Miami Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

NBA Finals: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Game 4 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat will host the Denver Nuggets for Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets cruised to a 109-94 victory in Game 3 on Wednesday to cover as 3.5-point road favorites. The Under of 213 points hit in Game 3 and Denver has taken a 2-1 lead in the series.

In Wednesday’s 15-point win, the Nuggets got 30-point triple-doubles from C Nikola Jokic and G Jamal Murray, who became the 1st duo in NBA history to both record a 30-point triple-double in a game.

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Nuggets at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Heat +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-110) | Heat +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Heat key injuries

Nuggets

Not yet submitted

Heat

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Nuggets 105

Moneyline

Miami can’t afford to lose Game 4 and head to Denver for Game 5 down 3-1 in the series, so I’ll back the HEAT (+140) at home in Friday’s tilt. The Heat are 6-3 at home in the playoffs and they have yet to lose 2 straight home games in the postseason.

Against the spread

HEAT +3.5 (-110) is the pick if you need a little insurance and can’t bet Miami to win outright. F Jimmy Butler looked more aggressive in Game 3 and C Bam Adebayo has been fantastic in this series thus far, while the role players on the Heat will step up in a crucial home game.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 210.5 (-110).

The Under has connected in 2 of the 1st 3 games of the series as the Heat have had trouble getting consistent performances on the offensive end. That being said, Jokic and Murray are scoring at a nice clip, and it’s tough betting against Butler in a must-win setting.

The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings overall.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 7 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 7 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics square off in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat could not close the deal against the Celtics in Game 6 on Saturday, losing 104-103 on a buzzer-beating tip-in by G Derrick White. After leading 3-0, Miami has lost 3 consecutive games.

In Saturday’s season-saving win, the Celtics got 57 combined points from F Jayson Tatum and F Jaylen Brown. Boston is looking to become the 1st team in NBA playoff history to come back from a 3-0 deficit in a series.

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Heat at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Celtics -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +7.5 (-115) | Celtics -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Celtics key injuries

Heat

G Tyler Herro (hand) out
G Victor Oladipo (knee) out
G Gabe Vincent (ankle) questionable

Celtics

G Malcolm Brogdon (forearm) questionable
F Danilo Gallinari (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 109, Heat 105

Moneyline

PASS.

With all of the momentum, most people are backing the Celtics to make history on Monday. Me too, but taking the -300 moneyline isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET HEAT +7.5 (-115).

This should be a back-and-forth contest. Aside from getting positive contributions from F Caleb Martin, F Max Strus, and Vincent, F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo should have better performances than Game 6 to keep this game close.

The Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston.

Over/Under

OVER 203.5 (-110) is my bet with the expectation that Butler and Adebayo are more productive for the Heat. There have also been 207-plus points scored in each of the 6 games of the series.

The Heat are 10-2 to the Over in their last 12 road games and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Game 1 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat begin a best-of-7 series in the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics on Wednesday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat defeated the New York Knicks 96-92 last Friday to close out the series in 6 games. Miami has gone 8-3 in the playoffs thus far after defeating the Milwaukee Bucks in 5 games in the 1st round of the postseason.

On Sunday, the Celtics cruised to a 112-88 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 7 to advance. Boston has recorded an 8-5 record in its 13 playoff contests.

During the regular season, the Heat and the Celtics met 4 times and they split those 4 games. Miami and Boston also split covering the spread and the Over/Under went 2-2 in the 4 meetings in the regular season.

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Heat at Celtics odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Celtics -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +7.5 (-105) | Celtics -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Celtics key injuries

Heat

G Tyler Herro (hand) out
G Victor Oladipo (knee) out
C Cody Zeller (head) questionable

Celtics

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 111, Heat 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Celtics are expected to secure the win at home to begin the series, but taking them straight up isn’t worth the risk at the current odds (-350).

Against the spread

HEAT +7.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the spread in this game with F Jimmy Butler on the other side of the court against the Celtics. C Bam Adebayo has also historically performed well on both ends of the court against Boston.

The Heat are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 road meetings against the Celtics. Miami is also 8-3 ATS in its 11 playoff games thus far.

Over/Under

Even though it’s the playoffs and these teams are formidable defensive units, OVER 210.5 (-110) is an enticing bet. The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.

The Heat are also 8-1 to the Over in their last 9 road games, while the Celtics are 5-1 to the Over in their last 6 games following a win.

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New York Knicks at Miami Heat Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Knicks at Miami Heat Game 4 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks take on the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their 2nd-round NBA playoff series on Monday at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks suffered a 105-86 blowout loss to the Heat on Saturday, failing to cover as 4-point road underdogs. New York was horrible on 3-pointers, hitting only 8 of 40 attempts, and must do better if it hopes to avoid going down 3-1 in the series.

After missing Game 2 due to an ankle injury, F Jimmy Butler returned in Game 3 to produce 28 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists for the Heat. Miami has won 5 of its last 6 games in this postseason.

