March Madness: Baylor vs. Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baylor vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 9 seed Baylor Bears (19-14) and the No. 8 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) meet Friday at Lenovo Center in Raleigh for an NCAA Tournament East Region first-round game. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Baylor vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Bears were dispatched 76-74 by Texas Tech in the Big 12 quarterfinals March 13 despite F Norchad Omier going off for 29 points, 15 rebounds and 2 blocked shots on 12-of-18 shooting.

Baylor also covered as a 6.5-point underdog, going 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in the Big 12 tourney after finishing the regular season 5-7 straight up (SU) in the final 12 outings, while going 0-6-2 ATS in the last 8 games. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 contests for Baylor.

On a neutral floor, Baylor is 3-2 SU/ATS with the Under holding a 3-2 edge in 5 tries this season. Baylor went 1-1 SU/ATS against the SEC this season, cashing the Under in both outings.

Mississippi State was excused from the SEC Tournament in the second round by Missouri, falling 85-73 March 13 despite 24 points from G Josh Hubbard. The Bulldogs are just 2-5 SU in the past 7 games, going 3-4 ATS. The Over is 6-1 across the past 7 outings.

On a neutral floor, the Bulldogs are 5-2 SU in 7 games this season, but just 3-4 ATS. The Under has a slight 4-3 edge in those games.

Mississippi State faced just one Big 12 team in 2024-25, beating Utah 78-73 Nov. 17 in a neutral floor outing in Southaven, Mississippi, home of the Memphis Hustle of the G League. It failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite, though, as the Over (148) cashed.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Baylor vs. Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Baylor -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Mississippi State -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Baylor +1.5 (-115) | Mississippi State -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor vs. Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 73, Mississippi State 69

Moneyline

BAYLOR (-102) is worth a look in this first-round game, which is essentially a toss-up.

The Bears were a little more impressive down the stretch, recording wins over TCU on the road, as well as against bubble team West Virginia. It played Texas Tech tough in the Big 12 title game in a loss by just a single possession, too.

Mississippi State (-118) showed it can be dangerous on any given night, routing a good Texas A&M team 70-54 as recently as Feb. 18, but it also showed it can be extremely erratic, following that up with a 111-73 blowout loss at Alabama Feb. 25.

Against the spread

Baylor +1.5 (-115) makes no sense. There is never a reason to take the points and pay more. Whenever a slight underdog is catching such a little spread, just back it SU.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 144.5 (-110) is the lean, but tread lightly.

The Under dominated for Baylor down the stretch, going 5-1 in the past 6 outings. Baylor allowed 65 or fewer points in the final 3 regular-season games and in 4 of the past 5 outings.

However, Mississippi State was a sieve defensively, allowing 85 or more points in 5 of the past 7 games, with the Over going 6-1. Running up and down the court isn’t really Baylor’s game, though, so we should expect a lower-scoring contest.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Mississippi State vs. Missouri odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-11) take on the Missouri Tigers (21-10) Thursday in an SEC Conference Tournament Round 2 game in Nashville. The opening tip at Bridgestone Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Mississippi State vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The 10 seed Mississippi State is coming off a 91-62 drubbing of LSU Wednesday night. G Josh Hubbard made it rain with 26 points while shooting 6-for-12 from downtown. He has gone for double figures in 17 straight games, dating back to Jan. 11. The Bulldogs had lost 4 of 5 to close out the regular season.

The Tigers, No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll and the seventh seed in the league tourney, lost 3 straight to end their regular season. The latest was a 91-83 failure to cover as 6-point favorites against Kentucky Saturday. F Mark Mitchell had 22 points, but the Tigers allowed UK to shoot 55% from behind the arc. They’re a vulnerable team right now.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mississippi State +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Missouri -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +3.5 (-110) | Missouri -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 84, Mississippi State 75

Moneyline

Mizzou pounded the Bulldogs 88-61 in their house Feb. 1. G Caleb Grill was smokin’ from downtown, going 6-for-11 and leading the team with 20 points. Hubbard matched him from downtown and had 24. I think Mizzou is too battle-tested and talented to falter here. The Tigers have already shown they can allow Hubbard to go off and still cruise. I just don’t like Mizzou at -170.

I’m taking JOSH HUBBARD OVER 2.5 THREES (-125). He has 3+ threes in 2 straight and 5 of 7. As mentioned, he went 6-for-11 from distance earlier against Mizzou, and that has been the recipe to beat it.

