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The Houston Rockets (38-38) welcome the Miami Heat (42-34) to the Toyota Center Friday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0 after a 120-113 home win on Jan. 8 as a 4-point favorite
Houston has lost 3 straight games going 1-2 against the spread (ATS). It is coming off a 133-110 home loss to the Golden State Warriors Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Rockets are 43-32-1 ATS on the season. They are led by G Jalen Green, who is averaging 19.9 points per game (PPG).
The Heat lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 109-105 Thursday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. They are 4-3 straight up and 3-3-1 ATS over their last 7 games. Miami is 36-38-2 ATS on the season. It is led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 20.9 PPG.
Heat at Rockets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -144 (bet $144 to win $100) | Rockets +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -2.5 (-112) | Rockets +2.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Rockets key injuries
Heat
- Not yet submitted
Rockets
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For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 110, Rockets 107
Moneyline
BET HEAT (-144).
Miami is the healthier side and has more to play for. It sits 7th in the Eastern Conference and, with a late-season run, could finish 6th and avoid playing Milwaukee or Boston in the 1st round and the play-in tournament. The Heat have won 3 of their last 4 and have won 4 of their last 5 on the road. They should have more fire to come out on top.
The Rockets were among the hottest teams in the NBA, but have lost 3 straight. While their 11-game win streak was impressive, it was largely against non-playoff teams. The Heat are hot while the Rockets have cooled off, losing 3 straight all to teams in playoff contention.
The Heat are the better side and, at these odds, give good value to win outright. Back HEAT (-144).
Against the spread
PASS.
While there is some value on the Heat’s spread, this should be a close battle, and taking them to win outright is the better wager.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 215 (-110).
The Heat have gone Over in 4 straight games, scoring at least 109 in 3 of those and scoring 119 or more in 2 of the 4. Miami has allowed 107 or more in 2 of its last 3 as well.
The Rockets are 9-2 O/U in their last 11 games. They have scored at least 106 points in all but 1 of those games. Houston ranks 14th in pace and has a plethora of young talent that should want to push the tempo.
Back OVER 215 (-110).
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