Tag: Miami Dolphins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins Week 14 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The surging Miami Dolphins (8-4) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) on Sunday afternoon for a huge Week 14 showdown at Hard Rock Stadium. The two will square off at 1 p.m. ET as both try to improve their standing in the AFC playoff picture.

Below, we preview the Chiefs-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Chiefs at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Dolphins +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -7 (-110) | Dolphins +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Dolphins: Game notes

  • The Chiefs rank second in the NFL in points scored this season. The Dolphins have the second-ranked scoring defense, however, allowing only 17.7 points per game.
  • The Chiefs have won seven games in a row but have gone just 3-4 ATS in that span. They’ve failed to cover in each of their last four games.
  • In their last eight games, the Dolphins are 7-1 ATS, also going 7-1 SU in that same stretch.
  • The total has gone Under in five of the Dolphins’ last seven games. It has also gone Under in three of the Chiefs’ last five games.
  • The Chiefs are 8-0 SU in their last eight road games.

Chiefs at Dolphins: Key injuries

Chiefs

  • LB Damien Wilson (knee) questionable

Dolphins

  • LB Kyle Van Noy (hip) questionable
  • CB Xavien Howard (shoulder) questionable
  • QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) questionable

Chiefs at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Dolphins 23

Money line (?)

The Chiefs are clearly the better team in this one and might be the best overall team in the NFL. But the Dolphins are as hot as anyone and their defense is capable of slowing down even the top offenses.

I like the Chiefs to win this one outright, but in a closer game than some may think. Brian Flores will come up with an aggressive game plan to challenge QB Patrick Mahomes, even if he can’t completely hold him in check.

Take the CHIEFS (-350) to win Sunday.

Against the spread (?)

As good as the Chiefs are, 7 points feels like a lot. The Dolphins don’t have the offense to keep up with Mahomes and the Chiefs like the Raiders did, but they do have a defense that can counter what Kansas City tries to do.

Bet the DOLPHINS +7 (-110) to cover the seven-point spread and keep this one relatively close at home.

Over/Under (?)

This one all comes down to how the Dolphins defense plays. If they can slow down the Chiefs, this game will fail to top 51 points. That seems like an obvious statement, but it’s the truth.

The Dolphins shouldn’t be expected to score more than 30 points, so it’ll be the Chiefs doing the heavy lifting. I like the UNDER (50.5) here, but it’s going to be very close.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins Week 13 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Joe Burrow-less Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1) visit the Miami Dolphins (7-4) in Week 13, looking to snap their three-game losing skid. The Dolphins are seeking their seventh win in eight games as they attempt to keep pace with the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on at Hard Rock Stadium. Below, we preview the Bengals-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bengals at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bengals +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Dolphins -589 (bet $589 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Bengals +11.5 (-110) | Dolphins -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bengals at Dolphins: Game notes

  • The Bengals are 0-5-1 on the road this season but have gone 3-3 ATS in those games. The Dolphins are 3-2 at home with an ATS record of 4-1.
  • In their last 10 meetings, the Dolphins are 6-4 against the Bengals but have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points per game in those matchups.
  • The total has gone Under in six of the Dolphins’ last nine games and in seven of their 11 games this season.
  • The Dolphins rank second in points allowed per game, while Cincinnati is 26th in points scored per game.
  • The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Miami is 8-2 ATS in that same stretch.

Bengals at Dolphins: Key injuries

Bengals

  • G Alex Redmond (concussion) questionable
  • S Brandon Wilson (hamstring) questionable

Dolphins

  • RB Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) questionable
  • QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) questionable

Bengals at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 23, Bengals 14

Money line (?)

The Dolphins don’t yet know who they’ll start at quarterback this weekend, but that won’t matter. They’re going to beat the Bengals, who are starting QB Brandon Allen again.

The Dolphins will win fairly comfortably, with their swarming style of defense crushing Allen and Cincinnati’s offense. Take the DOLPHINS (-589) to win outright, even with an unrewarding money line.

Against the spread (?)

As 11.5-point favorites, the Dolphins are expected to win big. Just as they did against the Giants last week, the Bengals will keep this one within single digits. That’s not to say the Giants are nearly as good as the Dolphins, but the Bengals will find a way to score in garbage time to cover the spread.

Take the BENGALS +11.5 (-110) to cover, which would be their eighth covered spread in their last 11 games.

