraska continued a brilliant stretch for the point guard. Over the last four games before the reunion with Nebraska, the guard was averaging 12.0 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.8 rebounds per game. He has also scored nine or more points in six of the last seven games. Along with the uptick in scoring, he has also had at least four assists in each contest of the last seven contests. 

Much like his partner in the backcourt, Trice found his stroke beyond the arc. Trice finished 5-6 from three, which ties his season high of five threes, which he set back on December 21 against UW-Milwaukee. 

2. Badgers finally shoot well on the road 

It has been a trend throughout the Big Ten for teams to struggle on the road, so Wisconsin’s road struggles are not anything out of the ordinary, but the Badgers shoot extremely poorly away from the Kohl Center.

The splits for UW are eye opening. The field goal percentage drops from 46% to 38% on the road, while the percentage from deep falls from 40% to 26.6%. Wisconsin took a huge first step in fixing the issue Saturday afternoon. 

Trice and Davison created an efficient 48% clip from three for the Badgers, while the team shot 49% from the field. Within the context of this season, the 15 made threes this afternoon are second only to the school-record 18 threes they connected on in their last meeting with Nebraska. 

UW may have finally figured out how to carry over its shooting on the road, but it may have come too late with four of the last six games for the Badgers in the Kohl Center. Yet, that certainly is not a bad thing with Wisconsin holding an 11-1 record at home. 

3. Nate Reuvers and Micah Potter provide balance for the Badgers 

Earlier in the year when Potter had a hot start to his Badger career, fans were clamoring for him to get more time and for him to play alongside Reuvers. We are starting to see how great the tandem of Reuvers and Potter can be. The duo combined for 28 points on 12-18 shooting against Nebraska. 

Earlier in the season, Potter struggled to stay on the court late in games due to his inability to pick up defensive concepts, but he now has the trust of the coaching staff as shown by his start against Ohio State on Feb. 9. 

Against Nebraska, the two bigs complemented one another beautifully. Both are the same mold of a stretch five: bigs who are comfortable posting up but can often hit jumpers. 

When Reuvers picked up two early fouls, Potter stepped in seamlessly and poured in 11 points and four rebounds in the first half. Reuvers then stepped in to start the second half and score six points in the first 3:34. 

Potter started against Ohio State to match up with the Buckeyes’ bigs, but Brevin Pritzl stepped in against Nebraska to combat the Huskers’ smaller lineup. Nonetheless, Potter has taken steps with the Badgers and has become a key contributor. He has formed a strong connection with point guard D’Mitrik Trice on the court, as he continues to be the beneficiary of dimes from Trice. 

The matchup with Nebraska showed just how much of an advantage the Badgers have with their bigs, and how much of a problem they can present to opponents.

Wisconsin has few potholes left to step in after big win at Nebraska

Wisconsin makes life easier on itself

Our team at Badgers Wire will have several different stories for you in the aftermath of the 81-64 win in Lincoln on Saturday against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, so we don’t have to tell you every single thing about this game in one shot. In this piece, we will make the very simple point that if there was a pothole for Wisconsin to step in — or a rake to step on, or a banana peel to slip on — the Badgers avoided it. Their path to the 2020 NCAA Tournament just became a lot easier by avoiding a loss to one of the two bad teams in the Big Ten, Northwestern being the other.

Here is the bottom line after the Badgers — following a full week of rest — took care of business against the Cornhuskers: There are fewer and fewer instances in which Wisconsin can mess this whole thing up.

Wisconsin hosts Northwestern later this season. That should be a very routine win for the Badgers, but it is hugely important because a loss there would really drag down UW’s overall profile. That game and a possible reunion with either Nebraska or Northwestern in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament are the only real pothole-type games left on the schedule. Every other game comes against a reasonably decent team.

Very simply, then: As long as Wisconsin beats Northwestern and — should it play one of the two NU schools one more time — wins any “bad-team rematch” on second-round Thursday at the Big Ten Tournament, it should be good to go for the Big Dance.