Against the spread

I’ll take MISSOURI -3.5 (-110) here. It destroyed the Bulldogs in their house just 6 weeks ago. When Mizzou puts it together, it generally covers. The Tigers went 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they covered in every straight-up win.

Over/Under

According to Pregame.com, the action early Thursday has been on the Over. You should be, too. The Over is 8-2 in each of these teams’ last 10 games. The Bulldogs are going to have to chuck 3’s to survive, and this one is going OVER 156.5 (-110).

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Missouri at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Missouri at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 21 Missouri Tigers (16-4, 5-2 SEC) and the No. 13 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-5, 4-4) meet Saturday at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Missouri vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Mississippi State has won 8 of the past 9 meetings outright, while also going 8-1 against the spread (ATS) since Feb. 26, 2019. The Under has cashed in 5 in a row and 8 of the previous 9 in the series, too.

The Tigers have won 4 of the past 5 games, including an 83-82 win at No. 6 Florida Jan. 14, and Mizzou is 6-1 ATS in the past 7 outings. The Under is 6-2 in the past 8 games, too.

The Bulldogs have lost 4 out of the past 6 games, with its only victories during the span coming via OT at South Carolina and at home to Ole Miss. Their last victory in regulation was Jan. 7 at Vanderbilt as 2.5-point favorites. The Over is 4-2 in the past 6 games for Mississippi State.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Missouri at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Missouri +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mississippi State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Missouri +6.5 (-115) | Mississippi State -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Missouri at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 75, Missouri 73

Moneyline

Mississippi State (-250) will cost you 2½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward, especially in a battle between 2 ranked teams.

In addition, the Bulldogs are at home, but they haven’t been playing particularly well lately. Missouri (+200) has some marquee wins so far this season, including Q1 wins against Florida, Kansas and Ole Miss.

PASS.

Against the spread

MISSOURI +6.5 (-115) is a solid play catching more than 3 buckets. The Tigers have posted an impressive 6-1 ATS mark in the past 7 games since the ball dropped to ring in 2025.

On the flip side, Mississippi State -6.5 (-105) has failed to cover the past 6 outings, while going 4-9 ATS in 13 games since Dec. 9. In addition, the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in the past 6 contests at home.

Over/Under

UNDER 149.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has cashed high in the past 3 games for Mississippi State at home, so there is obviously some concern. However, Mizzou has cashed low in 6 of the past 8 games, and the Under has cashed in 5 in a row in this series, while going 8-1 in the past 9 meetings, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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Alabama at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Alabama at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) and the No. 13 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3) meet Wednesday at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Miss. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Crimson Tide have picked up 3 consecutive victories since a 74-64 upset loss at home against the Ole Miss Rebels on Jan. 14 as a 12-point favorite. Bama is still 11-1 straight up (SU) in the past 12 games, while covering 7 of the past 9 outings. The Over has a 6-4 edge in the past 10 games.

The Bulldogs scored a 65-60 win in overtime at the South Carolina Gamecocks last time out on Saturday, failing to cover as a 7-point favorite as the Under (138.5) still cashed despite the extra session. Mississippi State is on an 0-5 against the spread (ATS) slide since Jan. 11.

Mississippi State picked up an 84-81 OT win against Ole Miss Jan. 18 in the most recent game in Stark Vegas, and the Bulldogs are 8-1 SU at Humphrey, but just 4-5 ATS.

Alabama has won 6 straight meetings in this series, covering the past 3, while going 4-1 ATS in the previous 5 meetings. The Over cashed in both meetings last season, while the total has gone high in 5 of the past 7 in the series.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Alabama at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Alabama -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mississippi State -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Alabama +1.5 (-120) | Mississippi State -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Alabama at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 88, Mississippi State 81

Moneyline

ALABAMA (-110) is worth a look straight up in this road trip as a slight, slight underdog. Backing the Crimson Tide straight up will save you a little bit of juice as opposed to taking the little bit of points.

Bama has dominated this series, and Mississippi State (-110) barely beat South Carolina in OT, it lost by 12 at the Tennessee Volunteers prior to that, and it topped Ole Miss, also in OT. The Bulldogs haven’t won in regulation since Jan. 7 at the Vanderbilt Commordores. Mississippi State is 1-3 SU in the past 4 games against ranked foes.

Against the spread

It makes very little sense to pay a little extra to take Alabama +1.5 (-120), unless you feel that Mississippi State -1.5 (+100) is going to win, but only by a single point. That would be the only reason to take the little bit of points.