Over/Under (?)

Cincinnati hasn’t scored more than 17 points in any of its last three games, putting up a total of 36 points in those contests. The Dolphins defense is great and will once again keep the Burrow-less Bengals in check.

Take the UNDER 42.5 (-110).

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Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Week 12 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (6-4) head to the Meadowlands Sunday for an AFC East game against the New York Jets (0-10) at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Jets betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Jets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins -334 (bet $334 to win $100) | Jets +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins -7 (-110) | Jets +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 44.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

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Dolphins at Jets: Game notes

  • Miami’s 20-13 Week 11 loss to the Denver Broncos snapped a 5-game winning streak, three of which were in games started by rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa.
  • Tagovailoa was downgraded to doubtful Saturday after injuring his left thumb in practice; QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is expected to start Sunday. It’s Fitzpatrick’s first start since Miami shut out New York 24-0 in Week 6.
  • The Jets covered the spread for the third time in four games but remained winless in a 34-28 loss at the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 11.
  • Jets QB Joe Flacco made his fifth consecutive start for an injured QB Sam Darnold who has no injury designation ahead of Week 12’s meeting with the Dolphins and is expected to start.

Dolphins at Jets: Key injuries

Dolphins

  • QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) doubtful
  • WR Jakeem Grant (hamstring) questionable
  • G Solomon Kindley (foot) out
  • RB Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) out

Jets

  • RT George Fant (knee, ankle) doubtful
  • LB Blake Cashman (hamstring) questionable
  • G Alex Lewis (non-injury) questionable
  • LB Patrick Onwuasor (hamstring) out
  • OT Chuma Edoga (ankle) doubtful

Dolphins at Jets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jets 27, Dolphins 23

Money line (?)

I’d liken the difficulty of betting the Jets to win their first game to landing an airplane on a service street.

I was pretty close to giving it a shot but Fitzpatrick lives to make coaches regret benching him and Jets head coach Adam Gase occupies the hottest seat in coaching now that the Detroit Lions fired Matt Patricia.

That being said, the Dolphins are getting overwhelming public support and Jets RB Frank Gore said, “I can’t go out like that,” when asked about the possibility of the Jets going winless. I refuse to believe the Jets will go 0-16.

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (?)

Here I was on this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast featuring myself and Esten McLaren giving out the Jets as a best bet and I’m wishy-washy on them now.

When I said that it was assuming Tua would be starting and he’s thrown for for more than 100 yards in just two of his four starts. Fitzpatrick adds an ability for the Dolphins to connect on deep balls that Tua just doesn’t have yet.

Also, I find it suspicious that 80% of the money wagered and 79% of the bets placed are on Miami, according to Pregame.com, yet the line has hardly budged. Why isn’t BetMGM making the Dolphins pricier?

I still lean Jets +7 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 44.5 (-106) for 1.5 units is my favorite bet in Dolphins-Jets. This is your pros versus joes situation with the money coming on the Over but the majority of the bets are on the Under.

The Dolphins have a penchant for getting defensive or special teams touchdowns and as the Jets continue to go winless you’d expect them to play with more desperation. The Jets are the healthiest on offense they’ve been all season and have scored 27 and 28 points in their past two games.

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Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos Week 11 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) visit the Denver Broncos (3-6) Sunday for a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff in Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Broncos betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Broncos: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:04 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins -209 (bet $209 to win $100) | Broncos +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins -4 (-110) | Broncos +4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Broncos: Game notes

  • Miami has won five straight games—outright and ATS—including a 29-21 win over the Los Angeles Chargers last week.
  • The Dolphins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games dating back to last season.
  • Denver got drilled, 37-12, by AFC West rival Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10. The Broncos were minus-five in turnovers, pushing their season turnover differential to -12 (ranked 31st).
  • Historically, Miami has gotten the better of Denver in this head-to-head as the Dolphins have a 12-6-1 career record against the Broncos. Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games against Denver, including 4-0 ATS in its last four games at Mile High.

Dolphins at Broncos: Key injuries

Dolphins

  • RG Solomon Kindley (foot) questionable
  • LB Kyle Van Noy (hip) questionable

Broncos

  • QB Drew Lock (ribs) questionable
  • TE Noah Fant (ribs) questionable
  • LB Joe Jones (calf) out
  • RG Graham Glasgow (calf) questionable
  • DT DeShawn Williams (ankle) questionable
  • CB Bryce Callahan (illness) questionable

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Dolphins at Broncos: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Broncos 13

Money line (?)