Wisconsin didn’t improve its resume at all with this win over Nebraska… but it didn’t worsen its resume by several orders of magnitude. Sometimes a team needs to move up the ladder; on this Saturday in the middle of February, the Badgers simply had to avoid falling several spots down that same ladder. Mission accomplished.

There are now far fewer chances for Wisconsin basketball to miss the Dance floor in the second half of March. On, Wisconsin… and let’s keep missing those potholes, shall we? You love to see it!

Wisconsin plays a classic “loss avoidance game” at Nebraska

Badger basketball

The Wisconsin Badgers do need to beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Saturday, but while one can accurately say that Wisconsin urgently needs a victory, this game is more precisely framed by the need to NOT LOSE.

When teams pursue NCAA Tournament bids, there are various kinds of games a team must handle in February and early March. Some games are resume enhancers, wins over good teams which noticeably improve an overall profile. Those wins take a team from a bubble position to a spot several places above the bubble cut line, or from a good bubble position to a place safely inside the NCAA Tournament field. The cost of losing is not found in falling down the seed list, but in failing to improve the profile and create a much more secure position.

There are battleground bubble games in which teams face relatively equal opponents. The value of a win is found as much in hurting an opponent’s bubble chances as in improving one’s own. The costs of a loss in these situations are more substantial if the bubble positions of the two teams are dead-even at tip-off time. A loss might not have a massive effect on one team’s own bubble position, but the fact that the loss elevates the winner’s bubble position creates a problem.

The third basic kind of bubble game is the one the Badgers will play against Nebraska on Saturday. Wisconsin is somewhere between a pure bubble team and “safely in” the tournament right now. A loss to Nebraska would reduce the “safely in” status and move Wisconsin closer to a place of uncertainty. The Badgers would still be in the tournament, but a loss to the Cornhuskers means that a losing streak could then put them on the bubble. The Badgers have some margin for error, but a loss to Nebraska would reduce a lot of it.

The good news: As long as Wisconsin doesn’t stumble here in Lincoln or against Northwestern, the Badgers should be fine. UW simply has to make sure it doesn’t make its existence a lot more difficult and complicated against Nebrasketball.

Wisconsin didn’t need great defense vs Nebraska, but that must change

More on Wisconsin-Nebraska

It would be a mistake to panic about Wisconsin’s defense after Tuesday night’s game against Nebraska. First of all, every game has its own flow, and the way this game was played, Wisconsin knew it would get high-quality shots on a consistent basis. Many games are rugged, but this one was a lot more free-flowing. There were fewer than 30 total fouls. Only 23 free throws were attempted in the whole contest. Neither team committed a lot of turnovers (21 total for the game).

How fluid was this game? Those stats tell part of the story, but the ultimate indication of a flowing, relaxed basketball game is how quickly it is played. This game clocked in at under 1 hour and 50 minutes in duration, beginning a few minutes after 8 p.m. in the Kohl Center and ending at 9:51.

Observe the time stamp here, at 51 past the hour:

The other key point to make, in addition to the emphasis on some games being more fluid than others, is that in a long season, not every game can — or will — be played with the exact same level of intensity. Coaches do try to get teams to play with relative consistency, and when teams are erratic over a three- or four-week span, it is definitely a concern. However, there will be individual nights when the pilot light — if not out — will burn more dimly than others. That is a simple fact of competition and human limitation. Look at the Los Angeles Lakers in Boston on Monday. They were spent. They had nothing. It is hardly an indication of future trouble, but for one night, they had absolutely zero in the fuel tank. It happens.

So, with this in mind, one shouldn’t be alarmed about Wisconsin’s defense.

Yet, we can also make the simple point that a comparatively relaxing game against Nebraska can’t enable the Badgers to slip into bad habits. If Wisconsin’s 18-of-34 3-point shooting isn’t likely to carry over into future games, this defensive performance probably won’t carry over as well… but Greg Gard has to make sure of that.

