Tag: NBA betting picks

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (52-8) visit AmericanAirlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat (38-22) Monday evening. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Bucks-Heat sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Bucks at Heat: Key injuries

Bucks

  • SG Kyle Korver (back) ou
  • SG Khris Middleton (neck) questionable

Heat

  • C Meyers Leonard (ankle) out
  • SG Tyler Herro (ankle) out

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Bucks at Heat: Odds, lines, picks, and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. E.T.

Prediction

Bucks 122, Heat 112

Moneyline (ML)

The BUCKS (-154) are modest road favorites over the Heat (+125) Monday night despite winning 11 of their last 12 road games. Miami has been fantastic at home this season, winning 25 of their 29 games at AmericanAirlines Arena. The Bucks are an entirely different opponent, as they have the No. 1 offense in the NBA. Look for this game to be close, but for the Bucks to emerge victorious in Miami.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The BUCKS (-3.5, -110) are less than two-basket favorites over the Heat (+3.5, -110). Milwaukee has been fantastic against the spread of late, covering in nine of its last 12 games despite big point spreads, however, the Bucks are just 3-7 straight up against the Heat in their last 10 games. This game should be back and forth most of the way but expect the Bucks to clear this spread late in the fourth quarter and win by 4 or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for this Eastern Conference matchup is set at 226.5, which feels low considering the caliber of offenses in this game. The Bucks are averaging nearly 120 points per game and the Heat rank 13th in total offense this season. While both teams have better-than-average defenses, expect this to be a high-scoring game in which the OVER 226.5 (-106) hits relatively easily.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship, and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (26-35) visit the Orlando Magic (27-33) Monday at Amway Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Trail Blazers-Magic sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Trail Blazers at Magic: Key Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • PF Zach Collins (shoulder) out
  • SG Rodney Hood (Achilles) out
  • PG Damian Lillard (groin) out
  • PF Jusuf Nurkic (leg) out
  • SG Anfernee Simons (ankle) questionable

Magic

  • SF Al-Farouq Aminu (knee) out
  • SG Jonathan Isaac (knee) out

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Trail Blazers at Magic: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Magic 111, Trail Blazers 99

Moneyline (ML)

The Trail Blazers (+230) wrap up a three-game Eastern Conference road trip Monday. They’ve lost three straight games and six of their last seven coming into the day, including a 129-117 loss to the Atlanta Hawks Saturday. The Magic (-295) took a 114-113 loss on the road against the San Antonio Spurs Saturday, but they had previously won five of their last six games.

Injuries continue to hamper the Blazers, especially the absence of Lillard, who’s averaging 7.3 more points per game than any of his teammates, while also leading the team with 7.9 assists per game. Portland is just 10-22 on the road for the season and Orlando is 16-14 on home court. PASS on the moneyline bet, as the Magic are likely to win, but there’s just too much chalk involved in the odds for the outright win. Look to the spread.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Back the MAGIC (-6.5, -115) to win by at least 7 points. The Magic are just 11-18-1 against the spread at home for the season, but the Blazers (+6.5, -106) are just 13-19 ATS on the road. Five of Portland’s last six losses came by margins greater than 7 points. The Magic’s last two wins were by double-digits.

Orlando is 9-9 ATS as a home favorite but it wins those games by an average of 8.0 PPG. Portland is 9-13 ATS as a road underdog and loses those games by 8.0 PPG.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the UNDER 221.5 (+100) at even money as the more profitable side of the total bet. Only the defending champion Toronto Raptors allow fewer points per game to their opponents than Orlando’s 106.5 PPG allowed. Add in the absence of Lillard for the visitors and the Magic’s 28th-ranked 105.3 PPG, and this falls well short of the projection.