If we got here early, we’d hammer Miami at the opening number (-110 for both teams) but the Dolphins -209 is unplayable straight up. You could parlay it with the Ravens’ or Chiefs’ money line but I am going to PASS.

My one caveat is the Broncos could be a live dog if they can get their two-headed rushing attack going—RBs Phillip Lindsay and Melvin Gordon—vs. a Miami rush defense that is ranked 29th in DVOA, according to Football Outsiders.

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (?)

The action is completely one-sided in Dolphins-Broncos: 85% of the money and 89% of the bets are Miami, which moved the line from a pick ‘em to the current price. So, the House is really hoping the Broncos come through and usually, it’s wise to be on the same side as the House.

However, I think the Broncos backers are being too sharp for their own good. I get it: 3 and the hook against a rookie quarterback (Tua Tagovailoa) who’s coming off three straight wins and going to a traditionally tough place to play (Denver from November on).

The Dolphins are among five 6-3 AFC teams competing for a Wild Card berth and still have a realistic shot to run down the Buffalo Bills for first place in the AFC East.

GIMME DOLPHINS -4 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (?)

The reason I’m betting Miami is because head coach Brian Flores is a defensive whiz. The Dolphins are ranked 6th in opponent’s QB Rating, fourth in opponent’s points per play and third in opponent’s third-down conversion percentage.

Miami’s probable offensive game script and how its defense matches up against a bad Denver makes me lean Under 45.5 for a half-unit.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins Week 10 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Chargers (2-6) visit the Miami Dolphins (5-3) in a marquee matchup of rookie quarterbacks in Week 10. Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium will be at 4:05 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Chargers-Dolphins betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Chargers at Dolphins: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chargers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Dolphins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Chargers +1.5 (-110) | Dolphins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chargers at Dolphins: Game notes

  • Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa, the No. 5 pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, is 2-0 since taking over the starting job from veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 8. He has completed 65.4% of 50 pass attempts for 341 yards and 3 touchdowns without an interception.
  • Chargers QB Justin Herbert, the No. 6 pick in April’s draft, has guided L.A. to just a 1-6 record since taking over the starting job in Week 2. He has completed 67.3% of his passes for 2,146 yards with 17 TDs against 5 INTs, and he has run for 166 yards and a pair of scores.
  • The Dolphins are squarely in the AFC playoff picture after winning four straight games. They trail the Buffalo Bills by just a game for the top spot in the AFC East. Miami is 6-2 against the spread.
  • The Chargers are at the bottom of the AFC West standings, but they’re 5-3 ATS. They’ve lost twice in overtime and all six of their losses have been by 7 or fewer points.
  • Los Angeles has had three different players lead the team in rushing yards over its last three games, including Herbert’s 66 in Week 7—a 39-29 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Miami is fourth in the league with a plus-5 turnover differential. L.A. has a minus-3 differential.

Chargers at Dolphins: Key injuries

Chargers

  • DE Joey Bosa (concussion) out
  • OT Bryan Bulaga (back) questionable
  • RB Justin Jackson (knee) out
  • RB Troymaine Pope (neck) questionable
  • G Trai Turner (groin) questionable

Dolphins

  • RB Matt Breida (hamstring) questionable
  • CB Jamal Perry (foot) questionable
  • TE Durham Smythe (concussion) questionable

Chargers at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chargers 24, Dolphins 21

Money line (?)

The CHARGERS (+105) are in a good spot for a modest upset on the road. They’ve just been on the wrong side of far too many close games. Herbert, specifically, deserves a better record than L.A. has to date, and he has the early edge in the quarterback matchup against Tagovailoa.

Against the spread (?)

The Dolphins have rifled off four straight victories and begin the easiest portion of their 2020 schedule. They’ll play the Denver Broncos, New York Jets and Cincinnati Bengals over the next three weeks. Back the CHARGERS +1.5 (-110) to put a bump in their road.

While they’re a more profitable play on the money line, they’ve shown us so far in 2020 that they’re definitely worth the price of the insurance in a loss.

Over/Under (?)