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Knicks at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Heat -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Knicks at Heat key injuries

Knicks

G Immanuel Quickley (ankle) doubtful

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
G Tyler Herro (hand) out
F Caleb Martin (back) questionable
G Victor Oladipo (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Knicks 102

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though the Knicks are desperate to secure a win on Monday, I believe the Heat will take a 3-1 lead in the series. That being said, I wouldn’t advise taking Miami’s moneyline in this contest at nearly -200 odds.

Against the spread

HEAT -4.5 (-105) is the lean in this pivotal Game 4 despite the desperation of the Knicks. Quickley’s status for the Knicks looms large as he is one of their better shooters and it’s tough to bet against Butler at home in the postseason.

The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 6-0 in their last 6 games overall.

Over/Under

OVER 206.5 (-110).

While the 1st 3 games of the series have been low-scoring affairs, there have been 207-plus points scored in 2 of the 3 games. And the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

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Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (41-41) will battle it out with the Miami Heat (44-38) on Tuesday in the 1st Eastern Conference play-in tournament contest at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks went 5-5 in their last 10 games and finished the regular season with a 41-41 record. G Trae Young led Atlanta in PPG (26.2) and APG (10.2) during the season.

The Heat finished 44-38 after winning 4 of their last 5 games. Miami will lean on F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo to secure them a spot in the playoffs.

Atlanta and Miami met four times during the regular season. The Heat won 3 of the 4 meetings and the Over/Under went 2-2.

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Hawks at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Heat -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +5.5 (-115) | Heat -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Heat key injuries

Hawks

None

Heat

G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
G Max Strus (finger) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 117, Hawks 111

Moneyline

PASS.

Despite the expectation of the Heat winning on Tuesday, I’d avoid wagering on the money line in this pivotal matchup.

Against the spread

HEAT -5.5 (-105) is the pick in this contest with how these teams ended the season. Butler has excelled in playoff environments throughout his career and we’ve seen Miami have success against Atlanta this season. Plus, the Hawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road meetings against the Heat.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).

Even though the Heat are viewed as a defensive-minded team, both of these teams are bottom 11 in defensive rating in the last 15 games of the season. The Hawks are 4-0-1 to the Over in their last 5 overall and the Heat are 5-0 to the Over in their last 5 overall.

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Miami Heat at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (43-37) face the Washington Wizards (34-46) on Friday at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat beat the Philadelphia 76ers 129-101 on Thursday to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs. Miami has won 3 straight games and is 1 game behind the Brooklyn Nets for the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference with 2 games remaining.

The Wizards failed to cover as 12.5-point road underdogs in their 134-116 loss to the Atlanta Hawks Wednesday. Washington has lost 4 consecutive games and 8 of its last 10 outings.

This will be the fourth season meeting between Miami and Washington. The Heat are 2-1 straight up and 2-0-1 against the spread in the first 3 meetings as the Over has cashed twice. All 3 meetings occurred in November.

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Heat at Wizards odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Wizards +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -5.5 (-115) | Wizards +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Heat at Wizards key injuries

Heat

Not Yet Submitted

Wizards

F Deni Avdija (elbow) out
G Bradley Beal (knee) out
F Kyle Kuzma (ankle) out
G Monte Morris (ankle) out
F Kristaps Porzingis (illness) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, Wizards 102

Moneyline

PASS.

It remains to be seen if the Heat (-225) play their usual starters on a back-to-back despite their outside chance of getting the No. 6 seed. So with both teams potentially having multiple starters out, I’ll pass on the money line in this game.

Against the spread

HEAT -5.5 (-115) is the lean in this game, though, I wouldn’t be confident in siding with either team in this contest. However, the Wizards have 4 of their 5 starters sidelined and they’ve struggled to keep games close recently.

The Heat are 28-11-2 ATS in the last 41 road meetings against the Wizards and 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall.

Over/Under

With the uncertainty of who is going to suit up for the Heat, I’ll lean toward taking UNDER 217.5 (-105). Both of these teams are bottom 11 in pace and Miami is 9th in defensive rating.

The Heat are 5-1 to the Under in their last 6 games playing on 0 days of rest.

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Miami Heat at New York Knicks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Heat at New York Knicks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (29-23) are set to take on the New York Knicks (27-25) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 100-97 on Tuesday to cover as 4-point underdogs on the road. Miami has won 4 of its last 5 games and 7 of its last 10 games.

The Knicks lost 129-123 in overtime to the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday and were unable to cover as 2-point favorites at home. New York is currently on a 2-game losing streak and has lost 6 of its last 8 games.

This is the 1st meeting of 4 games between the teams this season.

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Heat at Knicks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Knicks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (-115) | Knicks +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Heat at Knicks key injuries

Heat

G Victor Oladipo (ankle) doubtful
F Duncan Robinson (finger) out
G Gabe Vincent (ankle) questionable

Knicks

C Mitchell Robinson (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Knicks picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, Knicks 106

Moneyline

Following an impressive road win over the Cavaliers, I’m siding with the HEAT (-125) to secure another road victory. Miami has seemingly figured things out recently and New York has been struggling to win games.