PASS.

Over/Under

OVER 165.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly, but only go with a half-unit play at best.

The Over has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 games for Mississippi State. However, Alabama is the nation’s highest-scoring team with 90.4 points per game. The Over is 6-4 in the past 10 games for the Crimson Tide, while hitting 5 of the past 7 meetings against the Bulldogs.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Mississippi State at Tennessee odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Mississippi State at Tennessee odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) visit the seventh-ranked Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2) Tuesday. Tip-off from Food City Center in Knoxville is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Mississippi State vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Mississippi State bounced back Saturday with a big 84-81 overtime home win vs. the No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels after dropping two tough games to top 10 teams. The Bulldogs didn’t cover as 6-point favorites vs. their instate rivals — with the Over (147) hitting — but it was a nice recovery after losses to then-No. 7, now-No. 9 Kentucky (95-90 at home Jan. 11) and at No. 1 Auburn (88-66 Jan. 14). Mississippi State dominated inside vs. Ole Miss, finishing with a 51-29 rebound advantage and outscoring the Rebels 40-24 in the paint. G Riley Kugel came off the bench to score a career-high 21 points, including 2 critical free throws late in OT, to lead the Bulldogs.

Tennessee lost a heartbreaker at unranked Vanderbilt 76-75 Saturday, getting upset as a 5.5-point favorite with the Over (142) cashing. G Chaz Lanier scored a team-high 17 points, but missed a crucial free throw with 2.8 seconds left that would have tied it. G Zakai Zeigler added 16 points and 10 assists for his third double-double of the season.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll 

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Mississippi State at Tennessee odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Tennessee -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +6.5 (-105) | Tennessee -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mississippi State at Tennessee picks and predictions

Prediction

Tennessee 74, Mississippi State 64

Moneyline

PASS.

This is a huge bounce back spot for Tennessee (-300), which will take care of business at home, but the price is too steep.

Against the spread

BET TENNESSEE -6.5 (-115).

Looking to rebound after the upset loss at Vandy, the Volunteers will be happy to be back in Knoxville after a tough stretch of 4 games against solid opponents — 3 were ranked and 3 were on the road.

Meanwhile, Mississippi State has struggled to cover lately, going 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games and 2-4 ATS in its last 6.

While the Bulldogs have won the last 2 vs. the Vols, Tennessee is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

The Vols are known for their tough defense. They allow just 58.8 points per game (PPG) to lead the SEC and rank fifth in the nation. With a +18.0 PPG differential, they’re a tough challenge, even for a good Bulldogs squad.

Mississippi State yields 70.1 PPG — 13th in the SEC — which will be a problem against Tennessee.

TAKE VOLUNTEERS -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

I’m not really feeling the O/U (140.5) here, so I’ll be PASSING.

The Over is 5-3-2 in the last 10 Mississippi State-Tennessee matchups. The Bulldogs are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, while the Volunteers are 3-7 O/U.

While Tennessee’s defense is a strength, I can’t trust Mississippi State’s defense to keep this Under. AVOID betting the total.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) welcome the No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0) to Humphrey Coliseum Saturday. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Mississippi State, which is No. 18 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, enters on a 2-game losing streak. It’s coming off an 88-66 Tuesday loss as a 7.5-point underdog at the No. 1 Auburn Tigers, which was preceded by a 95-90 home loss to the No. 9 Kentucky Wildcats last Saturday. The Bulldogs have failed to cover back-to-back games but are 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 and 9-8 ATS on the season.

The Rebels, who sit No. 21 in the Coaches Poll, beat the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide 74-64 Tuesday, covering as 12-point road underdogs. They have rattled off 4 straight wins and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in conference play. Ole Miss has allowed 66 or fewer points in all 4 conference games as well. It is 12-5 ATS on the season.

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Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Mississippi State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Ole Miss +5.5 (-110) | Mississippi State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ole Miss at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 72, Ole Miss 68

Moneyline

PASS.

Ole Miss could be worthy of a moneyline play here, but it is getting so many points that the spread is the preferred play. Look there for value over playing a hefty road underdog.

Against the spread

BET OLE MISS +5.5 (-110).

The Rebels have dominated conference play and rewarded bettors often. They held an elite Alabama offense to just 64 points Tuesday. Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS this season as an underdog.

The Bulldogs have allowed 88-plus points in back-to-back games, both against ranked opponents, while going 0-2 ATS. Mississippi State has given up at least 73 points in 2 of its last 3 home games.

