Miami Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 2

Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (11-12) face the Memphis Grizzlies (14-9) Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat took down the Boston Celtics 120-116 in overtime Friday to cover as 7-point underdogs. Miami has won 4 of its last 5 games following a 4-game losing skid from Nov. 16-21.

The Grizzlies defeated the Detroit Pistons 122-112 to cover as 6.5-point favorites Sunday. Memphis has also won 4 of its last 5 games ahead of the team’s 2nd leg of a back-to-back Monday.

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Heat at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Grizzlies key injuries

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) probable
G Duncan Robinson (ankle) probable
F Max Strus (shoulder) probable
G Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

Grizzlies

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Heat 112

Moneyline

The GRIZZLIES (-125) are an enticing wager in this home game. The Grizzlies are 8-2 at home this season compared to the Heat’s 3-8 road record.

Against the spread

Considering that we only need Memphis to win by at least a 2-points to cover the spread, GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this game. While G Desmond Bane remains out, the Grizzlies are mostly healthy entering Monday’s game and it’s hard to go against G Ja Morant at home.

The Heat are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Miami is also 1-4 ATS in its last 5 meetings against Memphis.

Over/Under

OVER 225.5 (-105) is where I’m going in this game as the Heat should have most of their starters available. Even though Butler is questionable to play, Miami is expected to at least have Herro, Robinson, and Strus available on Monday.

The Over has hit in 7 of the last 9 meetings between the Heat and the Grizzlies.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (10-12) are set to face the Boston Celtics (18-4) Friday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat suffered a 134-121 loss to the Celtics Wednesday as they failed to cover as 9.5-point road underdogs. Miami had a 3-game win streak before the loss but has still lost 5 of its last 8 games.

The Celtics covered the spread for the 5th straight game with the win Wednesday. Boston is amid a 5-game win streak and has won 9 of its last 10 outings.

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Heat at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Celtics -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +7.5 (-105) | Celtics -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Celtics key injuries

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) probable
G Duncan Robinson (ankle) probable
F Max Strus (shoulder) probable
G Gabe Vincent (knee) probable

Celtics

C Robert Williams (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 121, Heat 110

Moneyline

Just PASS on the moneyline in this game because the Celtics (-330) are so heavily favored at home. The risk of taking Boston straight up isn’t worth the return you’ll receive if the Celtics secure the victory.

Against the spread

The CELTICS -7.5 (-115) are the superior team right now and they own an 11-1 record at home. The Heat don’t have anyone that can contain F Jayson Tatum, who put up 49 points against Miami Wednesday.

The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and the Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Celtics.

Over/Under

While both of these teams are predicated on playing formidable defense, OVER 225.5 (-110) is the ideal wager in this game. The Heat and the Celtics have a combined 25-18-1 record to the Over this season.

The Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between theses teams in Boston.

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Miami Heat at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (7-8) take on the Washington Wizards (8-7) Friday at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat were defeated 112-104 by the Toronto Raptors Wednesday as they fell short of covering as 3-point road underdogs. Miami was on a 3-game win streak before the loss.

The Wizards lost as 5.5-point favorites in heartbreaking fashion 121-120 to the Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday as G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander hit a game-winning shot with 1.9 seconds remaining. Washington had reeled off 4 straight wins before the loss.

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Heat at Wizards odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Wizards -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-115) | Wizards -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Wizards key injuries

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (knee) questionable
C Dewayne Dedmon (foot) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) out
G Caleb Martin (knee) questionable

Wizards

G Jordan Goodwin (knee) questionable
G Delon Wright (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Wizards 110

Moneyline

Even with Adebayo uncertain to play on Friday, HEAT (-105) is where I’m leaning in this game following a disappointing loss to Toronto. F Jimmy Butler finished with only 13 points, 1 rebound, 5 assists and 5 turnovers in the loss to the Raptors, so I’m expecting a bounce-back game from him.

Against the spread

Being that I took Miami to win on Friday against Washington, HEAT +1.5 (-115) makes sense as my pick against the spread. If Miami does have Adebayo available, the spread could favor the Heat more, so I’m fine taking the current spread before that news potentially breaks.

The Heat are 27-11-2 ATS in their last 40 road meetings against the Wizards.

Over/Under

OVER 217.5 (-110) appears to be the ideal choice in this game given the current trends for both of these teams. Washington has hit the Over in 3 of its last 4 games while Miami has hit the Over in 5 consecutive contests.