Esten’s NBA betting record: 202-177

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (37-22) travel to meet the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-43) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland at 7 p.m. ET Monday. We analyze the Jazz-Cavaliers sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Jazz at Cavaliers: Key Injuries

Jazz

  • PG Nigel Williams-Goss (quadriceps) out

Cavaliers

  • PG Dante Exum (ankle) out
  • PG Darius Garland (groin) out
  • SF Alfonzo McKinnie (foot) out
  • C Tristan Thompson (knee) out
  • SG Dylan Windler (shin) out

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Jazz at Cavaliers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Jazz 115, Cavaliers 108

Moneyline (ML)

The Jazz (-400) are a good bet to win on the road against the Cavaliers (+310), but laying four times your return on investment is not a good way to go about betting. You could win four of those types of bets, lose one, have an 80.0 winning percentage and still not break even. AVOID.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Jazz ML returns a profit of just $2.50 if they win. A $10 bet on the Cavaliers ML returns a profit of $31.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

While the Jazz (-8.5, -110) are a good bet to win outright, the CAVALIERS (+8.5, -110) have shown some heart under new head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. They’re a respectable 4-3 straight up and 5-1-1 ATS across their past seven outings, including outright wins against playoff contenders Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers at home. While Cleveland isn’t likely to add Utah to that list, the Cavs are a good bet to continue as cover kings. Add in the fact the Jazz are 1-10-2 ATS in their past 13 as favorites and 0-5-1 ATS in their past six against losing teams, and Cleveland looks awfully tasty on their home floor.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 219.5 (-106) is worth a roll of the dice, perhaps in a parlay with the Cavs. While the Under is 6-0-1 in the past seven meetings in this series, the trends for both teams in the past few weeks point to the over.

The Over is 8-2 in the past 10 on the road for Utah, and 7-1 in their past eight as a road favorite. The Over is also 13-4 in the past 17 for the Cavs at home and 9-4 in the past 13 as a home dog.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets sports betting odds and lines, with NBA matchup analysis. picks and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (42-17) visit the Mile High City Sunday to play the Denver Nuggets (40-19) at Pepsi Center at 6 p.m. ET. We analyze the Raptors-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

Raptors at Nuggets: Key injuries

Raptors

  • PF Serge Ibaka (knee) questionable
  • SG Fred VanVleet (shoulder) questionable
  • C Marc Gasol (hamstring) out
  • PF Dewan Hernandez (ankle) out

Nuggets

  • PF Paul Millsap (ankle) questionable
  • PF Noah Vonleh (ankle) questionable
  • C Bol Bol (foot) out

Raptors at Nuggets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Raptors 113, Nuggets 108

Moneyline (ML)

This is a premier cross-conference matchup featuring the current 2-seed in the Eastern Conference, Raptors (+135), and the Western Conference’s third-seeded, Nuggets -161. Both teams come into this game after rough losses and embarrassing in their own ways. Toronto has dropped back-to-back games, including a 99-96 loss to the lowly Charlotte Hornets, but the Raptors have an excuse as they were without Ibaka and VanVleet.

Denver was handed a 132-103 beatdown by the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game, Friday. Wait on the injury report before betting this game. If the Raptors get their starters back I like them on the moneyline because they are the better team, and paying $161 for a $100 profit with a Nuggets win is poor value.

PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Let’s gamble on the possible health of Toronto starters and BET RAPTORS +3.5 (-115). They are a better non-conference team against the spread than Denver. The Raptors have an 11-8 ATS record against the West and the Nuggets have a 9-10-3 ATS record versus the East.

Toronto generally bounces back from a loss, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Plus, the Raptors are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and the Nuggets are mediocre on offense. The Raptors rank first in opponent points per game, second in opponent field-goal percentage and first in opponent 3-point percentage. Denver scores the 20th most points per game and ranks 16th ranked 3-point percentage.  

TAKE the RAPTORS +3.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

I have a slight lean toward the OVER 217.5 (-110) for several reasons. First, they average a combined 230.2 points per game on Sundays. Second, the Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings. Third, the combined Over/Under record of the officiating crew assigned to the game is 74-49 on the season. The one caveat is the banged-up Raptors have played to the Under in five straight games and have failed to score more than 100 points in four of those contests. 