Against the spread

HEAT -1.5 (-115) is how I’d bet on the spread in this game as we only need Miami to win by at least 1 basket. The Heat finally has C Bam Adebayo, F Jimmy Butler, G Kyle Lowry, and G Tyler Herro playing together again.

The Heat is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 road meetings against the Knicks and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall.

Over/Under

Even though these teams play at such a slow pace, OVER 213.5 (-115) is the lean here.

The Knicks are 7-0-1 to the Over in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the Heat and the Knicks.

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Miami Heat at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (24-21) face the New Orleans Pelicans (26-18) on Wednesday at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat lost 121-113 at the Atlanta Hawks Monday as they were unable to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs. The loss snapped a 3-game win streak for Miami.

The Pelicans were defeated 113-103 by the Cleveland Cavaliers Monday as they fell short of covering as 7.5-point underdogs on the road. New Orleans has lost 6 of its last 10 games.

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Heat at Pelicans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Pelicans +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -2.5 (-110) | Pelicans +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Heat at Pelicans key injuries

Heat

G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
F Caleb Martin (quad) probable
G Duncan Robinson (finger) out

Pelicans

F Brandon Ingram (toe) out
F Herbert Jones (back) doubtful
F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, Pelicans 105

Moneyline

Given how injured New Orleans is, MIAMI (-135) feels like the best way to bet on the moneyline in this contest. Miami has F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo back in the lineup, and there’s a chance Lowry returns.

Against the spread

Even though I’m fine taking HEAT -2.5 (-110) in this game, I’d rather take the moneyline in this game. Outside of G CJ McCollum, the Pelicans haven’t been able to trust anyone to score consistently with Ingram and Williamson sidelined.

The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and the Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record.

Over/Under

UNDER 219.5 (-112) seems like the correct way to bet the spread in this game as both of these teams are top 8 in defensive rating.

The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in New Orleans and is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall.

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Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Lakers (14-20) square off against the Miami Heat (17-17) Wednesday at FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lakers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Lakers defeated the Orlando Magic 129-110 Tuesday to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs. That win snapped a 4-game losing skid.

The Heat secured a 113-110 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday to cover as 1-point favorites at home. Miami is playing its 4th straight home game but is just 1-2 in the previous 3.

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Lakers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lakers +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Heat -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +7.5 (-102) | Heat -7.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lakers at Heat key injuries

Lakers

Not yet submitted

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (shoulder) questionable
F Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
F Caleb Martin (ankle) probable
G Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Lakers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 116, Lakers 109

Moneyline

Because the Heat (-330) are such heavy favorites, I’ll PASS on the moneyline. Taking Miami to win straight up isn’t advised considering the current odds to secure the victory.

Against the spread

Assuming that F LeBron James is active on the 2nd leg of the back-to-back set, LAKERS +7.5 (-102) is an enticing bet in this game. If James is ruled out, then I’ll be siding with the Heat to cover the spread as Los Angeles struggles when he’s not on the court.

The Heat are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under

OVER 223.5 (-110) is also an intriguing wager if James suits up for the Lakers. Los Angeles has scored 115 or more points in 4 straight games, so we’ll just need Miami to contribute a decent amount of points at home to hit the Over.

The Lakers have hit the Over in 5 straight games and in each of their last 4 games playing on 0 days of rest.

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Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (14-15) face the Houston Rockets (9-18) Thursday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Rockets, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 110-108 Wednesday but they failed to cover as 2.5-point road favorites. Miami has won 3 of its last 4 games.

The Rockets secured a 111-97 victory over the Phoenix Suns Tuesday to cover as 7-point underdogs at home. Houston has also logged a win in 3 of its last 4 games.

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Heat at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockets +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-115) | Rockets +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Rockets key injuries

Heat

Not yet submitted

Rockets

F Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 109, Rockets 103

Moneyline

The odds for the Heat (-160) to win on Thursday are at a point where I’m not confident in taking them to secure a victory, so I’ll PASS on the moneyline. F Jimmy Butler was out for Wednesday’s matchup against the Thunder and it remains to be seen who suits up for Miami Thursday.

Against the spread

Even though I won’t be taking Miami to win straight up, HEAT -3.5 (-115) is an intriguing wager assuming that they have most of their starters available when they release an injury report. If Miami elects to sit a few starters on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, then proceed with caution when wagering on the spread in this contest.

The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road meetings against the Rockets and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall.

Over/Under

UNDER 219.5 (-115) is my lean considering how these teams have performed on offense thus far. Besides the Heat playing at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA, the Heat and the Rockets are both bottom 5 teams in offensive rating.

The Rockets have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 games following a win. Meanwhile, the Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings between the Heat and the Rockets.

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