The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the Heat and the Wizards in Washington and it’s 12-5 in the last 17 meetings overall.

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Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (8-4) face the Miami Heat (6-7) Monday at FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Suns have had 2 days of rest after a disappointing 114-97 loss to the Orlando Magic Friday as they failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Phoenix is getting stellar contributions from G Devin Booker, who is averaging 26.7 points on 47.5% shooting with 4.5 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 1.0 steals per game.

The Heat are riding a 2-game win streak — with both wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets — the most recent of which was a 132-115 victory Saturday as they covered as 8.5-point home favorites.

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Suns at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Suns +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Heat -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Suns +1.5 (-108) | Heat -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Suns at Heat key injuries

Suns

F Cam Johnson (knee) out
G Chris Paul (heel) questionable
G Landry Shamet (concussion) out

Heat

C Dewayne Dedmon (foot) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Suns at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 113, Heat 108

Moneyline

Even with Paul being questionable for Phoenix, give me the SUNS (+102). Even if he doesn’t play, the Suns should be able to make it a competitive game and steal a win on the road versus a potentially shorthanded Heat team.

Against the spread

SUNS +1.5 (-108) is the ideal choice in this game considering that I took Phoenix to win outright. The Suns have won 4 out of the last 5 meetings against the Heat.

The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent with a winning record and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a win. Meanwhile, the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road matchups with the Heat.

Over/Under

Neither of these teams plays at a fast pace. The Suns play at the 4th-slowest pace in the league while the Heat play at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA. That being said, I’ll take OVER 215.5 (-110) for Monday’s showdown.

The Over has gone 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the Suns and the Heat.

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Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (1-3) will face the Portland Trail Blazers (4-0) on Wednesday at the Moda Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBATV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Trail Blazers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat have gotten off to a slow start this season and lost 98-90 to the Toronto Raptors on Monday despite being 3.5-point favorites at home. Miami has inserted G Tyler Herro into the starting lineup and he’s responded with 21 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game on 48.4% shooting from the field.

The Trail Blazers have been 1 of the most surprising teams to begin the season as they remain undefeated, with their latest win being a 135-110 victory Sunday over the Denver Nuggets as 5-point underdogs. G Damian Lillard is back for Portland and the All-Star guard has recorded 33.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game on 50% shooting from the floor.

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Heat at Trail Blazers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -2.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Heat at Trail Blazers key injuries

Heat

G Victor Oladipo (not with team) out
C Omer Yurtseven (ankle) out

Trail Blazers

G Gary Payton II (conditioning) out
C Oliver Sarr (wrist) out
F Trendon Watford (hip) out
F Justise Winslow (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Trail Blazers picks and predictions

Prediction

Trail Blazers 111, Heat 105

Moneyline

Despite Portland being a surprising team to begin the season, TRAIL BLAZERS (+110) is an enticing wager as they look like the superior team right now. The Heat need more production from G Kyle Lowry and C Bam Adebayo, and it remains to be seen if they find their groove on the road against Portland.

Against the spread

Being that I have Portland winning outright, TRAIL BLAZERS +2.5 (-110) is where I’m going in this game. The return of Lillard has paid dividends early for Portland while Miami is still trying to figure out its rotation with Herro now in the starting lineup.

The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their 1st 4 games this season while the Heat are 0-4 ATS in their 1st 4 games.

Over/Under

UNDER 219.5 (-112) seems like the ideal choice in this game with both teams being in the bottom 11 in pace to begin the season. Miami also has the 3rd-worst offensive rating in the NBA, which makes it hard to trust them scoring enough to help hit the Over.

The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 games where the Heat had 1 day of rest. On the other hand, the Under is 8-1 in the last 9 games for the Trail Blazers.

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Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Bulls (27-13) visit Beantown Saturday to play the Boston Celtics (21-22) at the TD Garden. The tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bulls vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Both teams played last night (Friday) as Chicago got pummeled by the Golden State Warriors 138-96 for a second straight loss, and Boston was defeated 111-99 by the Philadelphia 76ers.

Over the past two weeks, the Bulls are 4-3 straight-up (SU), 2-5 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 22nd-ranked adjusted net rating at a minus-5.7, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

In the last 14 days, the Celtics are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 10th-best adjusted net rating at a plus-4.0, per CTG.

