10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread: Week 6

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?

What college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 6?


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I apologize for really and truly thinking Vanderbilt was going to act like the SEC program it is against UConn. Instead of it being a layup of a Commodore blowout, it took a late rally to survive 30-28 and not covering the 14.5

I failed you, America.

I promised you something special after going 4-6 in Week 4, and going 9-1 ATS isn’t good enough.

(Or, to move the dial off the snooty-brag setting, if you’ve followed me over the years you know this means the time for the HARD fade is soon to come.)

Pushing that boulder up the mountain again …

Results So Far ATS: 39-21-1

Click on each game for the preview

10. Arkansas at Ole Miss

LINE Point Total 66.5
ATS PICK Under

And it’ll probably get up to closer to 68 by gametime.

First, 66.5 is hard to get to, even for these two teams. Last year these two got the respective Os going and it still landed on 54.

Second, if you believe Arkansas is going to pull this off, it’ll probably do it controlling the game and tempo throughout.

No Hog game this year – even with 40 put up against Texas and 45 against Georgia Southern – got to 67. Three of the four Ole Miss games got past the mark, but the one that didn’t was against Alabama when the Rebels couldn’t stop the run.

Think of it this way. Georgia couldn’t have been better last week and it only got 37 on the Hogs.

Week 5 NFL Expert Picks

9. Maryland at Ohio State

LINE Point Total 71
ATS PICK Under

The hard and fast rule is to never, ever take the over when the world is asking for 80, and that worked out just fine with the under on Ole Miss and Alabama last week – they got to 63.

But what about 72? Ehhhhhh, not close enough, but worth a shot here on the biggest point total of the day.

Maryland-Ohio State opened at 72.5 and dipped down a bit. No one likes to take the under on a major game that everyone will watch, but getting past 71 is a large ask.

If the game gets there, then blow off the loss, sit back, and enjoy the show.

Maryland might be improved, but it only hung up a big number on Howard. It’s not getting 62 on Ohio State, and the second-best scoring output was 67.

Yeah, some might have visions of the wild 52-51 Buckeye win in 2018, and the 31 allowed to Minnesota and 35 to Oregon is enough to worry. This will get into the 60s, but 72 is a push even for these two.

Week 6 Schedule, Predictions For Every Game

8. Florida State at North Carolina

LINE North Carolina -17.5
ATS PICK North Carolina

Florida State was able to close out last year with a win over Duke, and it beat Jacksonville State along the way. The stunner for that awful, awful team was a 31-28 win over a North Carolina squad that did just about everything offensively but score more points than the other team.

That won’t be an issue this week.

The Tar Heels have been way flaky – hello, Georgia Tech 45, UNC 22 – but that wasn’t in Chapel Hill, and neither was the Virginia Tech game. They annihilated Georgia State, Virginia, and Duke, and now it’s a revenge game with FSU coning in.

Sam Howell will throw for over 300 yards getting off the bus.

Revenge Game Part 2 …

NEXT: College Football Pick Against The Spread No. 7: Michigan State at Rutgers

Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction, Game Preview

Florida State vs North Carolina prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Florida State vs North Carolina prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


Florida State vs North Carolina How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Florida State (1-4), North Carolina (3-2)
Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

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Florida State vs North Carolina Game Preview


Why Florida State Will Win

Is that going to be the breakthrough Florida State needed?

Sometimes teams just need a little positive momentum. It’s not like the Seminoles would’ve been better at football if it pulled out the overtime game against Notre Dame or wasn’t hit with a Hail Mary in the embarrassing loss to Jacksonville State, but it certainly would’ve changed the overall energy.

Beating Syracuse isn’t exactly a program-saver, but the 33-30 victory showed what’s possible. The running game was great – it’s been terrific in four of the five games so far – and now it gets to go against a North Carolina run defense that got hammered by Georgia Tech and has been a tad soft overall.

The Tar Heel offensive line can’t keep defenses out of the backfield, and the O holds he ball for just over 26 minutes a game, but …

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Why North Carolina Will Win

Florida State doesn’t do anything with the time of possession battle, either.

There are too many turnovers – the six in the loss to Wake Forest were the biggest problem – and the secondary has been hit way too hard. Syracuse isn’t a passing team with Garrett Shrader at quarterback, and it showed last week.

Sam Howell can throw.

It’s been a painfully inconsistent Tar Heel attack, but Howell has thrown for over 300 yards in every game but the opener against Virginia Tech.

He’s going to throw for more than 300 yards against Florida State, and …

Week 6 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

The Tar Heels will be fully interested in this.

With with the two losses in ACC play, the conference is still wide open and there for the taking if they can win out. That, and the shocking choke of a loss to Florida State last year should bring out the A game.

This isn’t a great Tar Heel team, but Howell and the offense will get up fast, the Florida State running game will keep up for a while, but the Seminole turnovers will come late in the third.

Week 5 CFN NFL Expert Picks

Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction, Line

North Carolina 37, Florida State 17
Line: North Carolina -17.5, o/u: 64
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2.5

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