Tag: MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line

NL Wild Card Series Game 1: New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets take on the Milwaukee Brewers in the 1st game of a best-of-3 NL Wild Card Series Tuesday at American Family Field. First pitch is slated for 5:32 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers won 5-1

The Mets (89-73) grabbed 1 of the final Wild Card spots by splitting a doubleheader with the Atlanta Braves Monday. They took the opening game 8-7 and dropped the finale 3-0, which got the Braves into the postseason as well. SS Francisco Lindor, the team’s MVP, hit a 2-run shot in the top of the 9th for the eventual win in the opener Monday.

The Brewers (88-72) just finished a series with the Mets over the weekend and took 2 of 3 with 8-4 and 6-0 victories and a 5-0 loss Sunday. 1B Rhys Hoskins is in a zone, hitting .294 with 2 HRs and 9 RBIs over the last 12 games.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts and had a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K Tuesday against Atlanta Braves
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 3 starts

Peralta (11-9, 3.68 ERA) made 32 starts and had a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K Wednesday against Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 3 starts

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated  12:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

The Brewers have the extra rest, have dominated the series and have home-field advantage. Peralta has been great against the Mets. I really don’t see any reason to not go BREWERS -140.

Run line/Against the spread

No value here so PASS. But Peralta had 9 and 7 K’s in his last 2 starts. He also had 8 K’s in his 1st start of the season against the Mets. So I’ll take FREDDY PERALTA OVER 5.5 K’S (-150).

Over/Under

It’s expected to be 65 degrees with a fierce 17-mph wind blowing out to center field at gametime if they have the roof open. That could lead to some fireworks. I look for runs to come aplenty. Take the OVER 7.5 (-115).

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AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros meet in a best-of-3 AL Wild Card Series Tuesday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 2:32 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Astros won 4-2

The Tigers (86-76) won 10 of 13 games to end the regular season — 2 losses came after they had already clinched a Wild Card spot. Detroit’s 3.61 ERA is the 4th-lowest in MLB, but its 4.21 runs per game (RPG) ranks 19th and last among playoff teams.

The Astros (88-73) entered the season with the 3rd-shortest odds to win the World Series at +800, but now have the 5th-shortest odds (+900 at BetMGM Sportsbook) after a somewhat disappointing year. Houston managed to turn its season around after starting 7-19, but its 4.60 RPG (10th in MLB) is a letdown after averaging 5.09 last year, which was 5th in the majors.

Tigers at Astros projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Skubal made 31 starts this season, going 18-4 with an AL-best 2.39 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 192 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home victory over Tampa Bay Rays Sept. 24
  • 2024 road stats: 8-3, 2.86 ERA (88 IP, 28 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Astros: 1-1, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Astros: 1-1, 3.16 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 4 starts

Valdez made 28 starts this season, going 15-7 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 176 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Seattle Mariners Sept. 24
  • 2024 home stats: 9-2, 2.53 ERA (96 IP, 27 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: 1-0, 1 road start (May 10), 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-2 win
  • Career vs. Tigers: 2-2, 2.49 ERA (47 IP, 13 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)

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Tigers at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 11:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Tigers at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 3, Astros 2

Moneyline

It’s hard to fade the TIGERS (+125) with Skubal on the mound — especially at plus money. Detroit used a 15-3 run Sept. 7-27 to clinch a Wild Card spot, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 12 of the 18 games.

Skubal ended the regular season as a -5000 favorite (bet $5,000 to win $100) at multiple books to take home the AL Cy Young Award. He’s allowed 2 or fewer ER in 10 of 12 starts since the All-Star break and has won 6 straight decisions over his last 9 starts.

Valdez went 0-3 in 3 playoff starts last year — all at home — giving up a total of 12 ER in 12 IP. While he did go 3-0 over 4 starts when the Astros won the 2022 World Series, his most recent postseason data points are slightly concerning.

Getting the red-hot Tigers at plus money with the AL Cy Young favorite on the mound is worth a play. Tigers manager A.J. Hinch — who was fired by the Astros in 2020 — has a good shot at getting his revenge Tuesday.

