Tag: MLB betting odds lines picks best bets

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (1-3) kick off a three-game series on the road against the Colorado Rockies (1-3) Tuesday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Luke Weaver is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is coming off a 2020 campaign in which he went 1-9 with a 6.58 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 52 IP over 12 starts. Weaver allowed 10 home runs last season (1.7 HR/9) and really struggled during Spring Training, with eight bombs surrendered in just 14 2/3 innings.

RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. In 2020, he went 4-6 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in a league-high 81 2/3 IP over 13 starts. Marquez struggled with his control this spring, with 8 walks and 2 HBP in 19 IP.

Those problems were magnified in his season debut last week when he allowed just one run in four innings of work, but he was constantly working out of jams as he allowed 6 hits and dished out 6 free passes.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Diamondbacks at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rockies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150) | Rockies +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rockies 7, Diamondbacks 5

Money line (ML)

Neither starting pitcher inspires a great deal of confidence with their recent performance. This is especially true considering the game is at Coors Field, where Marquez owns a 5.06 career ERA, and Weaver a 7.62 mark, albeit in just four appearances totaling 13 IP.

Given Weaver’s susceptibility to the long ball and the fact Arizona was 9-21 in road games in 2020, we’ll side with the home team here. Take the ROCKIES (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

In what sets up as a high-scoring affair, betting on a team to win by multiple runs certainly has some appeal.

The alternate lines are pretty even, with the Rockies checking in at -1.5 (+155), while the Diamondbacks are -1.5 (+150). Both make sense, but a slight lean to the ROCKIES -1.5 (+155), who stand a pretty good chance of clearing the fence a couple of times against Weaver and a shaky Arizona pen.

Over/Under (O/U)

There could be some offensive fireworks in this one. While we’re still looking at small samples and performance in exhibition games, neither starting pitcher looks to be at the top of their game right now, and this contest will take place in the most hitter-friendly park in the league.

The OVER 10.5 (-110) is the side to take on this total.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (3-1) and New York Yankees (2-2) continue their AL East weekday series Tuesday at 6:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dean Kremer is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. Kremer made four starts in 2020 and went 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 5.8 BB/9 in 18 2/3 IP. Two of those starts were against the Yankees (Sept. 6 and 12); both were effective, as he combined for 11 IP with 5 hits and 2 ER allowed while fanning 14.

RHP Gerrit Cole is tabbed for start No. 2 this season for the Yankees. Cole allowed 2 runs over 5 1/3 IP in New York’s season opener. His velocity was sharp, and he whiffed 8 in the outing. Current Baltimore bats have flailed their way to a strikeout-heavy .607 OPS against the 30-year-old ace.

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Orioles at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-120) |  Yankees -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 3

Money line (ML)

New York got its flagship sluggers going in Monday’s 7-0 win over the O’s. OF Aaron Judge hit a porch job to right and DH Giancarlo Stanton launched a majestic 470-footer to left-center. Add in the fact C Gary Sanchez already has two bombs, and this may not be the right time to be facing the Yankees, especially in their home yard.

Cole held opposing bats to a .602 OPS in Yankee Stadium last season. He posted a 1.83 ERA in three starts against the Birds.

New York is 24-5 over its last 29 games against Baltimore. The price tag here may scare some bettors off or put them in the Orioles camp, but if you can get to a point where you consider New York a .680 club with Cole and Baltimore with Kremer-and-pen a .380 club, there is value to be had on the favorite.

Take the YANKEES (-300).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

For Yankees bettors unable to make that .680/.380 leap, consider NEW YORK -1.5 (-145) on the alternate run line. Cole and the rested top relievers of the Yankees is a solid side to be on.

The ML play is still more of a lean, though, because it has reached a point of no return for some. I would argue that point has been reached without significant justification.

Over/Under (O/U)

Respect to the bettors on this one. PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3) and Cincinnati Reds (3-1) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET at the Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He was 1-2 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 in 25 IP across six starts and five relief appearances in 2020 with the San Francisco Giants. He hasn’t faced the Reds since June 26, 2019, when he allowed two hits and a walk in two scoreless innings of relief as a member of the Los Angeles Angels.

LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He was 0-3 with a 5.65 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 5.7 BB/9 in 14 1/3 IP in four starts and two relief appearances last season. He hasn’t faced the Pirates since Sept. 23, 2018, when he was a member of the Milwaukee Brewers. He was 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and .305 opponent batting average in 14 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2018.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-145) | Reds -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The REDS (-155) are moderate favorites here behind their fifth starter Miley, but they’re a good play. The Pirates (+125) haven’t faced a southpaw yet this season, and they might not be looking forward to their first try in 2021. Also, their best hitter, 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes (wrist) landed on the injured list. The Bucs are just 16-35 across the past 51 games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The REDS -1.5 (+120) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. They have won three straight hitting the run line in each. It was a close shave on Monday, though, as the Reds needed some late-inning heroics against the Pirates +1.5 (-145) bullpen to push bettors across the line.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9 (-115) is a great play. Yes, Cincinnati has hit the Over in three of its four games to date, but the Under cashed in the series opener with Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are struggling to put up runs, averaging just 3.0 runs per game, and they have played just seven runs over the past three outings since their lone win, a 5-3 opener at Chicago Cubs.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (0-1) and Philadelphia Phillies (4-0) continue their three-game series Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch (on ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies took Monday’s opener 5-3 to remain undefeated. It was the Mets’ first game of the season since their opening series was postponed because of Washington Nationals COVID-19 issues.

New York RHP Jacob deGrom tossed six scoreless innings, but the bullpen blew a 2-0 lead as Philly scored all five of its runs in the eighth. Philadelphia tied the game 2-all on C J.T. Realmuto’s RBI single and took the lead for good when New York 3B Luis Guillorme, a defensive replacement, made a two-run throwing error.

RHP Marcus Stroman is expected to start for the Mets Tuesday. It will be his first appearance in two seasons as he opted to sit out in 2020 due to COVID-19 concerns. In 2019, he went 10-13 with a 3.22 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 184 1/3 IP in 32 starts with the Mets and Toronto Blue Jays.

  • 2019 for Mets: 4-2, 3.77 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, 3.5 BB/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 3.66 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 5 games, including 3 starts

RHP Chase Anderson is scheduled to make his Phillies debut. Last season with the Blue Jays, he was 1-2 with a 7.22 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 10 games (7 starts).

  • 2020 vs. Mets: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 K, 3 BB in 1 start
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-3, 4.58 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 8 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Mets at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+120) | Phillies +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

Back the PHILLIES (+110) with a HALF-UNIT play. They’re 4-0. Let’s keep riding the Philly train until it stops.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bet PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-145) to win a QUARTER UNIT. If your usual 1-unit play is $100, the play here would be a $36.25 wager to profit $25 if the Phillies win outright or don’t lose by 2 or more runs.

ATS records: Mets 0-1 | Phillies 3-1

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager. The Phillies opened the season with 3 consecutive Unders. Monday’s game went Over in the Mets’ last at-bat.

If the line drops below 9, the play becomes a PASS.

O/U records: Mets 1-0 | Phillies 1-3

Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY on this card.

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 3-6 1-2 -4.25
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 record (all sports) 103-91-1 50-43 +7.8
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (2-2) and Miami Marlins (1-3) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP John Gant is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He was 0-3 with a 2.40 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 15 IP across 17 relief appearances (no starts) in 2020. Gant hasn’t faced the Marlins since June 17-20, when he appeared three times in a four-game series, allowing just one hit and one walk across three scoreless innings.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 0-0 with an 0.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 6 IP in his one start in 2021. Alcantara hasn’t faced the Cardinals since June 10, 2019 when he allowed four runs – one earned – and four hits with four walks and six strikeouts across five innings in a loss at home. He’ll be pitching against his former team as the Cards dealt him to Miami in the package that landed OF Marcell Ozuna before the 2019 season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cardinals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Marlins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Marlins +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Marlins 4, Cardinals 2

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (-120) are a good play behind Alcantara. He allowed just two hits and two walks with seven strikeouts across six scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Tampa Bay Rays in the opener Thursday. I like the fact Alcantara has a start under his belt, while the Cardinals use Gant, who hasn’t started a game since 2018.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARLINS +1.5 (-190) are just over my personal limit of -180, but they’re not a terrible play at home behind their best starting pitcher. I’d rather just use them straight up, but if you don’t trust Miami to win outright, and want some insurance, have at it!

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the way to go here. After hitting the Over in the first three games, the Cardinals won 4-1 on Monday and cashed their first Under. The Marlins hit the Under in their first game with Alcantara on the bump, a 1-0 loss on April 1.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (1-2) and San Diego Padres (3-1) tangle in a Monday night NL West series opener at Petco Park. First pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. Last year for the Cincinnati Reds, the veteran hurler went 1-2 with a 7.22 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 6.7 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 in 33 2/3 IP over nine games (seven starts). DeSclafani has allowed a mere .608 OPS in nine career March/April games.

