10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?


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Week 6 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Week 6 Experts Picks: College
CFN Week 5 Experts Picks: NFL 
Week 6 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC

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I apologize for really and truly thinking Vanderbilt was going to act like the SEC program it is against UConn. Instead of it being a layup of a Commodore blowout, it took a late rally to survive 30-28 and not covering the 14.5

I failed you, America.

I promised you something special after going 4-6 in Week 4, and going 9-1 ATS isn’t good enough.

(Or, to move the dial off the snooty-brag setting, if you’ve followed me over the years you know this means the time for the HARD fade is soon to come.)

Pushing that boulder up the mountain again …

Results So Far ATS: 39-21-1

Click on each game for the preview

10. Arkansas at Ole Miss

LINE Point Total 66.5
ATS PICK Under

And it’ll probably get up to closer to 68 by gametime.

First, 66.5 is hard to get to, even for these two teams. Last year these two got the respective Os going and it still landed on 54.

Second, if you believe Arkansas is going to pull this off, it’ll probably do it controlling the game and tempo throughout.

No Hog game this year – even with 40 put up against Texas and 45 against Georgia Southern – got to 67. Three of the four Ole Miss games got past the mark, but the one that didn’t was against Alabama when the Rebels couldn’t stop the run.

Think of it this way. Georgia couldn’t have been better last week and it only got 37 on the Hogs.

Week 5 NFL Expert Picks

9. Maryland at Ohio State

LINE Point Total 71
ATS PICK Under

The hard and fast rule is to never, ever take the over when the world is asking for 80, and that worked out just fine with the under on Ole Miss and Alabama last week – they got to 63.

But what about 72? Ehhhhhh, not close enough, but worth a shot here on the biggest point total of the day.

Maryland-Ohio State opened at 72.5 and dipped down a bit. No one likes to take the under on a major game that everyone will watch, but getting past 71 is a large ask.

If the game gets there, then blow off the loss, sit back, and enjoy the show.

Maryland might be improved, but it only hung up a big number on Howard. It’s not getting 62 on Ohio State, and the second-best scoring output was 67.

Yeah, some might have visions of the wild 52-51 Buckeye win in 2018, and the 31 allowed to Minnesota and 35 to Oregon is enough to worry. This will get into the 60s, but 72 is a push even for these two.

Week 6 Schedule, Predictions For Every Game

8. Florida State at North Carolina

LINE North Carolina -17.5
ATS PICK North Carolina

Florida State was able to close out last year with a win over Duke, and it beat Jacksonville State along the way. The stunner for that awful, awful team was a 31-28 win over a North Carolina squad that did just about everything offensively but score more points than the other team.

That won’t be an issue this week.

The Tar Heels have been way flaky – hello, Georgia Tech 45, UNC 22 – but that wasn’t in Chapel Hill, and neither was the Virginia Tech game. They annihilated Georgia State, Virginia, and Duke, and now it’s a revenge game with FSU coning in.

Sam Howell will throw for over 300 yards getting off the bus.

Revenge Game Part 2 …

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Michigan State at Rutgers

Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction, Game Preview

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


Michigan State vs Rutgers How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
How To Watch: BTN
Record: Michigan State (5-0), Rutgers (3-2)
Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

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All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Michigan State vs Rutgers Game Preview


Why Michigan State Will Win

The pass rush has been suffocating.

The Spartans are doing a whole slew of things right, but they’re hardly perfect. They’re able to make up for several problems by getting into the backfield on a regular basis with 18 sacks on the year and two or more in every game.

For all of the good things Rutgers is doing, the offensive line allows way too many plays behind the line for an offense that doesn’t have a whole lot of margin for error.

There isn’t much of a Scarlet Knight running game and the passing attack isn’t explosive enough to keep up if Michigan State can get out to an early start. But …

Week 6 CFN College Football Expert Picks

Why Rutgers Will Win

Michigan State’s secondary is getting hit hard.

To be fair, Bailey Zappe and the WKU offense bomb away on everyone, but Miami’s D’Eriq King was able to throw well, Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez came up with a good day, and even Northwestern was able to crank up the passing game in the second half.

This might not be a high-octane Rutgers passing game, but Noah Vedral hasn’t been bad yardage-wise, throwing for over 200 yards in two of the last three games.

But with Rutgers, it comes down to the mistakes. At least before the 52-13 loss last week to Ohio State, the team has been air tight with just one giveaway over the first four games before turning it over three times against the Buckeyes. This is still one of the nation’s top teams in fewest penalties, and …

Week 6 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Can the Scarlet Knights do that again?

It was the opener of the Greg Schiano era on one side, and the first game for Melvin Tucker on the other. Rutgers went to East Lansing and forced seven Michigan State takeaways in a stunning 38-27 win to kickoff the 2020 season.

Michigan State has only turned it over three times this season.

Under Tucker, the Spartans are now 7-1 when turning it over fewer than twice, and 0-4 when giving it up two or more times. Rutgers forced eight takeaways in the first two games and hasn’t come up with one over the last three.

As long as Michigan State is very, very careful, keeps things conservative, and manages to keep the Rutgers running game under wraps, it’ll be okay. It’ll be a grind, but the Spartans will be 6-0 for the first time since 2015.

Week 5 CFN NFL Expert Picks

Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction, Line

Michigan State 26, Rutgers 17
Line: Michigan State -5, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 3

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1: The Bradshaw Bunch

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Fearless Predictions of Every Game
Bowl Projections | Rankings

10 Best Predictions Against The Spread: Week 13. It’s a B1G Week

What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 13? Here you go. Enjoy.