BET TIGERS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Detroit +1.5 (-200) should hit, but the bid-ask difference is too high.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Tigers are 3-0 to the Under in Skubal’s last 3 starts, and the Under is 1-0-1 in Valdez’s last 2. However, laying -120 without even getting the key number of 7 isn’t recommended. Don’t play this line unless you can get it at -108 or cheaper.

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-120).

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AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles clash Tuesday in Charm City as they swing into the postseason. First pitch in the opener of their best-of-3 AL Wild Card Series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Orioles won 4 of 6 games

Kansas City (86-76) overcame a pair of late-season losing streaks to earn the No. 2 AL Wild Card slot. The Royals sport an average offense but a top-notch pitching-and-defense combo. Kansas City’s 3.98 runs per game allowed ranks 6th in MLB.

Baltimore (91-71) was under-.500 (34-38) over its last 72 games, but did finish September on a strong note. The Orioles swept the Minnesota Twins over the weekend and went 5-1 over their last 6 games. Baltimore is the No. 1 AL Wild Card.

Royals at Orioles projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Ragans made 32 starts this season, going 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 186 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1-0 win at Washington Nationals last Tuesday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 0-2, 6.75 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 6 BB, 14 K in 4 games (2 starts)
  • Notched a 1.08 ERA while holding opposing batters to a .515 OPS in 25 September innings
  • Making his 1st career postseason appearance

Burnes made 32 starts, going 15-9, with a 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 194 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 10-1 loss at New York Yankees Thursday
  • Career vs. Royals: 3-0, 2.15 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 21 H, 6 BB, 32 K in 5 starts
  • Owns a 1.29 ERA on the strength of a .550 OPS allowed since Aug. 28
  • Has registered a 2.84 ERA across 19 career postseason innings

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Royals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 9:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

PASS: look to the run line for a best-value opportunity.

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles are 8-2 over their last 10 games while Kansas City is just 4-9 with a .531 OPS over its last 13 games. And the Royals are 1-3 over their last 4 series openers.

Ragans has benefitted from some low batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures of late. Per ESPN, current Baltimore bats own an aggregate .837 OPS against him.

Burnes has a postseason pedigree. Per ESPN, current K.C. bats own an aggregate .595 OPS against him.

Baltimore righting the ship late should give the Orioles a shot of confidence in this October opener.

BACK THE ORIOLES -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

The Over is 4-2-1 across the last 7 series meetings. The last 5 Baltimore games have seen the Over cash 4 times (4-1).

The pitching matchup here certainly has the potential to make the rested-bullpen opener a pitchers’ duel. But recency bias has the bats not getting quite enough attention (or more likely has the pitchers getting just too much sway).

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 7 (+100).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (88-72) take on the Atlanta Braves (88-72) in the 1st game of a doubleheader Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-5

The Mets, Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks are in limbo for 2 playoff spots. The D-Backs can only be the 6th seed or miss the playoffs entirely.

  • The Mets make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Braves make the playoffs by either splitting or sweeping the doubleheader.
  • The Diamondbacks make the playoffs if either the Mets or Braves sweep the doubleheader.

The Mets were one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch, but they dropped 3 in a row before beating the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 Sunday. They are 42-37 on the road this season. 1B Pete Alonso, aka the Polar Bear, has gone into hibernation recently. He’s 1-for-13 (.077) with 5 K’s over the last 7 days.

The Braves were left for dead after catastrophic injuries decimated them all season. They won 5 of 6 to put them into position where a victory punches their ticket. After battling injuries all season, OF Michael Harris is 6-for-15 (.400) with a homer and 2 RBIs over the last 7 days.

Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Megill (4-6, 3.98 ERA) makes his 15th start (16th appearance). He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 72 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win Sept. 22 against Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-4, 4.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP (9 GS, 10 games)

Schwellenbach (8-7, 3.47 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 116 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home victory Tuesday against Mets
  • Last 3 starts: 3-0, 1.89 ERA, 15 K in 19 IP
  • 2 career starts vs. Mets: 2-0, 0.64 ERA, 0.43 WHIP, 15 K in 14 IP

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

Both teams are going to pull out all stops to win this one. The Braves have ace Chris Sale lined up for Game 2, but I would imagine he would be pushed back to the Wild Card round if they, scratch that, when they take this one. Schewellenbach has been great in his last 3 starts, and he has only had 1 bad start in his last 7 with a 2.41 ERA to boot.