The Dolphins defense deserves the bulk of the credit for the team’s success and Tagovailoa lost a key piece of his passing attack this week with WR Preston Williams (foot) placed on the Reserve/Injured list. Expect a lower-scoring game in what figures to be the first of many matchups between the two star quarterbacks. Back the UNDER 48.5 (-110).

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Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals Week 9 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (4-3) hit the road to face an Arizona Cardinals (5-2) team fresh off a bye. Kickoff at State Farm Stadium will be Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Cardinals betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Cardinals: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Cardinals -223 (bet $223 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins +4.5 (-110) | Cardinals -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

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Dolphins at Cardinals: Game notes

  • Dolphins rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa, the No. 5 pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, is 1-0 to start his career under center. He didn’t have to do much in his debut, and he finished just 12-for-22 through the air for 93 yards and one touchdown as the ‘Phins won 28-17 over the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The Cardinals had their most impressive win of the season in Week 7 before the bye. They topped the then-undefeated Seattle Seahawks 37-34 in overtime on primetime.
  • Arizona has won three straight games with at least 30 points scored in each outing. Surprising Miami has also won three straight with each game decided by at least 11 points.
  • Both teams are 5-2 against the spread. The Cards cover by 6.6 points per game and the ‘Phins cover by an average of 11.4 points.
  • Miami is just 2-5 against the Over/Under. Its top-ranked scoring defense with just 18.6 points allowed per game is the major reason.
  • Cardinals QB Kyler Murray has 437 yards rushing with seven scores on the ground to boost Arizona’s second-ranked rushing offense (160.7 yards per game).

Dolphins at Cardinals: Key injuries

Dolphins

  • RB Matt Breida (hamstring) doubtful
  • RB Myles Gaskin (knee) out/IR

Cardinals

  • RB Kenyan Drake (ankle) doubtful
  • CB Dre Kirkpatrick (thigh) questionable

Dolphins at Cardinals: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Cardinals 27, Dolphins 20

Money line (?)

The CARDINALS (-223) have had a week to rest and celebrate their statement win over the rival Seahawks, so this shouldn’t be a letdown game for them. The Dolphins are one of the biggest surprises of 2020 and are in the AFC playoff hunt, but Tagovailoa will need to do a whole lot more this week than he did against the Rams.

Look for a few rookie mistakes and for the Cards to capitalize as sophomore Murray leads them to another win.

Against the spread (?)

Quarterback is the most important position in sports and the Cardinals have a sizable advantage in that department in Week 9. The reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year continues his ascension into the league’s upper echelon and the CARDINALS -4.5 (-110) win handily to give Tagovailoa his first loss.

Over/Under (?)

Back the UNDER 48.5 (-106) with the Dolphins defense able to keep this game tight and the Cards likely to force multiple turnovers against the rookie Tagovailoa and the Dolphins’ undermanned backfield.

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Los Angeles Rams favored on road vs. Miami Dolphins in Week 8

The Los Angeles Rams are expected to knock off the Miami Dolphins on the road in Week 8 by the betting odds and lines.

Rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins (3-3) host the Los Angeles Rams (5-2) Sunday afternoon of Week 8 at Hard Rock Stadium. The game kicks off in the early window at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we take a look at the early Week 8 betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Rams are coming off a dominant 24-10 win over the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football, to keep pace in the NFC West. The defense has been outstanding this season, and allowed zero touchdowns to the Bears offense in Week 7. QB Jared Goff and the offense have held up their end, too, ranking 10th in total yards per game (385.7).

The Dolphins are transitioning to a new starting quarterback, with Tagovailoa taking over for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. They had a bye in Week 7, so they’ve had some extra time to prepare for the Rams, but it’s hard to get a rookie ready for the presence of DT Aaron Donald. Miami has looked better than expected, though, jumping out to a 3-3 start.

Rams at Dolphins betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Wednesday at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rams -200 (bet $200 to win $100) / Dolphins +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Rams -4.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Dolphins +4.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 45.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

The Rams are favored by 4.5 points over the Dolphins. In order for them to cover the spread, they have to beat Miami by at least five points. The Rams money line of -200 has an implied win probability of 66.67%.

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The Dolphins are getting 4.5 points from the Rams in this matchup. For them to cover the spread, they have to either win outright or lose by no more than four points. Their implied win probability is 37.74%, based on the money line of +165.

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