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What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 13? Here you go. Enjoy.


Week 13 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Week 13 Expert Picks & Predictions


Contact @PeteFiutak

10 Best ATS Picks So Far: 65-58


Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

And the ten games that appear to be a wee bit favorable are …

10. Samford at Auburn

LINE: Auburn -48.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Samford
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

For those of you new to the program, here’s the tried-and-true, blind-faith belief system that’s worked really, really well this year.

If the world wants to give a team 40 points or more, you take them, you say “thank you,” and you move on.

There are a whole slew of things that have to happen to win by more than 40 points – it’s actually hard to do.

Sometimes a team shows mercy – like Ohio State did against Rutgers last week – and sometimes a team isn’t good enough to win by a bazillion, like Northwestern not covering against UMass.

However, there are a few things to take into account when it comes to the FBS vs. FCS matchups late in the season. 1) Is it the final home game for the FBSer? If it is, the starters will likely stay in a bit longer. Alabama is coming to Auburn next week. 2) Does the team need a week off to rest everyone?

You ready to play the deep cut on this?

The last two times Auburn played a wipeout paycheck game at home before going to Alabama, it won it brutal blowouts – by 53 over Liberty last year, and 55-0 against Alabama A&M in 2016. However …

The last few times it was the game BEFORE Senior Day – like it is this year? 42-14 over ULM in 2017, 56-34 over Idaho in 2015, 35-16 over Samford in 2011, 62-24 over UT Chattanooga in 2010, and 37-20 over UT Martin in 2008.

The gods are handing you 48.5 points AND a wacky trend/streak?

In this case, Samford actually has a fun enough offense that it can luck its way into a touchdown or two against the backups.

And from the Department of Oh Screw It, We’ve Come This Far With The Theme …

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9. Arkansas at LSU

LINE: LSU -43.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Arkansas
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Take everything that was just said about the FBS vs. FCS thing, and apply it to this.

The Arkansas Razorbacks will get up Saturday morning up 43.5-0.

LSU can win the SEC West with a victory, but it has bigger fish to fry next week against Texas A&M and the week after against Georgia in – most likely – the SEC Championship.

It’s not Senior Day – that’s next week – so this is just about coming up with an instant wipeout and then sitting everyone possible. Also, as dominant as LSU has been, it hasn’t won a game by more than 43 against an FBS team since the 55-3 win over Georgia Southern in the opener.

One more thing. After what happened last week to Tua Tagovailoa, but watch out for some teams to be a bit spooked about how long the superstar starting quarterback keeps playing in a blowout.

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8. Pitt at Virginia Tech

LINE: Virginia Tech -3.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Virginia Tech
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Stick with the hot hand. It’s the last home game of the year for a Virginia Tech team that’s in the thick of the ACC Coastal hunt. Pitt is, too, but the Hokies have rolled in their last two games, played Notre Dame well, and has won five of their last six games. Pitt is hot, too – winning six of its last seven – but the Hokies are sharper. You’re only giving away an extra half point taking the home team.

7. Nevada at Fresno State

LINE: Fresno State -14
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Nevada
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

This isn’t the Fresno State of the last two years. The defense isn’t nearly as nasty, it  lost three of its last four, and the only win so far by more than 14 is over UNLV. The Bulldogs just played San Diego State – and lost – while Nevada has had two weeks off since winning on the road in San Diego. The Wolf Pack were blown away by Utah State and Wyoming on the road by a total score of 67-13 in their previous two road games, but the Bulldogs just aren’t that potent.

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6. Nebraska at Maryland

LINE: Nebraska -4.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS PICK: Nebraska
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Nebraska has last four straight and five of its last six. It can’t seem to do much of anything right, and that includes only scoring 13 in a win over a miserable Northwestern team. However, the offense started to click last week against Wisconsin, Adrian Martinez played well, and the team wasn’t that bad in a 37-21 loss.

Maryland is rested after two weeks off, and it’s the home finale, but it hasn’t come closer than six of anyone but Rutgers since losing to Temple 20-17 back in mid-September. Basically, Nebraska is bad, but Maryland is a whole lot worse.

NEXT: The Top Five Picks of the Week Against the Spread

Big Ten Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, TV: Week 13

Check out all the fearless predictions, game previews, lines and TV listings for Week 13 of the Big Ten season.

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Check out all the fearless predictions, game previews, lines and TV listings for Week 13 of the Big Ten season.


Results So Far: SU 75-15, ATS 42-43-1, o/u: 52-31-2

Click on each game for game preview & prediction

Penn State at Ohio State

12:00 FOX | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Ohio State -18.5, o/u: 57.5
Bet on this with BetMGM 

Minnesota at Northwestern

12:00 ABC | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Minnesota -13.5, o/u: 39.5
Bet on this with BetMGM 

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Illinois at Iowa

12:00 BTN | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Iowa -15.5, o/u: 46.5
Bet on this with BetMGM 

Michigan State at Rutgers

12:00 FS1 | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Michigan State -20.5, o/u: 43.5
Bet on this with BetMGM 

Michigan at Indiana

3:30 ESPN | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Michigan -9, o/u: 52.5
Bet on this with BetMGM 

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Nebraska at Maryland

3:30 BTN | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Nebraska -4, o/u: 62
Bet on this with BetMGM 

Purdue at Wisconsin

4:00 FOX | Get Tickets
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
BetMGM Line: Wisconsin -24.5, o/u: 48
Bet on this with BetMGM 

– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews

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