If this game gave Wisconsin more of a margin for error, more safe space in which it could evolve on offense, this game also carried the risk that against a less threatening opponent, the defense would relax. That is precisely what happened in the first half before the Badgers cleaned up their defense in the second half.

No, one shouldn’t be too worried, but let’s indeed keep an eye on the defense this Friday in West Lafayette against Purdue. We wouldn’t want bad habits on defense to cancel out emergent good habits on offense.

Wisconsin displays offensive balance, depth vs Nebraska

More on Wisconsin-Nebraska

Before the Wisconsin Badgers faced the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Tuesday night, we wrote about the reality that this game was likely to be the easiest one left on the 2020 schedule. We explored the idea that even though achievements against weaker opponents might not seem substantial, the mere fact that a team might play better in certain ways can unlock an awareness in players that they can improve to an extent not previously imagined. The awakening itself matters more than the caliber of opposition.

Hopefully, then, Wisconsin gained the realization that it can have a balanced and deep offense.

The best feature of Tuesday’s 82-68 win over Nebraska is that seven Wisconsin players scored eight or more points. Brad Davison had 14, Brevin Pritzl 12, D’Mitrik Trice and Nate Reuvers 11 apiece, Micah Potter and Kobe King with 9 apiece, and Aleem Ford 8. Every starter scored at least eight points. The recent trend of one starter scoring zero points in a game was halted.

Obviously, Nebraska has a much weaker defense than any other non-Northwestern Big Ten team, so it will be challenging for Wisconsin to carry this balanced offense into future games. However, the hope is that the Badgers — by displaying a balanced offense for one of the few times this season against a Power Five conference opponent — gained some realizations about how they can replicate this outcome. This is exactly what we meant when we said that Nebraska provided a unique team-building opportunity for the Badgers.

Yes, we shouldn’t expect the Badgers to hit 18 of 34 threes against tougher Big Ten opponents. That won’t be a regular feature of Wisconsin games against quality opposition. No one needs to pretend that is a realistic possibility. However, the instructive point here is that Wisconsin has been so bad in 3-point shooting in most of its Big Ten games (6 of 23, 7 of 22, 6 of 21, etc.) that if the Badgers can merely lift their percentage to the high 30s on a more regular basis, they will wind up shooting a lot better than their worst nights.

No one should expect 18 of 34 on a regular basis, but what if this game enables Wisconsin to become a team which makes 9 of 24 threes in a game, or 10 of 26? If UW can reach that level of 3-point shooting and stay there, the Badgers are going to win MORE games, not fewer, as we move along.

We will get to find out Friday at Purdue if this opportunity turned into a genuine source of evolution and development for Wisconsin basketball this year.

Three Nebraska players Badger fans need to know

Wisconsin hosts the Nebraska Cornhuskers at the Kohl Center on Tuesday. Badger fans should be sure to know these three opposing players.

After getting thumped by Michigan State in East Lansing last Friday, Wisconsin (11-7) will look to get back on track when it hosts Nebraska (7-11) in Madison on Tuesday night.

While there really are no easy matchups in the Big Ten this season, this is probably the most winnable game left on the Badgers’ schedule.

There’s long-term optimism in Lincoln with new coach Fred Hoiberg at the helm of the program, but it’s been an unsurprisingly rough first season for The Mayor and his Cornhuskers to this point. Nebraska has been arguably the worst team in the conference (Northwestern is in that conversation as well) and has struggled mightily as of late, dropping its last three games and five of its last seven. Most recently, the Huskers dropped an 82-74 decision the last time out against Indiana at home.

The last time Badger fans saw Nebraska was in the quarterfinals of last year’s Big Ten Tournament, when Wisconsin squeaked out a 66-62 victory to advance. Since then, this Cornhuskers roster has been completely overhauled at Hoiberg’s direction, returning just two players from last year’s team. As he did with great success at Iowa State, he has opted to build Nebraska’s program with transfer players as the foundation. For example, all three players on this list began their college careers elsewhere.