LHP Adrian Morejon is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. In 2020, Morejon went 2-2 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 11.6 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 19 1/3 IP over nine appearances (four starts). The third-year Major Leaguer has big stuff; his ERA in 2020 was inflated by 39% of fly balls allowed leaving the yard. Morejon throws 96, and he induced a 13.0% swinging-strike rate last summer.

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Giants at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 4, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

DeSclafani had a solid spring and the Giants are the lean if any price bounce avails itself. The tag here plummeted in the morning.

Take the Giants if you can wait out a +130.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BACK THE GIANTS +1.5 (-150).

San Francisco figures to be at its best against lefty pitching.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but on a humid night with an outward breeze and plenty of pitching uncertainly, a PASS is suggested.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1) meet the Oakland Athletics (0-4) for a SoCal-NoCal interleague series opener Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET at Oakland Coliseum. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dustin May is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. May went 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 56 IP over 10
starts and two relief appearances last season. The 6-foot-6 righty won a rotation spot in a Cactus League competition, fanning 17 batters in 13 2/3 IP.

RHP Frankie Montas is tabbed as the home starter. He went 3-5 with a 5.60 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 53 IP over 11 starts in 2020. Montas has been managing a cuticle tear on his right middle finger, so keep an eye on his status. Albeit in a small sample, the Athletics righty has been quite good in his home yards the last two years (.602 OPS allowed in 2020).

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Dodgers at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:44 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Athletics +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) | Athletics +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Athletics 5, Dodgers 4

Money line (ML)

Montas’ ERA through four starts each of the last three years (in order): 2.67, 2.70, 1.57. The 28-year-old right-hander is a solid sleeper candidate, fantasy and otherwise, and figures as a quality hurler if he can remain healthy.

May and the Dodgers figure to be getting too much attention with this tag.

A +130 would be more palatable, but OAKLAND +125 is a workable play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

These two clubs were near the bottom of the pile in one-run games a year ago, but consider OAKLAND +1.5 (-130) as a partial-unit insurance play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The better parts of both bullpens are in decent shape. Both starters figure to be able to keep the ball down. The forecast calls for a batter’s breeze out to center, but the Coliseum tends to favor pitchers in night games.

A 9.5 O/U or an even price (-110) on the 9 would make for a lean on the Under. STEER CLEAR of the current tag.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (0-0) will finally begin their 2020 campaign when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies (3-0) Monday for the opener of a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York’s opening series was postponed because of COVID-19 issues with the Washington Nationals.

Philly is coming off a three-game home sweep of the three-time defending NL East champion Atlanta Braves. The Phillies’ pitching was magnificent as they held the Braves to 3 runs in the series, winning by scores of 3-2 (10 innings), 4-0 and 2-1.

RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. The 2018 and 2019 NL Cy Young winner was 4-2 with a 2.38 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 68 IP across 12 starts last season.

  • 2020 vs. Phillies: 1-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 13 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 8-1, 2.38 ERA (102 IP, 27 ER) in 17 starts

LHP Matt Moore is projected to start for Philly. The nine-year veteran pitched in Japan last season, posting a 6-3 record with a 2.65 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 85 innings across 15 games. He last pitched in the majors in 2019 as a member of the Detroit Tigers.

  • 2020 spring training: 2-1, 4.60 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 5 games (4 starts)
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-2, 6.75 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 3 starts, last facing them in 2017

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Mets at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Phillies +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (-120) | Phillies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

PHILLIES (+170) are worth a HALF-UNIT wager. It’s no secret New York ace deGrom is a stud and has owned the Phillies during his career. I lean against the Mets because they haven’t played yet. The Phils have played and won three well-pitched, close games vs. the Braves.

At +170, the Phillies offer great value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (+100) is worth a FULL-UNIT play. The Phillies bullpen was horrendous last season, ranking last in the majors with a 7.06 ERA. In the recent three-game sweep of the Braves, the bullpen didn’t allow a run in 7 1/3 innings.

Note: The Phillies are basically my STRONGEST PLAY as I’m backing them for a combined 1½ units between the ML and ATS wagers.

ATS records: Mets 0-0 | Phillies 2-1

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a QUARTER-UNIT wager. The Phillies played 3 Unders in a row so far. However, I’m a bit leery because the Mets’ deGrom is surprisingly an Over pitcher. He was 8-3 O/U last season.

O/U records: Mets 0-0 | Phillies 0-3

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 1-5 0-2 -5.9625
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 record (all sports) 101-90-1 49-43 +6.0875
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (4-0) meet the Los Angeles Angels (3-1) Monday for a mini two-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Astros completed a four-game sweep of the 2020 AL West champion Oakland Athletics with a 9-2 win Sunday. Houston outscored Oakland 35-9 in the four games this past weekend.