The BRAVES -155 are right at the threshold of a ML play.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re going with MARCELL OZUNA OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIS (-155) here. He’s 6-for-12 (.500) with 2 homers and a double off of Megill. He has been the team’s MVP on offense, and he delivers Monday.

Over/Under

It’s 76 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing in from right-center. The Over has cashed in 4 of the last 10 meetings. The Mets are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, but the Braves are just 2-7-1. I think the wind and the intensity keep this one UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (40-121) and Detroit Tigers (86-75) wrap up the regular season Sunday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the White Sox vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 10-2

The White Sox have won 4 of the past 5 games, which is crazy, but that’s 10% of its win total for the entire season. The pitching has picked up the pace, allowing just 9 runs in the past 5 games, or 1.8 runs per game (RPG). That includes 2 shutout wins, including a 4-0 win in Detroit on Saturday.

The Under has cashed in 6 straight for Chicago, while going 9-0-1 in the past 10 outings since Sept. 17.

The Tigers, who have already clinched a postseason spot, have been on fire in the month of September. Detroit is 6-1 in the past 7 games, and 15-4 in the past 19 games since Sept. 7. The Under is 5-0-1 in the past 6 outings, while going 11-3-1 in the previous 15 games since Sept. 12.

Detroit will be the No. 2 or 3 Wild Card in the AL playoffs, making its 1st playoff appearance since 2014.

White Sox at Tigers projected starters

RHP Jonathan Cannon vs. Undecided

Cannon (4-10, 4.37 ERA) makes his 21st start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 119 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-5, 5.00 ERA, 54 IP, 30 ER, 61 H, 9 HR, 14 BB, 41 K, .292 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.39 WHIP in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-4, 5.12 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 39 H, 14 BB, 33 K, 1.37 WHIP
  • Career/2024 vs. Tigers: 0-2, 18.00 ERA (5 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 5 K, .500 OBA in 2 starts

No Detroit pitcher announced at time of publishing

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Tigers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-115) | Tigers -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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White Sox at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 3, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The WHITE SOX (+200) are worth a roll in the dice in the finale, as they look to finish on a strong note as they ride off into the offseason to regroup.

The Tigers (-250) are into the postseason, and while they can change their seeding, they won’t be using one of their top pitchers, as they try to preserve the good arms for the playoffs.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more conservative, and you just can’t bring yourself to play Chicago straight up, the WHITE SOX +1.5 (-105) aren’t a bad play for a little insurance.

Chicago has picked up the pace with 4 wins in the past 5 games, as its young players to build some momentum heading into 2025.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The total has gone low in 6 in a row for the ChiSox, while going 9-0-1 in the past 10 outings. The Under has a slight 3-2-1 advantage in the past 6 starts for Cannon, too.

For the Tigers, the Under is 5-0-1 in the previous 6 contests, while cashing at an 11-3-1 clip in the past 15 outings.

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Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (85-76) and Atlanta Braves (88-71) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0; Atlanta won 3-0 in 2023

The Braves walked it off with a solo HR by Travis d’Arnaud to win 2-1 on Saturday, taking a 1-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets, as they vie for 1 of the 2 remaining NL Wild,Card playoff spots.

Atlanta has won 5 in a row, while going 7-1 across the past 8 games, showing the type of urgency a team needs in a postseason chase. Meanwhile, Arizona is just 2-5 in the past 7 games, and New York has dropped 3 in a row. The Braves and Mets have a make-up doubleheader at Truist Field set for Monday.

The Royals are into the postseason despite going just 3-9 across the past 12 games since Sept. 15. The good news is that Kansas City pitching has allowed just 11 runs in the past 6 games, or 1.8 runs per game (RPG). However, the offense has managed 3 or fewer runs in 9 of the past 10 games, averaging just 1.6 RPG in the 10-game span.