The Bulls (+3) upset the Celtics 128-114 in Boston in their first meeting this season, Nov. 1.

Bulls at Celtics odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Bulls +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Celtics -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bulls +5.5 (-105) | Celtics -5.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Bulls at Celtics key injuries

Bulls

PG Lonzo Ball (knee) questionable
SG Zach LaVine (knee) out
SG Alex Caruso (health and safety protocols) out
PF Derrick Jones Jr. (knee) out
SG Javonte Green (hip) out

Celtics

PG Marcus Smart (health and safety protocols) out

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Bulls at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 109, Bulls 97

Money line

PASS since I cannot back the Bulls (+190) with their injury report, and the Celtics (-240) is way out of my price range for a regular-season favorite.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the CELTICS -5.5 (-120) for a half-unit because of Chicago’s injury report, and Boston should’ve won the first meeting between these two.

The Celtics outscored the Bulls in each of the first three quarters in their Nov. 1 meeting, but Chicago stole the game, in Boston, with a 39-11 fourth quarter.

That kind of loss sticks with a team and should motivate the Celtics even against a banged-up Bulls side.

Furthermore, the Celtics are 13-7-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record and match up even better against the Bulls with no LaVine in the lineup.

For instance, Chicago is going to play through SF DeMar DeRozan, who likes to isolate and operate in the midrange.

DeRozan erupted for a game-high 37 points on 75.0% shooting (FG%) in the first Bulls-Celtics meeting.

But, Boston gets to focus more of its defensive bandwidth on DeRozan with LaVine out of the lineup.

Also, Boston’s defense ranks second in efficiency versus iso-ball and sixth in defensive FG% versus mid-range jumpers (CTG).

However, I can only “LEAN” to the CELTICS -5.5 (-120) because technically this isn’t a good spot for them.

Boston is 7-11 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-4.1 ATS margin and 1-6 ATS in the last seven games as a favorite.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 216.5 (-115) because Chicago is 1-7 O/U as a road underdog with a minus-6.0 total margin, Boston is 7-11 O/U as a home favorite with a minus-4.1 total margin and the Under has cashed in four of the last five Bulls-Celtics meetings.

On top of that, Chicago’s offense will be less effective without LaVine, and it could be in serious trouble if Ball misses Saturday. Boston ranks 22nd in offensive rating this month, but fourth in defensive rating.

The UNDER 216.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in the Bulls-Celtics game.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (24-17) head to South Beach Saturday to play the Miami Heat (27-15) at FTX Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Both teams played Friday as the Sixers handled the Boston Celtics 111-99 as 3-point home favorites and the Heat took down the Atlanta Hawks 124-118 at home as 5-point favorites.

The Sixers are 5-1 straight-up (SU), 5-1 ATS and 3-3 O/U with the best non-garbage time net rating at a plus-14.0 and the eighth-best ATS margin at plus-3.6 over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Heat are 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS and 5-1 O/U with the fifth-best non-garbage time net rating at a plus-9.6 but the best ATS margin at plus-10.3 across that same span, per CTG.

The Heat upset the Sixers in Philly 101-96 as 8-point underdogs Dec. 15 in their first meeting this season. Miami was missing All-Stars F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo and its second-leading scorer, SG Tyler Herro, while Philly was at full health.

76ers at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Heat -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +2.5 (-107) | Heat -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

SG Danny Green (hip) questionable
SF Matisse Thybulle (shoulder) questionable

Heat (not officially submitted)

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out

76ers at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 113, 76ers 109

Money line

BET the HEAT (-145) for 1 unit for a variety of reasons.

This is a better spot for the Heat who are 5-1 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Sixers. These ATS trends are applicable since this game is priced as a coin-flip.

The Sixers are also 1-3 SU and ATS with a minus-7.6 adjusted net rating (CTG) when playing on zero rest days. More importantly, Miami performs much better than Philly versus quality competition.

The Heat are 10-5 SU with the second-best adjusted net rating versus teams in the top-10 of non-garbage time efficiency differential. They also have the best ATS margin versus top-10 teams at a plus-8.3 (CTG).

On the other hand, the Sixers are 3-6 SU versus top-10 teams with the 23rd-best adjusted net rating and the second-worst ATS margin at minus-8.6 (CTG).

