The Atlanta Hawks (41-41) will battle it out with the Miami Heat (44-38) on Tuesday in the 1st Eastern Conference play-in tournament contest at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Hawks went 5-5 in their last 10 games and finished the regular season with a 41-41 record. G Trae Young led Atlanta in PPG (26.2) and APG (10.2) during the season.
The Heat finished 44-38 after winning 4 of their last 5 games. Miami will lean on F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo to secure them a spot in the playoffs.
Atlanta and Miami met four times during the regular season. The Heat won 3 of the 4 meetings and the Over/Under went 2-2.
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Hawks at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Hawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Heat -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +5.5 (-115) | Heat -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Hawks at Heat key injuries
Hawks
- None
Heat
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
- G Max Strus (finger) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Hawks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 117, Hawks 111
Moneyline
PASS.
Despite the expectation of the Heat winning on Tuesday, I’d avoid wagering on the money line in this pivotal matchup.
Against the spread
HEAT -5.5 (-105) is the pick in this contest with how these teams ended the season. Butler has excelled in playoff environments throughout his career and we’ve seen Miami have success against Atlanta this season. Plus, the Hawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road meetings against the Heat.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).
Even though the Heat are viewed as a defensive-minded team, both of these teams are bottom 11 in defensive rating in the last 15 games of the season. The Hawks are 4-0-1 to the Over in their last 5 overall and the Heat are 5-0 to the Over in their last 5 overall.
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