Royals at Braves projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Marsh (8-9, 4.65 ERA) makes his 25th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 124 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home setback vs. Detroit Tigers Sept. 18
  • 2024 road splits: 4-5, 4.66 ERA, 63 2/3 IP, 33 ER, 59 H, 11 HR, 17 BB, 65 K, .241 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.19 WHIP in 12 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 34 H, 10 BB, 37 K, 1.36 WHIP
  • Has never faced Braves

Morton (8-9, 4.08 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 161 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road setbacks vs. Miami Marlins Sept. 20
  • 2024 home splits: 5-5, 3.54 ERA, 89 IP, 35 ER, 10 HR, 36 BB, 91 K, .256 OBA, 1.35 WHIP in 16 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.12 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 36 H, 19 BB, 44 K, 1.36 WHIP
  • Career vs. Royals: 2-2, 4.15 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 29 H, 3 HR, 8 BB, 30 K, 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves –250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Royals 2

Moneyline

The Braves (-250) are keeping their foot on the gas, as they close in on a postseason spot, but are way costly. They’ve won 5 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 games, and Morton is a good bet to pitch the home side to a sweep against Marsh and the Royals (+200).

Kansas City has already clinched a spot, and it has looked disinterested this weekend. The Royals are 3-9 in the past 12 games, too, and the offense has struggled to plate runs lately.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+115) are worth a look on the run line.

The Royals have managed just a single run in 2 games in this series, and just 1.6 RPG across the past 10 outings. Morton is likely to keep them down, while Atlanta feasts on Marsh’s offerings, positioning itself well as it inches closer to the playoffs.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is a strong play yet again on Sunday.

The Royals, who have just 1 run in the 1st 2 games of the series, have cashed the Under in 5 of the past 6 games. The Under is 19-6-1 in the previous 26 outings, too.

As far as the Braves are concerned, the Under is 5-0-1 in the past 6 outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 starts by Morton, while going 6-2 in his past 8 starting assignments.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (93-68) and Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73) wrap up their regular-season series Sunday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 7-5

The Padres are locked into the No. 4 seed in the NL playoffs, but they look like the team fighting to stay in the mix for the final Wild Card spot. San Diego took down Arizona 5-0 on Saturday, limiting the D-backs to just 2 hits.

The Diamondbacks are battling the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets for the final 2 Wild Card spots in the NL. However, Arizona has dropped 5 of the past 6 games, and it now finds itself tied with the Mets in percentage points, and New York has 2 games in hand.

The Under cashed for the Padres in Saturday’s game, and is now 10-1-1 in the past 12 games since Sept. 15

Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Perez (5-5, 4.25 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 131 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Sept. 21
  • 2024 road splits: 2-3, 5.57 ERA, 53 1/3 IP, 33 ER, 62 H, 12 HR, 21 BB, 38 K, .290 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.56 WHIP in 10 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-0, 2.80 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 32 H, 13 BB, 28 K, 1.27 WHIP
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 15 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 7 K, 1.84 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Pfaadt (10-10, 4.80 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 176 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 11-0 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 6-5, 5.31 ERA (83 IP, 49 ER), 13 HR, 19 BB, 86 K, .280 OBA, 1.35 WHIP in 15 starts
  • Last 7 games: 3-4, 8.53 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 12 BB, 41 K, 1.89 WHIP
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-2, 3.81 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 36 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 28 K, 1.48 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-140) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The PADRES (+145) are a solid value as moderate underdogs. San Diego has outscored Arizona 10-3 in this series so far, and the Diamondbacks (-175) are playing about as poorly as possible.

The time is ticking for Arizona, as it has just 1 more chance to grab a win and get in the mix for a playoff spot, but Pfaadt has been awful lately. In fact, in his past 7 starts, he has been allowing nearly a run per inning. Not good.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a more conservative bettor, PADRES +1.5 (-140) is not priced out of the line if you’d like a little bit of insurance.

The Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115) haven’t shown any signs of life, and using Pfaadt is bad news for Arizona’s postseason chances.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-115) might be the best play on the board here.

The Under has dominated for the Padres lately, going 10-1-1 in the past 12 contests. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 road games for San Diego, too. The total has gone low at a 2-0-1 clip in the past 3 starts for the southpaw Perez.

As far as the Diamondbacks are concerned, the Under has cashed in the 1st 2 games of this crucial series, with Arizona scoring 3 or fewer runs in 4 of the past 5 games with 2 shutout losses.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (87-72) and the Milwaukee Brewers (93-68) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-0, including a sweep of the season-opening series March 29-31

The Brewers blanked the Mets 6-0 Saturday, as opener RHP Jared Koenig and 4 relievers limited New York to just 2 hits, a Jose Iglesias single and a Starling Marte double.

Milwaukee is locked into the NL No. 3 seed, but it has played with desperation, winning 5 of the past 6 games, while New York is fighting for a postseason spot, and it can’t get out of its own way.

The Mets have lost 3 in a row, while collecting just 5 total runs of offense during the span. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for New York, which slipped to a game behind the Atlanta Braves. The Braves, Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks are battling for 2 available Wild Card spots.

After this series, New York will head to Atlanta to make up a doubleheader with the Braves.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Colin Rea

Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA, 65 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 60 H, 4 HR, 23 BB, 42 K, .246 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.14 ERA, 43 IP, 15 ER, 44 H, 9 BB, 37 K, 1.23 WHIP
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 6.14 ERA, 14 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 16 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 14 K, 1.84 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Rea (12-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 27th start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

  • Last appearance: Hold, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-2 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home victory vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 20
  • 2024 home splits: 7-3, 3.92 ERA, 87 1/3 IP, 38 ER, 16 HR, 18 BB, 74 K, .224 OBA, 1.05 WHIP in 16 appearances (14 starts)
  • Last 7 games: 1-1, 7.43 ERA, 26 2/3 IP, 22 ER, 39 H, 4 BB, 22 K, 1.61 WHIP in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 1.40 ERA, 19 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at  1:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100 ) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 3, Mets 2

Moneyline

The BREWERS (+100) are the play in the series finale.

The Mets (-120) should be playing with a sense or urgency, but they’ve scored just 5 runs total in the past 3 games, and it appears the 2 postponed games knocked them off track last week in Atlanta. It’s a tough spot, sure, but when you’re battling for a playoff spot, it needs to be all hands on deck, and the Mets have gone into a hole, and are not rising to the occasion. It’s concerning.

The fact Rea is 3-0 in his career against the Mets is a huge concern for the visitors, too. Milwaukee looks to finish the regular season a 6-0 mark vs. New York.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets -1.5 (+145) can’t be trusted on the run line. This should be a 1-score game, so avoid taking the Brewers +1.5 (-175) laying the run and a half, too.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board in this season finale for the Brewers.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Milwaukee, while going 7-4-1 in the previous 12 outings since Sept. 16.

For the Mets, the Under is also 3-1 in the past 4 games, and New York has plated just 7 runs in the 4-game span, good for 1.8 runs per game.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (92-68) and Arizona Diamondbacks (88-72) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 6-5

The Padres are locked into the No. 4 seed in the National League playoffs. San Diego picked up a 5-3 win as a short ‘dog (+115) Friday as the Under (8.5) hung on. It was a crushing blow to Arizona as it battles with the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets for 2 final Wild Card spots in the NL.

The Padres are bringing back RHP Randy Vasquez from Triple-A El Paso, trying to keep their regular arms fresh for the postseason.

The Under is now 9-1-1 in the past 11 games since Sept. 15. Friday’s Under snapped a 3-0-1 run to the Over for the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks are just 1-4 in the past 5 games, and they’ve scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 4 games. Arizona is losing what was once a strong grip on a potential playoff spot.

Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Randy Vasquez vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Vasquez (4-7, 5.18 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 92 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 11 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 3 K in 11-4 road setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Aug. 31
  • 2024 road splits: 3-4, 6.79 ERA, 50 1/3 IP, 38 ER, 74 H, 7 HR, 17 BB, 29 K, .349 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.81 WHIP in 11 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 6.09 ERA (34 IP, 23 ER), 39 H, 14 BB, 20 K, 1.56 WHIP
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 8-4, 3.55 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 85 H, 15 HR, 35 BB, 131 K, 1.18 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 18 starts

Rodriguez (3-4, 5.56 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (3 HR), 3 BB, 8 K in 6-3 home setback vs. San Francisco Giants Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-3, 6.75 ERA (24 IP, 18 ER), 6 HR, 10 BB, 26 K, .303 OBA, 1.67 WHIP in 5 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-4, 5.71 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 14 BB, 38 K, 1.62 WHIP
  • Career vs. Padres: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start, an 11-0 road victory Aug. 23, 2019, with Boston Red Sox

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 8, Padres 6

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-175) are a good play in the middle game of this series, as the Padres (+145) just cannot be trusted with Vasquez coming back from the minors. He had a dismal 8.21 ERA in 10 starts with El Paso, and he is simply coming up to the big club in a meaningless game to save the other arms for the postseason.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the adventurous side, play DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+120) laying the run and a half.

The Diamondbacks are fighting for their playoff lives, while the Padres +1.5 (-145) are locked into the No. 4 seed. It won’t be easy, and certainly don’t bet both the moneyline and run line.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (-120) might be the best play on the board here.

The Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games for the Diamondbacks, and the total has gone high at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 outings by the southpaw Rodriguez.

For the Padres, the Under is 9-1-1 in the past 11 games, but the Over is 9-2 in Vasquez’s past 11 starts in the majors, so go against the recent team trends.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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LA Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LA Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers (96-64) and Colorado Rockies (61-99) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Coors Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 8-3

The Dodgers secured an 11-4 victory over the Rockies Friday. DH Shohei Ohtani went 4-for-5 with his 54th home run, 4 RBIs and a stolen base. His 57th steal set the single-season steals record by a Japanese-born player, passing OF Ichiro Suzuki’s 56. With this win, the Dodgers now hold a 2-game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies for the top NL seed.

Rockies’ starter Cal Quantrill struggled, giving up 6 earned runs on 7 hits over 3 1/3 innings. LF Nolan Jones contributed with 2 RBIs from 2 singles, but Colorado still fell short, marking their 4th loss in the last 5 games.

Dodgers at Rockies projected starters

RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. RHP Antonio Senzatela

Yamamoto (6-2, 2.96 ERA) is projected to make his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 85 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-5 home win against the Rockies Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-1, 1.86 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Rockies: 1-0, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Senzatela (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 8 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 loss at the Dodgers Saturday

  • Returned from Tommy John surgery Sept. 16, his first Rockies start in 16 months

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -2.5 (-120) | Rockies +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 9, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers (-250) need to keep winning to lock down the top seed in the playoffs. They will win their 4th consecutive game, but I’ll take them on the run line with the better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -2.5 (-120).

LA holds 2-game lead over the Phillies, but with Philly owning the tiebreaker, the Dodgers need to keep their momentum and close out the season strong. They’ve dominated the Rockies this year, winning 8 of the 11 matchups and outscoring them 66-48. Plus, Yamamoto has been absolutely lights out on the road, sporting an ERA under 2, which should bode well for this matchup.

On the other hand, Senzatela is still shaking off the rust, as this will be just his 3rd start since returning from a long injury absence. With the Dodgers needing every win they can get and the Rockies struggling to match up, expect LA to come out aggressive and cover the spread comfortably.

Over/Under

BET OVER 11 (+100).

These 2 teams have a recent history of high-scoring affairs, with the Over hitting in 5 of their last 7 meetings. The Dodgers are hot offensively, going 7-2-1 against the Over in their last 10 games, while the Rockies aren’t far behind, at 5-1-2 in their last 8. Plus, Yamamoto’s last 3 starts have also hit the Over, indicating plenty of action on both sides of the plate. Given these trends, expect another high-scoring game between 2 teams that know how to put up runs.

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