Play OLE MISS +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 146.5 (-110).

The Rebels know how to defend. They have held 9 of their last 10 opponents to 66 or fewer points, going 1-9 O/U. Ole Miss is 6-11 O/U on the season.

The Bulldogs have gone Under in 5 of their last 8 games. Their top 2 scoring options both shoot under 42% from the field, so they may struggle to contribute toward the Over.

Take UNDER 146.5 (-110).

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Mississippi State at Auburn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Mississippi State at Auburn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-2, 2-1 SEC) and No. 1 Auburn Tigers (15-1, 3-0) meet Tuesday in an SEC showdown. Tip-off from Neville Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Mississippi State lost 95-90 to the No. 9 Kentucky Wildcats Saturday while failing to cover as a 5-point favorite. The Bulldogs did a terrible job defensively, allowing the Wildcats to shoot 55.7% from the field and 50% from deep. The loss ended the Bulldogs’ 8-game winning streak.

Auburn escaped with a 66-63 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday while failing to cover as a 16.5-point favorite. The Tigers had just 1 player score in double figures — bench G Tahaad Pettiford who finished with 15 points. The Tigers have won their last 8 games since a 84-78 loss at the Duke Blue Devils on Dec. 4.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Mississippi State at Auburn odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Auburn -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +7.5 (-110) | Auburn -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mississippi State at Auburn picks and predictions

Prediction

Auburn 71, Mississippi State 68

Moneyline

PASS. 

Auburn is the better team, but will be without its best player, F Johni Broome (ankle). Still, the Tigers should still win and cover here as -350 favorites. But that’s way too pricey to play.

Against the spread

LEAN MISSISSIPPI STATE +7.5 (-110). 

Mississippi State has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 games and is 4-2 ATS in its last 6. The Bulldogs are also 2-0-1 ATS in their last 3 matchups against the Tigers.

Mississippi State is coming off a loss, so look for the Bulldogs to play with a little extra motivation. But if Mississippi State’s defense plays the way it did against Kentucky, then the Bulldogs will not cover here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 148.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in back-to-back home games for Auburn and is 3-1 in its last 4 overall. For Mississippi State, the Under is 2-0 in its last 2 road games and is 5-2 in its last 7 games.

Be aware that the Over is 8-8 for Mississippi State this season and 9-7 for the Tigers.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Kentucky at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kentucky at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 13 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) welcome the No. 7 Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1) to Humphrey Coliseum Saturday. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Kentucky vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Kentucky, which is No. 7 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, lost to the unranked Georgia Bulldogs 82-69 Tuesday, closing as a 1.5-point road favorite. It has lost 2 of its last 4 games and dropped both true road games, one against Georgia and the other Dec. 3, 2024, against the Clemson Tigers. The Wildcats are 7-7-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Bulldogs beat the Vanderbilt Commodores 76-64 Tuesday, closing as 2.5-point road favorites. Sitting No. 13 in the coaches poll, Mississippi State has rattled off 8 straight wins, going 5-3 ATS. It is 9-6 ATS on the season. Mississippi State’s lone loss this season was an 87-77 defeat on a neutral court to the Butler Bulldogs Nov. 29, 2024.

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Kentucky at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kentucky +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Mississippi State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Kentucky +5.5 (-110) | Mississippi State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kentucky at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 80, Kentucky 77

Moneyline

PASS.

The Wildcats are the higher-ranked side, but have not shown much potential on the road. While Mississippi State is too expensive to take, Kentucky is too risky to back. Avoid a moneyline play.

Against the spread

BET KENTUCKY +5.5 (-110).

The Wildcats are among the most experienced teams in college hoops and have impressive wins over Gonzaga, Florida and Duke. They have covered 2 of their last 3 games and have their top 3 options on offense shooting over 49% from the field.

The Bulldogs have yet to be truly tested. They haven’t played a top-15 side this season and are just 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games. Their top 2 weapons shoot under 43% from the field. Take the more efficient side to cover here, and expect a close battle.

Back KENTUCKY +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 161.5 (-110).

The Bulldogs have a gritty defense and have allowed 73 or fewer points in 6 straight games, going 1-5 O/U. They have scored 80 or fewer in 6 of their 8 games that have closed with a single-digit spread this season.

Kentucky has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games and struggled to consistently score on the road. It has gone Under in both road games and scored fewer than 70 points in each. Back UNDER 161.5 (-110).