The Heat are also a much better rebounding team. Miami outrebounds opponents 44.9-41.2 per game while the Sixers have a minus-per game rebounding differential at 45.3-42.1. More rebounds mean more possessions, which equals more points.

Butler played with the Sixers in 2018-19 and has a friendly rivalry with Philly big Joel Embiid. Since Butler went to South Beach the following season, the Heat are 4-1 SU when both Butler and Embiid are playing.

BET 1 unit on the HEAT (-145).

Against the spread

PASS even though I certainly think Miami wins by margin. However, there’s no point betting the Heat -2.5 (-115) when we can get their money line for just 30 cents on the dollar more.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 211.5 (-115) for a half-unit only because both teams play at a bottom-five pace and Philly is 0-6 O/U in the last six games as a road underdog.

That said, both teams have been shooting really well this month. Miami is second in effective field goal shooting (eFG%) in January and Philly ranks fourth in eFG%. The Under has also cashed in five of the last seven 76ers-Heat meetings.

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Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (17-23) head to South Beach Friday for the second game of their home-and-away, back-to-back with the Miami Heat (26-15). Tip-off at the FTX Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Heat, who were 2.5-point underdogs, clobbered the Hawks 115-91 in Atlanta in the opener of their back-to-back Wednesday.

Miami outshot Atlanta from everywhere on the floor and won three of the “four factors” as the Heat outscored the Hawks in three of the four quarters.

Atlanta is 1-4 straight up (SU), 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and 2-3 Over/Under (O/U) with the third-worst net rating at minus-9.7 in January.

Miami is 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS and 4-1 O/U with the sixth-best net rating at plus-8.5 this month.

Hawks at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Heat -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +4.5 (-105) | Heat -4.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Heat key injuries

Hawks

C Clint Capela (ankle) out
SG Kevin Huerter (foot) questionable

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable

Hawks at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 118, Hawks 107

Money line

PASS. Even though I think the Heat win handily, Miami (-200) is too expensive for any NBA regular-season, money line favorite, especially one playing against a team that just went to the conference finals last season.

Against the spread

BET the HEAT -4.5 (-120) for 1 unit because I see this one playing out the same way as Wednesday’s Hawks-Heat meeting in Atlanta.

Click here for my analysis of that first game. The only change between the two meetings may be the possible return of Miami’s Butler, who is playing at an All-NBA level.

Atlanta struggles on the glass, on the interior and in pick-and-roll action without Capela in the lineup. Miami outrebound Atlanta 54-37 Wednesday and outscored the Hawks in the paint 46-30.

Miami beats up on bad defenses and Atlanta has the third-worst adjusted defensive rating.

The Hawks have been terrible on the road this season. Atlanta is 9-13 overall on the road (8-14 ATS) with the 19th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-3.4, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

BET the HEAT -4.5 (-120).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-115) for a one-third unit if at all, because Miami’s point spread is my favorite wager in this game.

The Heat are 9-7 O/U at home, while the Hawks are 12-10 O/U on the road. Miami’s offense should torch Atlanta’s defense from deep.

The Heat have the second-best 3-point percentage and the Hawks are 21st in defensive 3-point percentage. If Atlanta can shoot a little better than it did Wednesday, then this Over will cash.

My prediction isn’t far off the projected total, so GO LITE on OVER 220.5 (-115) if you bet it.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (25-15) head to the Big Peach Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (17-22) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is the sixth and final game of Miami’s road trip; it’s 3-2 straight-up (SU) and 4-1 ATS through the first five games. The Heat have won their last two games against the Phoenix Suns Jan. 5 and the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday.

Miami has the sixth-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-7.8 points per 100 possessions and the fifth-best spread differential at a plus-6.7 ATS margin over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Atlanta just wrapped up its own six-game road trip, finishing 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 2-4 O/U. The Hawks have the fourth-worst non-garbage time net rating at minus-8.6 points per 100 possessions and the second-worst spread differential at a minus-8.0 ATS margin in the last 14 days (per CTG).

Heat at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Heat +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Hawks -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-107) | Hawks -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Hawks key injuries

Heat

SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) out
C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
C Dewayne Dedmon (knee) questionable

Hawks

C Clint Capela (ankle) doubtful
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) questionable
SG Cam Reddish (ankle) questionable

Heat at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 117, Hawks 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the HEAT (+135) with the plan of betting more on Miami’s spread because the Hawks struggle against good teams and don’t sleep on the importance of Capela’s possible absence.