Los Angeles won back-to-back games and three out of four against the Chicago White Sox, including a 7-4 win Sunday after a 3-run walk-off home run in the ninth by 1B Jared Walsh—his second home run of the game.

RHP Luis Garcia will making his second career start for the Astros. He earned a no-decision in 5 IP with 0 ER, 1 H, 4 K and 2 BB in his first start last season against the Athletics.

The 24-year-old righty is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 9 K over 12 1/3 IP spanning 5 career appearances with 1 start.

LHP José Quintana makes his Angels debut Monday. He played for both Chicago teams over his first nine seasons.

Quintana pitched for the White Sox from 2012-2017 then was traded in-city to the Cubs where he played from 2017-20.

He had only our appearances with a lone start for the Cubs last season and finished 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA, 5 ER, 10 H, 12 K, 3 BB in 10 IP.

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Astros at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Angels 6, Astros 2

Money line (ML)

The Astros were 12-10 vs. lefty starters compared to 17-21 against righties in 2020 and they beat two Athletics lefty starters this past weekend.

That’s the reason why there is value on the ANGELS (-115) in this game. Houston’s win-loss record last season against lefties is a bit flukey considering the lineup was bottom-10 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS vs. lefties in 2020.

Also, Los Angeles won six of its last seven games against a right-handed starter. BET ANGELS (-115) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line but “LEAN” toward using Angels +1.5 (-175) in a parlay with another similarly priced favorite or run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” toward UNDER 10 (-115) for a quarter-unit if at all because the market is barrelling into the Over, steaming it up from the 8.5-run opener. I’d definitely prefer to “fade” the market rather than follow it.

Most of this action is due to Quintana looking terrible in his 10 innings pitched last year and the Over cashing in nine straight Astros-Angels meetings.

Quintana should be motivated by the change of scenery and he looked good in Spring Training where he went 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 15 K, 8 BB) across 5 starts.

That being said, the Angels’ money line is my favorite play in this game.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) head to the Windy City for a three-game series at the Chicago Cubs (2-1) Monday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee beat the Minnesota Twins opening day but dropped the next two in losing the series. The Brewers bullpen was shaky over the weekend, posting a 5.68 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 12 2/3 IP vs. the Twins.

Chicago lost to the National League Central Division rival Pittsburgh Pirates opening day before winning the last two games by a combined score of 9-4.

LHP Brett Anderson makes his 2021 debut for the Brewers Monday. Anderson was 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 47 IP across 10 starts in 2020.

  • 2020 vs. Cubs: 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 5 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
  • Career vs. Cubs: 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 19 K, 3 BB) over 4 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 16 K, 4 BB) in 6 starts.

RHP Trevor Williams, who played the first five years of his career with the Pirates, is projected to start for the Cubs Monday. In 2020, Williams was 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • 2020 vs. Brewers: 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 6 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
  • Career vs. Brewers: 3-3 with a 3.09 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 16 ER, 36 H, 50 K and 15 BB) in 9 appearances, including 8 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 12 H, 11 K, 1 BB) in 4 starts.

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Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cubs 9, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

This is a “good spot” for the CUBS (-115), who are 8-4 since 2020 vs. left-handed pitchers, including a 4-2 win over Anderson last season. The Brewers were 19-26 vs. righties since last season.

I think we see a rejuvenated Williams for Chicago since it has to be uplifting moving from a Pirates team destined for 100 losses to the reigning NL Central winners.

Take it with a grain of salt, but Williams’ numbers and stuff looked good in his new uni this Spring Training.

Furthermore, this is a “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market as more money is coming in on Chicago’s money line whereas more actual bets have been placed on Milwaukee’s, according to Pregame.com.

Generally, it’s more lucrative to follow the money instead of the crowd so let’s BET CUBS (-115) for 0.75 units.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bet CUBS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Milwaukee’s ‘pen looked shaky in its first three games and I like the righties in the heart of Chicago’s lineup to do some damage on Anderson in the early innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” toward OVER 9.5 (-110) for a tiny wager if at all because there are 9-mph winds blowing out to left-centerfield. That could help Cubs right-handed power hitters such as 3B Kris Bryant and SS Javier Baez.

This is a “Pro vs. Joes” spot for the total as well with more money being bet on the Over, but more of the public is on the Under. Also, Anderson has a 7.81 ERA in 7 career starts at Wrigley Field.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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