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Washington Wizards at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Washington Wizards at Golden State Warriors sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Golden State Warriors (13-47) return home for one game on the second night of a back-to-back. They take on the Washington Wizards (21-37). Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at Chase Center in San Francisco.

We analyze the Wizards-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

Wizards at Warriors: Key injuries

Wizards

  • G John Wall (Achilles) out
  • C Anzejs Pasecniks (stomach) questionable

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (hand) out
  • G Klay Thompson (knee) out
  • G Ky Bowman (ankle) out
  • F Draymond Green (knee) questionable
  • G Jordan Poole (ankle) questionable

Wizards at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Sunday at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Wizards 111, Warriors 104

Moneyline (ML)

The Wizards come into this game favored at -250 but must only be favored because they are playing the Warriors. Washington is only 7-22 on the road. Those seven road wins are the second-lowest total in the league. However, the Warriors (+200) are only 7-23 at home. The Warriors are shorthanded and on the second night of a back-to-back. They are 4-8 after a win and 1-5 on no rest. The Wizards are 0-2 when favored on the road this season.

This is a recipe for disaster. There is no best bet here. AVOID the money line. New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Wizards returns a profit of $4.48.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Wizards enter the game favored at -6.5 (-110). While Golden State is one of the league’s worst teams, they have been tough against the spread. They are 28-32 ATS overall on the season, while the Wizards are 29-27-2 ATS overall. Washington, though bad on the road, plays tough. They are 13-14-2 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 12-18 ATS at home. Washington is 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games and 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven played, while the Warriors, before winning and covering the spread in Phoenix Saturday night, had gone 0-4 ATS in their previous four.

The shorthanded Warriors will run out of gas in this game and the Wizards will pull away late. Take the Wizards to win and to cover the -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The total is set at 231.5 points. The Warriors’ games have hit the Under in four straight contests and six of the last seven. Washington’s games have gone Over in three of their last four. Golden State is 4-2 O/U when playing on no rest and the Wizards are 1-1 O/U when favored on the road.

Take the UNDER 231.5 (-115) in this one.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Philadelphia 76ers (37-23) head cross coast to play the Los Angeles Clippers (40-19) Sunday at the Staples Center at 3:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the 76ers-Clippers odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

76ers at Clippers: Key injuries

76ERS

  • PG Ben Simmons (back) out 
  • C Joel Embiid (shoulder) out 

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

76ers at Clippers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Clippers 119, 76ers 94

Moneyline (ML)

Philadelphia is at its lowest point from a health perspective, with the injuries to Simmons and Embiid, and Los Angeles is at its highest with everyone fully healthy. Josh Richardson, Tobias Harris, Al Horford and/or a couple of random 76ers role players, are going to need to step up Sunday.

Could this be the Harris revenge game? Aside from that narrative, I cannot think of a single argument for the 76ers +625 to pull off the upset since Philadelphia is without its two best players. No way I’d recommend betting Clippers -1112, so PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The expectation is that the Clippers -12.5 (-115) come out and club an injury-depleted 76ers +12.5 (-106) team. If you’re backing Philadelphia, then you’re essentially plugging your nose and hanging on for dear life (in a gambling sense).

The following trends should carry a little more weight given the health status of the two teams. Los Angeles is a stellar home team against the spread—18-12 ATS with a 9.8-point average margin of victory—while Philadelphia consistently underperforms bookmakers’ expectations on the road (7-21-2 ATS road record with a -5.8 point average margin of victory). Furthermore, Philadelphia is an even uglier 3-12-1 ATS versus winning teams in away games and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Also, Los Angeles is 5-3 ATS when laying more than 12.5 points.

BET CLIPPERS -12.5 (-115). 