With that said, here are the three players on the other side who Badger fans should keep a close eye on throughout Tuesday’s contest.

Cam Mack – Guard

Current stats: 12.9 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 6.8 apg, 1.2 spg, 41.1 FG%, 32.9 3P%

Jan 11, 2020; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers guard Cam Mack (3) shoots the ball as Northwestern Wildcats guard Pat Spencer (12) defends him during the first half at Welsh-Ryan Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Of all of the transfers Hoiberg brought in as part of Nebraska’s roster reconstruction this season, Mack has been the biggest success story.

As with many of his teammates, the 6-2 floor general’s road to Lincoln was a winding one: Mack started out at Stephen F. Austin before leaving the program in the midst of his freshman season in 2017-18 and spending last year in the JUCO ranks at Salt Lake Community College. Regardless, the sophomore guard has left no doubt that he belongs in the Big Ten.

Mack has established himself as one of the conference’s most dynamic point guards this season. He leads Nebraska in scoring and has hit double figures in all but two games, but the area where he has made his presence felt the most is as a facilitator for his teammates: Mack’s average of 6.8 assists per game is the No. 3 mark in the Big Ten and ranks No. 11 nationally.

He has complemented his outstanding play as Nebraska’s tone-setter on offense with peskiness on the other end of the floor as well, currently sitting at No. 10 in the conference in steals per game.

Mack is coming off of one of his best performances of the season in last weekend’s loss to Indiana, having racked up 20 points to go along with nine assists and three boards.

Nebraska gives Wisconsin a unique team-building opportunity

Wisconsin and Nebraska

If you look at Wisconsin’s remaining 2020 Big Ten basketball schedule, this Tuesday’s home date with Nebraska is the easiest remaining game on the whole slate. The only other games which are comparably easy are road trips to Nebraska and Northwestern later in the season. The one home game against one of the two bad teams in the Big Ten should be, on paper, the simplest task remaining for the Badgers this season.

In many ways, this might seem like the least important game on the slate. It will certainly attract less national attention, and it will also draw relatively little regional attention among those who follow college basketball throughout the Midwest. Yet, this is precisely the kind of game in which a coach — who just saw his team get ripped apart by the conference favorite (Michigan State) — needs to find solutions which can benefit his team in the long run.

Here is my explanation of that point, relative to Wisconsin coach Greg Gard.

One of the more subtle yet powerful truths of sports is that awakenings — realizations that an athlete can perform at a much higher level than previously thought — can occur in a full range of circumstances. Yes, it is obviously ideal if an awakening in a young or unproven athlete comes against elite opposition. When that happens, the athlete instantly knows he or she can grow and develop into something special on the playing field (or court, or rink).

Yet, these awakenings don’t have to happen against elite opponents. Sometimes, it is in the games which don’t involve huge pressure, and don’t attract considerable media scrutiny, that an athlete busts out and discovers a much higher ceiling of potential than anyone had imagined. The fact that the opponent was mediocre matters less, in these instances, than the fact that an athlete played well and showed progress. The reality of self-improvement becomes its own catalyst, regardless of how good the opponent was.

I invite you to consider, then, what this game could mean for Gard and Wisconsin if Tyler Wahl or Brevin Pritzl have big games against Nebraska. (Hey, maybe both could go off!) What if this is a game in which all five Wisconsin starters score 10 points? What if this is a game in which the Badgers earn 30 free throw attempts and learn that they can move the ball in ways which make their offense less inclined to seek 3-point shots, and post a depressingly familiar 7-of-22-ish shooting number from long distance?

This is precisely the kind of game in which a coach has a chance to tinker with some lineup combinations and explore new ways of getting the best out of every player in the main rotation, which generally runs nine deep?