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Mississippi State at Vanderbilt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Mississippi State at Vanderbilt odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (13-1, 1-0 SEC) welcome the No. 13 Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1, 1-0) to Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville Tuesday. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Mississippi State, which is No. 13 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, enters on a 7-game win streak. It throttled the South Carolina Gamecocks 85-50 Saturday, closing as a 10.5-point home favorite. The Bulldogs also have a road win over the No. 20 Memphis Tigers — 79-66 as a -1.5 Dec. 21 — on their resume. Mississippi State is 8-6 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games.

Vanderbilt, which has also won 7 straight, beat the LSU Tigers 80-72 Saturday, closing as a 2-point road favorite. The Commodores have rewarded bettors consistently as of late, covering 7 straight and going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Vanderbilt has thrived due to its highly efficient offense, scoring 80 or more points in each game of its current win streak.

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Mississippi State at Vanderbilt odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Vanderbilt +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread: Mississippi State -2.5 (-115) | Vanderbilt +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mississippi State at Vanderbilt picks and predictions

Prediction

Vanderbilt 78, Mississippi State 75

Moneyline

BET VANDERBILT (+125).

The Commodores are surging and have covered 6 of 7 games with a single-digit spread. They are 1-0 straight up as underdogs as well. Vanderbilt has yet to lose at home and is 2-0 with a spread of 3.5 points or fewer.

Mississippi State’s top 2 weapons (G Claudell Harris Jr. and G Josh Hubbard) each shoot under 44% from the field, so it may struggle to keep pace offensively.

Take VANDERBILT (+125) to pull off the home upset.

Against the spread

PASS.

The spread is certainly playable; however, getting plus money on the ML is preferred.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 154.5 (-110).

The Commodores are 0-3 O/U in their last 3 games and 2-5 O/U in their previous 7. They are 6-7-1 O/U on the season.

The Bulldogs have allowed 73 or fewer points in 5 straight games, going 1-4 O/U. Mississippi State is 3-4 O/U away from home this season. Take UNDER 154.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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South Carolina at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s South Carolina at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The South Carolina Gamecocks (10-3) open up conference play against the No. 16 Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-1) Saturday. Tip-off from Humphrey Coliseum is set for 2 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the South Carolina vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

South Carolina extended their win streak to 7 with a 69-59 victory over the Presbyterian Blue Hose Monday, though they failed to cover as 18.5-point home favorites. The Under 138.5 cashed. The Gamecocks dominated inside, outscoring the Blue Hose 34-20. Forward Collin Murray-Boyles led the way with 22 points and 9 rebounds in the win.

Mississippi State extended their winning streak to 6 with an 87-73 win over the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats Monday, though they didn’t cover as 28.5-point home favorites. The Over 146 cashed. The Bulldogs’ defense was aggressive, recording 11 steals. G Riley Kugel came off the bench to score a game-high 22 points for Mississippi State.

– RankingsUSA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll 

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South Carolina at Mississippi State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): South Carolina +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Mississippi State -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): South Carolina +10.5 (-110) | Mississippi State -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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South Carolina at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 76, South Carolina 62

Moneyline

PASS.

Mississippi State (-650) will win their conference home opener without much trouble but you can’t bet 6 1/2 units to win 1. I’ll take my wager to the spread.

Against the spread

BET MISSISSIPPI STATE -10.5 (-110).

South Carolina and Mississippi State come into this matchup on fire, with the Gamecocks riding a 7-game win streak and the Bulldogs winning 6 straight.

Mississippi State is perfect at home this season, going 6-0, and 5 of those wins have been by double digits. They’ve covered in 2 of their last 3 games and are putting up 83.9 points per game, which ranks 35th in the country.

The Bulldogs are scrappy on defense, forcing a ton of turnovers with over 10 steals per game. Josh Hubbard has been leading the way offensively, averaging 17.5 points per game, and the bench has been stepping up too—Kugel just dropped 22 and 19 in back-to-back games.

South Carolina hasn’t been tested much on the road, playing only 2 true road games so far and splitting them. Starting SEC play on the road against a ranked team like Mississippi State is a tough ask.

Mississippi State should stay hot and handle business at home.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 143.5 (-105).

Both teams are strong defensively, holding opponents to under 68 points per game. The Under has cashed in 4 of the last 6 matchups between them. Mississippi State has hit the Under in 3 of their last 4, and South Carolina has gone Under in 6 of their last 8. With both teams likely to play a slower-paced game, expect a tight defensive contest that keeps the total points under the line Saturday.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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