10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?


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I apologize for really and truly thinking Vanderbilt was going to act like the SEC program it is against UConn. Instead of it being a layup of a Commodore blowout, it took a late rally to survive 30-28 and not covering the 14.5

I failed you, America.

I promised you something special after going 4-6 in Week 4, and going 9-1 ATS isn’t good enough.

(Or, to move the dial off the snooty-brag setting, if you’ve followed me over the years you know this means the time for the HARD fade is soon to come.)

Pushing that boulder up the mountain again …

Results So Far ATS: 39-21-1

Click on each game for the preview

10. Arkansas at Ole Miss

LINE Point Total 66.5
ATS PICK Under

And it’ll probably get up to closer to 68 by gametime.

First, 66.5 is hard to get to, even for these two teams. Last year these two got the respective Os going and it still landed on 54.

Second, if you believe Arkansas is going to pull this off, it’ll probably do it controlling the game and tempo throughout.

No Hog game this year – even with 40 put up against Texas and 45 against Georgia Southern – got to 67. Three of the four Ole Miss games got past the mark, but the one that didn’t was against Alabama when the Rebels couldn’t stop the run.

Think of it this way. Georgia couldn’t have been better last week and it only got 37 on the Hogs.

Week 5 NFL Expert Picks

9. Maryland at Ohio State

LINE Point Total 71
ATS PICK Under

The hard and fast rule is to never, ever take the over when the world is asking for 80, and that worked out just fine with the under on Ole Miss and Alabama last week – they got to 63.

But what about 72? Ehhhhhh, not close enough, but worth a shot here on the biggest point total of the day.

Maryland-Ohio State opened at 72.5 and dipped down a bit. No one likes to take the under on a major game that everyone will watch, but getting past 71 is a large ask.

If the game gets there, then blow off the loss, sit back, and enjoy the show.

Maryland might be improved, but it only hung up a big number on Howard. It’s not getting 62 on Ohio State, and the second-best scoring output was 67.

Yeah, some might have visions of the wild 52-51 Buckeye win in 2018, and the 31 allowed to Minnesota and 35 to Oregon is enough to worry. This will get into the 60s, but 72 is a push even for these two.

Week 6 Schedule, Predictions For Every Game

8. Florida State at North Carolina

LINE North Carolina -17.5
ATS PICK North Carolina

Florida State was able to close out last year with a win over Duke, and it beat Jacksonville State along the way. The stunner for that awful, awful team was a 31-28 win over a North Carolina squad that did just about everything offensively but score more points than the other team.

That won’t be an issue this week.

The Tar Heels have been way flaky – hello, Georgia Tech 45, UNC 22 – but that wasn’t in Chapel Hill, and neither was the Virginia Tech game. They annihilated Georgia State, Virginia, and Duke, and now it’s a revenge game with FSU coning in.

Sam Howell will throw for over 300 yards getting off the bus.

Revenge Game Part 2 …

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Michigan State at Rutgers

Missouri vs North Texas Prediction, Game Preview

Missouri vs North Texas prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Missouri vs North Texas prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


Missouri vs North Texas How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: Missouri (2-3), North Texas (1-3)
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Missouri vs North Texas Game Preview


Why North Texas Will Win

The Missouri defense has decided that stopping the run is optional this season.

It’s allowing a whopping 348 rushing yards per game over the last four, and it’s not just floundering against SEC teams and Boston College – SE Missouri State ripped off 294 yards on the ground, too.

North Texas has a nice back in DeAndre Toney coming off a 119-yard day against Louisiana Tech, and this is the game to keep feeding him and the rest of the runners.

The defense has a decent pass rush and isn’t bad at taking the ball away, but it’s all about the running game because …

Week 6 CFN College Football Expert Picks

Why Missouri Will Win

Didn’t you used to be the North Texas passing attack?

We had a deal. North Texas was going to give up a bazillion yards and points, and in return it would give us all a fine show by cranking up the offense to try keeping up.

North Carolina transfer QB Jace Ruder and veteran Austin Aune have combined to complete just 49% of their passes with four touchdowns and five picks.

How bad have things been over the last two games after hanging 388 yards on SMU? The Mean Green have thrown for a total of 191 yards over the last two games. Last year the team only threw for fewer than 200 yards in a single game once, and as a program it has only dipped below 185 twice – both times against Rice – since the middle of the 2016 season.

Oh yeah, and …

Week 6 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

The North Texas defense is still lousy.

To be fair, it’s better than the 2020 version, but Missouri is going to bring its full and undivided attention after two straight losses in a season that’s quickly slipping away.

Week 5 CFN NFL Expert Picks

Missouri vs North Texas Prediction, Line

Missouri 45, North Texas 17
Line: Missouri -19, o/u: 69
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

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