This isn’t a sexy game. It doesn’t carry the emotional weight of the bigger battles which lie ahead… which is exactly why it is a time to explore ways for this team to grow. We will see how the Badgers look when this game is over. Hopefully, UW will look different… in the best possible ways.

Wisconsin should – and must – beat Nebraska

Wisconsin-Nebrasketball

The good news for the Wisconsin Badgers: They should easily be able to handle the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Tuesday night in the Kohl Center. The bad news: Well, there shouldn’t be any bad news, but if the Badgers somehow lose, they will take a big hit on their resume, wiping away the discernible progress they have made in recent weeks with wins against Penn State and Maryland.

This is not the least pleasant game a team can play when it tries to solidify its NCAA Tournament status (the Badgers are clearly in the tournament right now, but a loss to Nebraska, should it happen, would move them toward genuine bubble territory). The least pleasant game a team can play when chasing an NCAA bid is to play a team like Nebraska on the road. Tuesday’s game is at home. (Wisconsin will have to go to Lincoln later in the season.) So, this isn’t the most uncomfortable situation Wisconsin can face. Nevertheless, it is close to that. This is a time to take care of business and move on to the more challenging games on the schedule, which will be tougher to win, but which won’t carry nearly as much of a penalty.

Nebraska has been good enough to beat Purdue and Iowa at home this season, but away from Lincoln, the Husker hoopsters have not been able to win in Big Ten play. They nearly beat Indiana in December but fell just short. They had a chance to win at Northwestern — one of the two road Big Ten games every good Big Ten team needs to win this season — but failed to get the job done. This is not a good team. It is going nowhere this season. Fred Hoiberg knows he is in the middle of a major — not minor — rebuilding project.

If the Michigan State game this past Friday was set up for a Badger disaster, everything about this Nebraska game on Tuesday sets up Wisconsin for success, and maybe a drama-free night as well. This should be a routine victory. That’s the good news.

The bad news? We shouldn’t have any bad news to discuss on Tuesday night — not if the Badgers do what they ought to.

Unlike football, Nebraska can easily play the long game in hoops

Nebrasketball

The question kept being asked, year after year after year, in the first 16 years of this century: When will Northwestern EVER make it to the NCAA Tournament? When a program has never registered a significant yet less-than-extraordinary achievement such as MAKING the NCAA Tournament (not reaching the Final Four or Sweet 16, but merely getting in), that is the only question which will matter. It will suck up all the available oxygen in the atmosphere. It will consume the attention of the fan base. It will occupy any journalists who cover the program… and necessarily so.

Interestingly, after Northwestern made the NCAA Tournament in 2017, the Wildcats have acted like a program which has lost its way. It is as though the chase of the NCAA Tournament animated everyone in that program so much that the attainment of the goal left everyone drained and confused. Northwestern is stumbling around in the dark, tripping over rakes and slipping on wet mops. The current reality of Northwestern basketball isn’t pretty. Yet, it is hard to say that the program exists in a state of crisis… because it is dealing with an unprecedented situation: trying to deal with the greatest moment in program history, which occurred a modest three years ago.

When the history of success at a program is so minimal over a very long period of time, it is difficult to say that the current coach is the central problem (even if that might be true). A coach’s flaws and limitations might matter in an immediate sense, but the larger reality of the program demands patience (unless — and this is the only exception — an obviously and massively better coach can be brought aboard to take the program to the next level).

Nebraska basketball — often referred to as the combination term “Nebrasketball” (which is so much easier to say than “Nebraska basketball”) — is not very good this year under first-year head coach Fred Hoiberg. It is very possible that Nebraska won’t be very good next season, either. Yet, this isn’t a crisis — not when Nebraska labors under a burden similar to Northwestern’s.

The Cornhuskers are the only Power Five conference program (as a result of Northwestern’s 2017 NCAA Tournament win over Vanderbilt) without an NCAA Tournament victory. As was the case with Northwestern, people in and around Nebrasketball are asking that one question, over and over and over: When will the Huskers win their first NCAA Tournament game?