Over/Under (O/U)

The Clippers score more points during Sundays (124.4 points per game) then any other day of the week. I expect Los Angeles to put up a crazy number against Philadelphia, but I’m not in love with a total bet here because their defense could stifle the 76ers. Nevertheless, I LEAN UNDER 220.5 (-115). 

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings sports betting odds, picks and best bets

The Detroit Pistons (20-41) heads to California’s capital city to battle the Sacramento Kings (25-34) at Golden 1 Center at 6:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. We analyze the Pistons-Kings sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Pistons at Kings: Key Injuries

Pistons

  • PG Bruce Brown (knee) out
  • PF Blake Griffin (knee) out
  • SG Luke Kennard (knee) out
  • PF Thon Maker (ankle) questionable
  • PF Christian Wood (foot) questionable

Kings

  • PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
  • PG De’Aaron Fox (abdominal) questionable
  • PF Richaun Holmes (shoulder) out

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Pistons at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Sunday at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Kings 110, Pistons 101

Moneyline (ML)

The Kings (-334) have been on a roll, posting four straight-up wins in the past five, and they have covered five in a row. Look for them to steamroll the skidding Pistons (+260), although laying more than three times your return is not recommended. AVOID, and look to the line.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Kings ML returns a profit of just $3 if they win.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Take the KINGS (-7.5, -110) at home, as they’re 5-0 ATS in the past five overall, 4-0 ATS in the past four at Golden 1 Center against teams with a losing road record and 6-0 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing overall mark. The Pistons (+7.5, -110) have covered four of the past five, but they’re just 15-25-1 ATS in the past 41 as an underdog. They’re also just 2-5-2 ATS in the past nine meetings against the Kings.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 216.5 (-110) is the play lately for the Kings, hitting in four in a row for Sactown. The Under is also 9-4 in the previous 13 meetings between these clubs, and 13-3-1 in the past 17 battles in Sacramento.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Milwaukee Bucks (51-8) swing by the Spectrum Center Sunday to play the Charlotte Hornets (21-38) at 1 p.m. ET. We analyze the Bucks-Hornets odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Bucks at Hornets: Key injuries

BUCKS

  • SF Khris Middleton (neck) probable
  • SG Kyle Korver (back) out

HORNETS

  • SG Malik Monk (suspension) out 

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

Bucks at Hornets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Bucks 115, Hornets 92

Moneyline (ML)

NO, NO, NO on the moneyline. Charlotte +625 is outrageous and should be at least +1000. The Hornets have lost their last four games against the Bucks (-1000). Their first meeting of the season was in Paris on Jan. 24 and Milwaukee won, 116-103, but couldn’t cover the -14.5 line. The Bucks are 21-4 straight up when playing as an away favorite.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Bucks -13.5 (-110) sport a 12-7 record against the spread on the road against losing teams and the Hornets +13.5 (-110) are just 2-6 ATS in Charlotte versus winning teams. Charlotte has lost their last three games against the Bucks by more than 13 points and Milwaukee should beat the brakes off of Charlotte again. The Bucks defense allows the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA and the Hornets are 24th in field goal percentage. Oh and the Bucks get the most rebounds per game, so don’t expect a lot of second-chance Hornets points. Plus Milwaukee’s defense will overwhelm a Charlotte team that ranks last in points per game and field goal percentage. It’s BUCKS -13.5 (-110) or nothing on the spread.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Bucks could be extra cruel in this one and drop 140+ points against the feeble Hornets. Poor outside shooting, random turnovers, a lopsided tilt and various other factors could contribute to the Bucks not putting the points needed for the Over to hit. I challenge you to find a player matchup the Hornets can exploit for points. I only lean UNDER -218.5 (-115) because there are too many scenarios where the Bucks-Hornets play at a snail’s pace late.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Houston Rockets (38-20) head to Beantown to play the Boston Celtics (41-17) Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET in the TD Garden. We analyze the Rockets-Celtics odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

Rockets at Celtics: Key injuries

ROCKETS

  • SG Eric Gordon (knee) questionable

CELTICS

  • C Robert Williams III (hip) probable
  • PG Kemba Walker (knee) out

Rockets at Celtics: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Celtics 118, Rockets 111

Moneyline (ML)

The Rockets +105 have beaten the Celtics -129 in four straight games, including a 116-105 win at Houston just before the All-Star break. James Harden and Russell Westbrook erupted in that one for 42 and 36 points, respectively. But the key to the Rockets’ victory was bottling up Jayson Tatum, who only had 15 points—his only game with fewer than 20 points in his last 15. 