Miami and Atlanta’s seasons are trending in opposite directions. The Heat are stacking wins and ranked third in the East despite missing several key contributors throughout the season.

On the other hand, the Hawks are 12th in the East and there are rumors PF John Collins is unhappy with his role in Atlanta. There’s even talk about possibly trading Collins for Philadelphia 76ers PG Ben Simmons.

Atlanta is 5-9 SU versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating with a minus-2.5 points per 100 possessions (CTG) and is 2-4 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record.

Capela’s rim runs on pick-and-roll action and offensive rebounding tenacity greatly help Atlanta’s offense.

He grades in the 77th percentile of bigs in adjusted on/off net rating and 92nd percentile in adjusted on/off offensive rebounding rate, per CTG, and when he missed the Hawks’ previous game versus the Clippers and they were outrebounded 47-39 (13-6 in offensive rebounds).

L.A. has the fourth-worst rebounding rate in the NBA whereas Miami has the fourth-best rebounding rate. Capela’s potential absence may loom large.

The Heat also tear up bad defenses. Miami is 11-3 SU versus teams in the bottom 10 of adjusted defensive rating with plus-8.1 points per 100 possessions (ranked seventh, per CTG).

Only SPRINKLE on the HEAT (+135) because Miami’s spread is the sharper play.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the HEAT +3.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of their money line because Atlanta has lost ATS in its last nine home games and Miami is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.

The HEAT +3.5 (-107) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because the Heat have gone Over the total in six consecutive games and the Hawks have gone Over in five of their last seven contests.

Plus both teams allow opponents to chuck 3-pointers and each rank in the top-five of 3-point shooting percentage.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-22) host the Miami Heat (23-15) Wednesday at the Moda Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Miami has lost back-to-back road games to the Sacramento Kings 115-113 Sunday and at the Golden State Warriors 115-108 Monday.

Over the past two weeks, the Heat are 4-2 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 5-1 O/U with the ninth-best adjusted net rating at plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Portland snapped its four-game losing skid by upsetting the Atlanta Hawks 136-131 as 4-point home underdogs Monday.

In the last 14 days, the Trail Blazers are 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS and 3-1 O/U with the second-worst adjusted net rating at minus-17.1 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Heat at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Money line: Heat -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -2.5 (-108) | Trail Blazers +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Heat at Trail Blazers key injuries

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) out
C Dewayne Dedmon (knee) out
SG Duncan Robinson (health and safety protocols) out
SG Gabe Vincent (health and safety protocols) out
F KZ Okpala (wrist) out

Trail Blazers

PG Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
SG C.J. McCollum (lung) out
PF Larry Nance Jr. (health and safety protocols) doubtful
C Cody Zeller (health and safety protocols) out

Heat at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Trail Blazers 118, Heat 112

Money line

GIMME the TRAIL BLAZERS (+110) for 1 unit because the Heat (-135) are missing three starters and Dedmon and Vincent are Miami’s top-two players by adjusted on/off net rating (CTG).

Furthermore, I liked how Portland PG Anfernee Simons played when replacing Lillard in Monday’s game against Atlanta.

It’s hard not to like how Simons played considering he scored a career-high 43 points on 61.9% shooting (9-for-16 from behind the arc) with 7 assists.

Also, Lillard is too ball-dominant and hasn’t been shooting well from the field this year. I don’t think the absence of Lillard—especially given how he has played this season—is as big of a deal as the market seems to think.

In fact, according to Pregame.com, more than 90% of the cash at the time of publishing is on Miami, which has steamed the Heat up from a -120 favorite to the current price.

Lastly, I think this is a bit of a trap game for Miami who has played much better than Portland this season and has a very cheap price. It appears to me that the oddsmakers are daring us to bet on the Heat.

BET the TRAIL BLAZERS (+110).

Against the spread

Heavy “LEAN” to the TRAIL BLAZERS +2.5 (-112) as it gives some insurance on their money line at plus-money.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 216.5 (-108) for 1 unit because Miami has gone Over the total in six of its past seven games, including four straight.

On top of that, Portland has gone Over the total in three of its past four games and the Over is has cashed in five of the past seven Heat-Trail Blazers meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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