When there is no history of previous NCAA Tournament success, a new coach cannot be expected to turn around the ship immediately. There is a history dating back multiple decades in which Nebraska has reached the Big Dance, but there has not yet been a single instance of the Huskers winning a game in the round of 64 in America’s favorite bracketed tournament.

Fred Hoiberg doesn’t inhabit the same world Scott Frost does. Yes, there is disappointment and frustration and dissatisfaction in Lincoln, but the reasons for the disappointment are different.

In football, the fundamental reality of Nebraska’s situation is that the Huskers are not where they SHOULD be (at least in the minds of Nebraskans).

In basketball, the fundamental reality of Nebraska’s situation is that the Huskers are not where they COULD be. There is a huge difference between those two realities.

Scott Frost is trying to bring Nebraska back to a familiar place of prominence, back to something Nebraskans once enjoyed for several decades without any prolonged interruption.

Fred Hoiberg is trying to do something in Lincoln which has literally NEVER been done before.

If Fred Hoiberg hasn’t turned around Nebraska after three seasons on the job, his tenure won’t be in especially huge trouble. More importantly, people won’t worry if Nebraska has reached a dead end as a program. It’s hard to reach a dead end when consistent progress and improvement have been so foreign to a program’s entire existence. Football elicits a lot more worry about what will happen if Scott Frost, who came home to “mama” when his alma mater called, can’t fix things in the next two years or so.

No, the outlook for Nebrasketball isn’t great, but Fred Hoiberg will get all the time he needs. This isn’t “just like football.” Not even close.

10 for 20: Nebraska basketball

Nebrasketball in the 2020s

For decades, Nebraska had an advantage over Northwestern in the realm of college basketball. Sure, Nebraska was not a Big Ten member until the start of this decade, but even as a Big Eight and then Big 12 program, Nebraska — in a head-to-head comparison with Northwestern — was objectively better and more successful than the Wildcats. Nebraska had made the NCAA Tournament. Northwestern had not.

Then came 2017. Northwestern not only made its first NCAA Tournament; the Wildcats then won their first NCAA Tournament game over Vanderbilt before losing to Gonzaga in the round of 32. Suddenly, in the battle of the two “NUs,” (that’s a real debate, by the way, over which “NU” is the REAL NU when Northwestern and Nebraska fans are in the same room…) Northwestern had overtaken Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are now the ONLY Power Five conference program without an NCAA Tournament victory. It defies all description. It doesn’t seem remotely possible. Yet, it is true, and that is the big challenge facing Nebrasketball in the coming decade of Big Ten hoops.

Remember this about Nebraska on the hardwood: The Cornhuskers were once a No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They were not only supposed to win their 3-versus-14 first-round game; they had a real shot to make the Sweet 16 and do some damage in their bracket. However, coach Danny Nee’s team was ambushed by one of the masters of the NCAA Tournament upset in that era of college basketball history, Xavier’s Pete Gillen. Nebraska was a 6 seed in 1994, but No. 11 seed Pennsylvania knocked off the Huskers in Long Island, New York. Not once since the creation of the NCAA Tournament in 1939 has Nebrasketball been able to get over this particular roadblock.

This season, Nebraska is in complete rebuilding mode. The Huskers did just beat Purdue, but their collection of really bad early-season losses makes them highly unlikely to reach the Big Dance this coming March. Nevertheless, optimism runs high in Lincoln. Fred Hoiberg had an unpleasant tenure as the coach of the Chicago Bulls. He is back in his natural ecosystem, college basketball, coaching Nebraska after previously guiding Iowa State to the Sweet 16. It does seem like only a matter of time before Nebraska, under Hoiberg, wins that elusive first NCAA Tournament game. Yet, given how snake-bitten Nebraska has been, one should always allow for the possibility that a banana peel could emerge in the middle of the road, and that Nebraska might slip on it.