Now Tatum is on a tear with 33+ points in five of his past six games. With no Kemba Walker in the lineup, the Celtics need Tatum to step up, and he should light up Danuel House—who’s the worst defensively rated player in the Rockets starting lineup. Also, Boston has the fourth-best winning percentage at home this season (23-5) and I have a hunch their home-court advantage will be even greater since they are playing a Saturday night nationally televised game.

TAKE CELTICS -129 on the moneyline. New to sports betting? Bet $129 on the Celtics to earn a $100 profit if they win straight up.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

PASS on the AGAINST THE SPREAD wager and just stick with the moneyline bet. But since the 1.5-point line is so small we can use ATS trends to reinforce our moneyline handicap. The Celtics -1.5 (-110) are 17-10-1 ATS at home compared to a Rockets +1.5 (-110) team that is 14-15 ATS in road games. Also, Boston is 9-2 ATS at home against winning teams but Houston is a solid 6-4 in away games versus teams above .500.

Over/Under (O/U)

The bright lights of the ABC cameras could cause the refs to allow the Rockets-Celtics to play a more physical brand of basketball, i.e. fewer foul shots. Plus their combined Over/Under record in nonconference games is just 17-25. Furthermore, the Under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Boston and 9-2 in the Rockets’ last 11 against a team with a winning record.

I LEAN UNDER 232.5 (-115).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Warriors at Suns sports betting odds, with NBA matchup analysis and picks.

The Phoenix Suns (24-36) continue their six-game homestand with the second game of a back-to-back against the struggling Golden State Warriors (12-47). Tipoff is Saturday night at 9 p.m. ET at Talking Stick Resort Arena.

We analyze the Warriors-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Place a legal sports bet on this NBA action or other games at BetMGM.

Warriors at Suns: Key injuries

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (hand) out
  • G Klay Thompson (knee) out
  • G Ky Bowman (out) questionable
  • G Jordan Poole (ankle) questionable
  • F Andrew Wiggins (thoracic) probable

Suns

  • PF Cameron Johnson (upper body) questionable
  • F Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
  • F Kelly Oubre Jr. (knee) out

Warriors at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Suns 111, Warriors 106

Moneyline (ML)

The Suns (-455) have struggled the last two games with the loss of Oubre, losing the first two games of their six-game homestand. The Warriors (+340) have lost eight in a row. They are a terrible 5-24 on the road this season. Phoenix is only 11-20 at home this season and is very unreliable when favored. They are only 9-10 as a home favorite. So neither team is a good bet.

I would lean towards the Suns but their inconsistent play at home against teams they should beat is maddening. AVOID the money line in this game.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The Suns are favorites in this game at -8.5 (-110). They have not covered the spread in their last two games, in six of their last eight and in 10 of their last 13 contests. The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in their last four games. The last time they did cover was on the road against the Suns before the All-Star Break.

The Suns are 4-6 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back. They are 6-13 ATS as home favorites. Golden State has only won five games on the road all season but has covered the spread in 15 of 29 road games as underdogs.

This feels like a slam dunk. While Golden State might not win, they will certainly cover. Take the Warriors and the points at +8.5 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

The total for Saturday’s game is set at 222.5 points. The Warriors’ last three games and five of their last six have gone Under. The Suns have had two of their last three go Over but five of seven have gone Under. All three of their previous matchups this season have gone Under.

Take the UNDER 222.5 (-106) tonight.

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